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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
GAZPROM: 2018 IFRS RESULTS APRIL 29, 2019 1 FY2018 IFRS RESULTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GAZPROM: 2018 IFRS RESULTS APRIL 29, 2019 1 FY2018 IFRS RESULTS Alexan xander der Ivannik nikov He Head of Departm tment nt 2 FY2018 IFRS RESULTS DISCLAIMER This presentation has been prepared by PJSC Gazprom (the Company), and
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
This presentation has been prepared by PJSC Gazprom (the “Company”), and comprises the slides for a presentation to investors concerning the Company. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any viewer of this presentation considering a purchase of such securities is hereby reminded that any such purchase should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the prospectus or other offering document prepared in relation thereto and will be subject to the selling restrictions set out therein. The information in this presentation should not be treated as investment advice. Care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and
warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its members, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in or discussed at this
any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The information in this presentation includes forward-looking statements, such statements may also occur during the Q&A session. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the prospectus, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward- looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. By attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
20 20 21 21 24 24 25 25 25 25 29 29 32 32 36 36 41 41
10 20 30 40 2016 1q17 2q17 3q17 2017 1q18 2q18 3q18 4q18
Y-O-Y GAS PRODUCTION GROWTH
BCM PRODUCED IN 2018
6.3 1.9 0.4 7.8
2 4 6 8 2015 2016 2017 2018 USD bn
Y-O-Y GAS EXPORT TO EUROPE
BCM EXPORTED IN 2018
ROBUST OIL BUSINESS GROWTH STRONG PERFORMANCE OF ASSOCIATES LOWER COSTS DUE TO RUBLE WEAKENING RECORD HIGH DIVIDENDS
USD bn
EBITDA Adj.
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
2,599 1,456 1,639 2,127 488 488 2,217 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Sales EBITDA Net profit CAPEX Operating CF adj. FCF adj. Net debt adj.
1 2 3 4
RECORD HIGH KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS: SALES, EBITDA, NET PROFIT 8 QUARTERS OF CONSECUTIVE LTM EBITDA GROWTH (IN USD) 2016-2018 EBITDA CAGR AT 45% (IN USD)
1 EBITDA adjusted for changes in impairment provisions 2 Profit attributable to PJSC Gazprom’s shareholders for the period 3 Cash capital expenditures 4 Compared to Net debt as of December 31, 2017
+49% +7% +77%
2017 vs 2018
+104% +17%
Adjusted for analytical purposes*
*In order to reflect the effects of the increase in bank deposits (reported as part of Other current and Other non-current assets) increase
+26%
RUB bn
+20 x
9,000 8,000 8, 224
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
2,221 2,951 674 811 1000 2000 3000 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 NET SALES TO EUROPE&OC 230 240 73 77 3,808 3,981 3,942 4,140 1000 2000 3000 4000 100 200 300 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN RUSSIA
876 954 288 318 200 400 600 800 1000 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 NET SALES TO RUSSIA
RUB/mcm bcm RUB bn
Calculations may differ due to rounding. 1 Net of value added tax (VAT) 2 OC - other countries, including LNG sales 3 VAT is not charged on export sales 4 Net of custom duties and excise tax on gas exports
bcm USD/mcm
1 3,4
+9% +9%
242 243 68 58 200 246 219 274 100 200 300 100 200 300 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN EUROPE&OC
USD/mcm bcm
35 38 11 11 158 163 157 176 100 200 10 20 30 40 50 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN FSU +10 10%
RUB bn
+33% +33% +2 +20% 293 349 91 113 100 200 300 400 2017 2018 4Q17 4Q18 NET SALES TO FSU
RUB bn
+19% +19% +2 +24%
3,4
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
34% 58% 8%
Crude e oil and gas conden ensat ate; e; refined ined product ucts sales
Calculations may differ due to rounding. 1 Net of value added tax (VAT), excise tax and custom duties.
