Full Year 2017 Results
19 April 2018
Full Year 2017 Results 19 April 2018 Disclaimer This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Full Year 2017 Results 19 April 2018 Disclaimer This presentation (the Presentation) has been prepared by The Ardonagh Group Limited (Ardonagh or the Group) and is its sole responsibility. For purposes hereof, the Presentation
19 April 2018
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This presentation (the “Presentation”) has been prepared by The Ardonagh Group Limited (“Ardonagh” or “the Group”) and is its sole responsibility. For purposes hereof, the Presentation shall mean and include the slides that follow, any oral presentation by Ardonagh or any person on its behalf, any question-and-answer session that may follow the oral presentation, and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, any of the above. The information contained in the Presentation has not been independently verified and some of the information is in summary form. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made by any person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information or opinions expressed in the Presentation. No responsibility or liability whatsoever is or will be accepted by Ardonagh, its shareholders, subsidiaries or affiliates or by any of their respective officers, directors, employees or agents for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the Presentation or its contents or attendance at the Presentation. Ardonagh cautions that the Presentation may contain forward looking statements in relation to certain of Ardonagh’s business, plans and current goals and expectations, including, but not limited to, its future financial condition, performance and results. These forward looking statements can be identified by the use of forward looking terminology, including the words “aims”, “believes”, “estimates”, “anticipates”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “will”, “plans”, “predicts”, “assumes”, “shall”, “continue” or “should” or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology or by discussions of strategies, plans, objectives, targets, goals, future events or intentions. By their very nature, all forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond Ardonagh’s control, including but not limited to insurance pricing, interest and exchange rates, inflation, competition and market structure, acquisitions and disposals, and regulation, tax and other legislative changes in those jurisdictions in which Ardonagh, its subsidiaries and affiliates operate. As a result, Ardonagh’s actual future financial condition, performance and results of operations may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations set out in any forward looking statement made by Ardonagh. All subsequent written or oral forward looking statements attributable to Ardonagh or to persons acting on its behalf should be interpreted as being qualified by the cautionary statements included herein. As a result, undue reliance on these forward looking statements should not be placed. The information and opinions contained in the Presentation have not been audited or necessarily prepared in accordance with international financial reporting standards and are subject to change without
should be considered in addition to IFRS financial measures, but should not be considered a substitute for results that are presented in accordance with IFRS. The information contained in the Presentation, including but not limited to any forward-looking statements, is provided as of the date hereof and is not intended to give any assurance as to future results. No person is under the obligation to update, complete, revise or keep current the information contained in the Presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise. The information contained in the Presentation may be subject to change without notice and will not be relied on for any purpose. The Presentation is solely for informational purposes and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to purchase, underwrite, subscribe to or otherwise acquire securities in Ardonagh or any of its subsidiaries nor does it constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”). The Presentation does not constitute an invitation to effect any transaction with Ardonagh or to make use of any services provided by Ardonagh. The distribution of the Presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Recipients of the Presentation should inform themselves about and observe such restrictions. Ardonagh disclaims any liability for the distribution of the Presentation by any of its recipients. This document is for distribution only in the United Kingdom and the Presentation is being made only in the United Kingdom to persons falling within Articles 19, 43, 47 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (as amended), to persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments or to persons in the United Kingdom to whom this document may otherwise be lawfully distributed. This document is being supplied and the Presentation made to you solely in that capacity for your information. This document may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on to any other person, nor may it be published in whole or in part, for any purpose. By accepting the Presentation, you agree and acknowledge (i) that the Presentation and its contents may contain proprietary information belonging to Ardonagh and (ii) to be bound by the foregoing limitations, undertakings and restrictions.
