GAZPROM: 2019 IFRS RESULTS 1 FY2019 IFRS RESULTS Alexan xander - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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GAZPROM: 2019 IFRS RESULTS 1 FY2019 IFRS RESULTS Alexan xander - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

GAZPROM: 2019 IFRS RESULTS 1 FY2019 IFRS RESULTS Alexan xander der Ivannik nikov Head of Departm tment nt 2 FY2019 IFRS RESULTS DISCLAIMER This presentation has been prepared by PJSC Gazprom (the Company), and comprises the slides


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SLIDE 1

1

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

GAZPROM: 2019 IFRS RESULTS

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SLIDE 2

2

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

Alexan xander der Ivannik nikov

Head of Departm tment nt

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SLIDE 3

3

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

DISCLAIMER

This presentation has been prepared by PJSC Gazprom (the “Company”), and comprises the slides for a presentation to investors concerning the Company. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any viewer of this presentation considering a purchase of such securities is hereby reminded that any such purchase should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the prospectus or other offering document prepared in relation thereto and will be subject to the selling restrictions set out therein. The information in this presentation should not be treated as investment advice. Care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and

  • reasonable. However, the contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or

warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its members, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in or discussed at this

  • presentation. None of the Company or any of their respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts

any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The information in this presentation includes forward-looking statements, such statements may also occur during the Q&A session. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the prospectus, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward- looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. By attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

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SLIDE 4

4

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

100 200 300

Ряд1

TTF 1 Month Ahead INTERNAL HIGHLIGHTS:

  • UNPRECEDENTED DIVIDENDS,

NEW DIVIDEND POLICY

  • SUCCESSFUL SALE OF TREASURY

SHARES

  • OIL BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT
  • STRONG PERFORMANCE

OF ASSOCIATED COMPANIES EURO ROPEA EAN WEATHER ER INDEX EX GAS S SPOT PRICES ES EXTERNAL CONDITIONS:

  • GAZPROM PRICES IN EUROPE WERE HIGHER

THAN THE HUB SPOT PRICES

  • UNFAVOURABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS
  • WEAKER AVERAGE ROUBLE EXCHANGE RATE

OFFSET BY STRONGER ROUBLE AT YEAR END

  • LOWER MINERAL TAX RATE FOR GAS

SUSTAINABLE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE IN CHALLENGING MARKETS

+1%

GAS PRODUCTION GROWTH

501

BCM PRODUCED IN 2019

$211

AVERAGE GAS SALES PRICE IN EUROPE

199

BCM EXPORTED IN 2019

* The index is the sum of degree days for the corresponding month HDD — heating degree days CDD — heating degree days The calculation was based on data on weather conditions in more than 90 areas of different European countries

USD/mcm

slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,860 1,203 1,776 1,775 2,491

  • 200

800 1,800 2,800 3,800 4,800 Sales EBITDA Net profit CAPEX Operating CF adj. FCF adj. Net debt adj.

1 2 3 4

(0,6)

  • EXPECTED SOFTER FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE VS RECORD-HIGH 2018
  • 44% DECLINE IN EUROPEAN SPOT GAS PRICES AS THE KEY NEGATIVE DRIVER
  • RECORD-HIGH CAPEX COVERED BY OPERATING CASH FLOW
  • RECORD-HIGH DIVIDENDS

2019 IFRS RESULTS

1 EBITDA adjusted for changes in impairment provisions 2 Profit attributable to PJSC Gazprom’s shareholders for the period 3 Cash capital expenditures 4 Compared to Net debt as of December 31, 2018

  • 17

17% +12% +12%

  • 28%

28%

2018 vs 2019

  • 17%

17% +8% +8%

Adjusted for analytical purposes*

*In order to reflect the effects of the decrease in bank deposits (reported as part

  • f Other current and Other non-current assets) and debt payment to Naftogaz
  • 7%

7%

RUB bn

  • 100

100%

9,000 8,000

7 660 660

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SLIDE 6

6

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

2,951 2,490 811 606 1,000 2,000 3,000 2018 2019 4Q18 4Q19 NET SALES TO EUROPE&OC 240 236 77 73 3,981 4,118 4,140 4,182 1000 2000 3000 4000 100 200 300 2018 2019 4Q18 4Q19 VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN RUSSIA

GAS BUSINESS

954 971 318 305 200 400 600 800 1,000 2018 2019 4Q18 4Q19 NET SALES TO RUSSIA

RUB/mcm bcm RUB bn

Calculations may differ due to rounding. 1 Net of value added tax (VAT) 2 OC — other countries, including LNG sales 3 VAT is not charged on export sales 4 Net of custom duties and excise tax on gas exports

bcm USD/mcm

1 3.4

+2% +2%

RU RUSSIA IA EURO ROPE E & OC 2 FSU

243 232 58 61 246 211 274 198 100 200 300 100 200 300 2018 2019 4Q18 4Q19 VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN EUROPE&OC

