FY19 Full Year Results Presentation 28 August 2019 Marc England - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

fy19 full year results presentation
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

FY19 Full Year Results Presentation 28 August 2019 Marc England - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

FY19 Full Year Results Presentation 28 August 2019 Marc England CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER Chris Jewell CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER G E N E S I S E N E R G Y L I M I T E D Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Genesis Energy


slide-1
SLIDE 1

FY19 Full Year Results Presentation

28 August 2019

G E N E S I S E N E R G Y L I M I T E D

Marc England – CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER Chris Jewell – CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Genesis Energy Limited (‘Genesis Energy’) for information purposes only. The information in this presentation is of a general nature and does not purport to be complete nor does it contain all the information required for an investor to evaluate an investment. This presentation may contain projections or forward-looking statements regarding a variety of

  • items. Such forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may

differ materially from those stated in any forward-looking statement based on a number of important factors and risks. Although management may indicate and believe that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are reasonable, any

  • f the assumptions could prove inaccurate or incorrect and, therefore, there can be no assurance that the results contemplated in the

forward-looking statements will be realised. EBITDAF, underlying profit and free cash flow are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting practice) measures. While all reasonable care has been taken in compiling this presentation, to the maximum extent permitted by law Genesis Energy accepts no responsibility for any errors or omissions and no representation is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. This presentation does not constitute investment advice.

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 2.

slide-3
SLIDE 3

AGENDA

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 3.

1

Year in Review

2

Financial Performance and Guidance

3

Strategy Update and Outlook

4

Supplementary Information

slide-4
SLIDE 4
  • 1. Year in Review

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 4.

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Results at a glance

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 5.

1 Both gross and net churn is expressed on the basis of a 12 month rolling average. 2 Installation Connection Point (ICP), a connection point that is both occupied and has not been disconnected. 3 Netback is defined as Retail EBITDAF by fuel type plus respective fuel purchase cost divided by total fuel sales volumes, stated in native fuel units and excluding

corporate allocation costs.

slide-6
SLIDE 6

345 335 333 360 363 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 $ MILLIONS

EBITDAF

Earnings growth

— EBITDAF growth of $3m, and continued growth in FY19 dividends translating to a 6.6% gross yield1

1 Gross yield based on closing share price as at 27 August 2019, $3.37

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 6.

GROSS DIVIDEND YIELD COMPARISON WITH PEERS AND LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS

Source: Bloomberg

Leading 6.6% gross yield 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Aug-19

Genesis Meridian Mercury Contact US 10 Yr Govt Bonds NZ 10 Yr Govt Bonds

slide-7
SLIDE 7

50K UNIQUE ENERGY IQ USERS PER WEEK, 100K USERS PER MONTH (ROLLING 3 MONTH AVG)

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 7.

2 Customer Lifetime Value is the margin for each customer, discounted over its expected tenure.

RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER LIFE VALUE INDEX2 (CLV) UP 3%, RESIDENTIAL ICP NUMBERS UP 0.5%

CLV up 3%

Knowledge Advice Action

1 Energy Management Connection: An IoT device deployed to a home or business with the specific aim of

providing a customer with insights on how to optimise the way they use energy. Electricity Insights, Bottle Gas Monitoring and Electricity Monitoring are all products that use devices that fall within this definition.

~2,000 Energy Management Connections1 deployed

A customer focused strategy coming to life

— Investment in loyalty, brand, products and innovation is driving value, CLV up 3%

  • 10,000

20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Weekly Unique EIQ Users 97% 98% 99% 100% 101% 102% 103% 104%

  • Jul-18

Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 CLV Index (LHS)

slide-8
SLIDE 8

$117 $112 $116 $100 $110 $120 $130 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sales Volume (GWh) Sales Volume Netback $10.8 $10.7 $11.4 $8.0 $9.0 $10.0 $11.0 $12.0 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sales Volume (GJ) Sales Volume Netback $745 $765 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sales Volume (t) Sales Volume Netback 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 102,000 104,000 106,000 108,000 110,000 112,000 114,000 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Customers > 1 Fuel Dual Fuel Churn (RHS)

Residential customers are increasingly engaged and loyal

— Increased value from our residential customer base through loyalty, gross churn down 3.8 ppt

RESIDENTIAL GAS SALES VOLUMES (GJ) & NETBACK ($/GJ) RESIDENTIAL ELECTRICITY SALES VOLUMES (GWh) & NETBACK1 ($/MWh) RESIDENTIAL LPG SALES VOLUMES (t) & NETBACK ($/t)

1 Netback is defined as Retail EBITDAF by fuel type plus respective fuel purchase cost divided by total fuel sales volumes, stated in native fuel units and excluding corporate allocation costs. 2 Residential LPG & Electricity Netbacks (FY18) have been normalised to account for one-off accounting adjustments and Nova management fees relating to acquisition. 3 Gross churn is defined as customers who instigated a trader switch or home move, whilst net churn is post home move save and retentions.

