Heathrow Area Transport Forum (HATF) Autumn 2019 Wider Forum Event - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Heathrow Area Transport Forum (HATF)

Autumn 2019 Wider Forum Event

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Welcome, Introductions and Overview of HATF

Val Shawcross CBE, HATF Chair

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The role of the Independent Chair

• Leads the HATF Board and HATF Wider Forum group, ensuring it is effective in:
• Reaching, and articulating, a clear collective HATF position
• Delivering its strategic objectives
• Effectively performing and executing its responsibilities – including those outlined in the

Airports National Policy Statement.

• Ensures that the HATF provides robust challenge to Heathrow with regards to its

performance against defined surface access targets

• Monitors Heathrow’s performance in relation to the implementation of its Surface

Access Strategy and delivery of the associated surface access targets and delivery plans.

• Discusses, debates and influences strategic issues facing airport in relation to

Surface

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Who is currently on our Board

• Val Shawcross, HATF Chair.
• Anthony Smith, CEO, Transport Focus.
• Cllr Keith Glazier, TfSE Chair, Transport for the South East.
• David Lutton, Executive Director, London First.
• Graham Vidler, Chief Executive, Confederation of Passenger Transport.
• Kris Beuret, Non-Executive Director, Transport & Environment Group, Heathrow Community Engagement Board (HCEB).
• Mark Frost, Head of Transport & Environmental Strategy, London Borough of Hounslow Council.
• Richard Anderson, Chair, Airline Consultative Committee.
• Robert Windsor, Policy & Compliance Manager and Executive Director, British International Freight Association.
• Rupert Walker, Strategy and Planning Director (South), Network Rail.
• Wayne King, Unite.
• Tony Caccavone, Director of Surface Access, Heathrow
• Shamal Ratnayaka, Aviation Strategy Lead, Transport for London (TfL)
• Christian Wolmar, Trustee, London Cycling Campaign
• Kathy Slack, CEO, Enterprise M3

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HATF Work to Date

• Two board meetings and today’s full forum event
• The Board has explored together the realism of plans and proposals to

provide additional high capacity rail services to Heathrow -

• Southern Rail Access,
• Western Rail Access,
• Intensification and upgrade of Piccadilly line services,
• The impact of HS2 and the planned interchange at Old Oak Common

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HATF Work Programme

HATF Main Board Wider Forum Special Interest Group 2019 September 17th 2019 Public Transport (high capacity / rail) October 24th 2019 Modal shift (car) / air quality Local Transport overview (bus/coach) November 21st 2019 Budget and Funding Feedback from data modelling and capacity Assessment case and potential phasing October (2nd Oct) Wider forum launch event: Customer services Disability access Smart travel Modal shift October Data modelling and capacity 2020 January Monitoring February Construction Statement of Common Ground 31st March 2020 Wider forum event January Active Travel (special seminar event) February Freight

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Agenda

Item Owner 1 Welcome, introductions and overview of HATF: Purpose, Objectives, Role of HATF Board Val Shawcross CBE HATF Chair 2 Section One: The Challenges Passenger Information and Accessibility Modal shift and transport related air quality issues Kris Beuret and Anthony Smith Mark Frost and Shamal Ratnayaka 3 Interactive Q & A 4 Section Two: Delivering the Surface Access Masterplan by Heathrow Surface Access Strategy Team James Cornelius Christopher Casey Nicola Jones 5 Interactive Q & A Networking Lunch and opportunity to visit the Cycle hub 6 Section Three: Scrutiny workshops Passenger Information and Accessibility Modal shift and transport related Air Quality issues Kris Beuret and Anthony Smith Christian Wolmar Refreshment Break 7 Feedback from Scrutiny Workshops and Chair’s Closing Comments Val Shawcross CBE HATF Chair 8 Close

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Th The Ch Chall llenges: Passenger Information and Accessibility

Anthony Smith (Transport Focus) & Kris Beuret (HCEB)

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Accessibility

Airport Spread

• The size of the airport and the spread out location of the different terminals and entry points

Service Issues

• PRM service provider – staff recruitment, training, language skills
• Disruption

Equipment and Design

• e.g. wheelchair design, ITS capacity, wayfaring

Passenger Flows

• Logistics – imbalance of PRMs on departure and arrival
• PRM definition
• Wheelchair ‘trains’

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Th The Challenges: Modal Shift and Transport Related Air Quality Issues

