GPW Group Financial Results Q4 2015
25 February 2016
GPW Group Financial Results Q4 2015 25 February 2016 Summary of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GPW Group Financial Results Q4 2015 25 February 2016 Summary of GPW Activities in 2015 GPW Group Financial Results in Q4 2015 Year-on-year improvement of results Net profit EBITDA Revenue Operating expenses PLN mn PLN mn PLN mn PLN mn
25 February 2016
Summary of GPW Activities in 2015 GPW Group Financial Results in Q4 2015
C/I
53.2% 57.2% 54.8% 61.2%
3
+3.3%
2015
327.9
2014
317.6
Q4’15
83.8
Q4’14
83.9
Revenue Operating expenses Net profit EBITDA
PLN mn PLN mn PLN mn
Improved liquidity on the Group’s markets driven by client acquisition, liquidity support programmes and infrastructure development
PLN mn
+16.2% +10.2%
2015
123.7
2014
112.3
Q4’15
28.2
Q4’14
24.3
2014 2015
179.5 +10.9% +9.4% 164.1
Q4’15
45.1
Q4’14
40.7
2014
174.4
Q4’14
181.6 45.9
Q4’15
51.3
2015
Issuers Liquidity Optimisation
36 new issuers of shares and 23 new issuers of bonds, improved standards, transparency and safety on the Group’s markets Multiple optimisation initiatives in the GPW Group helping to cut costs and enhance operational excellence of the Group
New Exchange Members: Credit Suisse International, Spire Europe Ltd., Sun Trading International New equity market makers: Hudson River Trading, Trigon Launch of ABN Amro Clearing Bank in April 2016 Development of High Volume Providers programme and launch of new High Volume Funds programme:
6 participants of both programmes at the end of Q4 2015 on the cash and derivatives markets growing share of HVP and HVF in turnover:
pipeline of several more participants
Infrastructure development:
re-launch of GPW colocation service: first clients in Q1 2016 RMA application and Kill Switch functionality first international ISV, more in the pipeline
4
Velocity up by 5.6 p.p. YoY in Q4 2015
1 EOB equity turnover on the GPW Main Market, double-counted; HVP and HVF participants, new market makers
value of trade in shares in 2015 generated by new clients1
5
Sustained strong acquisition of issuers (mainly SMEs)
30 new issuers on the Main Market in 2015 vs. 28 in 2014 13 transfers from NewConnect in 2015 – 47 companies have transferred in GPW history
Two significant public offers: Uniwheels (IPO – PLN 504 mn), Pfleiderer Grajewo (SPO – PLN 561 mn) 23 new non-Treasury bond issues worth PLN 5.1 bn
GPW in Europe’s TOP3 by number of IPOs in 20151 GPW in Europe’s TOP10 by IPO value in 2015
1 PwC IPO Watch Europe Q4 2015 (regulated and alternative markets) 2 ECM - Equity Capital Market; source: Dealogic, ECM value at transaction value as at the pricing date
Q4’15
1.1
Q3’15
0.7
Q2’15
2.5
Q1’15
1.6
Q4’14
1.6
Q3’14
2.2
Q2’14
2.1
Q1’14
1.4
ECM activity: good in H1 and slightly weaker in H2 2015 2
PLN bn
Iceland
3
Romania
5
Turkey
6
Belgium
6
Norway
8
Netherlands Czech Republic
1
Austria
1
Bulgaria
1
Lithuania
1
Estonia
1
Croatia
2
Ireland
2
Denmark
2
Switzerland
3 8
Finland
11
Germany
23
Spain
24
Italy
27
France
32
Poland
33
Sweden
72
United Kingdom
92
Finland
409
Poland
440
Norway
1,078
Switzerland
1
Czech Republic Austria
2,039
France
4,720
Sweden
5,216
Italy
5,265
Netherlands
6,113
Germany
6,795
Spain
7,794
United Kingdom
16,370
Ireland
1
Bulgaria
6 394 36
Turkey
42
Iceland Croatia Denmark
168
Belgium
395 112
EUR mn
Capital for Growth Promoting the Exchange as a venue of raising growth capital:
targeting Polish companies and local governments 16 meetings in Poland’s biggest cities close to 1,200 participants more than 30 presentations of listed companies
