FY19 Q3 Earnings Presentation July 2019 Section 1 Business and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY19 Q3 Earnings Presentation July 2019 Section 1 Business and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
OneSmart International Education Group Limited FY19 Q3 Earnings Presentation July 2019 Section 1 Business and Strategy Updates Focused on the Three Core Services: Plenty Room to Grow Premium K-12 1on1 Tutoring Services #1 player in the
Section 1
Business and Strategy Updates
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OneSmart VIP
1-on-1, 1-on-3 3rd–12th Grade
HappyMath
1-on-10 1-on-10
Kids STEAM
Notes
1.
In terms of revenue in 2016 and 2017, according to Frost & Sullivan
2.
Premium tutoring services refers to either 1-on-1classes priced at or above RMB 200 per hour or small group classes priced at or above RMB 120 per hour
Also covers Chinese
Focused on the Three Core Services: Plenty Room to Grow
Kids English
FasTrack English #1 premium K-12 after-school tutoring
service provider in China(1)
3 to 8 Yrs Old 3 to 8 Yrs Old Focus on STEM English
Premium K-12 1on1 Tutoring Services Premium Young Children Education Services
#1 player in the premium tutoring services(2) market in China … yet only 2.4% share Primarily focused on premium 1-on-1 tutoring format: - A materially different tutoring demand than class format - Personalized and highly effective, leading to outstanding study results Premium tutoring services(2), taking 25% share of a RMB 433bn tutoring market in 2018, is
expected to grow at 16% CAGR 2017-2022, much faster than the overall tutoring market (9%)
Source: Frost & Sullivan: China’s K-12 After-School Tutoring Market Study (March 2018)
Most recognized premium tutoring brands Premium K-12 tutoring market share distribution
HappyMath (launched in 2013) and FasTrack English (acquired in January 2018): expands
target customers base to younger population, building a future K-12 customer pool
Fast growing demand driven by rising newborn population and increasing demand by new
generation of young parents with largely improved affordability
Focused on the two most sought-after young children education services: - Math: #1 criteria for primary school admission considerations - English: most popular kids education services in China Offered primarily in 1on10 small group classes, suitable to kids education
By revenue in 2017
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1 3 2
Superior customer experience supported by personalized premium1-on-1programs that cater to the needs of an individual student, driving outstanding results
A more effective tutoring format than class format for teenage students
Specially suitable for mass average students to prepare for demanding admission exams in China
90%+ high school admission rates vs. approx. 50% of country average
Highly efficient operating system underpinned by robust KPI based incentive structure throughout the organization
Our KPI based incentive structure is proportionally tied to revenue and net profit at all levels, which helps control, actually almost fix our cost and
- perating expenses at a reasonable ratio of revenues
GPM at approx. 50% level, comparable to major class format players
Opex % of Revenue below 40%, lower than major class format players
Highly standardized learning center management system
Standardized organizational and incentive structure that can be easily replicated: 1) teaching & quality control, 2) customer services, 3) sales & marketing, and 4) recruiting & training
Standard operating procedure, training system, and data reporting
Deliberate succession plan and career development programs
Distinguished Core Competencies: Extremely High Entry Barrier
Premium Price Lean Cost Structure Replicable System Scalable Profitability in the Growing 1-on-1Tutoring Market
OneSmart is the
clear market leader in premium1-on-1 tutoring space
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The Three Step Growth Plan: Initial Step of National Coverage Completed
1.
Reach National Coverage and Scale
2.
Ramp up Newly Opened Centers
3.
Optimize Profitability The Three Step Growth Plan
OneSmart Learning Center Numbers
Non-GAAP Op Margin(1): 19.1% 16.0% 13.1% 12.7%
Controlled Expansion Stage Margin optimized Rapid Expansion Stage Margin temporarily pressured
National Coverage and Scale FY19Q3
430 Study Centers 43 Cities in China
FY15
117 Study Centers 14 Cities in China
117 150 195 315 430 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Q3
5.8% 29% CAGR 48% CAGR
Notes 1.Excluding share based compensation expenses
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Solid and Proven Ramp-up Record of Centers Nationwide
1.
Reach National Coverage and Scale
2.
Ramp up Newly Opened Centers
3.