USD/mcm bcm

38 39 11 12 163 157 176 153 100 200 10 20 30 40 50 2018 2019 4Q18 4Q19 VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN FSU

  • 4%

4%

RUB bn

  • 16%

16%

  • 25%

25% 349 356 113 105 100 200 300 400 2018 2019 4Q18 4Q19 NET SALES TO FSU

RUB bn

+2% +2%

  • 7%

7%

3.4

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SLIDE 7

7

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS 35% 58% 6%

OIL AND GAS S CONDEN ENSA SATE, E, REFIN INED ED PRO RODUCT CTS

OIL AND ENERGY BUSINESS

Calculations may differ due to rounding. 1 Net of value added tax (VAT), excise tax and custom duties.

REVENUE E BY SEGMEN MENT1

2,915 2,864 778 778 699 699

1,000 2,000 3,000 2018 2019 4Q2018 4Q2019

RUB bn

2018 2019

  • 2%

2%

ELECTRICIT ICITY Y AND D HEAT

  • 10%

10%

522 522 518 518 160 160 145 145

200 400 600 2018 2019 4Q2018 4Q2019

RUB bn

  • 1%

1%

  • 9%

9%

37% 56% 7% CRUDE OIL AND GAS CONDENSATE; REFINED PRODUCTS GAS BUSINESS, TRANSPORTATION AND OTHER REVENUES ELECTRICITY AND HEAT

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SLIDE 8

8

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

  • CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL (A PART OF OPERATING

CASH FLOWS) INCLUDE CHANGES IN ST BANK DEPOSITS

  • OPERATING CASH FLOWS AND FREE CASH FLOW NEED TO

BE ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN ST BANK DEPOSITS FOR ANALYTICAL PURPOSES

IMPACT OF BANK DEPOSITS

  • BANK DEPOSITS ARE NOT INCLUDED IN СASH AND

CASH EQUIVALENTS

  • NET DEBT AND NET DEBT/EBITDA NEED TO BE

ADJUSTED FOR BANK DEPOSITS FOR ANALYTICAL PURPOSES ST & LT BANK K DEPOSIT SITS S VOLU LUMES MES APPL PLYIN ING OF LT AND ST BANK K DEPOSIT SITS S IS AIMED ED AT IMPRO ROVIN ING THE EFFIC ICIEN IENCY CY OF LIQU QUID IDIT ITY Y MANAGEM EMEN ENT

144 144 328 328 796 796 673 673 42 42 2 1 3

200 400 600 800 2016 2017 2018 2019 ST DEPOSITS LT DEPOSITS

  • 78

78 243 243 510 510

  • 123

123

  • 100

100 300 500 2016 2017 2018 2019 RUB bn RUB bn  EARLY WITHDRAWAL CLAUSE  DEPOSIT TERM OF OVER 3 MONTHS

KEY FEA EATURES RES OF BANK K DEPOSIT SITS: S: ST BANK K DEPOS OSIT ITS S CHANGES

1 Reported as a part of Other current assets and Other non-current assets Source: Gazprom FY2019 IFRS report, note 12

676 676 798 798 330 330 186 186

IMPACT CT OF BANK K DEPOS OSIT ITS S ON NET DEBT: IMPACT CT OF CHANGES ES IN ST DEPOS OSIT ITS ON CASH H FLOWS:

1

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SLIDE 9

9

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

445 130 282 189 17 87 282 189 558 551

6

  • 200
  • 100

100 200 300 400 500 600 700

REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL

4Q2019 ADJUSTED FREE CASH FLOW BREAKDOWN

RUB bn

CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS OCF before working capital changes Changes in working capital excl. adjustments Changes in ST deposits Debt payment to Naftogaz Tax paid OCF reported Adjustments for the Inctrease of ST bank deposits Adjustments for debt payment Naftogaz OCF adj. CAPEX FCF adj. DEBT PAYMENT TO NAFTOGAZ

POSITIVE FCF ADJUSTED IN 4Q2019

REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL

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SLIDE 10

10

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,639 1,776 448 448 551 551 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2018 2019 4Q2018 4Q2019

CAPITAL EXPENDTURES

RUB bn

CASH H CAPEX EX

+ 8 % +23 %

NEUTRAL RAL FCF adj. . DESPIT ITE E RECORD RD CAPEX EX

2,127 1,640 1,775 1,776 488 488

  • 0,6

400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2018 2019

CAPEX Operational cash flow adj. Free cash flow adj.