Source: PwC, GPW 6
Polish Capital Markets Days and other initiatives Polish Capital Markets Days – series of seminars:
promoting SMEs 5 events: London, New York, Warsaw, Stegersbach, Paris participation of 100 Polish companies 900 meetings with 252 investors
Multiple meetings with all of the biggest investment banks active in CEE International events for potential issuers: Vilnius, Belgrade, Wrocław (Slovenia Day), Odessa, Kyiv
3.8% 11 5.8% 52 4.5% 21 2.7% 8 2.3% 7 21.9% 324 4.0% 13 6.1% 34 9.7% 69 2.2% 8 8.5% 105 2.1% 9 12.5% 100 7.7% 57 3.9% 15 2.4% 11 # Białystok Lublin Number of listed companies in the region (Main Market and NewConnect) Percentage share of the region in Poland’s GDP Olsztyn Gdańsk Warszawa Bydgoszcz Szczecin Poznań Zielona Góra Wrocław Łódź Kielce Kraków Opole Katowice % Rzeszów
7
Active participation in legislative work:
REIT Covered bonds Access for banks
Structural realignment:
Integration of post-trade services – analysis underway Simplification of Catalyst structure – pending
New products and services:
Non-display data Financial Instruments Market (TGE) Trade reporting (TGE)
Reduced transaction fees for equity trade:
Based on dialogue and agreement with brokers Fee reduced from 0.033% to 0.029% on order value up to PLN 100 thou. – from 1 January 2016 Fees on SME shares traded by market makers at 0 – H2 2015
Trading hours on TGE energy and gas market extended to 15:30 New areas of development Dialogue with Exchange Members Raising standards New Best Practices for GPW Listed Companies:
Outcome of broad public market consultations Objective: to improve corporate governance requirements and align with international trends
NewConnect 2.0 reform:
Council of Authorised Advisers More transparency of introducing companies to ATS
100% UTP availability
Safety Transparency Corporate governance Liquidity Availability Turnover Development Innovation Competitivity
8
Another year of building up liquidity on the commodity market
Record-high volume of trade in energy and gas Volume of trade in property rights
Q1’15 Q4’15
20.4 44.0
Q3’15
58.9 35.5
Q1’13
0.2 35.5
Q2’15
20.3 1.0 41.5
Q4’13
1.7 48.6 30.7 0.2 55.6
Q2’13
0.3 36.8 38.1 45.7
Q4’14
47.5 58.6
Q3’14
58.9 43.1
Q2’14
4.2 43.5
Q1’14 Q3’13 Electicity (TWh) Gas (TWh)
5.6 5.8
Q3’13 Q1’13
23.7 17.0 6.7 5.6 5.8
Q4’13
10.7 5.9
Q3’14
6.4
Q2’14
6.2 11.1
Q1’14
6.7 3.9
Q2’13
4.0
Q4’15
12.8 5.2 2.6 11.8 15.5 7.4 5.8 4.5
Q3’15
10.1 7.7 9.6
Q1’15
8.7 11.9
Q2’15
18.8
Q4’14
9.3
Cogenaration (TWh) Renewable energy sources (TWh)
1 Exchange turnover (spot and forward) to domestic consumption
Liquidity on the electricity market1 in 2015: 138% - Europe’s #3 market after German/Austrian and Nordic markets Liquidity on the gas market in 2015: 62% - Europe’s #3 market after UK and Netherlands Recovery of the volume of trade in property rights – 58.9 TWh in 2015 vs. 36.0 TWh in 2014 TGE’s key initiatives:
Member of Multi-Regional Coupling (MRC) and Price Coupling of Regions (PCR) NEMO appointed by ERA President for the Polish electricity market – December 2015 Start-up of Polish-Lithuanian link Launch of Financial Instruments Market Extended trading hours on the electricity and gas markets Trade reporting service Green certificates futures market Pending implementation of a new trading system – X-stream Trading Technology
Key legislation in 2015:
Renewable Energy Sources Act CO2 Trade Act Energy Efficiency Act
Summary of GPW Activities in 2015 GPW Group Financial Results in Q4 2015
54.7% 51.7% 53.8% 53.8% 48.9% 61.6% 48.5% 37.7% 35.4% 33.7% 38.2% 35.0% 43.6% 29.0% 10