Optimize Profitability The Three Step Growth Plan
Shanghai Only OneSmart VIP Learning Centers Actual Performance
Year 1 Margin For Centers Operating >1 Year (<2) Year 2 Margin For Centers Operating >2 Years (<3) Year 3 Margin For Centers Operating > 3 Years
Gross Margin(2) 47% 63% 61% Op Margin(1) (2) (26%) 30% 31%
Including all OneSmart VIP learning centers opened during FY16-FY18 in Shanghai Op Margin (1) breaks even at Q3 of Year 1 on average
Top 10 Cities Outside Shanghai OneSmart VIP Learning Centers Actual Performance
Year 1 Margin For Centers Operating >1 Year (<2) Year 2 Margin For Centers Operating >2 Years (<3) Year 3 Margin For Centers Operating > 3 Years
Gross Margin(2) 45% 49% 57% Op Margin(1) (2) (20%) 3% 20%
Including all OneSmart VIP learning centers opened during FY16-FY18 in top 10
cities outside Shanghai
Op Margin (1) breaks even at Q4 of Year 1 on average
Total 11 cities generated 92% revenue of
OneSmart VIP business, which was 84%
- f total company revenue in FY18;
For centers opened in FY2015 or earlier,
Op Margin(1) during FY18 are:
- 42% for those in Shanghai; - 28% for those in top 10 cities outside
Shanghai
Notes
- 1. Excluding regional and headquarters’ overhead and share based compensation expenses;
- 2. Margin figures for the three center baskets:
- For those centers have been operating for over 1 year but less than 2 years, we are showing here their margin numbers for their performance during the first year of operations to ensure sufficient data points; similarly, for those
have been operating for over 2 years but less than 3 years we are showing their performance from 13th-24th month of operations; and those more than 3 years we are showing numbers from 25th-36th month;
- The margin figures are aggregates of those centers generated during their own one year window. The one year window may not necessarily be the exact same year for individual centers. For example, margin figure for “Centers
Operating >2 Years (<3)”, is the sum of margins generated by centers with total operation tenors between 2 and 3 years during their own correspondent year 2 of operations
Historical Ramp-up Record
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Management Model Output for FY20-FY22
Three Year Management Planning Model Output FY20-FY22 FY20 FY21 FY22 Revenue YOY Growth % 30 – 35% 35 – 45% 35 – 45% Non-GAAP Op Margin(1) 11 – 13% 13 – 15% 14 – 16%
Notes 1.Excluding share based compensation expenses
Please note that below is an output of management planning model, which is based on a key assumption of applying historical center ramp-up economics to newly opened centers. It is NOT a company guidance for future financial performance as situations may change.
1.
Reach National Coverage and Scale
2.
Ramp up Newly Opened Centers
3.
Optimize Profitability The Three Step Growth Plan
Capacity Expansion Assumed: % of Numbers of New Centers 15 – 20% 20 – 30% 20 – 30%
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Strategy Going Forward: a Clear and Focused Plan for the Next Three Years
Focus on the Three Core Services Lines and Key Regions
- Three core services lines: OneSmart VIP, HappyMath and FasTrack English - Accelerate scale-up of top 20 cities to achieve faster growth and margin expansion - Selective acquisitions with a focus on supporting the three core services lines
Balanced Capacity Expansion
- Controlled 15-20% opening rate for new centers in the new fiscal year - Increased focus on the ramp-up of newly opened centers - Balance top-line growth and margin stability
Operational Enhancement
- Strengthen core competencies as a premium services provider - Revamp incentive system to further improve productivity - Drive continued product and services innovation through new technologies 1 2 3
Section 2
Financial Highlights
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Key Financial Highlights for Third Fiscal Quarter of FY2019
Monthly average student enrollments increased by 40% YoY Total center number reached 430, with 29 openings during Q3
- 1. Growth
One-off regulatory impact on top-line growth, expecting to normalize
in the next few months
- 2. Revenue
Temporary margin pressure due to expansion is near bottom,
expecting non-GAAP Op Margin to enter expansion stage in FY20
- 3. Margin
Accelerating top-line growth and continuous margin expansion
expected in the next three years
- 4. Outlook
Key Financial Highlights
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91 129 242 352 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 705 887 1,639 2,120 FQ3 2018FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019
HappyMath
1,529 2,058 2,863
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Net Revenues(1) OneSmart VIP
RMB MM
Notes
- 1. Net of value-added taxes
RMB MM +78.6% RMB MM +41.9% Growth +30.6% CAGR CAGR 824 1,093 1,929 2,683 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 +32.6% Growth 113 212 359 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 +36.8% CAGR +25.9% Growth
Strong Top-line Growth Momentum in All Business Segments
FasTrack English
