H2 F2009 H2 F2009 GENERATING GENERATING GENERATING GENERATING FREE CASH FLOW FREE CASH FLOW FREE CASH FLOW FREE CASH FLOW
Q2 F2009 RESULTS
Johannesburg Johannesburg 29 January 2009
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H2 F2009 H2 F2009 GENERATING GENERATING GENERATING GENERATING FREE CASH FLOW FREE CASH FLOW FREE CASH FLOW FREE CASH FLOW Q2 F2009 RESULTS Johannesburg Johannesburg 29 January 2009 1 Forward Looking Statements INTRODUCTION
Q2 F2009 RESULTS
Johannesburg Johannesburg 29 January 2009
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Certain statements in this document constitute “forward looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934 1933 and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from the future results, performance or achievements expressed
and other important factors include among others: economic business and other important factors include among others: economic, business and political conditions in South Africa; decreases in the market price of gold; hazards associated with underground and surface gold mining; labour disruptions; changes in government regulations, particularly environmental regulations; changes in exchange rates; currency devaluations; inflation and other macro-economic factors; and the impact
The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events
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circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the occurrence
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Notional Notional Cash Expenditure (NCE) Total cash costs + All C it l
All Capital
Operational Excellence Growing Gold Fields
Securing the Future Excellence
UNHEDGED
(Copper at US$6,000/ton and Gold at US$800/oz)
7
7
7
8
8
9
9
10
10
(US$ - down 21% to US$ 487/oz)
(US$ down 15% to US$774/oz) (US$ - down 15% to US$774/oz)
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11
12
13
000oz
ZAR/US$
US$/oz
R/kg
R/kg
Rm
Rm
R/ton
SA ug R/t
Rm
%
R/kg
US$/
US$/oz
R/kg
US$/oz
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1 Attributable 2 NCE = Operating cost + Capex
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Operating profit
Rm
2,566 1,574 (1 033) (902) Amortisation & depreciation
Rm
(1,033) (902) Net operating profit
Rm
1,533 672 Finance cost
Rm
(164) (112) Share of loss of associates
Rm
(47) (104) Share of loss of associates
Rm
(47) (104) Loss on financial instruments
Rm
(66) (56) Exploration
Rm
(136) (68) Other expenses
Rm
(100) (120) Profit before tax & exceptional items
Rm
1,020 212 Exceptional items
Rm
(5) 115 Mining & income tax
Rm
(496) (257) Net profit
Rm
519 70 Net profit
Rm
519 70 Net profit attributable to minority shareholders
Rm
36 31 Net profit attributable to ordinary
Rm
483 39 p y shareholders
SA cps
74 6 Normalised earnings
Rm
542 120
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Normalised earnings
SA cps
83 18
15
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
Rm
16
16
17
17
Refinancing Plan
4 820 6,000
Debt Maturity Profile (Rm) as at Dec 2008*
g
3,410
4,820
1,446
2 000 3,000 4,000 5,000
Free cash flow
500
640 1,000 2,000
F09 Q4 F10 Q2 F10 Q3 F11 Q4 F15 Q4
Maturity
18
y
* Converted at US$1 : R9.64
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All Amounts Rm
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Q1 Actual Q2 Actual Q3 Forecast Q4 Forecast
168 371
278 328
189 256 280 320
635 955 280 320
288 350 386 361
288 350 386 361
568 (US$73) 731 (US$76) 890 (US$89) 851 (US$85)
311 301 331 339
1,802 2,337 1,887 1,871
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19
200.00
Cyanide Ave Price Index
08 to December 08
180.00 y Diesel Ave Price Index STEEL INDEX
September 08 onwards.
i d i f
140 00 160.00 Ammonia Index (Explosives)
estimated savings of US$11m per quarter. (US$8m International and US$3m SA)
120.00 140.00
US$3m SA)
weaknesses to partially ff t b fit f k
100.00
US$ commodity prices.
