INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Excellent profitability in seasonally strong third quarter
OCTOBER 24, 2019
in seasonally strong third quarter INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
OCTOBER 24, 2019 Excellent profitability in seasonally strong third quarter INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in brief LAST 12 MONTHS: REVENUE EUR 2,663 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 404 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 15.2%, OPERATIVE ROCE 11.5%
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
OCTOBER 24, 2019
SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in brief
LAST 12 MONTHS: REVENUE EUR 2,663 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 404 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 15.2%, OPERATIVE ROCE 11.5%
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing and strength
Revenue by geographies and product category represent FY 2018.
39% AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil 52% EMEA 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany 9% APAC 1.China 2.South Korea 3.Thailand
◼ 57%
Pulp & Paper
◼ 43%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS Several thousand customers TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue EXAMPLES OF LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g. Frankfurt, London, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore #1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas #2 globally
Why invest in Kemira
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3Profitable growth
Operative EBITDA improved by +34% and Operative EBIT +41% in January-September 2019
1 2 3
Attractive dividend
Stable dividend and competitive yield
Sustainable investment
Excellent sustainability performance (EcoVadis rating: Gold)
HOW KEMIRA CREATES VALUE
Strategy and Equity Story in summary
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4FINANCIAL TARGETS (mid- to long-term) Above the market revenue growth • Operative EBITDA 15-17% • Gearing below 75%
OUR MARKET FOCUS Chemicals for Pulp & Paper, Oil & Gas and Water Treatment #1 or #2 in our core markets Market growth estimated to be 2-3% p.a. supported by higher use of fiber-based products, resource efficiency and regulation BUILDING A GREAT CHEMICALS COMPANY Great products: 4 core areas are polymers, coagulants, sizing and bleaching chemicals which meet
Great operations: Deliver reliably with consistent quality Great people: Deep application expertise and innovation capability EXECUTION – VALUE OVER VOLUME Improving product and market mix Focusing on capital efficiency Investing selectively in core product areas with higher return
Global megatrends favor Kemira
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5REGULATION
Safe drinking water More stringent discharge limits
GROWING MIDDLE CLASS & URBANIZATION
E-commerce /
Higher use of water, energy, tissue and board
SCARCITY OF RESOURCES
Material and resource efficiency Alternative materials for single-use plastic products
REVENUE EUR million
2 137 2 373 2 363 2 486 2 593 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
OPERATIVE EBITDA OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
253 287 303 311 323 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12,5% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 6Delivering profitable growth
OCTOBER 2019PRE IFRS 16
1,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 137 171 195 198 192 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 7REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – strong business with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
◼ 55% EMEA ◼ 30% Americas ◼ 15% APAC ◼ 40% Bleaching & pulping ◼ 25% Sizing & strength ◼ 20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and
chemicals
◼ 10% Polymers ◼ 5% Other ◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 1% Market growth
Nouryon (pulp) #3 Solenis (paper)* #1 Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2 Ecolab (paper) #4
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
OCTOBER 2019* Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kurita (paper) #5 REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 8REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
◼ 40% Coagulants ◼ 40% Polymers ◼ 20% Other products such as defoamers and biocides
2-3% 5-6% 2-3%
◼ 50% EMEA ◼ 45% Americas ◼ 5% APAC ◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt London Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market growth Market growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
OCTOBER 2019REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share ~30% in coagulants and ~20% in polymers Main competitors in coagulants:
Market share ~25% in polymers used in shale
Main peers in polymers (also in water treatment):
MUNICIPAL (40%), customer examples INDUSTRIAL (60%), customer examples
Municipal Industrial
947 956 906 1,009 1,073 116 116 107 114 131 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments
Kemira’s mid- to long-term financial targets
OCTOBER 2019 9Targets 2017 2018 IFRS 16 impact 1-9 2019 Mid- to long-term target Revenue MEUR 2,486 Change +5% MEUR 2,593 Change +4%
Change +4% Above-the-market growth Operative EBITDA* 12.5% 12.5% Around +1 %-point 16.0% 15-17% Gearing* 59% 62% Around +11 %-points 71% Below 75% Factors 1-9 2019 comments Organic growth through volume and sales price increases Group’s organic growth +1% Oil & Gas becoming larger share of Group (incl. shale, CEOR and oil sands) Revenue from EUR 126m in 2016 to around 300m run-rate Sales price vs raw material price development Focus on value over volume visible in profitability; higher sales prices and better product mix Growth investments – Polymer capacity expansion in Netherlands, AKD sizing Joint Venture in China, Polymer capacity expansion in the US Backward integration and growth benefits 2020-21
FINANCIAL TARGETS AND HISTORICAL FIGURES KEY FACTORS TO WATCH FOR PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENT
* Targets updated in February 2019 due to IFRS 16 accounting change. 2017-2018 figures are PRE IFRS 16.