1,416 1,840 2,416 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 73 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 RMB MM 26 46 37 117 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 +39.1% Growth +29.3% Growth +45.6% Growth +77.5% Growth +216.1% Growth Fiscal years ended August 31 and third quarters ended May 31
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123 157 225 220 284 27 38 66 60 93
24 22 42 11
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019
7,486 8,711 11,744 10,840 13,560
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019
Solid Operating Metrics
+41.5% CAGR
Average Monthly Enrollments Consumed Class Units Number of Classrooms
+25.3% CAGR
Number of Study Centers
+44.9% CAGR
150 195 315
+40.0% Growth
7,618 9,611 12,834 936 1,601 2,680 433
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 11,212 8,554 +34.0% Growth 15,497
430
+42.4% Growth +25.1% Growth
OneSmart VIP Happy Math FasTrack English Others
302
OneSmart VIP Happy Math FasTrack English Others
+45.4% Growth +41.9% Growth +34.6% CARG 14,450
3,425 4,111 8,223 10,215 627 830 1,711 2,327 355 251 938
342
970
FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019
6,497 154
4,206 5,638 10,185 (in thousand)
56,019 76,841 112,145 124,892 174,835 108,858 158,282
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019
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396 469 832 1039 51 57 136 180 17 12 36 10 8 23
FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019
Gross Profit and Gross Margin(1)
Stable Gross Margin
RMB MM
52.2% 51.3%
735 935 1,224 63 126 203 26
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 55.3% 47.6% FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 OneSmart VIP 51.9% 50.8% 50.6% 56.2% 52.9% 50.8% 49.0% HappyMath 56.3% 59.6% 56.5% 56.0% 44.0% 56.1% 51.1% FasTrack English NA NA 35.5% 38.3% 36.3% 32.9% 30.5% Others NA (101.3%) (20.9%) (1.8%) 26.6% (28.8%) 24.6% Overall Gross Margin 52.2% 51.3% 50.6% 55.3% 50.4% 50.7% 47.6%
Gross Margin by Segments
50.6% OneSmart VIP Happy Math FasTrack English Others 50.4% 50.7%
Notes
- 1. Fiscal years ended August 31 and third fiscal quarters ended May 31
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28.2% 30.5% 29.9% 30.5% 9.0% 10.9% 10.3% 12.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.9% 5.8% FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 31.7% 30.8% 30.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.8% 6.3% 6.0% FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Controlled Cost Structure
47.8% 48.7% 49.4% 44.7%
Staff costs Rental costs Depreciation and amortization Other costs
49.3% 49.6% 52.4%
Total Cost % of Net Revenue:
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Non-GAAP Selling & Marketing Expenses as % of Revenues(1) Non-GAAP General & Administrative Expenses as % of Revenues(1)
Efficient Operation Leads to Moderate Expenses
16.1% 17.4% 16.9% 17.0% 17.9% 20.6% 15.8% RMB MM RMB MM 261 368 588 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
159 198 395 556
FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 20189M 2019 247 357 485 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 130 214 344 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 19.3% 18.2% 19.6%
Notes 1.Excluding share based compensation expenses
20.5% 20.7% 17.8% 19.5%
524
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167 139 238 198 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 291 330 376 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 234 305 229 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 57 123 118 152 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019
Operating Margin: Stabilized and Soon to Expand
Operating Income and Operating Margin Non-GAAP operating Income and Operating Margin (2) Net Income and Net Income Margin (1) Non-GAAP Net Income and Net Income Margin (1) (2)
RMB MM RMB MM RMB MM RMB MM
Notes
- 1. Net income attributable to OneSmart
- 2. Excluding share based compensation expenses
19.1% 16.0% 13.1% 15.3% 189 259 246 FY2016 FY2017 FY2017 14.8% 8.0% 12.4% 12.6% 8.6% 7.1% 247 284 392 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 16.1% 13.8% 13.7% 20.4% 7.6% 58 109 163 158 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 169 125 283 204 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 10.0% 8.5% 5.9% 11.4% 14.7% 6.9% 11.3% 6.1% 5.7% 20.2% 7.4% 12.3% 12.7%
If excluded financial impact of new centers opened in last 12 months (FY18Q3- FY19Q2), non-GAAP Operating Margin would have been 17.6% for FY19Q3
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84 173 255 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Robust Cash Flows and Healthy Balance Sheet with Low Capex Requirements
Operating Cash Flows Capex and Capex as a % of net revenues Prepayments from Customers Cash and Cash Equivalents and Short-term Investments
RMB MM RMB MM RMB MM RMB MM 5.5% 8.4% 8.9% 7.6% 614 773 945 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 323 417 659 176 FQ3 2018FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 63 37 177 208 FQ3 2018 FQ3 2019 9M 2018 9M 2019 1,053 1,531 1,992 2,217 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FQ3 2019 1,010 1,396 2,227 2,010 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FQ3 2019 9.2% 3.4% 7.7%