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1. The Ardonagh Group is delivering on the shared vision of shareholders and management
2. Highly effective investment in cost reduction initiatives, highly accretive acquisitions and new hires
“add-ons” (Mastercover) that consolidate market positions in attractive niches
3. Relentless focus on our vision to be the largest, best performing diversified insurance intermediary in the UK with a growing global footprint
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018
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April
HPS investment in Towergate
December
Creation of Nevada and acquisition of majority stake in Price Forbes
June
Acquisition of majority stake in Broker Network by HPS and MDP MDP equity investment in Towergate and Nevada Acquisition of majority stake in Autonet
2016
Creation of Ardonagh Group Acquisition of Direct Group and Chase Templeton Acquisition of Carole Nash, Mastercover and Healthy Pets
Q3’16 – Q1’17 November June Q3 – Q4 ‘17 2017 2015
The Ardonagh Group is the result of a carefully crafted acquisition strategy executed since 2015
£536m 2017 Income (1) £162m Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA(1) 30% Pro Forma Margin +11% (+3.5% Organic) 2017 Income Growth
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018
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income uplift and strong delivery on cost saving initiatives
–
Advisory delivered strong Organic growth of +3% vs. prior year, driven primarily by new business up +3% and retention up +2pp, combined with re-negotiated Premium Credit contract and Fee for Service agreements. Adj. EBITDA up +57% vs. prior year and single Acturis system roll-out now well under way, 12 months ahead of plan
–
Autonet also delivered strong Organic growth of +3% vs. prior year. Continued strong execution on core business with exceptional retention performance, combined with investments in strategic initiatives supported by the hire of key individuals with proven capability for delivery. Strong start to Carole Nash integration
–
Chase Templeton continues to benefit from its bolt on M&A strategy, with 5 transactions completed in H2’17
–
PSL (3) demonstrated excellent performance in its core B&C market and delivered market leading retention of 84%. Underlying income growth vs. prior year of +6% overall in Home leading to stable topline overall as Panel growth offset back-book decline
–
Retail increased Adj. EBITDA by more than 3.5x vs. prior year as the result of cost reduction and pricing initiatives, which more than
Distribution MGA and Services Wholesale
from being primarily a UK broker to placing global business, which has attracted some of the best talent in the market
prior year. Addition of US Binders and US Energy hires with proven track records underpins growth ambitions into 2018 and beyond
1) 2017 Income, Adj. EBITDA Margin 2) 2017 Total growth/ Organic growth 3) Paymentshield (“PSL”)
£351m, 25% (1) +14% / +1.5%(2) £90m, 21% (1) +20% / +15.9%(2) £93m, 14% (1) (3.6)% / (1.4)%(2)
Improving loss ratios helped to secure long-term capacity and profit commission agreements. Profitable Underwriting culture embedded
due to complete in the second half of 2018 provides a platform for future growth
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Cost Savings and Synergies 2017 investment: £52m
generating significant benefits in line with original plan
already completed in 2017
total £11m annualised benefit identified, +£4m vs. plan
property (£5m) and Group infrastructure/ governance (£11m)
across the Group (incl. operational efficiency, M&A synergies)
Plan estimated at £56m(1) p.a., in line with original plan
support future growth. £21m(2) invested in 2017 in fixing and upgrading IT infrastructure to latest platforms, reducing future maintenance and capex spend
quality management information to enable better and faster decisions and release of trapped cash through enhanced reconciliation
efficient and effective business M&A 2017 investment: £83m
Cover and several book-buys added £13m Adj. EBITDA in 2017 (excluding synergies)
the foreseeable future
cost synergies)
forma adjustments to EBITDA Income Initiatives 2017 investment: £18m
future growth, expected to deliver £10-15m in additional EBITDA in medium-term
growth
Group’s profile in our core markets
Key Highlights Long-Term Benefits
£154m investment in 2017 to capture significant market opportunity and accelerate income and EBITDA growth
1) £56m total Towergate Transformation Plan savings, £55m actioned by Dec’18 2) £10m of this £21m IT investment included in Towergate Transformation Plan spend
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Cost Synergies
significant further potential across existing businesses
£30m savings expected, including M&A cost synergies, OE and new cost reduction plans Transformation Plan
Broker System Consolidation by end 2018 £36m benefits already in EBITDA, 81% complete Procurement
relationships
improved supplier terms (e.g. PCL) £3bn of GWP within the Group – enabling significant leverage in market Revenue Synergies