INVESTOR PRESENTATIONHealthy market growth for Kemira’s relevant markets
2018 2023 Americas EMEA APAC
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 10Source: Management estimation based on various sources
KEMIRA RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
PULP & PAPER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
INDUSTRY & WATER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
2018 2023 Pulp Printing & writing Board & tissue 2018 2023 Water treatment Oil & Gas Other
CAGR: 2-3% CAGR:
1-2%
CAGR:
3-4% 22 27 10 9 17 13
Kemira pays stable and competitive dividend
and competitive dividend
listing of shares in 1994
0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0.53
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 11◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
OCTOBER 2019Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
Our three sustainability priorities
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 12Sustainable products and solutions People and integrity Responsible
supply chain
Ensuring responsible operations to protect our assets, our environment, employees, contractors, customers and communities Ensuring compliance with responsible business practices in our supply chain Incorporating sustainability into
Proactive product stewardship throughout the products’ lifecycle Culture and commitment to people Ensuring compliance with Kemira Code of Conduct
KPI’S AND TARGETS
position, cumulative target 1500 by 2020 (2015=0)
KPI’S AND TARGETS
100 in 2012)
Supplier Sustainability Evaluation
through sustainability evaluation through assessments and audits (Baseline 60% in 2017) KPI’S AND TARGETS At least 50% of our revenue is generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency
Capacity additions and cost savings via investments
Ongoing investments with positive EBITDA contribution in 2020
is in the ramp-up phase
polymers close to start-up Capacity additions under construction
commercial operation in 2021
Asian market in 2021 Recently decided
coagulant capacity in Goole to anticipate expected local market growth
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 13PRODUCTS
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing* and strength
Revenue EUR 2,663 million (LTM)
*Sizing = Resistance against water absorption
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 14Key points in Q3 2019
financials
– operative EBITDA margin 17.1%
accelerated during the quarter
market demand in Pulp & Paper
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 15Financial highlights
Focus on value over volume
some expected lost volumes
by North American water treatment and Oil & Gas despite slowdown in shale market in Q3 Operative EBITDA +33% to margin of 17.1%
Operative EBIT +42% to over 10% margin for the first time since 2010
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 16EUR million (except ratios) Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Δ% FY 2018 Revenue 689.8 669.6 +3 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 118.1 89.0 +33 323.1
17.1% 13.3% 12.5% Operative EBIT 71.1 50.0 +42 173.8
10.3% 7.5% 6.7% Net profit 43.3 22.1 +96 95.2 EPS diluted, EUR 0.27 0.14 +94 0.58
Pulp & Paper – profitability improved clearly
Market environment
uncertainty about the near-term market demand Organic growth -3%
prices (mainly trading product) impacted organic growth – underlying growth flat Operative EBITDA margin 16.0%
EBIT leading to improved profitability
+10.3 million in 1-9/2019
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 17OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
372 369 363 373 369 376 385 390 381 373 383 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2017 2018 2019
0% +1% +2% +5% +5% +6% +7% +4%
46.0 47.8 48.5 55.4 42.7 45.4 52.3 51.2 50.7 53.7 61.3 12.4% 13.0% 13.4% 14.9% 11.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.3% 14.4% 16.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* 2017 2018 2019
+0%
Industry & Water – profitability continued at exceptionally high level
Market environment
Europe due to supply disruptions Organic growth +6%
sands water treatment business Operative EBITDA margin 18.5% in Q3
+14.9 million in 1-9/2019
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 1822.9 29.3 36.0 25.3 26.6 34.8 36.7 33.3 45.0 52.4 56.8 9.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.6% 10.9% 12.8% 12.9% 12.3% 16.8% 18.1% 18.5% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* 2017 2018 2019
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million
