H. H.E. Yury y P. Sen Sentyu yurin, PhD Secr Secretary Gen - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Doha, Qatar

H. H.E. Yury y P. Sen Sentyu yurin, PhD Secr Secretary Gen ener eral Gas Gas Exp xpor

• rtin

ing Cou

• untrie

ies For

• rum (GE

(GECF) 27 27 No Novemb mber 2019 2019

The 1st GECF International Seminar

Natural Gas: The Fuel of Choice for Sustainable Development

The Seminar was attended by Ministers

• f Energy of GECF Member Countries,

CEOs of International and National Oil Companies, Heads of International Organizations, Academics, gas industry analysts and the media.

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Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF)

Pr Proven Natural Gas Reserves GE GECF: F: 1,746 bcm Wo World: 3,944 bcm GE GECF: F: 456 bcm Wo World: 824 bcm GE GECF: F: 229 bcm Wo World: 431 bcm

Trinidad and Tobago Equatorial Guinea

MEMBERS OBSERVERS

Angola Oman Norway Kazakhstan Iraq Azerbaijan Peru Algeria Bolivia Egypt Iran Libya Nigeria Venezuela Russia Qatar United Arab Emirates

55% 53% 44% 71%

Source: GECF Secretariat based on data from the GECF GGM

GE GECF: F: 145 tc tcm Wo World: 203 tc tcm Ma Mark rketed Gas s Production Pi Pipeline Gas Exports LNG LNG Exports

What can GECF bring to its Members?

• A unique platform of cooperation dedicated to natural gas,

which includes major gas exporters. Cooperation is a core value

• f the Forum.
• Enables the exchange of best practices and expertise on

market development. GECF Secretariat develops its proper forecasts in an annual publication (i.e. the Global Gas Outlook) basing on shared understating of market developments, and sophisticated modeling capabilities.

• Support technology innovation and progress for better

performance of gas systems: GECF recently established a Gas Research Institute that aims to reinforce research activities on different technologies and improve their efficiency

• Enhance the voice of natural gas and promotes its role in the

context of energy transitions to less carbon intensive energy

• systems. GECF is an observer of the UNFCCC framework

contribution to the debate on climate change mitigation and adaptation.

• GECF has launched an environmental actions framework that

aims to create a supportive and collaborative framework allowing Member Countries to promote and strengthen the sustainable image of natural gas.

GECF Global Gas Outlook: updates and focus points of the 2019 Edition

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• New focus: Africa

ü Added energy balances of 20 country level forecasts ü In Eastern Africa: Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania ü In Western Africa: Benin, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Niger, Senegal, Togo ü In Southern Africa: Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Zimbabwe ü In Central Africa: Cameroon, R. Congo, Gabon Total of 133 countries full energy balances (was 113 in 2018).

• New sector focus: Natural gas in transport

ü IMO2020 review ü NGV Outlook

• New technology and environmental focus: Blue Hydrogen, Carbon-neutral LNG

cargos ü Blue Hydrogen Scenario ü Carbon off-set Compensation Scenario

• New time horizon: 2040 2050
• Improvements in design, printing quality

Natural gas is an essential element of the global energy mix: from 23% today to 27% in 2050

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23%

(3924 bcm)

32% 26% 5% 2% 2% 10%

2018

14,538 Mtoe

27%

(5966 bcm)

26% 18% 5% 3% 9% 12%

2050

18,645 Mtoe

+4,106 Mtoe (+28%)

Natural Gas Oil Coal Nuclear Hydro Renewables Bioenergy

Note: Bioenergy includes traditional and modern biomass

Th The power r generation, industri rial and transport rt sectors are the largest co cont ntributors to increment ntal gas demand

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Notes: 1) Gas demand in the heat generation sector is expected to remain flat; 2) Other uses include gas demand for hydrogen production and energy industry own use; 3) Domestic sector includes residential, commercial and agricultural segments

+73% +46% +205% +58% +11% +41% +38% 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2018 2050 50% 16% 16% 5% 4% 1% 8% 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 Contribution to the growth

• ver period 2018-2050

Global natural gas demand trends by sector (bcm)

Power Generation Industry Transport Feedstocks Domestic sector Heat Generation Refinery Other uses

More than 600 bcm, 10.4% of global gas production by 2050; the Africa’s viable and massive potential

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100 200 300 400 500 600 700

2018 2025 2030 2040 2050

Algeria Angola Egypt Equatorial Guinea Libya Mozambique Nigeria Other Africa

6%

16% 23%

6% 5%

17% 27%

10%

14% 21%

2%

5% 19% 29% Africa Asia Pacific Eurasia Europe Latin America Middle East North America 2050

Africa marketed gas production outlook Regional share in marketed gas production

bcm

2018

Globally recognized credible Forum that develops and reflects common views and unified positions, influencing direction of the global gas market by promoting natural gas as the fuel of choice in the global energy mix based on its availability, reliability, versatility, affordability and its inherent nature as an environmentally-friendly source of energy

GECF Long-Term Strategy: Vision, Mission, Objectives

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Strategic Goals Main Activities Priority Objectives § Participation in high level international events (COP, G20, UNECE etc.) § Global Gas Model and Outlook § Environmental activities (including the launch

• f the GECF Climate Initiative)

§ Energy forecasting platform (GECF-IEA-IEF- OPEC) § Monitoring energy and natural gas markets § Conducting energy and gas research § Annual Statistical Bulletin and contributing to JODI-Gas § GECF events § Maximizing Gas Value § Developing the GECF View on Gas Market Developments § Developing effective ways and means for cooperation amongst GECF Member Countries § Promotion of Natural Gas § International Positioning of the GECF as a globally recognized intergovernmental

• rganization

§ To promote natural gas as the fuel of choice § To provide support for Member Countries in assessing and forecasting natural gas market developments, with the objective to become a reference in natural gas outlook, and keep Member Countries informed and prepared to address the challenges and to benefit from the opportunities that may arise in the future § To develop a shared understanding of market conditions in

• rder

to establish common views and positions on global gas market development and to promote them internationally § To provide a framework for co-operation amongst GECF Member Countries

Vision:

to enhance the role of GECF in the global energy scene in order to support the sovereign rights of Member Countries over their natural gas resources, to maximize their value for the benefit of their people, and to promote their coordination on global energy developments with a view to contributing to global sustainable development and energy security

Mission:

Doha, Qatar

H. H.E. Yury y P. Sen Sentyu yurin, PhD Secr Secretary Gen ener eral Gas Gas Exp xpor

• rtin

ing Cou

• untrie

ies For

• rum (GE

(GECF) 27 27 No Novemb mber 2019 2019