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GEB Earnings Results 2017 April 03/2018
GEB Earnings Results 2017 April 03/2018 1 Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GEB Earnings Results 2017 April 03/2018 1 Disclaimer The information provided herein is for informational and illustrative purposes only and is not, and does not seek to be, a source of legal, investment or financial advice on any subject.
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GEB Earnings Results 2017 April 03/2018
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Disclaimer
The information provided herein is for informational and illustrative purposes only and is not, and does not seek to be, a source of legal, investment or financial advice on any subject. This presentation does not purport to address any specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. This information does not constitute an offer of any sort and is subject to change without notice. GEB is no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. GEB expressly disclaims any responsibility for actions taken or not taken based on this information. GEB does not accept any responsibility for losses that might result from the execution of the proposals or recommendations presented. GEB is not responsible for any content that may originate with third parties. GEB may have provided, or might provide in the future, information that is inconsistent with the information herein presented. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. This presentation may contain statements that are forward-looking within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, projections and assumptions about future events and trends that may affect EEB and are not guarantees of future performance. The shares have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or any U.S. State securities laws. Accordingly, the shares are being offered and sold in the United States only to qualified institutional buyers as defined under Rule 144A under the Securities Act, and outside the United States in accordance with Regulation S of the Securities Act. We converted some amounts from Colombian pesos into U.S. dollars solely for the convenience of the reader at the TRM published by the SFC as of each period. These convenience translations are not in accordance with U.S. GAAP and have not been audited. These translations should not be construed as a representation that the Colombian peso amounts were, have been or could be converted into U.S. dollars at those or any other rates.
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GEB Overview
Key Updates 2017
Expansion Projects
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GEB at a Glance
Regional Leader in the Energy Sector
GEB is a leading energy company in LatAm, composed by a diversified portfolio of Power and Natural Gas companies, classified in three strategic business lines:
Power Distribution Natural Gas Distribution
3.5 mm clients in Power Distribution 2.7 mm clients in Natural Gas Distribution 12,500 km of Transmission Lines 4,200 km of Gas Pipelines
Power Transmission Natural Gas Transportation
US$ 1.1bn
Consolidated Revenues
2017
US$ 823mm
Consolidated Adj. EBITDA
2017
US$ 6.5bn
Market Cap.
February 28, 2018
~US$ 378 mm
CAPEX 2017
14.1%
CAGR
2013 – 2017
8.4%
CAGR
2013 – 2017
4.7%
Dividend Yield
BBB / BBB- / Baa2
Fitch / S&P / Moody’s
Corporate Investment Grade Credit Rating
Power Generation
3,493 MW in Installed Capacity 14,835 GWh in Power Generation
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Guatemala Colombia Peru Brazil
Leading Participant in Relevant Latin America Energy Markets
Leader in the relevant energy markets of Latin America, with a diversified business portfolio in countries with solid macroeconomic fundamentals and stable regulatory frameworks
Guatemala
# 1 Guatemala(1)
(Private Company)
Market Share
% Revenues NTS
Power Transmission 19.9%(1)
Transmission Network(10) 400 km
Market Share
% Distributed Volume
Natural Gas Dist. / Transp. 80.0%(3)
# 1 Peru(3)
Market Share
% Revenues NTS
Power Transmission 63.6%(2)
# 1 Peru(2)
Peru
Clients(11) 580K
Brazil
Market Share
% Network NTS (km)
Power Transmission 0.9%(9)
Transmission Network 1,100 km(10)
Colombia
Source: GEB. Notes: (1) AMM, November 2017 (http://www.amm.org.gt//ite.php?fecha=09-2017&anio=2017); (2) COES, September 2017 (http://www.coes.org.pe/portal/); (3) Perupetro, September 2017 (http://www.minem.gob.pe/_estadisticaSector.php?idSector=5); (4) SSPD, December 2017 (http://reportes.sui.gov.co/fabricaReportes/frameSet.jsp?idreporte=ele_com_094); (5) XM, December 2017P (http://www.xm.com.co); (6) XM, December 2017 (http://www.xm.com.co); (7) Minminas, September 2017 (Natural Gas Coverage Report as of 3Q 2017); (8) Market share of TGI as of December 2016 (Promigas – Natural Gas Sector Report 2017) and excluding Promigas; (9) MME/ANEEL/ONS, September 2017 (http://www.mme.gov.br/web/guest/secretarias/energia-eletrica/publicacoes/boletim-de-monitoramento-do- sistema-eletrico/boletins-2017 ); (10) GEB corporate presentation; (11) GEB 3Q17 earnings release pages 8 and page 10; (12) In process of divestment under Law 226/95; (13) XM, December 2017 (http://www.xm.com.co) (14) 3Q17 ISA REP-CTM corporate presentation page 3.# 1 Colombia(8)
Market Share
% National Network (km)
Natural Gas Transportation 53.1%(8)
(12)# 1 Colombia(4)
Market Share
% Subscriptions
Power Distribution 23.0%(4) Clients 3.5mm(10)
#1 Colombia(6)
Market Share
% Power Generated
Power Generation 22.2%(6)
Generation ‘17 14,835 GWh(13)
# 1 Colombia(7)
Natural Gas Distribution Market Share
% Connected Users
32.7%(7) Clients 2.1mm(10)
# 2 Colombia(5)
Market Share
% Revenues NTS
Power Transmission 15.2%(5)
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company borrowing with EEB Peru Holdings Ltd., a subsidiary of the Group, up to an amount of USD 100.000.000. The disbursement of these resources hasn’t yet been made.