238 248 259 264 245 272 284 271 267 290 307 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2017 2018 2019
+9% +15% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
+11% +11% +2% +6% +6% +5% +4%
Key profitability improvement actions in 2016-2019
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 19Operative EBITDA 1-9/2019: 16.0% (IFRS 16 included) Operative EBITDA 2015: 12.1%
2017 2018 2019 2016
Start-up of Ortigueira sodium chlorate site (BR) Botlek modernization (NL) BOOST operational excellence program launch Bradford polymer expansion (UK) San Giorgio polymer expansion (IT) Closures of Ottawa (CA) and Zaramillo (ES), coagulants Transportation agreement with Odyssey Odyssey go-live in North America Two segment structure operational Start-up of Joutseno chlorate expansion (FI) Chevron CEOR deal & Botlek expansion AKD wax manufacturing JV deal closed (CN) Closing of ECOX detergent production (SWE) Polymer investment decision (US) Major oil sands tailings water treatment deal (CA) JV deal – Dry polymers (SK) Divestment of coagulant asset (IT) Divestment of Kemira Operon (water treatment facility
Odyssey go-live in Europe ‘Value over volume’ initiated Start-up of new AKD wax site (CN) Cost savings in Pulp & Paper Move from ‘Value
price management’ Acquisition Organic growth / expansion of site Operational efficiencies Closure of site / divestment
Key operative focus areas
1. Active price management 2. Continue to improve customer satisfaction scores (NPS) 3. Modify product & service offering to cater better profitable growth 4. Improve operational excellence 5. Ramp-up new AKD sizing manufacturing site in China 6. Finalize CEOR* polymer capacity addition in the Netherlands 7. Construction of emulsion polymer capacity in the US 8. Prudent cost-control in all areas
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 20*CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
Successful pricing drives improvement
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2189.0
Q3 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Variable costs Fixed costs Currency impact Other Q3 2019 Adoption of IFRS 16 standard "Pre IFRS 16 comparison"
+18.8 +13.0
+6.3 +0.8
OPERATIVE EBITDA BRIDGE EUR million
670
+2% 0% 690
Q3 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency impact Acquisitions & Divestments Q3 2019
+3%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
Operative EBITDA margin 17.1%
do not include operating lease expenses in 2019, corresponding to a positive EBITDA impact of EUR +9.1 million in Q3 and EUR +25.1 million in 1-9/2019
109.0
118.1
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND (ROLLING 12-MONTH CHANGE Y-O-Y) SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (CHANGE Y-O-Y)
9 5
11 4 8 24 28 32
3 11 23 47 42 37 34 23 19
16 13 13 26 36 38 29 11
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 22Net impact of sales price & variable costs exceptionally positive
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
EUR million EUR million
60 120 180 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
Strong cash flow
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 23ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION
271 205 210 122 244 2016 2017 2018 1-9 2018 1-9 2019 118 124 106 64 58 95 66 44 33 62 2016 2017 2018 1-9 2018 1-9 2019
213
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS
◼ Growth capex 190 150
capital of EUR 15 million to Group in Q1
changes in net working capital
expenditures were related to polymer expansion in the Netherlands and new AKD manufacturing site in China
EUR 180-220 million in 2019
97 120
ROCE improving clearly, adoption of IFRS 16 increased reported net debt
9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 9.8% 11.5% 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2018 LTM Q3 2019 LTM 634 694 741 744 866 Dec 31 2016 Dec 31 2017 Dec 31 2018 Sep 30 2018 Sep 30 2019
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 24NET DEBT (EUR million) AND LEVERAGE RATIO* OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.3 2.2 2.1
Group’s ROCE once up and running
adoption of IFRS 16 as operating leases (EUR 136 million) are part of debt
– Excluding IFRS 16 impact, net debt would have been EUR 730 million and leverage ratio 1.9
and duration is 27 months
2.1 2.3
* Leverage ratio = Net debt / last 12 months operative EBITDA
Outlook for 2019
“Kemira expects its operative EBITDA (2018: EUR 323.1 million) to increase from the prior year on a comparable basis, excluding the impact of IFRS 16 accounting change.”
