GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring Jai Singh Parihar on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring Jai Singh Parihar on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring Jai Singh Parihar on behalf of GEOGLAM Task Team (Chris Justice, Shinichi Sobue, Olivier Leo, Wu Bingfang, Derrick Williams, Inbal Becker-Reshef, Ian Jarvis, Terry Newby, Michel

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7th GEOSS-Asia Pacific, Tokyo, May 26-28, 2014

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Jai Singh Parihar

  • n behalf of GEOGLAM Task Team

(Chris Justice, Shinichi Sobue, Olivier Leo, Wu Bingfang, Derrick Williams, Inbal Becker-Reshef, Ian Jarvis, Terry Newby, Michel Deshayes…………………and ALL OF YOU)

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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1. Background : The G20 Agriculture Priority (2011)

“ We, the G20 Agriculture Ministers, meet today to address the issue of food price volatility with the ultimate objective to improve food security and agree on an “Action Plan on food price volatility and agriculture” that will be submitted to our Leaders at their Summit in November 2011.”

(introduction of the “G20 Agriculture Action Plan”, June 2011)

At risk :

  • Access to food for populations
  • Investment in the agricultural sector

(increase production by + 70% over 2010- 2050)

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SLIDE 3

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Corn Monthly Prices $/MT 2002-2012 Wheat Monthly Price$/MT 2002-2012 Soybeans Monthly Price $/MT 2002-2012 Corn Monthly Prices $/MT 2002-2012 Wheat Monthly Price$/MT 2002-2012 Wheat Monthly Price$/MT 2002-2012 Soybeans Monthly Price $/MT 2002-2012

Food price dynamics is not crop specific

  • 1. Background : The G20 Agriculture Priority (2011)

Societal impact is global

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SLIDE 4

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Trade Demand Stocks Price Supply Policies Finance Two initiatives to increase information availability, quality and transparency :

AMI S AMIS : improve information on markets (FAO) GEO-GLAM GEOGLAM : improve information on supply (GEO)

  • 1. Background : The G20 Agriculture Priority (2011)
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SLIDE 5

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

To strengthen the international community’s capacity to produce and disseminate relevant, timely and accurate information and forecasts on agricultural production at national, regional and global scales, through reinforced use of Earth Observations.

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan
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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

To strengthen the international community’s capacity to produce and disseminate relevant, timely and accurate information and forecasts on agricultural production at national, regional and global scales, through reinforced use of Earth Observations.

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan

GEOGLAM is a « coordination programme », aiming at

  • supporting, strengthening and articulating existing efforts
  • developing capacities and awareness at national and global level
  • disseminating information
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SLIDE 7

International cooperation for the definition of GEOGLAM

  • 05/2011 Curitiba : XVI SBSR – Brazilian Remote Sensing Symposium (Drafting of GEOGLAM proposal)
  • 05/2011 Paris : Approval by G20 Agriculture
  • 09/2011 Geneva : First GEOGLAM international Workshop (13 countries)
  • 11/2011 Istanbul : GEO VI Plenary Assembly (87 countries, ~20 space ag., >50 reg. org.)
  • 01/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM coord. Group meeting
  • 02/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM Workplan
  • 02/2012 Roma : Present. to the 1st meeting of the AMIS coord. Group
  • 02/2012 Canbera : International Workshop on crop monitoring
  • 03/2012 Mexico : Present. to XIIth “Foro de expectativas agropecuarias”
  • 03/2012 La Jolla : CEOS Strategic Implementation Team
  • 04/2012 Tokyo : 5th GEOSS-Asia Pacific
  • 05/2012 Perth : APRSAF/SAFE
  • 06/2012 Mexico : G20 Agriculture Delegates
  • 07/2012 Montréal : Definition of Earth Observations data requirements with CEOS
  • 10/2012 Roma : Presentation to 2nd AMIS meeting
  • 10/2012 Bangalore : EO data requirements CEOS Plenary
  • 10/2012 Pattaya: 33rd Asian Conference on Remote Sensing
  • 02/2013 Ahmedabad, 6th GEOSS Asia Pacific Symposium
  • 10/2013 Bali: 34th Asian Conference on Remote Sensing

+ regional and national meetings and presentations

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan
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SLIDE 8