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 8.

RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER GROSS2 CHURN DOWN 3.8 ppt, NET CHURN DOWN 2.4 ppt (ROLLING 12 MONTH AVG) RESIDENTIAL DUAL FUEL CUSTOMERS UP 6.1%, CHURN DOWN TO 7.8% (ROLLING 12 MONTH AVG)

Volume/value mix Volume/value mix Volume/value mix

20.1% 18.8% 17.0% 16.4% 32.8% 31.4% 29.0% 27.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1HFY18 2HFY18 1HFY19 2HFY19 Net Churn Gross Churn

25% of residential customers now choose dual fuel Dual fuel churn down to 7.8%

2 2

slide-9
SLIDE 9

$89 $88 $94 $50 $70 $90 $110 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sales Volume (GWh) Sales Volume Netback

Growing business customer volume with targeted propositions

— Focus remains on volume, but not at the expense of value, business sales volume up 7.8%

BUSINESS GAS SALES VOLUMES (GJ) & NETBACK ($/GJ) BUSINESS ELECTRICITY SALES VOLUMES (GWh) & NETBACK ($/MWh) BUSINESS LPG SALES VOLUMES (t) & NETBACK ($/t)

Volume/value mix Volume/value mix Volume/value mix

1 Netback is defined as Retail EBITDAF by fuel type plus respective fuel purchase cost divided by total fuel sales volumes, stated in native fuel units and excluding corporate allocation costs.

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 9.

BUSINESS DUAL FUEL CUSTOMERS UP 25%, CHURN DOWN TO 7.9% (ROLLING 12 MONTH AVG)

$7.8 $7.6 $8.0 $6.0 $7.0 $8.0 $9.0 $10.0 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sales Volume (GJ) Sales Volume Netback $754 $882 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 20,000 21,000 22,000 23,000 24,000 FY17 FY18 FY19 Sales Volume (t) Sales Volume Netback

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 FY18 FY19 GWh Elec (GWh) Gas (GWhe) LPG (GWhe)

BUSINESS SALES VOLUME UP 7.8% ON A GWh EQUIVALENT BASIS Electricity +5.4% Gas +12.4% LPG +9.5%

4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Customers > 1 Fuel Dual Fuel Churn (RHS)

11% of business customers on dual fuel presents further growth opportunity Dual fuel churn down to 7.9%

slide-10
SLIDE 10

20 40 60 80 100 120 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Assisted interactions Thousands Phone (FY19) Phone (FY18) 52% 44% 40% 30% 14% 13% 14% 12% 34% 43% 47% 58% FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Phone WebChat Email Digital 45% 52% 56% 75% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19

Digital initiatives driving down cost to serve

— Cost to serve is down 7% to $141 per connection (ICP1)

DIGITAL INTERACTIONS UP 24 ppt SINCE FY16 30 ppt INCREASE IN CUSTOMER E-BILL ADOPTION SINCE FY16

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 10.

CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT IN COST TO SERVE PER ICP1, DOWN 7% ASSISTED PHONE INTERACTIONS DOWN 23% IN 12 MONTHS

E-bill adoption up 30 ppt YoY Phone interactions down 23% $161 $160 $151 $141 $110 $120 $130 $140 $150 $160 $170 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Cost to Serve per ICP

Cost to Serve per ICP down 7% on FY18 and 13% on FY16

1 Installation Connection Point (ICP), a connection point that is both occupied and has not been disconnected.
slide-11
SLIDE 11

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May- 19 Jun-19 Otahuhu (OTA2201) HVDC outage Low storage U5 outage Low storage Gas shortages (GS) GS GS GS 50 100 150 200 250 300 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 GWh Backup Other Retailers & Spot Customers Backup Swaption Partners Genesis Customers (Unit 5 Gas/Planned Outages) Genesis Customers 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 National Storage Band NI Storage as % of Average SI Storage as % of Average

Wholesale portfolio defended value in a volatile wholesale market

— A resilient result, enabled by managing through gas supply constraints and water shortages