Shamal Ratnayaka (TfL) & Mark Frost (HSPG Transport Group/LB Hounslow)

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The Demand Challenge

Expanded Heathrow Heathrow today 370,000 daily trips 235,000 daily trips

2026 2030 2035 2040 2050 NPS central case (opening) 132 mppa

• 135 mppa

136 mppa HAL DCO (opening) 115 mppa 130 mppa 135 mppa 142 mppa

75 mppa 132 mppa

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• Heathrow aspiration: No net increase in highway trips
• 150,000 extra daily trips by sustainable modes (+150%)
• In mode share terms – from 39% → 66%
• Caveat: extent to which staff car-sharing and backfilling taxis can reduce car trips?
• How to attract people to public transport?
• How to accommodate that additional demand?

Car & Taxi Public Transport

250 200 150 100 50

Daily surface access demand (000s)

The Demand Challenge

Current & Expansion

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The Mode Share Challenge

NPS targets Passenger public transport mode share

• 50% in 2030
• 55% in 2040

Staff car trips

• 25% reduction in 2030
• 50% reduction in 2040

TfL analysis found NPS targets may result in +40,000 vehicles HAL aspiration: No increase in “airport-related” road trips Air quality obligations – compliance

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• To secure no increase in highway traffic would require that Heathrow also introduce a road access charge
• Analysis by Airports Commission, TfL found this would need to be £40-50

It will be essential to demonstrate:

• Necessary package of infrastructure is in place to encourage and accommodate sustainable mode shift
• Appropriate use of demand levers (emissions zone, road user charging, parking management including cost) to drive mode shift

Scenario Highway person trips Passenger/Staff PT mode share

2015 Base

143,700 39%

2031 No expansion

151,900 45%

2031 Expansion + infrastructure interventions

200,000 - 220,000 46% - 50%

2031 No extra traffic (132 mppa; allows for freight growth)

125,200 66%

How To Secure Mode Shift – Carrot and Stick

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How To Secure Mode Shift – From All Directions

• New rail links would seem to be essential to achieve mode shift from south + west?

HEATHROW

18 tph Kensington & Chelsea 52% Hammersmith & Fulham 59% Ealing 38% Reading 33% Slough 4% Windsor & Maidenhead 7% Richmond 21% Kingston 24% Guildford 7% Woking 25%

Overall passenger public transport share: 39% [Current]

based on CAA/HAL data

(22+ tph in future)

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Various Questions On Assumptions…

HAL believes its modelling supports the view that its mode share targets can be met; though some substantial work has been done, there remain fundamental questions around some of the assumptions used, for example:

• % transfer passengers, % future workforce etc. ?
• Effect of HULEZ (particularly as colleagues are exempt?)/real world impact of vehicle access charge on behaviour

for people with a high value of time?

• Equity of the VAC in respect to access to public transport?
• Hypothecation of income from VAC etc., managing the VAC to deliver NPS targets (time lags etc.). Confusion on

approval process?

• Mitigation of parking on neighbouring roads by those seeking to avoid charges?
• Lack of sensitivities and a feared tendency to best case?
• What bus/coach service improvements are modelled? What if these don’t materialise?
• Environmentally managed growth – independence? Teeth?

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If Mode Shift Not Achieved...

2031 AM peak hour · Do-Expansion (‘TfL package’) minus Do-Minimum % increase in journey time for non-airport trips

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Compliance with Air Quality Obligations

• Air quality impacts primarily depend on surface transport
• Air Quality Directive - compliance with law must be...
• achieved in shortest possible time,
• by route likely to succeed, and
• by means that reduce exposure
• best possible AQ must be maintained, consistent with sustainable development
• Government was unable to show exceedence could be avoided
• HAL PEIR results show at least one new exceedence plus widespread and long term

increases in air pollution throughout the area

• Compliance assumed in areas outside the core area but unclear if it has any evidence for

this

• Based on surface access modelling which cannot be relied upon

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Air Quality Policy Context

• Mayor’s measures to improve air quality for benefit of Londoners
• Including ULEZ (2019), ULEZ extension (2020 & 2021), low emission bus zones, new

bus fleet (zero emission by 2037)

• Expansion cannot rely on or consume headroom created by these AQ

improvements to stay within legal limits

Legal limit

40μg/m3

Current Future (no expansion) Headroom resulting from Mayoral measures... ...cannot be consumed by Heathrow expansion [indicative]