International cooperation for the definition of GEOGLAM

  • 05/2011 Curitiba : XVI SBSR – Brazilian Remote Sensing Symposium (Drafting of GEOGLAM proposal)
  • 05/2011 Paris : Approval by G20 Agriculture
  • 09/2011 Geneva : First GEOGLAM international Workshop (13 countries)
  • 11/2011 Istanbul : GEO VI Plenary Assembly (87 countries, ~20 space ag., >50 reg. org.)
  • 01/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM coord. Group meeting
  • 02/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM Workplan
  • 02/2012 Roma : Present. to the 1st meeting of the AMIS coord. Group
  • 02/2012 Canbera : International Workshop on crop monitoring
  • 03/2012 Mexico : Present. to XIIth “Foro de expectativas agropecuarias”
  • 03/2012 La Jolla : CEOS Strategic Implementation Team
  • 04/2012 Tokyo : 5th GEOSS-Asia Pacific
  • 05/2012 Perth : APRSAF/SAFE
  • 06/2012 Mexico : G20 Agriculture Delegates
  • 07/2012 Montréal : Definition of Earth Observations data requirements with CEOS
  • 10/2012 Roma : Presentation to 2nd AMIS meeting
  • 10/2012 Bangalore : EO data requirements CEOS Plenary
  • 10/2012 Pattaya: 33rd Asian Conference on Remote Sensing
  • 02/2013 Ahmedabad, 6th GEOSS Asia Pacific Symposium
  • 10/2013 Bali: 34th Asian Conference on Remote Sensing

+ regional and national meetings and presentations

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan

Forecasting Agricultural output using Space, Agrometeorology and Land based observations (FASAL) Land Observations

MULTIPLE IN-SEASON FORECAST

Pre- Season

Early- Season Mid- Season State Pre- Harvest State Pre- Harvest District Cropped are a Crop conditio n Crop acrea g e Crop yie ld Revised Assessing Damage Crop ar e a & Production Crop ar e a & Production

ISRO, 1997

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SLIDE 9

International cooperation for the definition of GEOGLAM

  • 05/2011 Curitiba : XVI SBSR – Brazilian Remote Sensing Symposium (Drafting of GEOGLAM proposal)
  • 05/2011 Paris : Approval by G20 Agriculture
  • 09/2011 Geneva : First GEOGLAM international Workshop (13 countries)
  • 11/2011 Istanbul : GEO VI Plenary Assembly (87 countries, ~20 space ag., >50 reg. org.)
  • 01/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM coord. Group meeting
  • 02/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM Workplan
  • 02/2012 Roma : Present. to the 1st meeting of the AMIS coord. Group
  • 02/2012 Canbera : International Workshop on crop monitoring
  • 03/2012 Mexico : Present. to XIIth “Foro de expectativas agropecuarias”
  • 03/2012 La Jolla : CEOS Strategic Implementation Team
  • 04/2012 Tokyo : 5th GEOSS-Asia Pacific
  • 05/2012 Perth : APRSAF/SAFE
  • 06/2012 Mexico : G20 Agriculture Delegates
  • 07/2012 Montréal : Definition of Earth Observations data requirements with CEOS
  • 10/2012 Roma : Presentation to 2nd AMIS meeting
  • 10/2012 Bangalore : EO data requirements CEOS Plenary
  • 10/2012 Pattaya: 33rd Asian Conference on Remote Sensing
  • 02/2013 Ahmedabad, 6th GEOSS Asia Pacific Symposium
  • 10/2013 Bali: 34th Asian Conference on Remote Sensing

+ regional and national meetings and presentations

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan

Forecasting Agricultural output using Space, Agrometeorology and Land based observations (FASAL) Land Observations

MULTIPLE IN-SEASON FORECAST

Pre- Season

Early- Season Mid- Season State Pre- Harvest State Pre- Harvest District Cropped are a Crop conditio n Crop acrea g e Crop yie ld Revised Assessing Damage Crop ar e a & Production Crop ar e a & Production

ISRO, 1997

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SLIDE 10

International cooperation for the definition of GEOGLAM

  • 05/2011 Curitiba : XVI SBSR – Brazilian Remote Sensing Symposium (Drafting of GEOGLAM proposal)
  • 05/2011 Paris : Approval by G20 Agriculture
  • 09/2011 Geneva : First GEOGLAM international Workshop (13 countries)
  • 11/2011 Istanbul : GEO VI Plenary Assembly (87 countries, ~20 space ag., >50 reg. org.)
  • 01/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM coord. Group meeting
  • 02/2012 Geneva : GEOGLAM Workplan
  • 02/2012 Roma : Present. to the 1st meeting of the AMIS coord. Group
  • 02/2012 Canbera : International Workshop on crop monitoring
  • 03/2012 Mexico : Present. to XIIth “Foro de expectativas agropecuarias”
  • 03/2012 La Jolla : CEOS Strategic Implementation Team
  • 04/2012 Tokyo : 5th GEOSS-Asia Pacific
  • 05/2012 Perth : APRSAF/SAFE
  • 06/2012 Mexico : G20 Agriculture Delegates
  • 07/2012 Montréal : Definition of Earth Observations data requirements with CEOS
  • 10/2012 Roma : Presentation to 2nd AMIS meeting
  • 10/2012 Bangalore : EO data requirements CEOS Plenary
  • 10/2012 Pattaya: 33rd Asian Conference on Remote Sensing
  • 02/2013 Ahmedabad, 6th GEOSS Asia Pacific Symposium
  • 10/2013 Bali: 34th Asian Conference on Remote Sensing