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 11. SHORTAGE OF BOTH GAS AND WATER DRIVES WHOLESALE PRICE VOLATILITY, GWAP1 OF $143 MWh ABNORMAL HYDRO STORAGE EXISTED ACROSS BOTH ISLANDS FOR OVER 80% OF THE YEAR GAS OUTAGES EXISTED FOR 50% OF YEAR CREATING EXACERBATING FUEL SHORTAGES RANKINES PROVIDE BACKUP FOR GAS & HYDRO SHORTAGES, OUTPUT UP 54% to 1,599 GWh, 342 GWh DEDICATED TO SWAPTIONS

1 GWAP is the average price received for generation, $/MWh.

50 100 150 200 250 300 Jul18 Aug18 Sep18 Oct18 Nov18 Dec18 Jan19 Feb19 Mar19 Apr19 May19 Jun19 Thousands GJ/day Thousands Pohokura Gas Deliveries Methanex Demand

Pohokura annual gas deliveries down

  • approx. 15-20%

Low national storage Low North Island storage

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Elevated fuel and wholesale electricity prices

— Tighter gas fuel supply is putting upward pressure on prices

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 12. RECORD KUPE GAS PRODUCTION (25.7 PJ), LPG YIELD UP AND OIL PRODUCTION IN DECLINE RECORD ANNUAL GWAP, FY19 UP $51/MWh to $143/MWh THERMAL FUEL COSTS UP 10%, PORTFOLIO FUEL COSTS UP $5/MWh TO $43/MWh THERMAL AND RENEWABLE GENERATION CONSTRAINED, TOTAL GENERATION DOWN 4% TO 6,821 GWh $75 $64 $61 $92 $143 $- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Genesis GWAP ($/MWh) 4,049 4,043 3,268 4,049 3,987 2,649 2,678 3,154 3,056 2,834

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Generation (GWh) Thermal Generation Renewable Generation $61 $62 $64 $67 $74 $37 $37 $33 $38 $43 $- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Fuel Cost ($/MWh) Thermal Fuel Cost Portfolio Fuel Cost 24.3 24.0 24.3 25.5 25.7 8.8 7.5 6.7 6.3 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.1 4.9 5.4 5 10 15 20 25 30 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Field production (PJe) Gas Oil LPG

slide-13
SLIDE 13

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Production (Genesis Share, PJe) Gas Oil LPG

Strong asset management underpins stable earnings

— Key outages, on time and on budget, with Forced Outage Factor down to 0.3%

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 13. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Forced Outage Factor (FOF) % Equipment Availability Factor (EAF) % Monthly EAF Monthly FOF HIGH PLANT RELIABILITY, WITH UNIT 5 MAINTENANCE & RANKINE RECERTIFICATION DELIVERED RECORD KUPE PRODUCTION NOTWITHSTANDING PLANNED MAINTENANCE (GENESIS SHARE, PJe) Planned Maintenance at Kupe (coincided with Unit 5 Outage) Unit 5 Outage

Kupe operated at 95% of Agreed Plant Capacity

Rankine Outages & Recertification KUPE AND GENERATION ASSET CAPITAL EXPENDITURE PROFILE1 HUNTLY’S U5 OPERATING FLEXIBILITY IS PROVEN WITH THE FY19 PLANNED OUTAGE USED TO UPGRADE THE GAS TURBINE $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20fct $M Generation Kupe 10 20 30 40 50 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Start-up Count U5 Startup Frequency

U5’s GT upgrade delivers an additional 2 MW in output and $800k/year in fuel efficiency savings

1 FY20 forecast includes Genesis share of the Kupe Inlet Compression Project.
slide-14
SLIDE 14
  • 2. Financial Performance

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 14.

slide-15
SLIDE 15

360 20 57 303 331 190 80 16.9 cps 1,183 363 59 67 302 301 176 89 17.05 cps 1,186 EBITDAF NPAT Underlying Earnings Controllable Operating Expenses Operating Cashflow Free Cash Flow Capital Expenditure Dividend Net Debt $ MILLIONS FY18 FY19

5 2 3 5

— EBITDAF up $3m to $363m, underlying earnings up 16% to $67m, with operating costs down $1m

FY19 financial highlights

+ 1% + 201% + 16%

  • 0%

+ 11%

  • 7%

+ 1% + 0%

1 Comparable FY18 financials have been restated in line with General information and significant matter included in Genesis’ financial statements, accounting for the adoption of NZ IFRS 9 Financial Instruments and NZ IFRS 15 Revenue

from Contracts with Customers. No other comparable periods have been adjusted.