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 25EUR million 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Operative EBITDA 253 287 303 311 323 Increase
Operative EBITDA figures for 2014-2018 are ”pre IFRS-16”.
Majority of contracts with fixed annual pricing
Pulp & Paper – Contract types and pricing terms on high level
longer / only 5% are spot deals
pricing Industry & Water – Contract types and pricing terms
/ 40% spot deals
pricing, incl. Oil & Gas where contracts are either formula or spot based
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 26VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2018 EUR 1.6 billion TOP 10 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND 1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)* 2. Acrylonitrile (OD) 3. Aluminium hydrate 4. Colloidal silica dispersion* 5. Amines (OD) 6. Petroleum solvents (OD) 7. Acrylic acid (OD) 8. Alpha olefin (OD) 9. Acrylic ester (OD)
Top 10 account for 50%
OD = Oil & gas derivative * Mainly trading materials
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 27EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
◼ 30%
Oil & gas related
◼ 70%
Not oil related
◼ 70%
Raw materials
◼ 15%
Electricity & energy
◼ 15%
Logistics
OCTOBER 2019Mid- to long-term financial targets were updated due to IFRS 16 in February 2019
Targets until end of 2018
Revenue Operative EBITDA-%
14-16%
IFRS 16 impact
Around +1%-point
Below 60%
2017
EUR 2.5 billion
2018
EUR 2.6 billion 12.5% 12.5% 59% 62%
Above-the-market growth
Financial targets
(mid- to long-term) Above-the-market growth 15-17% Below 75%
accounting for Kemira Group’s
replaced by the depreciation of the right-of-use assets and interest cost associated with lease liability
and on net profit immaterial
figures, instead we will provide enough data for analysis
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 29IFRS 16 impact on financials
EUR million (except ratio) FY 2018 Impact on 1-9/2019 Estimated impact
Operative EBITDA 323.1 +25.1 Around +30
12.5% +1.3 %-point Around +1 %-point Impact on balance sheet EUR million (except ratio) Dec 31, 2018 Impact on Sept 30, 2019 Net debt 741 +136 Gearing 62% +11%-points
PLEASE NOTE FINANCIAL IMPACT OF IFRS 16 ADOPTION FROM THE PREVIOUS SLIDE
Key figures
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 30EUR million Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 2018 2017 Revenue 689.8 663.6 647.8 661.8 669.6 2,592.8 2,486.0 Operative EBITDA 118.1 106.1 95.6 84.5 89.0 323.1 311.3 margin 17.1% 16.0% 14.8% 12.8% 13.3% 12.5% 12.5% Operative EBIT 71.1 60.3 50.1 44.8 50.0 173.8 170.3 margin 10.3% 9.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% Net profit 43.3 35.2 29.3 26.5 22.1 95.2 85.2 Earnings per share, diluted, EUR 0.27 0.22 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.58 0.52 Cash flow from operations 121.3 57.2 65.2 88.2 64.2 210.2 205.1 Capex excl. acquisitions 51.5 39.9 28.3 53.2 34.3 150.4 190.1 Net debt 866 921 842 741 744 741 694 NWC ratio (rolling 12 m) 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 9.8% 10.2% 9.4% Operative ROCE (rolling 12 m) 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% Personnel at period-end 5,036 5,067 4,973 4,915 4,798 4,915 4,732
Cash flow
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 31EUR million Q3 2019 Q3 2018 2018 2017 Net profit for the period 43 22 95 85 Total adjustments 73 66 220 204 Change in net working capital 15
Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
Net cash generated from operating activities 121 64 210 205 Purchases of subsidiaries and business acquisitions, net
Capital expenditure
Proceeds from sale of assets 4 1 7 3 Change in long-term loan receivables 5
Cash flow after investing activities 73 29 29 13
Currencies
Currency exchange rates had around EUR +46 million impact on revenue and EUR +18 million impact on the operative EBITDA in 1-9/2019 compared to 1-9/2018. Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis.