Ecopetrol was finalized, thus completing the total placement of the shares.
corporate investment grade)
was registered before the Chamber of Commerce, thus, consolidating as a Business Group.
million, with maturity at 7, 15 and 30 years. Completing the authorized program of USD 450 mm..
amount of COP$ 258,598 million corresponding to 100% of the offered package.
Key Updates 4Q 2017 – GEB
Highest Dividends in History(1)
(1) Normalized Dividends
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Key Updates 4Q 2017 – GEB
Highest Dividends in History(1)
(1) Normalized Dividends
1.836.235.403 shares, was approved.
amount of US$749.000.000 of the international bond issued under RegS/144ª and registered at the Luxembourg Stock Exchange with maturity in 2021, through the execution of an external credit agreement for the same amount, in which Bank of America N.A. acts as administrative agent with leading banks Citigroup Global Markets INC, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated and finally Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation.
Disposal of the Fist Stage are published, which includes the Shareholder's Agreement Offer.
Vice-President of Urban Energy Solutions.
Cuestecitas y Cuestecitas – La Loma 500 kV, a project that will drive the development of non-conventional sources of renewable energies.
to which the project for the distribution of net income was approved for an dividend value of $115/share in two payments, one in June and one in October 2018.
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proposal for the methodology to compensate the natural gas transportation activity. The main changes are: i) Calculation of WACC using the rules established by Resolution CREG 095 of 2015. ii) a New model of assessment to determine the cost of efficient infrastructure iii) Shared cost system to balance the difference between the investment and the efficient value iv) Changes in the process when the assets reach their regulatory useful life and others. In accordance with Circular CREG 084 of 2017, the new methodology will be determined in Q1 2018. Nowadays, this WACC is under review by CREG.
remuneration for competitive process projects included in the Natural Gas Supply Plan, prepared by the UPME and adopted by the Ministry of Mining and Energy through Resolution 40006 of January 4, 2017.
they will have a competitive selection process, as follows:
characterization for the new Gas Pipeline Galán Casabe Yondo, within the process being carried out for the definition by mutual agreement of the regulated charges that apply to said gas pipeline.
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Key Updates 4Q 2017 - Cálidda
in 2016).
underground pipelines.
Callao.
polyethylene pipelines. The network now reaches 8,347km of underground pipelines.