2 Controllable operating expenses refers to employee benefits plus other operating expenses. 3 Free cash flow represents EBITDAF less cash tax paid, net interest costs and stay in business capital expenditure. 4 Capital expenditure of $89m differs from the $90.7m stated in the financial statements due to exclusion of accounting adjustments for Huntly U5’s long-term service contract. 5 Net Debt and dividends is shown on a separate scale to other financial comparisons.
  • 9%

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 15.

1 4

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Dividends

— A final dividend of 8.6 cps declared, resulting in a full year dividend of 17.05 cps, representing a 6.6% gross yield1

FY15 TO FY19 DIVIDEND CENTS PER SHARE & PAY-OUT HISTORY & NORMALISED VIEW

16.0 16.4 16.6 16.9 17.05 78% 87% 89% 89% 99%

  • 10%

10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 110% 130% FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Dividends (CPS) % of Free Cash Flow

1 Gross yield based on closing share price as at 27 August 2019, $3.37. 2 Free cash flow represents EBITDAF less tax paid, net interest and stay in business capital expenditure. 3 Large one-off items include Tekapo intake gate and planned maintenance on Huntly U5.

2

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 16.

  • Normalised for ‘one-off3’ levels of SIB capex, pay-out ratio

is 94% of Free Cash Flow. An unadjusted pay-out ratio as percentage of free cash flow2 is 99%.

  • A final dividend of 8.6 cps, 80% imputed, will have a

record date of 17 October 2019, payable to shareholders

  • n 31 October 2019.
  • Supplementary dividend of 1.2141 cps payable to

non-resident shareholders.

  • The Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) continues to be
  • ffered at 2.5% discount, with an opt-in cut off date as at

18 October 2019. DRP pricing will be notified to shareholders on 23 October 2019.

  • Dividends have increased 6.6% from FY15 to FY19,

relative to a CPI increase of 5.4% over the same period.

94%

slide-17
SLIDE 17

FY18 to FY19 EBITDAF $ MILLIONS

— EBITDAF growth of $3m to $363m, due to a standout Retail performance, resilient Wholesale result, and a stable Kupe outcome

FY19 EBITDAF

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 17.

360 363 13 7 3 FY18 EBITDAF Retail Wholesale Kupe Corporate FY19 EBITDAF Higher Lower

slide-18
SLIDE 18

— A standout Retail performance, resilient Wholesale result and a stable Kupe outcome

Segment EBITDAF

FY18 TO FY19 KUPE EBITDAF FY18 TO FY19 RETAIL EBITDAF FY18 TO FY19 WHOLESALE EBITDAF

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 18.

  • Retail: Growth in LPG and Business segments and reduced cost to serve

across residential customers, offset by lower residential consumption due to warmer weather.

  • Wholesale: A strong trading result to defend against rising fuel prices

and low North Island hydro storage and planned Unit 5 outage. GWAP up $51/MWh to $143/MWh however total generation volume down 284 GWh.

  • Kupe: Operating efficiency gains offset by the naturally declining oil

yield and increasing emissions costs.

  • Corporate: Costs increased by $3m due to reduced capitalisation of

technology projects, increased software costs and reduced allocations.

5 6 6 3 110 123

FY18 EBITDAF LPG Growth: Residential & B2B Business Growth Residential Opex Residential Consumption FY19 EBITDAF

Higher Lower 178 186 178 7 38 26 18 2

FY18 EBITDAF

  • Actual

Emissions Adjustment FY18 EBITDAF

  • Adjusted

Trading Result Thermal Fuel Prices Hydro Inflow Impact Operating Expenses & Other FY19 EBITDAF

  • Actual

Higher Lower 115 108 109 5 1 7 1 2 3

FY18 EBITDAF - Actual Emissions Adjustment FY18 EBITDAF - Adjusted JV Operating Costs LPG Gas Oil Net Emissions Costs FY19 EBITDAF - Actual

Higher Lower

1 This adjustment is the result of a change in treatment between Wholesale and Kupe segments.

1 1

slide-19
SLIDE 19

FY18 TO FY19 UNDERLYING EARNINGS

NPAT & Underlying Earnings

— $39m increase in NPAT and 16% increase in underlying earnings

$ MILLIONS

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 19.

FY18 TO FY19 NPAT

$ MILLIONS

  • Depreciation and amortisation costs down driven by

changes in asset valuations in FY18, offset by recent investment in Retail.

  • Positive fair value adjustment of $35m due to the

difference between FY19 and FY18 Huntly Rankine valuation, offset by higher forward prices impacting the value of financial contracts.

  • Finance costs down $1m due to the July 2018

restructuring of $240m in capital bonds, at a reduced coupon rate of 4.65%

  • Other gains and losses refers to the unrealised gain

in fair value of carbon units held for trading.