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 32◼ 41% EUR ◼ 7% Others KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION 1-9 2019 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION 1-9 2019 ◼ 2% SEK ◼ 4% CNY ◼ 4% CAD ◼ 38% USD ◼ 6% Others ◼ 5% CNY ◼ 5% CAD ◼ 6% SEK ◼ 31% USD ◼ 42% EUR ◼ 2% BRL ◼ 2% GBP ◼ 3% GBP ◼ 2% PLN
KEY FINANCIALS
Pulp & Paper
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 33*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 2018 2017 Revenue 382.9 373.4 380.8 390.4 385.2 1,520.2 1,476.9 Operative EBITDA 61.3 53.7 50.7 51.2 52.3 191.7 197.7 margin 16.0% 14.4% 13.3% 13.1% 13.6% 12.6% 13.4% Operative EBIT 32.1 24.0 20.6 24.1 26.6 91.6 104.8 margin 8.4% 6.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 7.1% Operative ROCE*, % 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 7.8% 9.0% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 25.4 23.3 17.3 28.8 20.7 85.1 138.3 Cash flow after investing activities 44.6 36.2 25.1
20.6 29.9 15.7
KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 34*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 2018 2017 Revenue 306.9 290.2 267.0 271.5 284.4 1,072.6 1,009.1 Operative EBITDA 56.8 52.4 45.0 33.3 36.7 131.5 113.6 margin 18.5% 18.1% 16.8% 12.3% 12.9% 12.3% 11.3% Operative EBIT 39.0 36.3 29.5 20.8 23.4 82.2 65.5 margin 12.7% 12.5% 11.0% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 6.5% Operative ROCE*, % 18.4% 16.9% 15.4% 13.6% 12.5% 13.6% 11.0% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 26.0 16.5 11.0 24.4 13.6 65.3 51.7 Cash flow after investing activities 37.9 5.7 27.8 23.8 26.8 52.5 46.9
FY 2018
Revenue split by country
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 35USA 27% Canada 6% Brazil 3% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 1% Finland 16% Sweden 5% Germany 5% Poland 3% UK 3% Spain 2% Other APAC 4% South Korea 1% China 4% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2% Other EMEA 9% Norway 1%
Key figures and ratios – 5-year summary
EUR million (except ratios) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenue 2,136.7 2,373.1 2,363.3 2,486.0 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 252.9 287.3 302.5 311.3 323.1
11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% Operative EBIT 158.3 163.1 170.1 170.3 173.8
7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% Cash flow from operations 74.2 247.6 270.6 205.1 210.2 Capital expenditure, excluding acq. 140.6 181.7 212.6 190.1 150.4 Gearing at period-end 42 54 54 59 62 Inventories 197 207 217 224 284 Personnel at period-end 4,248 4,685 4,818 4,732 4,915
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 36Per share figures – 5-year summary
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Earnings per share, EUR 0.59 0.47 0.60 0.52 0.58 Cash flow from operating activities per share, EUR 0.49 1.63 1.78 1.35 1.38 Equity per share, EUR 7.57 7.76 7.68 7.61 7.80 Dividend per share, EUR 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 Share price, EUR, end of period 9.89 10.88 12.13 11.50 9.85 Market capitalization, EUR million (excl. treasury shares) 1,504 1,654 1,848 1,752 1,502 Number of shares, million (excl. treasury shares) 152.1 152.1 152.4 152.4 152.4 P/E ratio 16.7 23.3 20.1 22.3 17.0 P/CF ratio 20.2 6.7 6.8 8.5 7.1 P/B ratio 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 Dividend yield, % 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.6 5.4
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 37 OCTOBER 2019INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Pulp & Paper chemicals market estimated to grow 1-2%
– Hardwood and softwood pulp demand increasing driven by growth of packaging needs (e- commerce, non-plastic solutions), growing tissue demand and lack of recycled fiber – Demand increase continues for packaging, driven by online shopping, last-mile delivery, product safety and non-plastic solutions – Growth in tissue demand driven by increasing wealth in emerging countries – Ongoing digitalization of media drives decline of graphic paper demand
represent over 80% of our Pulp & Paper revenue
– Ongoing capacity additions suit well for the need
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
1,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 1 520 137 171 195 198 192 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth
REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE
Strong demand in pulp market creating growth opportunities
New pulp mill projects are driven by increasing demand for board and tissue
growing particularly fast in Asia
then shipped to board, paper, and tissue mills or used captively in an integrated mill
Multiple pulp mill projects realised and expected in Northern Europe creating
the market In addition, a few large scale pulp mill projects expected in South America
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 40Confirmed new capacity / debottlenecking 2016-2020 Possible new mills 2020-2022
Äänekoski Kuusankoski Kuopio Paltamo Kemi Östrand Värobacka Svetlogorsk Steti Viljandi/Tartto Vologda Bratsk -> Uts-Ilimsk -> Sveza
Bleaching investment – case Joutseno
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 41capacity in Q4 2017
– Excellent timing, pulp production grew simultaneously in Finland
annual production of over 2Mt
exported in dry format to APAC
EUR 50 MILLION INVESTMENT IN 2017
Acquisition via JV in China
raw material fatty acid chloride (FACL)
– AKD is sizing chemical used in board and paper to createresistance against liquid absorption – NewCo also plans to produce coagulants for water treatment
supply of key raw material for AKD wax
– Investment for 80% around EUR 55 million
– Good contribution to P&L after ramp-up
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 42AKD WAX SUPPLIED FROM YANZHOU, CHINA TO KEMIRA SITES GLOBALLY
We leverage acquisition synergies with our global production
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 43Telêmaco Borba Washougal
Helsingborg Joutseno Nanjing Hallam Gunsan Pasuruan Wellgrow Krems Tarragona Yanzhou NewCo
Acquisition in China is excellent strategic fit
Acquired asset fulfills our key criteria for acquisitions GROWTH – End-products in growing markets APAC – Enables profitable growth in APAC SUPPLY – Backward integr. & self-sufficiency (FACL) SUSTAINABILITY – FACL from renewable raw material LOCATION – Close to our existing production PROFITABILITY – Accretive after ramp-up
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 44END-PRODUCTS WHERE AKD WAX IS USED
Pulp & Paper
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 45TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER
Value chain part covered by Kemira RAW MATERIALS INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS CUSTOMER INDUSTRIES CUSTOMERS Electricity Sodium chloride (salt) Crude tall oil Cationic monomer Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Olefins Fatty acids Maleic anhydride Sulfur Tall oil rosin AKD Wax Isomerized olefins Acrylamide Sodium chlorate Hydrogen peroxide Polymers Defoamers Coagulants Biocides Sizing Strength Additives Surface additives Colorants Sulfuric acid Pulping Bleaching Retention Wet-end process control WQQM Sizing Strength Surface treatment Coloring Pulp Packaging and board Printing and writing Tissue All the major global paper and pulp producers MAIN COMPETITORS: Solenis, Nouryon, Ecolab, Kurita, SNF
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 46Industry & Water relevant chemicals market estimated to grow 3-4%
to increase due to
– Higher demand for water driven by industrial growth and population growth – More stringent discharge limits for waste water – Better dewatering of sludge – Phosphorus recovery – Water reuse
– Shale friction reducer market expected to grow due to higher energy demand and increasing number of wells fracked – Oil sands operators face regulatory requirements for their tailings treatment – Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery lucrative in certain fields due to better yield from existing reservoirs
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 47947 956 906 1,009 1,073 116 116 107 114 131 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% Market growth
REVENUE BY APPLICATION
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments
Kemira is a market leader in water treatment chemistry
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 48Serving most European cities Drinking water plants and wastewater plants
I&W EMEA customer locations. Dot size correlates with ship-to volumes. Not representative for Eastern Europe due to roll-out of Kemira ERP system.
