FY20 Q1 Results Presentation February 2020 Section 1 Business - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY20 Q1 Results Presentation February 2020 Section 1 Business - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
OneSmart International Education Group Limited FY20 Q1 Results Presentation February 2020 Section 1 Business Updates China afterschool tutoring (AST) market: tremendous potential exists in online sector, with lower tier cities generating
Section 1
Business Updates
3
China afterschool tutoring (AST) market: tremendous potential exists in
- nline sector, with lower tier cities generating majority of growth
Note: Tier-1 includes 4 cities, Tier-2 includes 45 cities; Source: NBS, CEIC, Goldman Sachs Research
Online AST market is growing 4x faster than market average:
- 41% online AST enrollment penetration by 2025E
from 15% in 2019E, or 54mn K-12 online AST students
- May further increase driven by rising online adoption
under recent coronavirus situation
61% of online AST students to come from low- tier cities (Tier-3 and below), for a number of reasons:
- Lower tier cities takes 70% of total K-12 student
populations of China
- Lack of quality teachers in lower tier cities leads to
demand for online AST providing quality teachers
- Lower competition due to low penetration rate by offline
AST players
Online students distribution by city tier Rapid increase of online penetration rates
Student population
4
Premium Market Mass to high-end market
OneSmart online positioning: Focus on premium services to provide more effective learning experience and outcome
Note: Premium market refers to either 1-on-1classes priced at or above RMB 200 per session or small group classes priced at or above RMB 120 per session, according to Frost & Sullivan Source: Frost & Sullivan: China’s K-12 After-School Tutoring Market Study
NYSE: ONE NYSE: TAL NYSE: EDU
OneSmart Online
Online big class players Online recorded class players
Differentiated Segment Offline Business Online Business
- K-12 premium 1on1
- Small group young
children education
- Class format
- Lower price
Premium sector grows much faster than
- verall market: 16% vs. 9% (2018-2022F
CAGR)
Premium 1on1 provides most effective
learning: OneSmart high school admission rates 94% vs. 50% China average
Target score improvement demand due to
entrance exam competition vs. regular advanced learning demand by big class player
Effectiveness ensured by high
engagements, tailor-made programs and AI powered smart teaching
Suitable for younger students vs.
- nline big classes suitable for self
driven older students
OMO model integrated with offline
- perations, to ensure services quality
and manage customer acquisition cost Focused on premium online 1on1
5
Better Teacher Convenience
Customer Needs
Customer Demand Served by OneSmart Online
希望加频的同时 希望节约往返校区的时间 /
Customer Types
Existing Customer New Customer
More frequency while also save commute time: Weekday online courses Same city but long distance from OneSmart center: OMO model Better teacher For high school students* OMO model
* Online education suitable for high school students because:
1.
Lower tier city students demand for higher quality teachers often gathered in the largest cities of China such as Beijing and Shanghai
2.
College entrance exam is more standardized countrywide in China;
3.