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‘Environmentally Managed Growth’ framework for AQ

• Means by which HAL proposes to limit impact on AQ
• Borrows concept of ‘envelope’ of allowable harm from noise
• Does not create new exceedence
• Does not delay London as a whole in achieving compliance
• But could add substantially to pollution load in atmosphere, with corresponding health

impacts

• Allows steady release of additional capacity
• Potentially misapplies Air Quality Directive requirements
• Allows erosion of benefits of AQ measures
• Ought to be working towards achieving and maintaining best possible air quality (in

shortest time), by a route likely to succeed

• Proposed that this would replace traditional caps on MPPA and ATMs
• Should this be either/or?

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The Challenges: 1) ) Passenger Information and Accessibility 2)Modal Shift and Transport Related Air Quality Issues

Interactive Q&A

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HATF Wider Forum Surface Access Proposals and the Masterplan

James Cornelius Chris Casey Nic Jones

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Our Vision is to transform

how colleagues and passengers get to, from and around the airport. We want sustainable travel to be the default choice, be it by public transport, car sharing, cycling or walking.

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Surface access today Colleagues

72,000

Colleagues

47,700

car trips per day

62% 4% 27% 1%

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5 M

13 M

10 M

1 M

6 M

17 M

How Heathrow passengers arrive today*

60% 40% 18% 12% 9% 25% 3% 33%

80 million

passengers a year Estimated

52 million

Arriving/leaving by Surface Access

Surface access today Passengers

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Where do we need to get to? ANPS Targets

2027 2030 2040

50% Passenger Mode Share by Public Transport 55% Passenger Mode Share by Public Transport Passenger Mode Share by Public Transport Target Colleague Car Trip Reduction Target 25% Less than 2013 Levels 50% Less than 2013 Levels Ensure UK Compliance with Air Quality Limits Compliance Compliance Compliance Mitigate Transport Impacts Acceptable Mitigation in Place Acceptable Mitigation in Place Acceptable Mitigation in Place No More Heathrow Related Traffic Commitment No More Heathrow Related Traffic than Baseline (2019) No More Heathrow Related Traffic than Baseline (2019) No More Heathrow Related Traffic than Baseline (2019)

NPS Pass Fail NPS Pass Fail NPS Pledge NPS

Good Progress Good Progress

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Restraint measures

e.g. parking management, pricing

Policies and incentives

e.g. discounted fares, HR policies

Infrastructure and new services

e.g. new rail links, coach services

To achieve the targets, the strategy is built up in layers

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Beyond models – how we know these interventions can ‘work’ We have seen a dramatic increase in passengers using public transport and Uber

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New A3044 with cycle lanes and bus priority M25 widened and realigned Vehicle Access Charge Operational New Taxi Backfilling Model in Operation

Piccadilly Line Enhancements (TfL delivery)

Operational Improvements Virtual Consolidation

Key Surface Access Moves

Parking Changes

P

Freight Improvements Virtual Call Forward Facility

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2027) - Roads

Realigned A4 with cycle lanes and bus priority Landside Terminal Zone access from Southern Perimeter Road New or Enhanced Infrastructure Freight Vehicle Call Forward Facility T4 Multi Storey Long Stay Existing A3044 – road closure Existing A4 – road closure Hatch Lane – road closure

Carg

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Bus priority on A4 / A3044 Elizabeth Line Operational Western / Southern Rail route safeguarded Expanded bus and coach facilities at Central Bus Station and landside terminal zones Operational Improvements New or Enhanced Infrastructure

Key Surface Access Moves

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2027) – Public Transport

New bus and coach services

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Re-introduced cycle provision to the Northern Access Tunnel Improved cycling facilities

• n the Eastern Perimeter

Road Implemented a needs based parking management system Launched Heathrow Travel Wallet with all incentives and rewards Delivered improved Car Share platform linked to rewards

Piccadilly Line Enhancements (TfL delivery)

Operational Improvements New or Enhanced Infrastructure Colleague parking reduced from c25,000 to c19,000 spaces

Key Surface Access Moves

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2027) - Colleague

Strengthened active travel route between T4 and Feltham Strengthened cycling route between Hounslow and north of airport Provided a crossing for cycling and walking of the A30 at T4 to enable link to Feltham and SPR Trialled DRT for colleagues and implemented where appropriate Promoted and marketed a cycling culture, including improved secure cycle parking and a Cycle Friendly Employer scheme for workplaces Parking Changes P Targeted HR approaches to encourage non car travel