1. The requirements of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD) must be implemented fully and equally in all member states. 2. Emission limit values (especially phosphorus) in water discharges should be tightened. 3. Digitalization can improve both the quality
treatment. 4. Emerging pollutants need to be included in the legislation. 5. Pollution from storm-water overflows must be limited and discharges safely disinfected. 6. Clearer guidance is needed on applying innovation and sustainability criteria in public procurement for water treatment.
Kemira’s six actions for cleaner waters
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 49Implementation of wastewater treatment directive varies in EU
implementation gaps of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive, even though the first collection and treatment requirements
entered into force in 2001
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5010 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom 2010 2012 2014
Degree of compliance in water discharges*
% of subjected load
* Degree of compliance with Article 5 of the Directive, which sets the requirements for water discharges to sensitive areas. Source: European Commission, 9th report on the implementation status concerning urban waste water treatment.
Oil & Gas growing fast
Growing market demand with our selective market diversification assuring growth Kemira’s offering
energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields
make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR)
treatment in oil sands
New innovative technologies driving expansion
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5150 100 150 200 250 300 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE IN OIL & GAS
EUR million
REVENUE SPLIT
◼ 10%
Other
◼ 60%
Shale fracking
◼ 30%
Oil sands and Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
Figures rounded to closest 5%
Oil price Organic growth >30%
CEOR-polymer deal with Chevron
Oil Recovery deal with Chevron
October 2017, progressing well
which EUR 500 million accessible to Kemira
production from existing fields
challenging water intensive environments and technologies that can enable CEOR
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 52Industry & Water
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 53TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER IN WATER TREATMENT AS WELL AS IN NICHE APPLICATIONS IN OIL & GAS
MAIN COMPETITORS Coagulants: mainly local small companies, Feralco, USALCO, Kronos, PVS, Polymers: SNF, Solvay, Ecolab, Solenis
Value chain part covered by Kemira
INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS SALES CHANNELS CUSTOMERS Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Sulfuric acid Hydrochloric acid Aluminium hydrate Iron ore Pickling liquor Copperas Various monomers Acrylamide Cationic monomer Polymers (EPAM, DPAM) Al Coagulants Fe Coagulants Dispersants & antiscalants Biocides Emulsifiers Defoamers Formulations Raw water & waste water treatment Sludge treatment Friction reduction Enhanced oil recovery Tailings treatment Mining processes Direct sales Distributor/reseller Service companies RAW MATERIALS Municipalities Private operators Industrial customers Pumpers Oil & Gas operators Service companies Mine operators
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SHAREHOLDERS ON SEPTEMBER 30, 2019
% OF SHARES
18.2%
14.0%
3.4%
2.6%
1.7% Total number of shares 155,342,557 Foreign ownership of shares 30.4% Total number of shareholders 32,755
KEMIRA BOARD OF DIRECTORS
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 55Kemira – largest shareholders and Board of Directors
JARI PAASIKIVI Chairman Member since 2012 Oras Invest Oy, CEO KERTTU TUOMAS Vice Chairman Member since 2010 WOLFGANG BÜCHELE Member in 2009-2012 and since 2014 KAISA HIETALA Member since 2016 TIMO LAPPALAINEN Member since 2014 SHIRLEY CUNNINGHAM Member since 2017
Kemira’s Management Board
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 56Jukka Hakkila, Chief Legal Officer, (with Kemira since 2005) acts as secretary of Management Board and Board of Directors.