Students more self driven thus more concentrated when doing online classes
OneSmart online products designed for incremental demand, helps expand into areas where offline centers cannot yet cover
- Convenient for students at long
distance to our centers or students prefer online education
- Choices for higher quality teachers
located in the largest cities of China
- 1. Weekday online classes
- 2. OneSmart OMO model
OneSmart Online
- Weekday online classes offered to
all existing offline students for convenience and higher frequency
- f study
6
City Tier Positioning Higher Lower Higher Tier 1 & 15 Largest Tier 2 Cities OneSmart Offline & Weekday Online Tier 3 Cities OneSmart Online OMO Tier 2 Cities OneSmart Offline & Online OMO
OneSmart Business Line / City Tier Matrix
Online offerings provide a much larger addressable market
OneSmart Offline Business
Note: Tier-1 includes 4 cities, Tier-2 includes 45 cities
- Upgrade to more premium Elite products to
drive incremental growth
- Growth strategy is to scale up the top 20 cites
to achieve city level operations efficiency and economy of scale
- Incremental growth and margin expansion
driven by ramp-up of the 237 centers opened in FY18 & FY19
Growth Strategy
OneSmart Online
- Expand our offerings to cover students
located far from our currently limited center network in tier 2 cities
- Possibility to enter tier 3 or even lower tier
cities where we have not entered yet
7
OneSmart OMO model: integrated with offline business and offers supplementary and compelling value proposition
Offline Center Online Platform Show-room Feedback & Services
Customer acquisition
Consultancy Student Assessment Teaching Customer Demand Products Economics
OneSmart Offline Model
Prefer effectiveness of onsite 1on1 tutoring 1on1 format and typically focused on one or two subjects Proven unit economics (Per Student OP Margin >25%) and margin expansion driven by new center ramp-up
OneSmart OMO Model
- 1. Time and convenience
- 2. No limitation on distance
- 3. Cover more lower tier cities
- 4. Choices of high quality teacher
- 1. Offerings of more subjects
- 2. 1on1 and group formats
- 3. Choices of shorter term
packages
- 1. Unit economics comparable to
- ffline model
- 2. Some discounts to offline pricing,
- ffset by rental savings,
efficiency & low acquisition cost
Supplementary to offline business to capture larger market demand
OneSmart APP
Offline and Online integrated
Teaching & Services
OneSmart OMO Model
8
OneSmart Product Map
Offline Businesses
OneSmart VIP HappyMath FasTrack English
OneSmart Online 1on1 for High School 1on1 Online classes for K-12 tutoring Online Small Group Class for Primary School & Kindergarten
OMO Model Weekday Online Classes
OneSmart product map: matched offline and online products across our three major business lines
Online small group classes for HappyMath students Online 1on1 or small group classes for FasTrack English students
OneSmart Online
OneSmart Online 1on1 for Middle School 1on1 K-12 tutoring Young Children Math Kids English
9
Our past investments in online sector helped faster development
- f OneSmart Online products and technologies
Strategic Investments in Online Education
2015 - 2019
One of the leading premium and best
rated online 1on1 platforms based on customer rating and renewal
100% full time teachers OneSmart invested in 2015 and add-
- n investment in 2018
Online kids English by native
speaking teachers
OneSmart invested in 2016 Online young children math OneSmart invested in 2017 Online kids books, teaching and tools OneSmart invested in 2019
Yimi has industry leading AI algorism in developing online 1on1 tutoring programs, with 5 years’ dedicated innovation
OneSmart and Yimi co-tested its OMO model since Jan 2019 and validated unit economics Cooperation with Yimi Online Tutoring
Yimi Online Tutoring
OneSmart Online
2018 --
1 2 3
Launched in early 2018 Weekday product offered
to existing offline students
Interactive and AI powered
OneSmart Online’s OMO model
Weekday Online 1on1
Business model tested since the beginning
- f 2019
Rolled out to more than 10 cities currently
10
Offline operations update: Continue to achieve satisfactory ramp-up performance for newly opened centers
1.
Reach National Coverage and Scale … Accomplished
2.
Ramp up Newly Opened Centers
3.