Revenue growth supported by strict cost discipline in 2015 …
EBITDA and EBITDA margin Revenue Net profit and net profit margin
+3.3%
2015
327.9
2014
317.6
Q4’15
83.8
Q3’15
78.7
Q2’15
77.2
Q1’15
88.2
Q4’14
83.9 +16.2% 30.1
2014
112.3
Q3’15 Q4’15
+10.2%
2015
123.7 28.2
Q2’15
27.0
Q1’15
38.4
Q4’14
24.3
Q3’15
42.3
Q2’15
37.8
Q1’15
54.3
Q4’14
40.7 164.1 +9.4% 45.1
Q4’15
179.5
2014
+10.9%
2015
PLN mn. % PLN mn PLN mn. %
1 Dividend yield based on GPW share price as at the dividend record date
Cost/income ratio in 2015 – 53.2% vs. 57.2% in 2014 Dividend paid from 2014 profit – PLN 2.40 per share, dividend yield 4.9%1
54.7% 51.7% 50.9% 51.8% 55.5% 48.1% 42.0% 37.7% 35.4% 40.0% 38.8% 49.9% 11
.. translated into the largest value of revenue and EBITDA in GPW history
EBITDA and EBITDA margin Revenue Net profit and net profit margin
+7.8%
2012
273.8
2011
268.8
2010
225.6
2015
327.9
2014
317.6
2013
283.8
2015
123.7
2014
112.3
2013
113.5
2012
106.2
2011
134.1
2010
94.8
2011
149.3
2010
108.4 144.4
2012
141.8
2015
179.5
2014
164.1
2013
PLN mn, % PLN mn PLN mn, % CAGR
12
Financial market revenue up by 5.4% YoY in Q4
Revenue – financial market
PLN mn PLN mn 51.5
Q3’15 2014
200.0
Q4’15
49.0
+5.4% 0.0%
2015
200.0 50.2
Q1’15
49.2
Q2’15 Q4’14
46.5
125.2
+9.4%
2015 2014
114.5
Q4’15
34.2
Q3’15
26.7
Q2’15
26.9
Q1’15
37.4
Q4’14
35.7
Revenue – commodity market
2015: 61.0% 2015: 38.2%
13
Stable trading revenue on the financial market
Trading revenue – financial market Investor activity on GPW markets Average fee on the equity market at 2.5 bp Average turnover in shares per session in Q4 2015 – PLN 793.3 mn. and in 2015 – PLN 811.0 mn vs. PLN 824.8 mn in 2014 Increase of revenue from trade in shares in 2015 by 2.5% due to a lower proportion of large block trades and cross trades Average transaction value in 2015 – PLN 12.3 thou.
PLN mn
+6.7%
Other Derivatives Equities 2015
136.9 17.4 11.6 107.9
2014
137.8 17.7 14.8 105.3
Q4’15
33.2 4.3 3.0 25.9
Q3’15
36.2 4.1 3.1 29.0
Q2’15
33.1 4.4 2.6 26.1
Q1’15
34.4 4.7 2.8 26.9
Q4’14
31.1 4.3 2.8 24.0 2015: 39.6% Q4’14 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 2014 2015 Equities – value of trade (EOB, PLN bn) 47.5 52.0 50.1 52.2 49.2 205.3 203.5
+3.8% yoy
Futures and options – volume of trade (mn contracts) 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.1 1.9 9.5 8.2
Treasury bonds – TBSP, cash transactions (PLN bn) 72.9 92.6 59.4 50.2 58.5 327.4 260.7
+12.0% qoq
14
Listing revenue Issuers’ activity Poland’s ECM value in Q4 2015 – PLN 1.4 bn vs. PLN 0.7 bn in Q3 2015 and PLN 1.7 bn in Q4 2014 Number of IPOs in Q4 2015 on the Main Market –
in Q3 2015 Capitalisation of domestic companies at 2015 YE – PLN 516.8 bn. the lowest since Q2 2013 (-12.6% YoY)
PLN mn +3.9% +2.2% 19.0
Q4’15
6.0 1.3 4.7
Q3’15
5.7 1.1 6.2 1.2 5.1
Q4’14
5.8 1.1 4.7 24.5
Listing
Introduction
2015
4.9 19.2 5.3 24.0 4.9
Q1’15
1.7 6.5
Q2’15
4.6
2014
2015: 7.5% Q4’14 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 2014 2015 Number of IPOs on the Main Market 10 2 8 5 15 28 30
+50.0% yoy +7.1% yoy +200.0% qoq
Capitalisation of domestic companies (PLN bn) 591.2 618.2 605.2 556.1 516.8 591.2 516.8
Value of IPOs (PLN mn) 199 29 1280 102 578 1311 1981
+190.4% yoy +51.8% yoy +468.8% qoq
15
Steady growth of revenue from information services
Revenue from information services Data vendors and subscribers Nearly 50 percent growth in the number of subscribers using commodity market data feeds Decrease in the number of subscribers offset by increasing revenue from institutional clients More non-display data customers: share in revenue bound for growth in 2016