20 59 3 9 35 1 8 16

FY18 NPAT Change in EBITDAF Depreciation (DDA) Fair Value Adjustments & Impairment Finance Costs Other Gains & Losses Income Tax Expense FY19 NPAT

Higher Lower 57 67 3 1 9 4

FY18 Underlying Earnings Change in EBITDAF Finance Costs Depreciation (DDA) Adjusted Tax Expense & Other Movements FY19 Underlying Earnings

Higher Lower

slide-20
SLIDE 20

303 302 4 3 2 7

FY18 Operating Expenses Bad Debts Marketing & Communications Other Employee Expenses FY19 Operating Expenses

Lower Higher

285 278 284 303 302 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 $ MILLIONS

FY15 TO FY19 CONTROLLABLE OPERATING EXPENSES1 FY18 TO FY19 CONTROLLABLE OPERATING EXPENSE BRIDGE

Controllable operating expenses

— Controllable operating expenses down $1m on the prior year

$ MILLIONS

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 20.

1 Controllable operating expenses refers to employee benefits plus other operating expenses.
  • Operating expenses down to $301.6m,

following a period of investment (FY18, $302.8m).

  • Bad debts down $4m on FY18.
  • Improved loyalty and brand performance

enabling reduced marketing costs.

  • Technology teams have spent less time on

capital projects resulting in lower employee capitalisation rates.

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Capital expenditure

— Increased capex levels reflect a period of significant plant investment in Wholesale, reduced expenditure in Retail

FY15 TO FY19 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE1

  • $23m Tekapo safety upgrade to install intake gate

project commenced in FY19.

  • Stay in business capex (SIB) was $65m. Significant

projects included: ₋ Huntly U5 planned maintenance, Rankine Unit 1 recertification, Tekapo intake gate and runner replacement, Tuai generator refurbishment, Rangipo fire protection upgrades.

  • Other capex includes ($24m):

₋ Huntly U5 performance upgrade, Kupe Inlet Compression Project feasibility, LPG depot expansions, customer marketing automation and CRM system initiatives.

1 Capital expenditure excludes M&A activities. 2 Capital expenditure of $89m differs from the $90.7m stated in the financial statements due to exclusion of accounting adjustments for Huntly U5’s long-term service contract.

22 47 19 14 15 13 7 9 13 3 5 3

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Wholesale Customer LPG Operations Kupe Technology & Digital Corporate $ MILLIONS 44 40 47 80 89

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 21.

2

slide-22
SLIDE 22

FY15 TO FY19 NET DEBT AND NET DEBT/EBITDAF RATIO1

905 833 1,212 1,183 1,186 2.5 2.6 3.3 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Net debt Net debt/EBITDAF Target debt ratio band (2.4 to 3.0)

Capital structure

— Net Debt/EBITDAF flat at 3.0 and net debt flat at $1,186m

  • S&P reaffirmed BBB+ credit rating in January 2019.
  • $240m of Capital Bonds maturing in FY 2049 were issued
  • n 16 July 2018 at a coupon rate of 4.65%. $200m of

existing Capital Bonds with a coupon rate of 6.19% were redeemed at the same time.

  • Dividend reinvestment plan (DRP) in place since the FY18

interim dividend with 30% of holders currently participating, representing 26% of all shares, and $60 million raised to date.

  • Average debt tenor has increased slightly to 11.9 years,

from 11.4 years.

  • Coal and carbon inventories have increased by $54m year
  • n year. Normalising for this, Net Debt/EBITDAF is 2.8.
1 Standard and Poor’s make a number of adjustments to Net Debt and EBITDAF for the purpose
  • f calculating credit metrics. The most significant of these is the 50% equity treatment

attributed to the Capital Bonds.

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 22.

slide-23
SLIDE 23

FY20 Guidance

— Guidance for FY20 EBITDAF is $360 million to $380 million

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 23.

  • FY20 EBITDAF guidance is $360 million to $380 million subject to normal hydrological conditions, any

material events, one-off expenses or other unforeseen circumstances. Key assumptions include:

  • IFRS 16 adoption - positive impact of $7 million
  • Return to normal hydrology and gas supply conditions
  • Beach Energy has confirmed a 30 day statutory shutdown of Kupe – negative impact of $10 million
  • Kupe production has come off plateau and will not return to 77 TJ/day until the Inlet Compression Project is

delivered in mid-2021. FY20 forecast gas production is 24 PJ (7% lower than FY19)

  • FY20 capital expenditure guidance of up to $100 million
  • Long-run outlook for stay in business capital expenditure is $50 million to $70 million
  • Capital is elevated for FY20 due partly to:
  • One off safety upgrades to install a new intake gate structure at Tekapo to mitigate seismic risk; and
  • commencement of the Kupe Inlet Compression Project, Genesis capex share is ~$30 million over FY20/21
  • We continue to target the strategic goal of $400+ million EBITDAF by FY21 and our current expectation is

$400 million to $420 million

slide-24
SLIDE 24
  • 3. Strategy Update and Outlook

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 24.