+ regional and national meetings and presentations

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan

Forecasting Agricultural output using Space, Agrometeorology and Land based observations (FASAL) Land Observations

MULTIPLE IN-SEASON FORECAST

Pre- Season

Early- Season Mid- Season State Pre- Harvest State Pre- Harvest District Cropped are a Crop conditio n Crop acrea g e Crop yie ld Revised Assessing Damage Crop ar e a & Production Crop ar e a & Production

ISRO, 1997

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SLIDE 11

The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL

SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops

  • 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY

DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation

  • 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES

AT RISK Food security assessment

Stakeholders Governments AMIS FAO

  • 6. Data, products and INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
  • 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination (JECAM)
  • 4. EO DATA COORDINATION
  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan
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SLIDE 12

The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL

SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops

  • 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY

DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation

  • 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES

AT RISK Food security assessment

Stakeholders Governments AMIS FAO

  • 6. Data, products and INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
  • 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination (JECAM)
  • 4. EO DATA COORDINATION
  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan

Agricultural Expertise (GEO CoP, FAO) Meteorological Expertise (WMO) Earth Observation Expertise (CEOS)

Satellite / ground data / models

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SLIDE 13

The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL

SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops

  • 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY

DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation

  • 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES

AT RISK Food security assessment

Stakeholders Governments AMIS FAO

  • 6. Data, products and INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
  • 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination (JECAM)
  • 4. EO DATA COORDINATION
  • 2. GEOGLAM : Objective, structure, workplan

Agricultural Expertise (GEO CoP, FAO) Meteorological Expertise (WMO) Earth Observation Expertise (CEOS)

Satellite / ground data / models

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SLIDE 14

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring Summary: EO Data/product requirements

Developed taking into consideration the observation needs, the derived products they will serve, and regional specificities; ‘CEOS-GEOGLAM July 2012 Montreal)

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Earth Observation requirements
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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring Summary: EO Data/product requirements

Developed taking into consideration the observation needs, the derived products they will serve, and regional specificities; ‘CEOS-GEOGLAM July 2012 Montreal)

  • 2. GEOGLAM : Earth Observation requirements

300m, daily, optical, superspectral ? Why not better 10-20m, weekly, optical, multispectral 100m, daily, thermal

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The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Northern Hemisphere Crop NDVI Anomalies, Aug 13th, 2012 (Univ. Maryland) – MODIS sensor (VIIRS in the future) Northern Hemisphere Crop LAI Anomalies, Aug 13th, 2012 (Geoland2, FP7) – Vegetation sensor (Sentinel in the future)

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Independent and complementary sources

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USA Russia Kazakhstan

Ukraine

China India Canada

Current season crop development (2012) Average season development (2000-2011)

Crop condition anomalies, NDVI, August 13th, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Quantified assessments

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SLIDE 18

USA Russia Kazakhstan

Ukraine

China India Canada anomaly anomaly anomaly anomaly anomaly

Spring Wheat Spring Wheat Spring Wheat Winter Wheat/ Corn Corn/ Soy

Current season crop development (2012) Average season development (2000-2011)

Crop condition anomalies, NDVI, August 13th, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Quantified assessments

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SLIDE 19

The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Coupling EO data with meteorological data

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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

From global monitoring to national monitoring :

  • High resolution data
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GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

From global monitoring to national monitoring :

  • High resolution data
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D

Potato Rice Wheat Corn Soybean Groundnut Sorghum Sugar crops Cotton Rapeseed/Canola

Range of Crop Calendars Range of Crop Calendars

  • Regional specifities
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The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

JUNE 30, 09 JUNE 30, 08 JULY 15, 09 JULY 15, 08 JULY 31, 2009 JULY 31, 08 AUG 15, 09 AUG 15, 08 AUG 15, 09 AUG 15, 08

Crop Acreage Forecast Maps: Assessment of soil moisture availability for planting of rice and sowing of millets using satellite based rainfall estimates (Irrigation to be accounted separately). Graphs: Model prediction of area planted/sown using soil moisture and crop calendar

1.4 L ha (2009)

  • 87.0%

10.6 L ha (2008) 60.1 L ha (2009)

  • 38.1%

97.1 L ha (2008) 168.5 Lha (2009)

  • 29.7%

239.6 Lha (2008) 224.9 Lha (2009)

  • 1.9%

229.3 Lha (2008) 242.8 Lha (2009)

  • 20.3%

304.7 Lha (2008)

Expected sowing of coarse cereal in Lakh ha Expected planting/sowing of Rice in Lakh ha Source : ISRO