Optimize Profitability The Three Step Growth Plan
Shanghai Only OneSmart VIP Learning Centers Actual Performance
Year 1 Margin For Centers Operating >1 Year (<2) Year 2 Margin For Centers Operating >2 Years (<3) Year 3 Margin For Centers Operating > 3 Years
Gross Margin(2) 45% 61% 62% Op Margin(1) (2) (31%) 24% 33%
Including all OneSmart VIP learning centers opened during FY16Q2-FY19Q1 in
Shanghai
Op Margin (1) breaks even at Q3 of Year 1 on average
Top 10 Cities Outside Shanghai OneSmart VIP Learning Centers Actual Performance
Year 1 Margin For Centers Operating >1 Year (<2) Year 2 Margin For Centers Operating >2 Years (<3) Year 3 Margin For Centers Operating > 3 Years
Gross Margin(2) 43% 58% 56% Op Margin(1) (2) (18%) 22% 19%
Including all OneSmart VIP learning centers opened during FY16Q2-FY19Q1 in
top 10 cities outside Shanghai
Op Margin (1) breaks even at Q4 of Year 1 on average
Total 11 cities generated 92% revenue of
OneSmart VIP business, which was 75%
- f total company revenue in FY20Q1;
For centers opened in FY16Q1 or earlier,
Op Margin(1) during prior 12 months are:
- 42% for those in Shanghai; - 27% for those in top 10 cities outside
Shanghai
Notes
- 1. Excluding regional and headquarters’ overhead and share based compensation expenses;
- 2. Margin figures for the three center baskets:
- For those centers have been operating for over 1 year but less than 2 years, we are showing their margin numbers for performance during the first year of operations; similarly, for those over 2
years but less than 3 years we are showing their performance from 13th-24th month of operations; and those more than 3 years we are showing numbers from 25th-36th month;
- The margin figures are aggregates of those centers generated during their own one year window
Historical Ramp-up Record (Updated to FY20 Q1)
Section 2
Financial Highlights
12
Key financial highlights for first fiscal quarter of FY20
New student headcount increased by 53.5% YoY
OneSmart Online is well-positioned to generate incremental growth
- 1. Growth
Topline growth has exceeded 23.2% YoY
Strong new students growth supports visibility of future revenue growth
- 2. Revenue
- 3. Margin
To revise full year guidance due to impact by coronavirus outbreak
OneSmart Online expected to drive strong incremental growth
- 4. Outlook
Key Financial Highlights
GPM and OPM margin impact mainly due to improvement of teacher quality and strategic R&D spendings to support our online and premium strategies
Margin expansion expected later in the fiscal year
13
106 114 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 486 601 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
HappyMath
2,058 2,863 3,994
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Net Revenues OneSmart VIP
RMB MM
Note
- 1. HpapyMath’s slower growth than previous quarters is mainly due to that we are reshuffling our student portfolio to adapt to regulatory change in Shanghai, new students growth
attracted by the new AI-Math program has been quickly catching up, thus we expect HappyMath’s revenue growth will gradually go back to previous level within a year or less
RMB MM +55.7% RMB MM +31.2% CAGR CAGR 647 797 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 212 359 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 +39.3% CAGR
Top-line growth in the three business segments
FasTrack English
1,840 2,416 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 73 192 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 RMB MM 31 48 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 +23.2% Growth +23.8%
Growth
+7.1%(1)
Growth
+54.3% Growth Fiscal years ended August 31 and first quarters ended November 30,2019 3,168 514
14
2,501 2,97 5 726 826 262 376 238 348 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
8,711 11,744 13,312 12,385 13,051
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
Operating Metrics
+43.6% CAGR
Average Monthly Enrollments Consumed Class Units Number of Classrooms
+23.6% CAGR
9,611 12,384 15,590 1,601 2,680 3,639 1,466
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 15,497 11,212
1,506
22,202
OneSmart VIP Happy Math FasTrack English Others
OneSmart VIP Happy Math
FasTrack English
Others +13.1% Growth +21.4% Growth +40.7% CAGR (in thousand)
433
ASP
RMB per class unit
+1.5%
Growth +6.4% Growth +3.0% Growth
- 5.8%(1)
Growth
Note 1.The decrease of ASP of HappyMath is mainly due to 1) the fact that we entered into more cities outside Shanghai in which we adopted lower pricing policies; 2) launch of short term promotional classes as a new marketing campaign
Company Happy Math VIP 1v3 VIP 1v1 3,728 4,525 +5.4% Growth