PLN mn
2015
38.5
2014
38.2
Q4’15
9.7
Q3’15
9.6
Q2’15
9.5
Q1’15
9.6
Q4’14
9.5 +2.1% +0.8% 2015: 11.7% Q4’14 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 2014 2015 Number of subscribers (thou.) 240.3 241.1 238.7 223.1 221.1 240.3 221.1
Number of data vendors 58 58 56 56 54 58 54
16
Trading revenue – commodity market Investor activity on the commodity market Seasonally higher volumes on the energy market Trading revenue from the gas market increased in 2015 by 12.5% despite lower volumes. driven by a different split of volumes between the spot and forward markets Higher share of cogeneration certificates in total turnover in 2015
PLN mn 1.7 4.6
Q3’15
+4.0%
Other Property rights Gas Energy 2015
62.6 7.5 32.4 9.2 3.0 4.6 2.2 2.7 3.5
Q4’14
18.7 1.8 3.4
Q1’15
18.5 1.8 10.5 9.2 31.0
7.4
14.5
Q4’15
17.6
12.8
1.8 5.8 2.3 2.9 8.3 14.4
2014
60.1
7.3 Q2’15
13.6 1.7 6.9 1.6 2015: 19.1% Q4’14 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 2014 2015 Electricity – volume of trade (TWh) 58.7 45.7 44.0 38.1 58.9 186.7 186.7
+0.6% yoy +0.0% yoy +54.6% qoq
Natural gas – volume of trade (TWh) 47.6 35.5 20.3 30.7 20.4 111.6 106.9
Property rights – volume of trade (TWh) 11.9 18.8 15.5 11.9 12.8 36.0 58.9
+8.4% yoy +63.6% yoy +8.4% qoq
17
Increased activity in the register of certificates of
Revenue from operation of the register Revenue from clearing Activity of register participants Increase in revenue from the register of certificates
cancelled and issued cogeneration certificates Revenue from clearing :
increase in 2015 following the end of promotion for clearing of the gas market and an increase of trade in property rights
PLN mn PLN mn +7.5%
Q4’15
5.5
2015
24.2
2014
22.5
Q3’15
5.5
Q2’15
5.5
Q1’15
7.6
Q4’14
5.9 +20.8%
2015
38.5 7.8
Q1’15 Q4’15
11.1 11.2 31.9
Q3’15
8.4 11.2
Q4’14 2014 Q2’15
2015: 7.4% 2015: 11.7% Q4’14 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 2014 2015 Volume of issued property rights (TWh) 11.2 17.5 10.8 13.0 9.4 42.2 50.7
+20.0% yoy
Volume of cancelled certificates of origin (TWh) 3.7 4.3 7.7 10.4 0.0 20.6 22.3
+8.5% yoy
Key ratios:
cost regime: cost/income ratio at 53.2% in 2015 vs. 57.2% in 2014 and mid-term target <50% in 2020 decrease of operating expenses by 4.0% (PLN 7.2 mn) in 2015 including decrease of GPW’s separate expenses by 7.9% (PLN 10.3 mn) in 2015, despite among others: numerous cost-generating development initiatives and increase of cost depending on exchange rates
Savings initiatives:
Salaries - overall decrease in 2015 by 2.1% (PLN 1.5 mn) including changes to optimalization of headcount, change of the bonus and retirement benefit system and other savings Rent and maintenance - decrease in 2015 by PLN 0.5 mn among
Centrum Giełdowe and renegotiation of maintenance fees External services and other costs – in 2015 decrease by PLN 4.6 mn
Realignment of Group structure in 2015:
Sale of 80.0% of IRK to PAP Sale of 100% of InfoEngine to TGE
Seasonally higher costs in Q4 2015
Accounting for the bonuses in subsidiaries Accounting for the cost of development activities in commodity market
In 2016 expected decrease of fees paid by the GPW Group to PFSA by ca. 50% vs. 2015, savings shared through reductions of trading fees since 1.1.2016 and as a effect parallel decrease of revenues
18
Operating expenses Change in operating expenses
1 Other includes rent, fees and charges, and other operating expenses
PLN mn PLN mn 181.6
2015
174.4
Other op. expenses
External serv.