actioned across the Group, no benefit included in 2017 income or EBITDA Significant additional revenue synergies identified in 2017, excluded from pro forma adjustments Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A)
validating the Group’s thesis and valuation approach 15 acquisitions signed/ completed since June’17, generating £13m annualised Adj. EBITDA Organic Growth
business mix
future pipeline
reach of the Group +3.5% Organic income growth during 2017
Income Growth Profit Margin Expansion Six key building blocks to support the Group’s growth ambitions
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Distribution MGA & Services Wholesale
rating, with rating environment stable in non- motor classes and increases in motor classes as a result of Ogden changes
2017 for Autonet given its strong presence on price comparison websites
positioned to capitalise on this growth given #1 position as market leading provider of home insurance to mortgage brokers
embedded as key distribution platforms for insurers to access niche and specialist distribution
evidenced across commercial and personal lines
divest non-core businesses or outsource non-core processes
momentum in outsourcing of middle and back
sense of risk in the market and should lead to increasing demand for insurance products
Wholesale products. Some hardening observed after 2017 US wind season
environment in wholesale broking
The Group remains well positioned to capitalise on significant market opportunities
1 2 3 1 2 3 4 1 2 3
Macro Environment FX volatility Brexit uncertainty Mixed insurance rate environment
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Organic Growth
Mid-single digit Organic income growth +3.5% Organic income growth
EBITDA Margin
2019 Adjusted EBITDA margin c. 30% 30% Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA margin 21% Adj. EBITDA margin (+320bp vs. 2016)
Operating Cash Conversion
Operating Cash Conversion 80-90% 76% Normalised Operating Cash Conversion(1) 98% in Q4 2017
Capex / Exceptionals
Maintenance capex c. 2% income Project capex and exceptional costs largely complete by the end of 2018 (£45-55m spend expected in 2018) £10-15m additional discretionary investment p.a. in income and cost saving initiatives (c. 2 year cash payback) Capex / exceptional spend peaked in 2017 Transformation spend and related benefits in line with expectations Performance of additional discretionary investment to date supports target future payback
Free Cash Flow
Neutral levered free cash flow in 2018, with increased discretionary investments and ETV redress payments funded through a combination
Positive levered free cash flow in 2019 Estimated c. £51m ETV redress payments (vs. £45-65m previous guidance) over 24 months starting in Q3/Q4 2018
Organic deleveraging Tactical debt raising activity to support growth ambitions (including M&A) Net secured leverage decreased from 5.7x in Dec’16 to 5.2x in Dec’17
1) Defined as Adj. EBITDA less net working capital movements less maintenance capex Normalised for timing of payment of £12m 2016 Towergate operating liabilities
Strong delivery against all our medium-term financial targets
Medium-Term Targets 2017 Performance
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13 £1,000 £956 £756 £752 £721 £581 £536 £434 £289 £271 £265 £242 £131 £127 £109 £88 £86 £70 £69 £66 £64 £63 £58 £56 £50 £50 £48 £47 £47 £42 £38 £38
(£ in millions)
UK Insurance Broker Rankings by Income (1)
International Personal Commercial London
(2)
1. Ardonagh Group is the result of a carefully targeted acquisition and hiring strategy focused on the UK insurance market 2. Ardonagh Group businesses were specifically selected due to:
3. Presence across the entire insurance value chain allows the Group to optimise service to customers and maximise commission capture Key Highlights
1 2 3
1) Source: IMAS Corporate Finance and Insurance Times Top 50 Brokers 2017 2) 2017 Pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018
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Autonet Paymentshield Insurance Broking Schemes & Programs MGA Wholesale Online specialist in Van, Car and Bike, underpinned by market leading pricing capabilities, customer analysis and technical expertise The UK’s leading provider of Property Insurance solutions sold via Mortgage Broker channel Leading UK network of advisors providing risk management solutions to UK SME and corporate clients Provider of bespoke specialist insurance products with an integrated online and offline service proposition One of the UK’s largest MGAs, specialising in selected commercial and personal lines niches Independent London wholesale specialist, with multi-disciplinary expertise and true global reach. Trading under multiple brands for alternative customer propositions £0.2bn GWP £0.1bn GWP £0.7bn GWP £0.4bn GWP £0.5bn GWP £1.0bn GWP
share of Motorcycle market
growth and accretive book-buys
networks with access to c. 83% of all intermediated mortgages
2017, +19% in 2016
multiple specialist niches