80.00
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“WE INTEND STEERING THIS SHIP WITH AN INCREDIBLY STEADY HAND AND YOU WILL SEE, IN THE QUARTERS TO COME, AN IMPROVEMENT”
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7.00 8.00 9.00
Serious Injury Frequency Rate
0.50 0.60
Fatal Injury Frequency Rate
2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.00 1.00 F2004 F2005 F2006 F2007 F2008 YTD 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 Financial Year Quarter 0.00 0.10 F2004 F2005 F2006 F2007 F2008 YTD 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 Financial Year Quarter 14.00 16.00 18.00
Lost Day Injury Frequency Rate
Improved Safety
2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00
g
F2008
FIFR = 72%
0.00 2.00 F2004 F2005 F2006 F2007 F2008 YTD 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 Financial Year Quarter
Frequency Rate per million hours worked
FIFR
72%
SIFR = 29% LTIFR = 35%
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Frequency Rate per million hours worked
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold kg
15 304 15 571 17 900
Gold Production kg
15,304 15,571 17,900
koz
492.0 500.6 575.5
Total cash costs R/kg
153,581 148,944 130,000
US$/oz
617 472 400
R/kg
212 742 214,277 190,600
schedule
NCE R/kg
212,742 214,277 190,600
US$/oz
855 679 600
Capex Rm
788 907 1,000
US$m
102 91 100
production; Start-up well managed
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold kg
6 428 6 063 6 900
Gold Production kg
6,428 6,063 6,900
koz
206.7 194.9 221.8
Total cash costs R/kg
130,149 137,886 120,000
US$/oz
523 437 375
R/kg
169 306 186 459 167 000
resultant loss in production (5-days) C iti l d t dd d
NCE R/kg
169,306 186,459 167,000
US$/oz
680 591 520
Capex Rm
207 254 292
US$m
27 26 29
d ti t i b 14% t 6 900k
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold kg
4,871 4,717 6,100
Production
, , ,
koz
156.6 151.7 196.1
Total cash costs R/kg
153,747 156,689 120,000
US$/oz
618 496 375
resultant loss in production (4-days)
Sh ft h bilit ti l t d
NCE R/kg
210,142 216,981 170,000
US$/oz
844 687 530
Capex Rm
238 251 275
US$m
31 25 27
27
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold kg
849 1 471 1 600
Gold Production kg
849 1,471 1,600
koz
27.3 47.3 51.4
Total cash costs R/kg
339,694 179,130 172,000
US$/oz
1,365 567 535 579 270 362 135 356 000
replaced
NCE R/kg
579,270 362,135 356,000
US$/oz
2,328 1,147 1,110
Capex Rm
189 256 280
US$m
24 26 28
p
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold kg
3 156 3 320 3 300
Gold Production kg
3,156 3,320 3,300
koz
101.5 106.7 106.0
Total cash costs R/kg
150,982 144,759 147,000
US$/oz
607 459 460
in production delays (2-days)
NCE R/kg
206,622 195,723 199,000
US$/oz
830 620 620
Capex Rm
154 147 150
US$m
20 14 15
recovered grade is too low
$
20 14 15
g
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold Produced - managed
koz
366 405 467
Total cash costs
US$/oz
616 507 490
NCE
US$/oz
981 891 680
Capex
US$m
131 147 89
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j
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
t CIL l t i i d d D
Gold Production
koz
156 139 190
Total cash
accounted for in Q2
Total cash costs
US$/oz
548 563 485
NCE
US$/oz
1,029 1,078 680
k i h l h d
Capex
US$m
72 65 35
p p y g p g p
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold Production
koz
44 50 52
Total cash
90 622 610
d i ld d l t il bilit
Total cash costs
US$/oz
790 622 610
NCE
US$/oz
895 753 720
Capex
US$m
4 3 4
j ( ) p
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold Production
koz
101 109 113
Total cash
$
708 551 500
costs
Total cash costs
US$/oz
708 551 500
NCE
US$/oz
986 679 690
Capex
US$m
27 15 20
g p j p p p g p g ( )
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ARGO Reserve : ARGO Reserve : 1.37Mt@6.47g/t for 285Koz Resource : 4.42Mt @ 7.34g/t for 1.04Moz
50Koz 50Koz 750 Koz
