Funding Models for Growth when Venture Capital is Scarce Victor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Funding Models for Growth when Venture Capital is Scarce Victor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Funding Models for Growth when Venture Capital is Scarce Victor Menasce 15 th National Executive Forum Winning in Global Markets in Adverse Times October 15, 2009 Agenda Whats wrong with Venture Capital today? Venture Capital


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SLIDE 1

Funding Models for Growth when Venture Capital is Scarce

15th National Executive Forum

Winning in Global Markets in Adverse Times October 15, 2009

Victor Menasce

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SLIDE 2

Agenda

  • What’s wrong with Venture Capital today?
  • Venture Capital characteristics

– A Case study

  • The Genesis of an idea
  • An alternative approach – My personal

experience

  • How is this model different?
  • Who to engage?
  • How to shop for bargains
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SLIDE 3

S&P 500 Quarterly Sales Change

  • 60%
  • 40%
  • 20%

0% 20% 40% 60% Energy Materials Industrials Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Health Care Financials IT Telecom Services Utilities S&P 500 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3E

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SLIDE 4

IT Spending Mirrors Industrials

2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3E

  • 25%
  • 20%
  • 15%
  • 10%
  • 5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Industrials IT S&P 500

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SLIDE 5

S&P 500 PE Ratios

0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 Dec-88 Dec-89 Dec-90 Dec-91 Dec-92 Dec-93 Dec-94 Dec-95 Dec-96 Dec-97 Dec-98 Dec-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Operating PE Reported PE

100 yr Avg

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SLIDE 6

What’s wrong with Venture Capital in 2009?

  • Losing money
  • Valuations are down across the board. This

downdraft makes profitable exits difficult.

  • No money for new investments
  • Hunkered down protecting subset of existing

investments

  • Timetables are artificial
  • VC partners can only make 1-2 investments per

year.

  • Terms are terrible! You will work for 2%
  • wnership.
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SLIDE 7

The Famous Sequoia Presentation

Created a nuclear winter in the venture community

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SLIDE 8

Personal Experience

  • Wavesat successfully raised 11M in

January 2009!

  • 37 investor pitches later, and no new

investors.

  • Money came from existing investors.
  • Most VC’s stated they were protecting the

20-30% of investments that had a path to positive cash flow in 12 months or less.

– The rest were cast to the wind.

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SLIDE 9

Case Study - Atsana

  • Year Founded: 1998
  • Focus: Multimedia processor chips for handheld

applications

  • Funds raised: US $45M
  • Employees: 80 (at its peak)
  • Sold to: MTEKVision - Korea
  • Year Sold: 2005
  • Sale Price: Fire-sale price!
  • Revenue at time of sale: < $1M
  • Growth of Business: now 1.2 million units / month
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SLIDE 10

The Genesis of an Idea

  • How to turn cash on the balance sheet into

R&D investment without impacting earnings (Legally!)

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SLIDE 11

Case Study – Tundra Semiconductor

  • Microprocessor Host Bridge Portfolio consisted of 4
  • products. Products complemented Freescale and IBM

PowerPC products.

  • Company had completed 80% of a 5th product in the
  • family. But concluded the feature set was not ideal.

Product was cancelled.

  • Company wanted to build a next generation, but didn’t

have the expense head-room. Freescale wanted this product to exist, but could not fund it.

  • Partnership discussions with Freescale were at an
  • impass. Neither company had the expense head-room to

fund another chip development.

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SLIDE 12

But

  • Tundra had cash but couldn’t spend it

without creating a loss for the fiscal year.

  • Freescale wanted near-term revenue
  • Freescale’s host bridge products were

being used as a cash cow. Revenues were modest (for Freescale).

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SLIDE 13

The Solution

  • Tundra acquired the Freescale host bridge

product line.

  • Cash payment was a balance sheet transaction

for Tundra.

