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Half Year Results for the six months ended 30 November 2017 16 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Half Year Results for the six months ended 30 November 2017 16 January 2018 Chairman Chris Stone CEO Adam Palser CFO Brian Tenner Agenda Overview and strategy update Financial highlights Financial performance First impressions


  1. Half Year Results for the six months ended 30 November 2017 16 January 2018 Chairman – Chris Stone CEO – Adam Palser CFO – Brian Tenner

  2. Agenda Overview and strategy update Financial highlights Financial performance First impressions Current trading and outlook Q&A Appendices NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 2

  3. Overview Good progress against all of our Strategic Objectives Adam Palser appointed as new CEO 1 December 2017 1. Grow revenue at a managed pace • Medium term goal of above market growth rates while controlling costs • Year on year organic growth in retained Assurance (14.3%) and Escrow (1.6%) 2. Implement the new Target Operating Model (‘TOM’) • TOM designed to deliver sales growth by leveraging technical capabilities • Medium term goal to drive up GM% and build foundations for sustainable growth • Year on year, first half GM% grew 2.6% to 39.4% 3. Improve processes and systems to enhance service and reduce G&A costs • Many improvement projects underway in delivery and back office functions • Potential for major benefits for customer service, efficiency and working capital • Expect future G&A increases to be muted to increase operational leverage NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 3

  4. Overview (continued) Good progress against all of our Strategic Objectives 4. Lead technical thinking and product development in our market sector • Launch of CENTA service (Centre for Evolved Next Generation Threat Assurance) - unique high value offering in regulated financial services and governments • Continued release of leading edge research on cloud and container technologies 5. Develop our people to allow them to reach their full potential • Strategic Review feedback told us our staff feel valued and enjoy working at NCC • Values and leadership training being developed • Staff retention rates at a Group level are unchanged year on year Creating a firm recovery in performance since H2 PY low point Interim dividend maintained at the same level as last year NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 4

  5. Financial performance Six months ending 30 November 2017 CFO – Brian Tenner

  6. Highlights H1 - 2018 Assurance Growth Escrow Growth +8.3% +1.6% Assurance GM% Escrow GM% +2.7% +4.9% Group EBIT Margin Cash Conversion +13.5% (2.8%)

  7. Summary Income Statement Prior periods re-stated for H1 H1 H2 • Firm recovery from low point in H2 PY discontinued operations* 2018 2017 2017 £m £m £m • Continuing revenue grew £7.9m (7.2%): Revenue 118.2 110.3 107.5 Retained organic Assurance grew 14.3% o Escrow grew 1.6% (2.1% before FX) o Gross profit 46.6 40.6 38.1 Gross Margin % 39.4% 36.8% 35.4% • GM% improved 2.6%: Assurance (2.7%) o Overheads (G&A) (26.6) (20.8) (24.7) Escrow (4.9%) o Group reflects Assurance growth rate D&A (5.9) (3.6) (4.2) o Adjusted EBIT 14.1 16.2 9.2 • G&A increased £5.8m Adjusted EBIT Margin % 11.9% 14.7% 8.6% Increases largely committed in PY o Grew £3.9m H2 PY, £1.9m H1 CY o Adjusting items (7.5) (8.8) (63.8) Stabilising at current run rate in H2 o Reported EBIT 6.6 7.4 (54.6) • D&A increases driven by PY property and Adjusted EPS (p) 3.5p 4.3p 2.1p project spend and more live systems *Discontinuing operations set out in the Appendices NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 7

  8. Revenue bridge Assurance growth £m 130 UK 11% 1.3 18% US 125 NL 23% 7.6 120 9.8 DK 17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 115 4.2 0.4 118.2 110 0.2 110.3 105 H1 2017 FX Escrow PSC & VSR Assurance Fox HA MSS - Products H1 2018 • Escrow growth in UK partly offset by weaker USA • Fox High Assurance delivered recovery in sales of 30% (from a low base) • Planned fall in MSS products following strategic decision to reduce re-selling activity NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 8

  9. GM% bridge % 40% 39% 0.8% 0.4% 38% 1.4% 37% 39.4% 36% 36.8% 35% 34% H1 2017 Organic PSC & VSR MSS - Products H1 2018 • GM% growth driven by three different factors: Organic improvements in Escrow (4.9% pts) and Assurance (2.7% pts) – Group o GM% growth partially diluted by Assurance growing much faster than Escrow Attractive US acquisitions in PY that enhance the GM% mix o Reduction in re-sale of lower margin third party products o • GM% gain +4.0% pts compared to 35.4% in H2 PY NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 9