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SLIDE 23

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1975 -Healthy

natural vegetation

Landsat Class Observations

Monitoring agricultural expansion Rondonia, Brazil (USGS / UNEP) Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Multiple use of EO data: GEOGLAM and GFOI

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SLIDE 24

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1975 -Healthy

natural vegetation

  • 1989 - “Fishbone”

pattern on the landscape indicates agriculture fields

Landsat Class Observations

Monitoring agricultural expansion Rondonia, Brazil (USGS / UNEP) Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

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SLIDE 25

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1975 -Healthy

natural vegetation

  • 1989 - “Fishbone”

pattern on the landscape indicates agriculture fields

  • 2001 - Agriculture

continues to replace forest cover

Landsat Class Observations

Monitoring agricultural expansion Rondonia, Brazil (USGS / UNEP) Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

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SLIDE 26

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Max-Planck Institute/ECHAM4 2080s

Monitoring, modeling, simulating Global Change Impacts on Agriculture

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

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SLIDE 27

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Rice area and culture type mapping ISRO, 2014

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SLIDE 28

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Rice area and culture type mapping ISRO, 2014

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SLIDE 29

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Rice area and culture type mapping ISRO, 2014

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SLIDE 30

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

Rice area and culture type mapping ISRO, 2014

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SLIDE 31

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

IRRI, 2014 Rice Area at country level using MODIS data: a) 500 m, b) 10 km

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SLIDE 32

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

Crop Condition Global Outlook : Building I nternational Consensus

IRRI, 2014 Rice Area at country level using MODIS data: a) 500 m, b) 10 km

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SLIDE 33

ISRO, 2013

RADARSAT: 12-Oct-2013

Crop Condition Outlook : After the Episodic Events (Cyclone)

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

RADARSAT: Oct 12, 2013 Need for Pooling Multi- Source Data Quick Turnaround

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SLIDE 34

ISRO, 2013

RADARSAT: 12-Oct-2013 RADARSAT: 14-Oct-2013

 Inundation

Crop Condition Outlook : After the Episodic Events (Cyclone)

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

RADARSAT: Oct 12, 2013 RADARSAT: Oct 14, 2013 Need for Pooling Multi- Source Data Quick Turnaround

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SLIDE 35

ISRO, 2013

RADARSAT: 12-Oct-2013 RADARSAT: 14-Oct-2013

 Inundation

RISAT : 16-Oct-2013

 Inundation

Crop Condition Outlook : After the Episodic Events (Cyclone)

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

RADARSAT: Oct 12, 2013 RADARSAT: Oct 14, 2013 RiSAT: Oct 16, 2013 Need for Pooling Multi- Source Data Quick Turnaround

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SLIDE 36

ISRO, 2013

RADARSAT: 12-Oct-2013 RADARSAT: 14-Oct-2013

 Inundation

RISAT : 16-Oct-2013

 Inundation

RISAT: 17-Oct-2013

Bay Of Bengal

 Inundation

Crop Condition Outlook : After the Episodic Events (Cyclone)

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

RADARSAT: Oct 12, 2013 RADARSAT: Oct 14, 2013 RiSAT: Oct 16, 2013 RiSAT: Oct 17, 2013 Need for Pooling Multi- Source Data Quick Turnaround

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SLIDE 37

The 26th CEOS Plenary – Bengaluru, India - 24-27 October, 2012

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

  • 1. GLOBAL/ REGIONAL

SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS Main producer countries, main crops

  • 2. NATIONAL CAPACITY

DEVELOPMENT for agricultural monitoring using Earth Observation

  • 3. MONITORING COUNTRIES

AT RISK Food security assessment

Stakeholders Governments AMIS FAO

  • 6. Data, products and INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
  • 5. METHOD IMPROVEMENT through R&D coordination (JECAM)
  • 4. EO DATA COORDINATION

Agricultural Expertise (GEO CoP, FAO) Meteorological Expertise (WMO) Earth Observation Expertise (CEOS)

Satellite / ground data / models

  • 4. GEOGLAM : CEOS support to the EO data segment
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SLIDE 38
  • 4. GEOGLAM : Confidence Building

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

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SLIDE 39

Confidence Building: A monthly bulletin for FAO-AMIS

  • 4. GEOGLAM : Confidence Building

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring

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SLIDE 40

Summary

  • Importance of FOOD as an issue has been recognized globally.
  • GEOGLAM is fully endorsed by the G20 and moving with implementation
  • GEOGLAM needs a system of systems (GEOSS) : Coordinated development
  • f observation system is called for.
  • Efforts on showing the validity of concept are on.
  • Ensuring the availability of data and development/validation of data

analysis protocol being addressed.

Task is challenging BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE Together We Can Make It Happen

GEOGLAM : Global Agricultural Monitoring