Drill Holes 1.5Moz
250 Koz
Drill Holes 750Koz 1.5Moz 6.1m@6.1g/t 15m@14.3g/t 7.6m@7.4g/t 12m@21.9g/t 9m@10.3g/t 13m@7.6g/t
Ounces are inventory unless otherwise indicated
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Ounces are inventory unless otherwise indicated
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ATHENA ARGO ATHENA
250m
Ore Reserves (Dec08) 285Koz 285Koz
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance Guidance Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold Production
koz
52 45 50
Total cash
Total cash costs
US$/oz
494 371 355
NCE
US$/oz
588 552 540
q p y
production from underground to 50koz/q
Capex
US$m
6 8 9
y g p q g g p
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Actual Actual Q1 F09 Q1 F09 Actual Actual Q2 F09 Q2 F09 Guidance* Guidance* Q3 F09 Q3 F09
Gold
koz
6.8 26.1 34.6
Copper
tons
750 6,200 7,300
Production
Eq oz
12 61 62
levels at quarter end
Total cash costs
US$/oz
N/A 355 450
NCE
US$/oz
2,289 1,201 800
q
achieved end of quarter
Capex
US$m
22 56 20
* * Guidance at Copper US$3,200/t and Gold US$850/oz
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Formula: Equivalent Gold Ounces = Gold Ounces + ( Copper Tons x Copper Price $/t ) Gold Price $/oz Q2 F2009 Q3 F2009
Guidance prices & Actual at guidance Actual at actual prices Forecast at Q1 Guidance Forecast at Q3 Guidance production prices actual prices prices prices
Gold price $/oz 800 800 790 800 850 Copper price $/t 5 000 5 000 4 501 5 000 3 200 Copper price $/t 5,000 5,000 4,501 5,000 3,200 Gold produced
25,400 26,100 26,100 34,600 34,600 Copper produced tons 4,600 6,200 6,200 7,300 7,300 pp p , , , , , Equivalent gold
koz 54.2 64.9 61.5 80.2 62.0
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41
(working hypothesis)
Historic Tailings Underground
Resource
mt
402 205
Metal grade
g/t
55 95 Metal grade Au
g/t
0 34
Metal grade – Au
g/t
0.34
content
mlbs
58 41
3 8
Metal content – Au
moz
4.2
42
20 20
42
Outlook
320 koz oz p.a. by Q1 F2010
OLD MINE SV1 AREA
SV-1 Shaft
F2010
Accelerate South
Shaft refurbishment
Accelerate depletion
South Shaft Complex 87 L
Accelerate depletion
800 koz p.a by Q4 2014
CURRENT MINE PHASE 1
Twin Shaft Complex 95 L
p y
750 koz from
mechanised mining (Upper Elsburgs)
UNCLE HARRY’S
Wrench Fault
50 koz from low
profile mechanised mining (VCR)
PHASE 2
110 L
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All in US$m Names of Projects Q1 F2009 Q2 F2009 Greenfields (Expensed) 8.7 14.5 West & Central Africa Kisenge, Sankarani 2.5 2.7 South America Chile Generative, Peru Generative, GoldQuest JV 1.6 1.8 C S G Australasia
2.6 3.5 Eurasia Talas JV 0.8 3.6 Other 1.9 2.9 Brownfields 13.2 9.5 Capitalised St Ives Athena 7.3 4.2 Agnew Waroonga underground 3 4 2 7 Agnew Waroonga underground 3.4 2.7 Damang 0.7 0.6 Expensed St Ives 1 0 0 6 St Ives 1.0 0.6 Agnew 0.2 0.1 Damang 0.2 0.1
Total Expenditure 21 9 24 0
44
Total Expenditure 21.9 24.0
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Estimate Actual
Estimate Actual
TARGET
nces
‘000 oun
45
45
900 1000
Estimate Actual
600 700 800 900 300 400 500 600 US$/oz 100 200 300 Q1F08 Q2F08 Q3F08 Q4F08 Q1F09 Q2F09 Q3F09E Q4F09E
South Africa Ghana Australia Peru Group
F2008 F2009 Estimate at US$1: R10 00
46
Estimate at US$1: R10.00
46
Estimate Actual
300 350
US$ 'm
Estimate Actual
200 250 100 150 50
Q1F08 Q2F08 Q3F08 Q4F08 Q1F09 Q2F09 Q3F09E Q4F09E Q1F08 Q2F08 Q3F08 Q4F08 Q1F09 Q2F09 Q3F09E Q4F09E SA Ghana Australia Cerro Corona F2008 F2009 Estimate at US$1: R10 00
47
Estimate at US$1: R10.00
47
1000
Estimate Actual
600 700 800 900
NCE TARGET
200 300 400 500
US$/oz
100 200 Q1F08 Q2F08 Q3F08 Q4F08 Q1F09 Q2F09 Q3F09E Q4F09E
South Africa Ghana Australia Peru Group NCE
F2008 F2009 Estimate at US$1: R10 00
48
Estimate at US$1: R10.00
48
49
49
50
50
51
51
52
ANNE MCGEE ANNE MCGEE-
COOPER
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