  • Freescale treated the asset sale as income.
  • Newly acquired revenue stream to Tundra was

enough to fund investment in the next generation chip. No negative impact to company profitability.

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SLIDE 14

Case Study – Somerset Technologies

  • Year was 2003

– Industry was still in dot-com hang-over. – Venture capital was scarce.

  • We wanted to start a microprocessor business.
  • Landscape was littered with companies that had

tried to start building processors. Few had survived.

– Digital Equipment Corporation, SiByte, Alchemy, Cyrix, PA-Semi, Fairchild, Sun Microsystems.

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SLIDE 15

Our Business Requirements

  • 30M-50M in funding
  • Staff of 70-90
  • Leverage an existing software ecosystem
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SLIDE 16

VC Feedback

  • 10 Investor meetings later

– Not funding semiconductors. Too risky. – Some could only invest 5M at a time. Will need to assemble a syndicate of 5-10 investors.

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SLIDE 17

The Idea

  • Build a team of experienced processor

semiconductor, operations, and systems people to acquire a business through an LBO.

  • Acquire the assets of IBM’s embedded

microprocessor division.

  • Attempt to raise 250 million to acquire the

business.

  • Use the revenue stream from the business to

fund our “startup”

  • If not successful with IBM, then go after National

Semiconductor’s Cyrix division.

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SLIDE 18

The Venture

  • Built a dream team of 30 that consisted of key

experienced people from Austin Texas and Ottawa Canada.

  • Enlisted a dream team of advisors who had run the

PowerPC businesses inside IBM and Motorola.

  • Approached IBM senior executives and M&A team.
  • Completed a full business transition plan which was

presented to IBM.

  • Entered into exclusive negotiation with IBM to acquire

the business.

  • Raised 160 million in private equity funding.
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SLIDE 19

How is this model different?

  • Startups go through several natural growth
  • phases. People grow with the company.
  • An acquisition is an instant-on business.
  • You need experienced people in all the

key roles. They must hit the ground

  • running. You don’t have the luxury of

training people.

  • Must have everything ready to go day 1.
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SLIDE 20

The result

  • IBM was desperate to close the deal by March

31, 2004

  • Our banker wasn’t satisfied with the quality of

the business forecasts from IBM and needed a few more days for due diligence.

  • After 4 weeks of exclusive negotiation, AMCC

was invited to bid on the business on March 29, 2004.

  • AMCC ultimately offered 70M more than we

could afford and won the business.

  • The Somerset leadership team was hired by

AMCC to lead the business within AMCC.

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SLIDE 21

Generalize the concept

  • Look for assets that are a distance of 1 or less

from your core business.

  • Look for assets that are not core to their current
  • rganization, but could be core to yours.
  • Look for opportunities to outsource a service.
  • Determine whether the asset can be a source of

revenue for the life of your funding requirements.

  • Sell the idea as a turn-around play for the

business.

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SLIDE 22

Who to Engage?

  • Investment Bankers?
  • Private Equity Firms?
  • VCs?
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SLIDE 23

Investment Bankers

  • Goldman Sachs
  • CIBC
  • Credit Suisse First Boston
  • Citicorp Ventures
  • others.
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SLIDE 24

Who are the players?

  • Francisco Partners
  • Texas Pacific Group
  • Golden Gate Capital
  • Gore Capital
  • Bain Capital
  • Carlyle Group
  • Apollo Investments
  • Blackstone Group
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SLIDE 25

Where are the bargains?

  • Public companies that are marginally unprofitable or

lack growth, with lots of cash.

  • Simple search conducted on Oct 12, 2009

Company Revenue Profit Mkt Cap Cash EV Market Leader 38M (12M) 56M 55M 187M 106M 97M 2.4M Trident Microsystems 76M (62M) 202M 22.4M Radvision 85M (15M) 115M 6.2M Support.com 49M (21M) 114M 17.3M A Nortel division?

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SLIDE 26

Reverse the drain

  • Find a US business and move the

headquarters to Canada.