Fees & charges
1.2
Rent
Salaies
D&A
2014
External serivces
Other Saleries 14.7 6.2 Q4’14 51.3 10.7 13.1 20.1 7.5 Depreciation& Amortisation Q4’15 45.9 9.3 11.4 18.2 7.0 Q3’15 43.3 9.8 9.3 17.3 7.0 Q2’15 45.0 10.5 10.1 17.9 6.6 Q1’15 40.1 10.3 8.9 41.3 42.0 69.5 28.8 2014 39.8 26.8 181.6 68.0
174.3 2015
Q4’15
Q3’15
0.3
0.2 1.7
Q2’15
0.2 1.3
Q1’15
0.2 0.0 1.6
Q4’14
0.1
19
Share of profit of associates1 Change of share of profit of associates Turnover on Aquis Exchange
1 Quarterly results of KDPW Group in 2015 not fully comparable to previous years due to change in the recognition of annual fees paid by participants (until 2014,
fully under the revenue of Q1; as of 2015, pro rata in each quarter)
2 Source: FESE
KDPW Group results:
net profit in 2015 down to PLN 13.7 mn (vs. PLN 30.0 mn in 2014) including development of the netting service and partial settlement trade repository and issuance of LEIs – new services offsetting the decrease of KDPW Group’s revenue higher expenses in Q4 2015 as the effect of, among others, actuarial provisions, costs of OTC system, VAT provisions
Group’s share of the loss of Aquis Exchange in 2015 – PLN 6.5 mn:
13 markets and growing number of members in Q2 2015 GPW’s stake decreased to 26.33% change of membership rules in February 2016 – improved EOB quality
CG KDPW Aquis
PLN mn PLN mn
3.7
2015
0.2 5.4 0.0
2014 2015
0.4 4.6
2014
3.7
0.4 10.0
0.5
12’15
5.2
0.5
7’15 8’15
0.5
5.7 5.3 6.1
0.6
6’16 1’16 2’15
2.5
0.2
1’15
2.3
0.2
10’15
0.6
11’15
0.7
7.0 5.8 4.6
9’15
0.5
5.2
0.5
5’15
3.9
0.4
4’15
3.2
0.3
3’15
3.1
0.3
Share of trading in Europe (%) Aquis trading – EUR bn
2
PLN mn 2014 2015 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Revenue 317.6 327.9 83.9 78.7 83.8 Financial market 200.0 200.0 46.5 51.5 49.0 Trading 137.8 136.9 31.1 36.2 33.2 Listing 24.0 24.5 5.8 5.7 6.0 Information services 38.2 38.5 9.5 9.6 9.7 Commodity market 114.5 125.2 35.7 26.7 34.2 Trading 60.1 62.6 18.7 12.8 17.6 Register of Certificates of Origin 22.5 24.2 5.9 5.5 5.5 Clearing 31.9 38.5 11.2 8.4 11.1 Other operating income 3.1 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.6 Operating expenses 181.6 174.4 51.3 43.3 45.9 Other income 42.0 39.6 13.1 9.3 11.4 Other expenses 1.9 2.2
0.3 0.0 Operating profit 135.4 152.6 33.1 35.3 38.1 Financial income 10.4 9.9 2.2 2.0 1.9 Financial expenses 10.4 9.4 2.7 1.9 2.8 Share of profit of associates 3.7
0.3
Profit before income tax 139.1 151.7 30.4 35.7 35.4 Income tax 26.8 27.9 6.1 5.6 7.2 Net profit 112.3 123.7 24.3 30.1 28.2 EBITDA 164.1 179.5 40.7 42.3 45.1
20
Tax rate in 2015 down to 18.4% due to a tax loss of PLN 1.3 mn on the sale of InfoEngine Restatement of GPW’s investment in Aquis at PLN 2.8 mn under the financial income of Q2 2015
PLN mn
31.12.2014 31.03.2015 30.06.2015 30.09.2015 31.12.2015
Non-current assets, including among others 572.7 571.4 572.3 569.2 580.6 Property, plant and equipment 119.8 116.6 112.1 109.8 125.2 Intangible assets 261.0 262.8 265.6 263.7 261.7 Share of profit of associates 188.1 188.4 190.1 190.3 188.6 Current assets, including among others 451.4 484.8 519.7 425.7 442.2 Trade and other receivables 42.6 91.5 61.4 73.4 81.3 Available-for-sale financial assets 10.5 10.6 10.6 10.6 0.0 Cash and cash equivalents 389.0 379.0 446.8 341.3 360.4 Total assets 1,024.2 1,056.2 1,092.0 994.8 1,022.8 PLN mn
31.12.2014 31.03.2015 30.06.2015 30.09.2015 31.12.2015