174 176 216 229 133 137 147 138 120 129
FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
58,964 71,656 97,497 16,194 22,618 33,023 8,128 14,224
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 75,158 102,402 144,744 +38.8% CAGR
16,050 24,150
3,272 7,596 2,372 4,337
21,471 30,158 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
43,165 +53.5% Growth 66,241
New Students by Business Segment
63,295 85830 99,226 13,545 18,884 27,024 7,431 15,934
16,162
FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019
112,145 76,841
84,531 97,695 25,803 27,969 13,175 20,506
18,878 14,912
FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
142,387 158,346 161,082 +7.7% Growth FasTrack English
15
195 224 56 40 7 10
FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
Gross Profit and Gross Margin(1)
Gross margin
RMB MM
48.1% 51.3%
935 1,224 1,558 126 203 263 73
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
26
40.2% 35.2% FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 OneSmart VIP 50.8% 50.6% 49.2% 40.1% 37.3% HappyMath 59.6% 56.5% 51.1% 52.9% 35.3% FasTrack English NA 35.5% 38.2% 22.3% 20.3% Others (101.3%) (20.9%) 22.5% 9.7% 18.5% Overall Gross Margin 51.3% 50.6% 48.1% 40.2% 35.2%
Gross Margin by Segments
50.6% OneSmart VIP Happy Math FasTrack English
Notes
- 1. Fiscal years ended August 31 and first fiscal quarters ended November 30, 2019
If
excludes the financial impact
- f
increased teacher compensation (impact 4.0 ppt) to attract higher quality teachers to support the development of OneSmart Online and enhanced premium products we recently launched, and added rental costs (impact 1.0 ppt) to upgrade the learning centers, Gross Margin would have been 40.2% for FY20 Q1
16
33.2% 37.1% 14.8% 15.8% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 6.4% FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 30.8% 30.5% 31.1% 9.0% 9.9% 11.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 6.3% 5.9% 6.1% FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Cost structure
51.9% 48.7% 49.4%
Staff costs Rental costs Depreciation and amortization Other costs
59.8% 64.8%
Total Cost % of Net Revenue:
17
Non-GAAP Selling & Marketing Expenses as % of Revenues(1) Non-GAAP General & Administrative Expenses as % of Revenues(1)
Selling & marketing expenses, and G&A expenses
20.2% 17.4% 16.9% 20.4% 17.9% 20.6% RMB MM RMB MM
166 195
FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 357 485 806 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 137 173 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
Notes 1.Excluding share-based compensation expenses
25.7% 24.4% 21.2% 21.7% 368 588 816 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
18
(43) (87) FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 330 376 300 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 305 229 229 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 (61) (115) FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020
Operating margin
Operating Income (Loss) and Operating Margin Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) and Operating Margin (2) Net Income (Loss) and Net Income (Loss) Margin (1) Non-GAAP Net Income (Loss) and Net Income (Loss) Margin (1) (2)
RMB MM
Notes
- 1. Net income attributable to OneSmart; 2. Excluding share-based compensation expenses
7.5% 16.0% 13.1% 5.7% 259 246 245 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 14.8% 8.0% 6.1% 12.6% 8.6% 284 392 317 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 7.9% 13.8% 13.7% (7.8)% (16) (90) FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 2 (62) FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 (2.5)% (11.3)% 0.3% (9.4)% (14.4)% (10.9)% (6.6)%
If excludes the financial impact of increased teacher compensation
(impact 4.0ppt), higher rental cost (impact 1.0%) and R&D spending (impact 2.0ppt) to support online products development, non-GAAP Operating Margin would have been -3.9% for FY20Q1
19
Operating cash, Capex and cash balance
Prepayments from Customers Cash and Cash Equivalents and Short-term Investments
RMB MM RMB MM 1,531 1,992 2,171 2,219 2,426 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 173 242 284 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Operating Cash Flows Capex and Capex as a % of net revenues
RMB MM 8.4% 8.5% 7.1% 773 867 345 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 (123) 13 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 80 90 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020 11.3% 12.4% 1,396 2,227 1,841 1,524 1,636 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FQ1 2019 FQ1 2020