2,227 2,915 612 612 778 778 1,000 2,000 3,000 2017 2018 4Q2017 4Q2018
RUB bn
20 2017 17 20 2018 18
+31 +31%
Electr tric icit ity and heat t sales
+27 +27%
504 504 522 522 154 154 160 160 200 400 600 2017 2018 4Q2017 4Q2018
RUB bn
+4 +4% +4 +4% 35% 58% 6%
CRUDE OIL AND GAS CONDENSATE; REFINED PRODUCTS GAS BUSINESS, TRANSPORTATION AND OTHER REVENUES ELECTRICITY AND HEAT
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
26.8 28.8 35.9 31.9 20.5 17.9 20.8 23.7 0.9 1.5 1.4 0.8
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 20 40 60 2015 2016 2017 2018 Net Debt adj. Cash & equivalents (incl. deposits) Net Debt adj./EBITDA 55.6 12.2 43.4 11.5 0.02 31.9 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.2 20 40 60 Total Debt Cash & equivalents Net Debt reported ST deposits LT deposits Net Debt adjusted Net Debt/EBITDA
2018 adjus usted ed Net t Debt t structur ture1 Tot
al Debt t breakdo kdown by curren ency Cash, , cash equiv uivalents alents, , bank k deposit its breakdo kdown n by curren ency
1 Net Debt adjusted for the bank deposits reported as a part of Other current and non-current assets (see Slide 9 for details). Based on calculations in USD.
RUB 20% USD 29% EUR 43% Other 8%
Tot
al Debt t maturit rity profile ile Net t Debt adjus usted ed for bank k deposit its1
RUB 54% USD 25% EUR 19% Other 2%
8.2 8.7 6.8 8.4 8.7 4.6 10.2 2 4 6 8 10 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 After 2024
USD bn USD bn USD bn
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
1,922 1,617
2,671 239 239 305 305 1,617 510 510 2,127 1,639 488 488 510 510
300 700 1,100 1,500 1,900 2,300 2,700
REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL
OCF before working capital changes Net working capital and
changes Tax paid OCF reported Adjustment for increase in ST deposits OCF adjusted CAPEX FCF adjusted
RUB bn
CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS
FCF ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS REMAINS POSITIVE AT RUB 488 BN ($7.8 BN) IN 2018
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS 694 694 36 36 91 91 191 191 376 376 567 567 448 448 119 119 376 376
200 400 600
OCF before working capital changes Net working capital and
changes Tax paid OCF reported Adjustment for increase in ST deposits OCF adjusted CAPEX FCF adjusted
–
RUB bn
FCF ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS REMAINS POSITIVE AT RUB 119 BN ($1.8 BN) IN 4Q2018
CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS
REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
26.2 22.3 20.5 24.5 24.1 34.0 7.8 1.8 0.4
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 20.5 24.1 26.2 7.2 6.7 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2016 2017 2018 4Q2017 4Q2018 1 Capex breakdown as provided in Management Report
USD bn
USD bn
2016 2017 2018 Operating cash flow adj. CAPEX Free cash flow adj.