RUB bn

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SLIDE 11

11

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS 62.4 11.2 51.2 10.9 0.05 40.2 1.8 1.4

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Total Debt Cash & equivalents Net Debt reported ST deposits LT deposits Net Debt adjusted Net Debt/EBITDA

KEY DEBT METRICS

NET DEBT IN FY20191 DEBT BREAKD KDOWN BY CURREN ENCY CASH H BREAKD KDOWN (INCL. L. DEPOSIT SITS) S) BY CURREN ENCY CY

1 Net Debt adjusted for the bank deposits reported as a part of Other current assets and Other non-current assets (see Slide 8 for details). Based on calculations in USD.

RUB 24% USD 21% EUR 48% Other 7%

NET DEBT ADJUSTED ED FO FOR BANK K DEPOS OSIT ITS1

RUB 72% USD 9% EUR 18% Other 1%

USD bn USD bn

28.8 35.9 31.9 40.2 17.9 20.8 23.7 22.2 1.5 1.4 0.8 1.4

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 20 40 60 80 100 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net Debt adj. Cash & equivalents (incl. deposits) Net Debt adj./EBITDA

DEBT MATURIT ITY Y PRO ROFIL ILE

USD bn

12.5 .5 7.3 11.5 8.8 6.1 7.8 8.4

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025-2029 After 2029

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SLIDE 12

12

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

NEW DIVIDEND POLICY

OUTL TLOO OOK

RUB/share

  • THE NEW DIVIDEND POLICY WAS ADOPTED IN

DECEMBER 2019

  • DIVIDEND PAYOUT FOR 2019 — 30% OF IFRS

NET PROFIT

  • 2019 NET INCOME WAS NOT ADJUSTED FOR

NON-CASH ITEMS IN THE SHAREHOLDERS’ INTERESTS

  • TARGET PAYOUT LEVEL — 50% OF
  • ADJ. NET INCOME FOR 2021
  • CONSERVATIVE FINANCIAL POLICY AIMED AT

SECURING DIVIDEND PAYOUTS OUT OF FREE CASH FLOW

  • COMMITMENT TO THE NEW DIVIDEND POLICY

DESPITE CHALLENGING MARKETS

DIVIDE IDEND D PER SHAR ARE

1 Proposed by the Management Committee

DIVID IDEN END PAYMEN YMENT AS PER APPR PROVED ED POLIC ICY Y IS OUR KEY Y PRIORIT ITY

7.89 7.89 8.0397 8.04 16.61 15.24 14% 31% 29% 23% 36%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F

DPS Dividends as % of IFRS net income adj.

1

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SLIDE 13

13

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

COST OPTIMISATION

ESTIMA TIMATED D EBIT ITDA A CHAN ANGE GE IN 2020, , %

  • THE NATURAL GAS MARKET WAS

NOT AFFECTED BY COVID-19 RESPONSE TOO MUCH

  • SOFTER GAS PRICES

INCENTIVISE GAS CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE AND WORLDWIDE

  • SOFTER GAS PRICES LIMIT LNG

SUPPLY AND PUT PRESSURE ON FID APPROVAL FOR PLANNED PROJECTS

  • LOWER OIL PRODUCTION IN THE

US IS EXPECTED TO REDUCE ASSOCIATED GAS PRODUCTION

  • FALLING OIL PRICES WILL PUT

PRESSURE ON LNG PRICES UNDER LONG-TERM CONTRACTS, WHICH IS SET TO MAKE NATURAL GAS MORE COMPETITIVE AGAINST OTHER ENERGY SOURCES AND BOOST ITS CONSUMPTION

MARKET RKET FACT CTOR ORS ADDIT ITIONAL IONAL COST SAVING VING MEAS EASUR URES IN 2020

MEASU SURES ES TARGET ET IMPACT CT (RU RUB bn bn incl.

  • l. VAT)

Operati ating ng expenses es Cutting spending limits in the gas business Reduction within 20% RUB 140 bn Cutting spending limits in the utilities business Reduction within 20%

  • f semi-controllable expenses

Cutting operating expenses in the oil business Lower expenses mostly due to reduction of brownfield well interventions CAPEX EX Reduced cash capex under PJSC Gazprom’s investment program Reduction by 20% RUB 216 bn Reduced capex of the oil business Reduction by around 20% Over RUB 100 bn Incom

  • me

e increas ease Domestic gas market Higher revenue and decrease in receivables RUB 40 bn

slide-14
SLIDE 14

14

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

RESILIENCE TO EXTERNAL CHALLENGES

  • THE INDUSTRY IS FACING THE MOST DIFFICULT SITUATION OVER A LONG PERIOD OF TIME
  • ALL GLOBAL OIL AND GAS PLAYERS HAVE BEEN SEVERELY AFFECTED BY A UNIQUE COMBINATION OF HEADWINDS
  • GAZPROM MAINTAINS ITS STRONG POSITION DUE TO A NUMBER OF LONG-TERM FACTORS AND RESPONSE MEASURES

