Globalism versus Nationalism Rawi Abdelal April 2019 The past is - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Globalism versus Nationalism Rawi Abdelal April 2019 The past is - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Globalism versus Nationalism Rawi Abdelal April 2019 The past is never dead. Its not even past. William Faulkner, Requiem for a Nun Abdelal 2 Three themes, three cycles: A great power transition, still unfolding Borders and the Other

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Globalism versus Nationalism

Rawi Abdelal April 2019

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The past is never dead. It’s not even past. —William Faulkner, Requiem for a Nun

Abdelal 2

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Three themes, three cycles: A great power transition, still unfolding Borders and the Other Inequality and the Center

Abdelal 3

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Rise and fall A great power transition

Abdelal 4

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Re-bordering the borderless world

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Some lingering, festering debates About inequality The Other And how the elites let down “the people”

Abdelal 12

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Debates leading to populism on the Right

Abdelal 14

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Dutch parliamentary elections, March 2017

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Abdelal 18

French presidential and parliamentary elections, April-June 2017

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German parliamentary elections, September 2017

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Italian general election, March 2018

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Brazilian presidential election, October 2018

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And on the Left

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Italian general election, March 2018

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Mexican general election, July 2018

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And Left-Right

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France November 2018 – April 2019

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Belgium December 2018

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The weakening middle Between the angry extremes With pressures for fragmentation

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Such as the BRexit As a matter of consequence And as metaphor

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50% 50%

80

Immigration

51

Capitalism

71

Internet

69

Globalization

78

The Green movement

74

Feminism

80

Social liberalism

81

Multiculturalism

79 49 51 62 62 60 68 71 Share of survey participants who supported both leaving the European Union and felt negative about a number of concepts Share of survey participants who supported both remaining in the European Union and felt positive about a number of concepts

Leave Remain

BREXIT:

FAULT LINES

OF

GLOBALIZATION

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Such as the 2016 U.S. election As a revolution (of sorts) And as allegory

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In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage. —John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath

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Reflections on the Revolution in France

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Inquiries into the Italian “Tsunami”

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The future enters into us, in order to transform itself in us, long before it happens. —Rainer Maria Rilke

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