+ 9 %
6 %
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
5.99 7.20 7.20 7.89 8.0397 8.04 10.43 2 4 6 8 10 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
RUB/share
HISTORICALLY RECORD-HIGH DIVIDENDS IN 2019 OVER THE PAST FEW YEARS, GAZPROM
CONSISTENTLY INCREASED DPS IN RUBLE TERMS
KEEPING DPS IN RUBLE TERMS NOT LOWER
THAN THE LEVEL OF THE PREVIOUS PAYMENT
MAINTENANCE OF CONSERVATIVE FINANCIAL
STRATEGY
BALANCED APPROACH TO THE DIVIDEND POLICY
1
1 Proposed by the Management Committee
+30% 30%
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
CONSERVATIVE FINANCIAL POLICY, COSTS CONTROL IMPROVING FCF PROFILE DIVIDEND GROWTH POTENTIAL STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIVE PROJECTS (CAPEX PEAK IN 2018 - 2019) BUSINESS GROWTH IN GAS AND OIL SEGMENTS; FURTHER GROWTH POTENTIAL IMPROVING IN GAS MARKET
EXPORT GROWTH. OUTSTANDING RESOURCE BASE AND INFRASTRUCTURE HIGH COMPETITIVENESS OF GAZPROM’S GAS. RECORD HIGH EXPORTS, LOW COST BASE WORLD LARGEST PRODUCER AND EXPORTER OF NATURAL GAS – THE CLEANEST FOSSIL FUEL
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Bank of Russia website 1 OC - Other countries: including LNG sales
USD/RUB USD/bbl USD/mcm RUB/mcm
1
54.1 71.2 52.9 69.9 20 40 60 80 2017 2018 BRENT URALS 58.4 62.7 57.6 69.5 20 40 60 80 2017 2018 USD/RUB AVERAGE RATE USD/RUB AS OF THE END OF PERIOD 200.2 246.4 50 100 150 200 250 2017 2018 AVERAGE GAZPROM GAS SALES PRICE IN EUROPE & OC 3,808 3,981 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 2017 2018 AVERAGE GAZPROM GAS PRICE IN RUSSIA
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
1% +1% +1% +2% +2% 472.1 498.7 131.4 133.5 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 2017 2018 4q17 4q18
Natural gas Crude oil Gas condensate
Gazprom Group’s volumes produced in Russia Calculations may diverge due to rounding.
bcm mln ton mln ton
+6% +6% +2% +2% 15.9 15.9 4.3 4.4 0.0 10.0 20.0 2017 2018 4q17 4q18 48.6 48.3 11.9 12.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 2017 2018 4q17 4q18
Electricity Heat
bn kWh mln Gcal
155.5 151.5 42.5 41.2 40 80 120 160 2017 2018 4q17 4q18 126.5 130.8 43.0 45.4 50 100 150 2017 2018 4q17 4q18 +0% +0%
3%
3% +3% +3% +6%
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
Changes in working capital (a part of Operating cash flows)
include changes in ST bank deposits
Operating cash flows and Free cash flow need to be adjusted
for changes in ST bank deposits for analytical purposes
Bank deposits are NOT included in Сash and cash
equivalents
Net Debt and Net Debt/EBITDA need to be adjusted for
bank deposits for analytical purposes
144 144 328 328 796 796 42 42 2 1 200 400 600 800
2016 2017 2018
LT DEPOSITS ST DEPOSITS
186 186 330 330
78 243 243 510 510
100 300 500
2016 2017 2018
RUB bn RUB bn Early withdrawal clause Deposit term of over 3 months
1 Source: Gazprom FY2018 IFRS report, note 12 2 Reported as a part of Other current assets and Other non-current assets
79 798
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS
Bcm 201 2017 2018 2018 4Q2017 17 4Q2018 18 Natura tural l gas s reso sources rces 770.2 .29 810.64 64 214.0 .09 219.02 02 Domestic gas production 691.19 725.41 188.29 193.61 Other sources including Central Asian and Azerbaijani gas 25.33 23.49 6.13 4.34 Gas withdrawn from underground storage in Russia, Latvia and Europe 50.45 59.33 19.05 20.66 Decrease in the amount of gas within the gas transportation system 3.31 2.42 0.61 0.41 Natura tural l gas s distrib stribution tion 770.2 .29 810.64 64 214.0 .09 219.02 02 Domestic consumption 468.01 493.18 140.81 144.48 including needs of the gas transportation system and underground storages 37.81 40.55 11.11 10.77 Gas pumped into underground storages 53.02 56.17 4.13 3.97 Gas for LNG production 15.46 20.94 4.16 9.60 Foreign supplies 197.40 200.29 53.50 48.82 FSU supplies 32.88 36.70 10.58 10.62 Increase in the amount of gas within the gas transportation system 3.52 3.07 1.02 0.84
Source: Company Operating Data
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FY2018 IFRS RESULTS