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Expansion Projects
Revenue growth has been sustained by a strong capex plan
Executed Capex by Companies(1) (2017 | 939.6 USD Mm*) Executed Capex by Strategic Group (1) (2017 | 939.6 USD Mm*) Executed Capex by Country(1) (2017 | 939.6 USD Mm*) Executed Capex by Investment(1) (2017 | 939.6 USD Mm*)
Source: Company filings * Figures include Controlling and Non Controlling companies ) (1) Excludes Brazil – GEBBRAS CapexGEB Transmission 17% TGI 8%
Contugas 1% Trecsa 3% Cálidda 9% Eebis Guatemala 2% Gas Natural 1% REP 3%Codensa 28%
Emgesa 6%CTM 22% Urban Energy Solutions 48.3% Interconection For Energy Markets 44.2% Low Emission Generation 7.5%
Colombia 74.3% Perú 19.3% Guatemala 5.8%
Subsidiaries 40.2% Associates 59.8%
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Expansion Projects (Direct Invesment in Colombia)
Revenue growth has been sustained by a strong capex plan
Projects Update ( 4Q 2017) Proyecto UPME Progress EAR(1) USD MM Date expected (On stream) Chivor II 58.63% 5.5 06/02/2018 Cartagena Bolívar 87.30% 11.6 13/05/2018 Río Córdoba 92.94% 1.8 04/01/2018 Armenia 98.00% 1.28 26/03/2018 Tesalia 90.00% 10.9 23/08/2018 Sogamoso Norte 70.55% 21.1 08/05/2019 La Loma 500kV 65.50% 1.30 30/06/2018 Refuerzo Suroccidental 32.00% 24.4 30/09/2018 Ecopetrol San Fernando 72.28% 6.0 26/06/2018 Río Córdoba Transformadores 96.57% 0.6 04/01/2018 La Loma STR 110kV 50.44% 6.96 30/06/2018 Conexión Drummond Ltd 93.73% 0.87 04/01/2018 Transformador Altamira 7.83% 0.66 31/03/2019 Ampliación La Loma 500 kV(2) 0.01% 0.35 30/06/2018
93,32
(1) Expected annual revenues. (2) The income of this project, which does not correspond to EAR, is recorded as use assets. It does not include additional revenues of recently awarded Colectora/Cuestecita project.
Projects that currently generate income
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17% 13% 20% 26% 45% 22% 12% 27% 27% 8%
9% 6% 8% 9% 18%52% 24% 29% 38% 29% 44% 16%
$386 $597 $347 $227 $377
Proven Ability to Integrate, Develop and Operate Diversified Energy Businesses
Source: GEB. Notes: (1) Figures for 2013 presented under ColGaap. For 2014-2017 figures are presented under IFRS. Preliminary 2017 financial statements. (2) Cálidda 4Q 2014 results presentation, page 6. (3) Cálidda 3Q 2017 results presentation, page 6. (4) GEB 4Q 2014, page 6. (5) GEB corporate presentation page 3.Strategic Investments to Expand and Consolidate our Business
US$ mm
with planned investments amounting US$1.8bn during the next five years in projects that are currently being executed or have already been approved
UPME and other power transmission expansion projects Proinversion power transmission expansion projects The annual connection of 100,000 users in Cálidda, which accounts for about US$100 million The construction of some bi-directional segments and additional minor networks at TGI Finalizing Trecsa’s network in Guatemala
Future CAPEX Strategy in the Region
Historical Capex - Controlled Subsidiaries(1)Selected Examples of our Integration and Developing Capabilities 2013 163,817(2) customers 2017 534,038(3) customers 2014 122 km(4) network 2017 400 km(5) network 2015 acquisition 4 new transmission lines in our portfolio 2014 began commercial operation 2017 100% operational with 974 km
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
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(Consolidated)
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111,77212%
233,04426%
569,33362%
Electricity Transmission Natural Gas Distribution Natural Gas Transportation
Financial Performance
Consolidated Results (as of 2017)
Operating Profit 2017 by Segment (1)
(COP1,169,750 Mm) (COP$3,322,420 Mm)
(1) Excludes administrative expenses & net of other expenses and gains.
As of 2017 compared to 2016 showed an increase of 6.05% Due to EEC was merged with Codensa since October 1st, 2016, revenues from the segment Electricity Distribution are reported within Codensa data, non-controlled subsidiary through equity method.
mainly due to projects that entered into operation. TRECSA and new transmission lines (UPME) which started generating income for availability.
average thermo demand due to a lower impact of the El Niño which created an increase in the demand in 2016 but which normalized in 2017 and FX conversion effects.
& Cálidda’s revenues, mainly from new power generation and new industrial and residential clients. As of 2017 compared to 2016 operating profit showed an increase of 2.11% Due to revenues growth from natural gas distribution segment (Peru) and from cost on the natural gas transportation segment (Colombia). +46.7%; (COP$47,736 mm) Electricity Transmission: This increase was mainly our contributions to energy funds (Prone and Foes), accounting provision from Electricaribe and depreciation due to TRECSA impairment.
was mainly due to non-recurrent repairs and more maintenance.
mainly due to an increase in the costs of sales of the construction of new PPE for Contugas, as well as higher costs in the natural gas supply, an increase in the volume of gas supplied due to a higher demand from clients and variations in the amortization and depreciation of Cálidda.
the decrease in administrative expenses.