  10. Assurance performance 120 • Sales grew £7.6m (8.3%): Reported H1 revenue (£m) 100 o Retained organic growth £11.1m (14.3%) o Acquisitions added a further £4.2m 80 o Expansion of higher value added service lines such as Risk Management & Governance 60 o Increasing share of revenue being sold and 99.2 91.6 40 delivered between units o MSS 3 rd party product sales now at a level 59.6 20 where no further material falls expected 0 16 17 18 • GM% gains reflect: Assurance H1- H1- H2 - 2018 2017 2017 o Utilisation recovery commencing March 2017 (continuing operations) £m £m £m with close management of delivery resources o High activity levels support improving mix Revenue 99.2 91.6 89.0 o Value-added services from deep specialisms such as automotive and hardware (IOT) Gross profit 32.0 27.2 25.0 o Reduction in re-sale of MSS third party products GM% 32.3% 29.6% 28.1% NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 10

  11. Escrow performance 25 • Growth of £0.3m (1.6%), made up of: Reported revenue (£m) o UK growth £0.7m; offset by 20 o US reduction £0.4m (£0.1m FX) – team changes aimed at returning to growth H2 15 o Europe broadly flat 10 19.0 18.7 16.5 • Renewal rates firm at 89% (2017: 89%) – 5 new customer service team in place 0 16 17 18 Escrow H1- H1- H2 - • Improved UK verification delivery process 2018 2017 2017 helped reduce backlog £m £m £m Revenue 19.0 18.7 18.5 • GM% benefitted from: Gross profit 14.6 13.4 13.3 o H2 PY headcount cut o Operational leverage from higher verification GM% 76.7% 71.8% 72.0% volume on flat delivery resource NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 11

  12. General admin cost increases £m 28.0 0.2 0.6 26.0 1.4 24.0 1.7 0.6 22.0 1.3 26.6 20.0 20.8 18.0 16.0 H1 2017 FX Acq'ns Salaries Property Prof Fees Other H1 2018 • Adverse £1.3m transactional FX year-on-year (in G&A) • Salaries relates to PY headcount growth and additional bonus provisions £0.5m • Property costs increased due to new and / or expanded office accommodation • Professional fees incurred to support various improvement initiatives • Overheads to stabilise in H2 at current run rate (adds £0.6m in H2 for Manchester HQ) NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 12

  13. Adjusted EBIT bridge £m 24 G&A to stabilise in H2 - opportunity for 22 operational leverage 1.2 20 4.0 4.2 18 2.3 16 1.4 1.3 1.5 0.1 16.2 14 14.1 12 H1 2017 FX Acq'ns Growth GM% G&A D&A MSS Other H1 2018 Products • Recent acquisitions in US continue to make good contributions to EBIT • Estimated impact of growth and GM% gains (excludes acquisitions and MSS products) • D&A reflects more assets in service and also £0.7m written off capitalised projects • MSS third party product sales had an estimated 20% average net margin NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 13

  14. Individually significant items • Deferred consideration charges (in both Charges / (credits) H1 H1 years) primarily Fox-IT (FX) 2018 2017 (£m) (£m) • Expected €12.5m deferred payment for Fox-IT: 90% withheld pending dispute outcome on certain warranty matters, Changes in deferred / 10% paid in full to employee trust (0.6) (2.6) contingent consideration • Restructuring costs include: o Completing Strategic Review and Restructuring costs (1.1) - implementing the change programme o Management re-organisation costs resulting Market related / acquisition (0.2) (0.6) from the Strategic Review costs o Expect lower costs in H2 • Market related costs cover shareholder Property relocation costs (0.7) - circular for invalid dividends Total (2.6) (3.2) • Property includes pre-occupancy double running Manchester HQ, largely complete All of the charges above were either cash items in the period or will become so if they have to be paid (deferred consideration) NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 14

  15. Tax and dividends 40.0% • Effective adjusted tax rate 27.6% based on Effective adjusted tax rate (%) full year forecast (PY’s are full years also) 30.0% 29.1% 27.6% • Reflects blend of UK / US / NL rates 20.0% 22.0% 21.7% • Reviewing current inefficient structures 10.0% • US changes will cut Group ETR by c.3-4% 0.0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 pence Cover • Interim dividend maintained at same level Dividend Cover (times) 12.0 3.0x as prior year at 1.5 pence 10.0 2.5x • Chart uses consensus Adjusted EPS 8.0 2.0x 6.0 1.5x • If dividend flat on PY cover rises to just 4.0 1.0x over 1.5x - adequate given Group’s 2.0 0.5x liquidity and improving cash flow outlook 0.0 0.0x 2015 2016 2017 2018 • Policy remains under review during DPS pence FDA EPS pence Cover recovery phase FDA = Fully Diluted Adjusted NCC Group plc Six months ended 30 November 2017 15

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