FUNDAMENT AMENTAL AL ADVANT ANTAGE GES

 Low production cash cost  Leadership in the European gas market  Diversification secured by the launch of gas

supplies to China

 Balanced portfolio of long-term contracts

1

ROBUS UST FINAN ANCIAL IAL POSITION ITION

 Moderate leverage  Large short-term liquidity buffer  Conservative financial policy  Free cash flow upside through the launch

  • f key projects

 Favourable FX breakdown of cash flows

2

FURTHE THER OPTIM IMIS ISATION TION EFFORTS TS

 Lower OPEX cap  Lower CAPEX financing limits  Search for additional sources of cash flow

  • ptimisation

 Leverage control

3

FOCUS ON DIVIDE IDEND ND PAYOU OUTS TS AND SUSTAINA INABLE DEVELOPME OPMENT NT

 Commitment to the Dividend policy  Social responsibility  Initiatives on sustainable development,

  • incl. ESG

 Focus on transparency and investor

relations

4

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SLIDE 15

15

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

2,086 2,100 2,034

2,086 14 123 189 325 1,709 123 189 1,775 1,776 (0.6)

  • 400
  • 200

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600

REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL

2019 ADJUSTED FREE CASH FLOW BREAKDOWN

RUB bn

CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS

NEUTRAL FCF ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN ST DEPOSITS IN 2019

DEBT PAYMENT TO NAFTOGAZ OCF before working capital changes Changes in working capital excl. adjustments Changes in ST deposits Debt payment to Naftogaz Tax paid OCF reported Adjustments for the decrease of ST bank deposits Adjustments for debt payment Naftogaz OCF adj. CAPEX FCF adj.

REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL

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SLIDE 17

17

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Bank of Russia website 1 OC — Other countries: including LNG sales

USD/RUB USD/bbl USD/mcm RUB/mcm

1

71.2 64.2 69.9 63.4 20 40 60 80 2018 2019 BRENT URALS 62.7 64.7 69.5 61.9 20 40 60 80 2018 2019 USD/RUB AVERAGE RATE USD/RUB AS OF THE END OF PERIOD 246.4 210.6 50 100 150 200 250 2018 2019 AVERAGE GAZPROM GAS SALES PRICE IN EUROPE & OC 3,981 4,118 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2018 2019 AVERAGE GAZPROM GAS PRICE IN RUSSIA

MARKET CONDITIONS IN 2019 AND 2018

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SLIDE 18

18

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

  • 1%

1%

  • 2%

2% +2% +2% 498.7 501.2 133.5 132.5 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 2018 2019 4q18 4q19

Natur ural al gas Crude e oil Gas condens nsat ate

Gazprom Group’s volumes produced in Russia Calculations may diverge due to rounding.

OPERATING METRICS

bcm mln ton mln ton

+1% +1%

  • 1%

1% 15.9 16.7 4.4 4.5 0.0 10.0 20.0 2018 2019 4q18 4q19 48.3 48.0 12.0 11.7 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 2018 2019 4q18 4q19

Electric icit ity Heat

bn kWh mln Gcal

153.2 149.0 41.2 39.9 0.0 40.0 80.0 120.0 160.0 2018 2019 4q18 4q19 131.3 122.4 45.4 40.8 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 2018 2019 4q18 4q19 +5% +5%

  • 3%

3%

  • 3%

3%

  • 7%

7%

  • 10%

10%

slide-19
SLIDE 19

19

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

19

GAS BALANCE IN RUSSIA

Bcm 2018 2018 2019 2019 4Q2018 18 4Q2019 19 Natura tural l gas s reso sources rces 810.6 .64 811.5 .55 219.0 .02 218.1 .14 Domestic gas production 725.41 738.41 193.61 194.07 Other sources including Central Asian and Azerbaijani gas 23.49 27.48 4.34 7.48 Gas withdrawn from underground storage in Russia, Latvia and Europe 59.33 42.85 20.66 16.06 Decrease in the amount of gas within the gas transportation system 2.42 2.82 0.41 0.53 Natura tural l gas s distrib stribution tion 810.6 .64 811.5 .55 219.0 .02 218.1 .14 Domestic consumption 493.18 480.99 144.48 140.20 including needs of the gas transportation system and underground storages 40.55 38.40 10.77 9.92 Gas pumped into underground storages 56.17 53.29 3.97 3.54 Gas for LNG production 20.94 43.20 9.60 11.50 Foreign supplies 200.29 193.05 48.82 49.77 FSU supplies 36.70 37.72 10.62 11.93 Increase in the amount of gas within the gas transportation system 3.07 3.31 0.84 1.21

Source: Company Operating Data

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SLIDE 20

20

FY2019 IFRS RESULTS

THANK YOU!