Equity 700.5 738.8 664.0 694.1 721.3 Non-current liabilities 259.4 253.5 255.2 256.2 258.8 Liability under the bond issue 244.1 244.2 244.3 244.4 243.8 Current liabilities, including among others 64.3 64.0 172.7 44.5 42.7 Trade payables 10.0 10.0 19.6 7.9 8.6 Income tax payable 9.9 7.6 9.6 11.2 9.5 Dividend and other liabilities 1.2 2.3 7.1 2.5 2.8 Employee benefits payable 5.1 25.4 18.1 10.2 7.3 Provisions 38.0 18.7 118.3 12.8 14.6 Total equity and liabilities 1,024.2 1,056.2 1,092.0 994.8 1,022.8 As of: As of:
21
GPW Group’s negative net debt at PLN 116.1 mn at the end of 2015 (cash surplus) High receivables at 2015 YE include TGE Group’s VAT receivable from clearing (increase of receivables in TGE Group from PLN 18 mn at 2014 YE to PLN 53 mn at 2015 YE)
22
Lower cash flows from operating activities in 2015 mainly due to an increase of tax receivables (60 days tax return) Capital expenditure at PLN 30.8 mn in 2015 Dividend paid out on 4 August 2015 at PLN 100.7 mn PLN 124.5 mn of GPW series A and B bonds bought back and PLN 125 mn of 7Y fixed-coupon series C issued in 2015 Outstanding series A and B bonds – maturing on 2 January 2017
PLN mn 2014 2015 Cash flows from operating activities, including among others: 161.7 93.1 Cash flows from operating activities 176.9 110.1 Net profit of the period 112.3 123.7 Adjustments: 64.6
Income tax 26.8 27.9 Depreciation of property, plant and equipment 28.8 26.8 Financial income on restatement of share of profit of associates 0.0
Interest income on deposits
Interest and premium on bond issue 10.0 6.6 Share of profit of associates
1.5 Change in current assets and liabilities 11.6
Decrease of trade and other recievables
Increase / decrease of other liabilities 21.8
Income tax expense
Cash flows from investing activities, including among others:
Purchase of property, plant and equipment
Purchase of intangible assets
Sale of available-for-sale financial assets 0.0 10.0 Purchase of associates
0.0 Interest received 9.8 6.8 Cash flows from financing activities, including among others:
Dividend paid and company social fund
Interest paid
Proceeds from bond issue 0.0 125.0 Buy-back of bonds issued 0.0
Increase/decrease of net cash and cash equivalents 78.1
Cash and cash equivalents - opening balance 311.5 389.0 Cash and cash equivalents - closing balance 389.0 360.4
Appendix
24
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Weakening of the investors’ sentiment to emerging markets1 Declining market capitalization on GPW
70 65 90 85 80 75 105 100 95 110 115 12’15 11’15 10’15 8’15 7’15 1’15
6’15 12’14
MSCI POLAND MSCI EM MSCI ACWI
9’15 5’15 4’15 3’15 2’15
1 Source: MSCI Barra, price indices, in USD, series Standard, 31.12.2014 = 100 points
Q4’15
517
Q3’15
556
Q2’15 Q1’15
618 605
Q3’14
607
Q4’14 Q2’14
613 635 591
Q1’14 Market capitalizaition of domestic companies, PLN bn
International position of the GPW equity market
Number of listed companies Value of trading in equities, EOB Market capitalization
GPW 17.0 37.5 361.9 4.4 172.9 5.5 126.0 16.2 87.9 111.5 CEESEG - Prague CEESEG Athens Exchange CEESEG - Vienna Bulgarian SE Bucharest SE Budapest SE Ljubljana SE 23.5 Moscow Exchange Borsa Istanbul Ljubljana SE 0.3 Bucharest SE 1.5 Athens Exchange 3.1 CEESEG - Prague 6.2 Budapest SE 6.9 CEESEG - Vienna 29.2 GPW 49.1 Moscow Exchange 127.4 Borsa Istanbul 342.0 0.2 Bulgarian SE 25 45 46 84 92 CEESEG - Vienna 365 Ljubljana SE 393 CEESEG - Prague GPW Moscow Exchange Budapest SE 254 Bulgarian SE Borsa Istanbul 117 CEESEG 905 Bucharest SE EUR bn EUR bn
25
1 CEESEG Group includes: Vienna, Prague
Source: FESE, December 2015
3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 7.5% 11.7% 38.2% 0.8% 32.9% 2015