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Our VISION: to be customers’ first choice for energy management Our PURPOSE: to reimagine energy to put control in our customers’ hands PERFORMING TRANSFORMING

Increase # of customers using energy management tools and increase digital interactions Grow our earnings and deliver top quartile shareholder returns Be #1 or #2 in every product market Energise our people and improve engagement Keep our people healthy and safe Maximise the value of our assets, products and businesses Embrace diversity

  • f thought

Employees are engaged advocates for

  • ur brands and products

Move toward a lower carbon future Be New Zealand’s most loved brand

Our STRATEGY: to maximise value through our market position

Wholesale Market

Maximising value from our Generation & Fuels Portfolio as we transition to a lower carbon future

Retail Market

Engaging customers through loyalty as we innovate to a data-driven future

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 25.

We’re performing while transforming

slide-26
SLIDE 26

363 7 400 10 - 12 15 - 30 10 - 15 10 - 20 420 FY19 EBITDAF IFRS16 Impact Kupe Production Decline Retail Growth Optimisation Gas Supply Agreements roll-off FY21 Target

Our pathway to FY21

— Driven by targeted retail growth, optimisation and roll-off of legacy contracts, offset by the decline in Kupe production

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 26. Residential Value Growth B2B Growth LPG Growth

1 Retail growth represents gross margin improvements in the Retail segment through volume and value growth, based on the three key areas identified above. 2 Optimisation represents value creation from reduced operating expenses, enhanced wholesale revenues through improved plant and fuel efficiency and return to normal fuel and operating conditions.

1 2

As reported in Nov-18 (20 – 30) (10 – 15) (17 – 27)

  • $MILLIONS
slide-27
SLIDE 27

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 27.

Kupe production

KUPE PRODUCTION DECLINE1 HAS COMMENCED EARLIER THEN EXPECTED DUE TO HIGHER RECENT EXTRACTION LEVELS

— Early onset of decline due to record production driven by gas market shortages and field outages

  • Kupe production has come off plateau,

market notified on 2 August 2019. This is in line with JV Operator reservoir modelling.

  • Maximum production is expected to

reduce at a rate of between 1.2% and 1.5% per month until the Inlet Compression Project is completed in mid-winter 2021.

  • FY20 forecast gas production is 24 PJ,

taking into account the 30 day outage.

  • The actual rate of decline is likely to

vary based on overall production and

  • ther factors and will be visible on

OATIS as it occurs.

1 Decline in daily production is Genesis modelling of possible outcomes using 1.2% and 1.5% monthly from 77 TJ/day.

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 TJ / day FY20 Production Forecast (24 PJ) Daily Max Decline @ 1.2% Daily Max Decline @ 1.5%

Planned 30 day outage in November 2019 Decline reduces daily max and annual production in FY21 Inlet Compression Project complete mid-2021

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Genesis invests in EV car share business

— 40% stake in Yoogo Share, New Zealand’s only fully electric car sharing business, to support businesses to decarbonise

  • The NZ transport sector represents around 20% of the country’s

greenhouse gas emissions.

  • There is a groundswell of activity from business and government to

support NZ’s emissions reduction targets

  • Partnering with Yoogo Share enables a differentiated and

complementary solution to help businesses further reduce their energy costs and carbon emissions.

  • Genesis brings customer and brand reach to complement Yoogo

Share’s experience in EV fleet management and charging infrastructure.

  • Established charging network provides a platform to further EV

understanding and inform future proposition development.

  • With 200 tonnes of CO2 already saved by Yoogo Share customers, and

car sharing forecast for significant growth, Genesis is optimistic about what this new partnership will deliver for Shareholders

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 28.

Power Zone image is concept design only

Genesis has invested $2 million for a 40% share in Yoogo Share, an EV car sharing service provider targeting business pool car fleets.

slide-29
SLIDE 29

Enabling a more sustainable future

50%

  • f heavy

vehicle fleet by 2025 100% light vehicle by 2020 450 GWh per annum from 2021 250,000 carbon

  • ffset

1,000 schools engaged School-gen Trust established As kaitiaki of the natural resources we use when producing electricity, iwi relationships are valued and highly significant to Genesis The primary objective is to produce a stable supply of forestry generated New Zealand Unit (NZU) carbon credits 143% increase since 2011 714 Whio pairs protected

slide-30
SLIDE 30
  • 4. Supplementary Information

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 30.