JARI ROSENDAL President and CEO With Kemira since 2014 KIM POULSEN President Pulp & Paper With Kemira since 2015 ANTTI SALMINEN President Industry & Water With Kemira since 2011 PETRI CASTRÉN CFO With Kemira since 2013 MATTHEW PIXTON CTO With Kemira since 2016 ESA-MATTI PUPUTTI EVP, Operational Excellence With Kemira since 2015 EEVA SALONEN EVP, Human Resources With Kemira since 2008
Priority KPI+Target Performance Comments Progress Sustainable products and solutions
Product sustainability Share of revenue from products used for use-phase resource efficiency. At least 50% of Kemira’s revenue generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency. During Q3, four new R&D projects were initiated to improve customer resource efficiency. One additional project was re-
aimed at improving product quality or safety. In Q3, one project was commercialized to improve customer use-phase resource efficiency.
Responsible
chain
Workplace safety Achieve zero injuries on long term; TRIF* 2.0 by end of 2020. Preventive work has continued, and in July we achieved an incident-free month for the first time ever. We are now well below the 2019 target of 3.1. Incident severity remains low. Climate change Kemira Carbon Index ≤ 80 by end of 2020 (2012 = 100). This KPI is reported
Efforts to decrease the carbon footprint continue with a focus on sourcing a higher share of electricity from low- carbon sources. During Q3, Kemira continued E3 Energy Reviews at seven of our manufacturing plants. Work on developing a longer-term climate change target continued in Q3. Supplier Management % of direct key suppliers screened through sustainability assessments and audits (cumulative %). The target includes 5 sustainability audits for highest risk** suppliers every year, and cumulatively 25 by 2020. Sustainability screening of key suppliers continues as
sustainability assessments or audits during 2019. Two additional audits are planned for Q4 and several new assessments initiated.
Corporate responsibility performance Q3/2019
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 49% 51% Baseline average 2016-2017 2018 100 88 91 93 86 85 83 80 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Target 2020* TRIF = Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency per million hours, Kemira + contractor, year-to-date ** Suppliers with lowest sustainability assessment score
57Priority KPI+target Performance Comments Progress People and integrity
Employee engagement index based on Voices@Kemira biennial survey The index at or above the external industry norm. The participation rate target in Voices@Kemira is 75% or above. Engagement currently 2% above external industry norm. Company wide strategy communication and engagement is
Leadership development activities provided, average Two leadership development activities per person in manager position during 2016-2020, the cumulative target is 1,500 by 2020. Leadership activities continued in Q3, and the total number is now well above the 2020 target of 1,500. Integrity index KPI to measure compliance with the Kemira Code of Conduct. The target is to maintain the Integrity Index level above the external industry norm. Currently at 10% above external industry norm. Mandatory training on the Kemira Code of Conduct and general awareness-building on GDPR was continued for Kemira employees.
Corporate responsibility performance Q3/2019
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 58% 67% 71% 75% 85% 84% 2013 2015 2017 2018 Engagement Participation 494 1 036 1 533 1 500 2016 2017 2018 Target 2020 87% 84% 2018 Integrity Index ParticipationRead more about Corporate Responsibility in Kemira
58Important information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures)
growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration. Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information. All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments
OCTOBER 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 59