Information services Listing Trading - derivatives Trading - debt instruments Trading - other Trading - shares
PLN 327.9 mn
Commodity market: 38.2% Financial market: 61.0%
318 2012
CAGR: +10.0%
2014 2013 284 274 2011 269 2010 199 2008 185 2015 328 226 2009
11.5% 6.6% 25.9% 6.0% 19.3% 30.7% Clearing Register of Certificates of Origin Trading - other fees Trading - property rights Trading - gas Trading - electricity
PLN 125.2 mn
26
GPW Group revenue (PLN mn)
Key drivers:
Value of trading in shares Structure of orders (small, medium, large)
27
Value of trading in shares and number of trades Velocity and volatility – trading in shares
1 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
50 200 100 250 150 300
51.9
2012
46.4
2011
55.3
2010
48.4
2009
188 167 203 160 231 162 91 251
2015
65.9
207 220 205
2014
55.5
2013
51.4
2008
38.2
2007
60.8
2006
45.0
2005
19.8
Number of EOB trades per session, ’000 Value of EOB trading in shares (PLN bn) 29.1% 24.3%22.6% 17.4% 16.9% 25.3% 23.2% 37.2% 35.0% 20.0% 24.5% 16.8% 17.6% 14.8% 17.1%
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Volatility of 20 sessions (trailing) Volatility counted for the whole year Velocity (%)
26.0% 22.3% 26.6% 31.2% 34.7% 43.4% 48.7% 41.3% 48.4% 42.9% 50.7% 38.7% 39.4% 34.7% 36.7%
Key drivers:
Volume of trading in futures Number of open interests Volatility
28
Volume of trading in derivatives Volumes of trading in derivatives under pressure of volatility
1 Liquidity ratio (value of trading in WIG20 futures to value of trading in WIG20 stocks) 2 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
8.2 9.5 6.7
2015
9.9
64.6
2006
78.5 138.1
2013
12.6
184.8
2012
104.2
2014 2010
14.7
168.1
2009
13.8
2005
5.6
40.3 131.0
2008
12.6
80.4
2007
11.3
137.2
2011
15.5
132.8
Volume of trading, ’000 000 Open interests ’000
121% 132% 116% 139% 181% 439% 404% 480% 522% 352% 341%
PLN bn
1
DLR
124
2008
602 125
2007 2015
196 162
2014
212 207 149
2011
347 192 669 128
2006
373 106
2005
225 66
2010
668 152
2009
502 160
2013
201 174
2012 Turnover: WIG20 futures Turnover: WIG20 companies
Key drivers:
Value of trading in treasury bonds on TBSP Number of Exchange Members
29
Financial market – other instruments and members
Value of trading on Treasury BondSpot Poland (PLN bn) Number of Exchange Members
1 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015 – trading in bonds 2 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015 – fees from the market participants
612 450
2011
1,037
2007
161
2006
213
2005
731 307
2010
324 188
2015
599 339 1,062 166 135
2009
101
2008
84 261
2014
767 439 327
2013
845 498 347
2012
Conditional transactions Cash transactions
2010
49 19 30 32 56 26 30
2013 2014
25
2005
31 7 24 27 33
2011
61 29 49 18 31
2007
43 57 26 31
2012
60
2015
57 28 29 17 26
2006
35 10
2009
46 17 29
2008
Local Remote
458 375 284 255 895 867 777 585 486 905 902
Key drivers:
Value of capitalization of companies at year’s end Value of new issues of shares and bonds Number of new issuers
30
Market capitalization od domestic companies
Value and IPO and SPO and numer of companies (Main Market and NewConnect)
1 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
30.7%
2008
267 20.0%
2007
34.8%
2013
593 36.5%
2012
523 32.0%
2011
446 27.9%
2015
517 29.5%
2014
591
2010
543 36.8%
2009
421 510 41.6%
2006
438 40.3%
2005
308 31.0%
Market capitalization of domestic companies (PLN bn) Market capitalization/GDP (%) 9.2 2014 2015 5.3
18.4
2006
2.3 3.8 1.4
2013
3.1 5.2
2012 2005
0.9 6.7 3.6
2010
22.7 15.7
2009
20.1 4.3 3.7
2011
4.1 43.1 2.1 6.8
2008
2.1 9.5