‘For Dairy’, developed with farmers for farmers…….With You. For You.

slide-31
SLIDE 31

Balance Sheet FY19 ($m) FY18 ($m) Variance Cash and Cash Equivalents 61.9 49.3 Other Current Assets 416.4 339.4 Non-Current Assets 4,154.2 3,838.8 Total Assets 4,632.5 4,227.5 +9.6% Total Borrowings 1,289.8 1,255.4 Other Liabilities 1,191.9 1,015.7 Total Equity 2,150.8 1,956.4 +9.9% Adjusted Net Debt 1,186.2 1,182.9 Gearing per bank Covenants 30.6% 32.5% EBITDAF Interest Cover 6.5x 6.4x Net Debt/EBITDAF2 3.0x 3.0x Income Statement FY19 ($m) FY18 ($m) Variance Revenue 2,700.7 2,302.5 +17.3% Total Operating Expenses (2,337.3) (1,942.1) +20.3% EBITDAF 363.4 360.4 +0.8% Depreciation, Depletion & Amortisation (196.5) (205.7) Impairment of Non-Current Assets (7.0) (0.4) Revaluation of Generation Assets 4.6 (48.8) Fair Value Change (15.2) (3.1) Share of Associate (0.2)

  • Other Gains (Losses)

7.3 (0.7) Earnings Before Interest & Tax 156.4 101.7 +53.8% Interest (73.3) (74.3) Tax (23.9) (7.7) Net Profit After Tax 59.2 19.7 +200.5% Earnings Per Share (cps) 5.84 1.97 Stay in Business Capital Expenditure 64.6 50.8 +27.5% Free Cash Flow (FCF)1 175.7 189.8 (7.4%) Dividends Per Share (cps) 17.05 16.9 +0.9% Dividends Declared as a % of FCF 99.0% 89.4% +10.4 ppt Cash Flow Summary FY19 ($m) FY18 ($m) Variance ($m) Net Operating Cash Flow 301.4 330.6 Net Investing Cash Flow (92.7) (82.2) Net Financing Cash Flow (196.1) (226.9) Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash 12.6 21.5 (41.4%)

Financial statements

1 Free cash flow (FCF) represents EBITDAF less cash tax paid, net interest and stay in business capital expenditure. This is a change in methodology from FY17 with tax paid replacing an adjusted tax calculation. All historical

information has been restated to the new measure.

2 Standard and Poor’s make a number of adjustments to Net Debt and EBITDAF for the purpose of calculating credit metrics. The most significant of these is the 50% equity treatment attributed to the Capital Bonds.

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 31.

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Debt Information FY19 ($m) FY18 ($m) Variance Total Debt $ 1,289.8 1,255.4 Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 61.9 49.3 Headline Net Debt $ 1,227.9 1,206.1 +1.8% USPP FX and FV Adjustments $ 41.7 23.2 Adjusted Net Debt1 $ 1,186.2 1,182.9 +0.3% Headline Gearing 37.5% 39.1% (1.6 ppts) Adjusted Gearing 36.7% 38.6% (1.9 ppts) Covenant Gearing 30.6% 32.5% (1.8 ppts) Net Debt/EBITDAF2 3.0x 3.0x Interest Cover 6.5x 6.4x Average Interest Rate 5.8% 5.8% Average Debt Tenure 11.9 yrs 11.4 yrs

1 Net debt has been adjusted for foreign currency translation and fair value movements

related to USD denominated borrowings which have been fully hedged with cross currency swaps.

2 Standard and Poor’s make a number of adjustments to Net Debt and EBITDAF for the

purpose of calculating credit metrics. The most significant of these is the 50% equity treatment attributed to the Capital Bonds.