Operating Revenue 2017 by Segment
10.2%
1,761,679
53%
1,221,394
36,8%
Electricity Transmission Natural Gas Distribution Natural Gas Transportation
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Financial Performance
Consolidated Results (as of 2017)
liabilities denominated in foreign currency.
subsidiaries.
exchange difference.
2017 from EBIT to profit
*SPL equity method: Share of profit loss for using equity method
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Low Emission Generation11.2%
Interconnecting For Market Development 56.5% Urban Energy Solutions32%
Others 0.3% Electricity Transmission 13% Electricity Distribution 11.3% Natural Gas Transportation 44.5% Natural Gas Distribution 19.8% Electricity Generation 11.2% Others 0.2%70% 68% 65% 56% 52% 55% 56% 39% 45% 44% 33% 30% 32% 35% 44% 48% 45% 44% 61% 55% 56% 67% 2,455,225 2,466,856 2,437,419 1,964,666 1,775,908 1,447,335 1,369,533 1,122,343 1,053,942 934,163 949,599 823 822 774 821 922 819 705 586 516 416 471
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Operational Ebitda Dividends
Financial Performance
Ebitda Evolution 2007 – 2017
Source: Company filings. Note: Figures for the years 2006–2013 are presented under ColGaap standards. For 2014, 2015 & 2017 are presented under IFRS (1) Normalized for timing differences in dividends declared and paid. 2010 excludes dividends declared based on an early close of Gas Natural, Emgesa and Codensa’s financial statements. These figures are included in 2011, when such dividends would normally have been declared. Anticipated dividends declared by Codensa on first half 2011, were included in 2012. 2014 excludes dividends declared based on an early close of Gas Natural, Emgesa and Codensa’s financial statements. These figures are included in 2015, when such dividends would normally have been declared. (2) EBITDA excludes EMSA contributionNormalized Consolidated EBITDA(1)
Lower EBITDA from lower revenues due to the EEC merger effect and lower transported volume in TGI due to El Niño Phenomenon.
Consolidated EBITDA by Segment(2) Consolidated EBITDA by Strategic Group
USD$
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Financial Performance
Description of Indebetness (as of 2017)
Net Debt / Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA(1)(2) Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA / Net Interest(1)(2) Consolidated Debt Composition Debt Maturity Profile (3)(4)
(USD$ Mm) (USD$ Mm)
COP I PEN USD
Source: Company filings. (1) Covenant associated to this indicator is currently suspended since the bond EEB 2021 has investment grade, granted by two out of three risk rating agencies monitoring the latter. Covenant established in Offering Memorandum of USD749,000,000 EEB 6.125% Senior Notes due 2021. It includes anticipated dividends. (2) Increase is mainly explained by increase of foreign exchange (USD/COP movements). (3) 2019:Syndicated loan acquired by Contugas (USD342 mm) and additional indebtedness incurred by SPV in order to reacquire 31.92% shares of TGI IELAH (USD184 mm outstanding debt) Debt maturity profile as of Dec 2016. (4) 2024, 2032, 2042, corresponds to the local bond maturities denominated in Colombian Pesos.2.95x 3.07x 3.17x 2.84x 2.56x 4.50x 4Q 17 3Q 17 2Q 17 1Q 17 4Q 16 7.05x 6.53x 6.56x 6.54x 7.40x 2.25x 4Q 17 3Q 17 2Q 17 1Q 17 4Q 16
1,543 1,737 1,733 2,218 3,009 2,803 2,567 2,946
96.6% 93.6% 97.1% 97.8% 99.3% 98.0% 99.0% 84.7%2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3.4% 6.4% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 2.0% 1.0% 15.3%121.1 590.9 189.8 180.9 875.7 1,133.2 138.1 32.2 31.6 21.2 160.7 11.0 63.9 7.1 7.1 103.7
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2031 2032 2033 2042 2043 2046 2047
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
For more information about Grupo Energía Bogotá (GEB) contact our Investor Relations and financing team: Felipe Castilla Canales Paola Viloria
Financing & Investor Relations Advisor +57 (1) 326 8000 Ext 1611
CFO
pviloria@geb.com.co
www.geb.com.co www.grupoenergiabogota.com/en/investor s
ir@geb.com.co
+57 (1) 326 8000 Ext 1501
Sandra Jimenez
Financing & Investor Relations Advisor +57 (1) 326 8000 Ext 1827
Rafael Salamanca
Financing & Investor Relations Advisor +57 (1) 326 8000 Ext 1675
rsalamanca@geb.com.co sjimenezv@geb.com.co
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