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Stanwell Moor Junction Reconfiguration – grade separated junction Southern Parkway Stage 1 (EV compatible) Southern Perimeter Road realignment with increased capacity Southern Access Tunnel operational Optimising measures (including public transport services and Access Charging) to achieve targets

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2027-30) - Roads

Operational Improvements New or Enhanced Infrastructure Parking Changes

P

Northern Perimeter road closure

Carg

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Old Oak Common station (subject to Oakervee review) Western Rail Link operational (if not, a network

• f express coach

routes) Bus priority at Stanwell Moor Junction Southern access tunnel operational Operational Improvements New or Enhanced Infrastructure

Key Surface Access Moves

New bus and coach services

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2027-30) – Public Transport

Piccadilly Line improvements (subject to TfL delivery) Heathrow Express fares

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Public Transport corridor improvements targeted at colleagues Cycle provision on Stanwell Moor Junction Cycle lanes on Southern Perimeter Road Cycle access to Eastern Campus via Southern Access Tunnel Colleague parking to reduce from c19,000 to c17,000 spaces Travel Wallet enhancements - harnessed new technology capabilities as they evolve

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2027-30) - Colleague

Operational Improvements New or Enhanced Infrastructure Parking Changes P Implement cycle infrastructure improvements to address key barriers to cycling on hub & spoke routes Continue to incentivise and reward sustainable travel

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Completion of Southern Parkway to full capacity (Full EV Compatibility) Consolidation and removal of car parks

• n northern

perimeter road First phases of Northern Parkway (Full EV compatibility)

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2030 – 40) - Roads

New or Enhanced Infrastructure Parking Changes P No major changes from a surface access perspective

Carg

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No major changes from a surface access perspective Southern Rail Link operational (if not, a network

• f express coach

routes) Operational Improvements New or Enhanced Infrastructure

Key Surface Access Moves

New bus and coach services

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2030 – 40) - Public Transport

Intelligent Mobility

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Colleague car parking reduced to c12,000

2027 2030 2040

Key Surface Access Moves (2030 – 40) - Colleagues

Operational Improvements

Public Transport corridor improvements targeted at colleagues Southern Rail operational – if not, network of express coach routes to Staines and Woking.

New or Enhanced Infrastructure Parking Changes

P

Plans under development

No major changes from a surface access perspective Travel Wallet enhancements - harnessed new technology capabilities as they evolve

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Transport networks, monitoring, mitigation & enforcement

• The AEC documentation sets out how we propose to monitor the surface access NPS and no more traffic targets
• It also articulates that we recognise that the complexity and longevity of the implementation of expansion requires us to think

through how an ‘enhanced’ approach to the Transport Assessment may be required. ‘’Heathrow is considering whether the traditional TA approach should be supplemented with enhanced measures including:

• 1. A mechanism to ensure that the impacts of the project on the wider transport network are accurately

identified.

• 2. A procedure for developing the most effective mitigation in response to those impacts.
• 3. A mechanism to secure the funding and delivery of the necessary mitigation, particularly where this is on

parts of the network which are controlled by third parties. Heathrow will develop these proposals in conjunction with the relevant authorities and stakeholders prior to submission of the application for development consent’’

• We have been giving careful consideration around potential options for an enhanced TA approach and are currently in the

process of preparing a technical note through which we can share our thinking.

• We plan to issue this note to relevant stakeholders in the next week or two and then kick off a series of meetings to gather

views and work together to equitable solution

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Surface Access Proposals and the Masterplan Interactive Q&A

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Page40

Networking Lunch & opportunity to visit the Cycle Hub

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Sc Scru rutin iny Work rkshops

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Sc Scru rutin iny Work rkshop 1: : Passenger Information and Accessibility

Facilitated by Anthony Smith (Transport Focus) and Kris Beuret (HCEB) Mark Frost (HSPG/ LB Hounslow), Shamal Ratnayaka (TfL) and Christian Wolmar (London Cycling Campaign)

Sc Scru rutin iny Work rkshop 2: : Modal Shift and Transport Related Air Quality Issues

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Feedback from Scrutiny Workshops and Chair’s Closing Comments

Val Shawcross CBE, HATF Chair