GENESIS DEBT PROFILE

Diversified funding profile

The $240m of Capital Bonds maturing in FY 2049 were issued on 16 July 2018 following a successful capital raising in June 2018. $200m of existing Capital Bonds were redeemed at the same time. Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 32. $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY47 FY49 $m Retailable Bonds Wholesale Domestic Drawn Bank Undrawn Bank Capital Bonds USPP

slide-33
SLIDE 33

Retail Key Information FY19 FY18 Variance EBITDAF ($ millions) 122.5 109.7 +11.7% Customers with > 1 Fuel 117,138 109,710 +6.8% Electricity Only Customers 328,415 341,546 Gas Only Customers 16,549 17,823 LPG Only Customers 34,181 35,124 Total Customers 496,283 504,203 (1.6%) Total Electricity, Gas & LPG ICP’s 675,056 672,240 +0.4% Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price – Resi ($/MWh) $255.82 $252.26 +1.4% Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price – SME ($/MWh) $221.17 $216.66 +2.1% Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price – C&I ($/MWh) $128.71 $121.46 +6.0% Volume Weighted Average Gas Selling Price – ($/GJ) $18.97 $19.45 (2.5%) Volume Weighted Average LPG Selling Price – ($/t) $1,807.7 $1,773.3 (1.9%) Retail Cost to Serve per ICP 140.62 151.38 (7.1%)

Operational metrics

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 33.

Retail Key Information FY19 FY18 Variance Customer Electricity Sales (GWh) 6,067 5,980 +1.5% Customer Gas Sales (PJ) 8.2 7.5 +9.3% Customer LPG Sales (tonnes) 38,507 35,005 +10.0% Electricity Netback ($/MWh) $104.93 $100.28 +4.6% Gas Netback ($/GJ) $9.10 $8.67 +5.0% LPG Netback ($/t) $835.95 $767.47 +8.9% Retail Netback1 by Segment & Fuel FY17 FY18 FY19 Residential - Electricity ($/MWh) $117.4 $111.9 $116.3 Residential - Gas ($/GJ) $10.8 $10.7 $11.4 Residential - LPG ($/tonne) N/A $788.2 $765.3 SME - Electricity ($/MWh) $101.8 $100.9 $105.9 SME - Gas ($/GJ) $9.1 $9.2 $9.6 SME - LPG ($/tonne) N/A $821.5 $997.5 C&I - Electricity ($/MWh) $78.1 $80.1 $87.3 C&I - Gas ($/GJ) $7.2 $6.9 $7.2 C&I - LPG ($/tonne) N/A $590.3 $769.3

1 Historical netbacks have been restated since FY18 Results to excluded corporate allocated costs (refer to definition
  • n pages 8 & 9).
slide-34
SLIDE 34

Operational metrics

Genesis Energy Limited FY19 Full Year Result Presentation 34.

Wholesale Key Information FY19 FY18 Variance EBITDAF ($ millions) 177.6 178.0 (0.2%) Renewable Generation (GWh) 2,834 3,056 (7.3%) Thermal Generation (GWh) 3,987 4,049 (1.5%) Total Generation (GWh) 6,821 7,105 (4.0%) GWAP ($/MWh) $143.42 $91.59 +56.6% Electricity Purchases – Retail (GWh) 6,395 6,298 +1.5% LWAP ($/MWh) $139.01 $92.08 +51.0% LWAP/GWAP Ratio 97% 101% (4 ppts) Electricity CFD Purchases (GWh) 2,255 2,023 +11.4% Electricity CFD Sales (GWh) 2,475 2,711 (8.7%) Coal/Gas Mix (Rankines only) 88/12 63/37 Gas Used in Internal Generation (PJ) 20.2 26.7 (24.3%) Coal Used in Internal Generation (PJ) 15.9 7.6 +109.2% Weighted Average Gas Burn Cost ($/GJ) $8.69 $8.02 +8.4% Weighted Average Coal Burn Cost ($/GJ) $6.33 $5.44 +16.3% Weighted Average Thermal Fuel Cost ($/MWh) $73.78 $66.53 +10.9% Weighted Average Portfolio Fuel Cost ($/MWh) $43.13 $37.91 +13.8%

1 FY19 remaining reserves include FY18 production of 36.7 PJe, and represent a 1% increase in

total reserves in FY19 (4.6 PJe).

Kupe Key Information FY19 FY18 Variance EBITDAF ($m) 108.8 115.3 (5.6%) Field Production (PJ) 25.7 25.5 +0.8% Genesis Gas Sales (PJ) 11.4 12.1 (5.8%) Genesis Oil Sales (kbbl) 441 533 (17.3%) Genesis LPG Sales (kt) 50.7 46.1 +10.0% Oil Production Yield (bbl/TJ) 40.0 45.3 (11.7%) LPG Production Yield (t/TJ) 4.3 3.9 +10.3% Remaining Kupe Reserves (2P, PJe)1 319.0 351.1 +4.6PJe Average Brent Crude Oil (USD/bbl) $69 $64 +7.8% Realised Oil Price (NZD/bbl) $88 $80 +10.0%

slide-35
SLIDE 35