2007 SPO, PLN bn IPO, PLN bn Number of companies
Key drivers:
Number of information service subscribers Number od data vendors
31
Number of market data vendors Number of subscribers '000
1 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
32
2008
50 19 31 11 17
2007
48 21 27
2006 2015
54 31
2013
58 24 34 57 20 37
2010
52 24 30
2014
58 27 19 33
2009
50 18 43 26
2005
37 26
2012
58 21 37
2011
Local Remote 327
2010
307
2013
262
2014
240
2009
187
2015
221 288
2011 2012
Key drivers:
Volume of trading in electricity Volume of trading in gas
32
Commodity market – trading in electricity and gas
Volume of trading in electricity (TWh)1 Volume of trading in gas (TWh)
1 Data in 2006-2013 include poee RE GPW transactions 2 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
187 162 25
2014
187 163 24
2013
177 154 22
2012
139 118 21
2011
131 109 22
2015
75 13
2009
9
2008
10
2007
8
2006
4
2005
2 88
2010
7 14 2
2015
107 93
2014
112 105
2013
2
2012
1
Forward transactions Spot transactions Forward transactions Spot transactions
Key drivers:
Volume of trading in property rights Share of particular type of certificates in trading Number of member in Register of Certificates of Origin
33
Commodity market – trading in property rights
Volume of trading in property rights (TWh)1 Number of members in Register of Certificates of Origin
1 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
2005
49 36 13
2009
45
2008
30
2007
4
2006
4 17 22
2012
62 42 20
2011
51 36 15
2010 2015
59 32 27
2014
36 4 32
2013
39 35 23 Trading in cogeneration certificates Trading in green certificates 1,445
2013
1,862
2014
2,117
2015
2,539 1,656
2011 2012
Key drivers:
Volume of issued property rights Volume of cancelled property rights
34
Commodity market – Register of Certificates of Origin
Volume of issued property rights (TWh)1 Volume of cancelled property rights (TWh)
1 Share in GPW Group total revenue in 2015
2005
1 37 26 11
2009
32
2008
28
2007
5
2006
4 18 12
2012
41 26 15
2011
37 27 11
2010 2015
51 27 23
2014
42 21 22
2013
29 24 22 Cogeneration property rights Property rights in renewable energy sources
2005
25 15 10
2009
26
2008
20
2007
4
2006
3 27 9
2012
43 31 12
2011
27 17 10
2010 2015
22 13 9
2014
21 1 20
2013
36 19 14 Cogeneration property rights Property rights in renewable energy sources
Contact: GPW Investor Relations Phone +48 22 537 72 50 ir@gpw.pl www.gpw.pl/relacje_inwestorskie_en
Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Giełda Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie S.A. (“Warsaw Stock Exchange”. “GPW” or “Company”) for its
solely for information and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or instruments. This presentation is not an investment recommendation or an offer to provide any services. All efforts have been made to present the data in this presentation; however. some data are derived from external sources and have not been independently verified. No warranty or representation can be given that information in this presentation is exhaustive or true. GPW has no liability for any decisions made on the basis of any information or
the Company reference should be made to periodic and current reports published in compliance with applicable provisions of Polish legislation.
IR events
29 April 2016 Publication of GPW Group’s Consolidated Interim Report for Q1 2016 29 July 2016 Publication of GPW Group’s Consolidated Interim Report for H1 2016 28 October 2016 Publication of GPW Group’s Consolidated Interim Report for Q3 2016
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