insurance intermediary in the UK
to single Acturis system
portfolio with market leading positions (e.g. care, pet insurance)
innovation underway
and specialisms (e.g. non- standard home, contractors plant)
systems, people and London Market/ European platforms
presence (e.g. South America)
producers hired into Wholesale
Distribution MGA & Services Wholesale
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5 national contact centers each with a dedicated product focus 78 local offices across the UK 15 MGA and Service offices serving local brokers Highly efficient operations centre in Doncaster London headquartered, in close proximity to Lloyd’s and London market Extensive UK distribution network linked to international markets
Distribution Wholesale MGA & Services Ireland United Kingdom Wholesale Markets
c. 440 regional income producers Recently opened first international offices in Miami and Stockholm
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14% 11% 30% 16% 11% 18%
2017 Income
Autonet Wholesale MGA
No meaningful concentration of income or GWP by income producer, distribution channel, product or carrier
Paymentshield Insurance Broking Schemes & Programs 9% 7% 6% 6% 4% 36% 32%
2017 Exposure by Carrier
Carrier 1 Carrier 2 Carrier 3 Carrier 4 Carrier 5 Others
Strong retention of income producers and customers across the business Long term retention plans in place for top performing producers and underwriters Highly diversified product portfolio significantly limits reliance on single markets / macro drivers Long standing partnership with key carriers (more than 10 years on average) Wholesale premium primarily driven through Lloyds and spread across numerous syndicates
Wholesale
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Initiative(1) Description Latest Update / Next Action IT Transformation (ITTP) £9m saving
platform for future growth
supplier rationalisation – now BAU SBU Turnaround £7m saving
Keynes sites
Property Cost Reduction (Phase 1) £5m saving
property cost by c.20%
for phase 1 Operational Efficiencies £17m saving
now managed as BAU Finance Transformation (Phase 1) £7m saving
ledger across the business and introduction of robotics to manual processes
phase 1
Cost reduction programs delivered on time and to budget, with c. 1 year cash payback and no further spend required
1) Savings set out on an annualised basis
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Initiative(1) Description Latest Update / Next Action Finance Transformation (Phase 2) £5m saving
implementation early 2019
Broker System Consolidation (BSC) £5m saving
single Acturis system – a single/common version
working
in 2018 in line with cost budget
program Synergies (Pre-June 2017 M&A) £11m saving
as the result of the consolidation of claims activities and other cost savings as set out in the OM June’17
group as the result of back office integration
Wholesale platform
plans fully developed
deliver synergies Synergies (Post-June 2017 M&A) £4m saving
and Mastercover into existing Distribution businesses
Cost reduction programs well under way with c. £29m(2) investment required to complete new cost savings with an average c. 1 year cash payback
1) Savings set out on an annualised basis 2) £29m investment includes £2m spend to complete Property initiative phase 2
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Incremental Income £5m £30-40m Incremental EBITDA £0m £10-15m Investment (£18m) £0m
2017 Medium-term Run Rate
(£ in millions)
Payback c. 2-3 years +3.5% Organic growth delivered in 2017 vs. prior year £18m investment in 2017 for new hires to accelerate future Organic growth (c. 2-3 years cash payback)
2017 Income Initiative Summary Key Organic Growth Drivers
effective and hard to replicate retention mechanics including equity participation
the Group, including recent acquisitions
quality specialty products niches
support long-term sustainable income growth
5-8% income uplift in the medium-term
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Target Date Announced Description Complete Sept 2015 Leading independent Lloyd’s broker with blue chip brand Sept 2016 Leading digital van broker and premier digital platform Apr 2017 Leading claims processing
May 2017 Leading independent PMI provider with proven acquisition platform Sept 2017 Leading specialist pet insurance broker Oct 2017 Leading premium motorbike insurance specialist Oct 2017 Leading specialist SME driving instructor insurance broker
Each acquisition has been carefully selected and evaluated and is expected to deliver significant revenue synergies over and above the cost synergies identified. All integration plans have been successfully implemented and synergies are ahead of initial plans in all cases.
Significant further uplift expected from income synergies. £83m investment in highly accretive M&A during 2017(1)
1) Investment excludes consideration for Direct Group and Chase Templeton
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£m 2017 2016 Growth Income(1) 535.7 481.3 11.3% Adjusted EBITDA(1) 114.3 87.4 30.8% Margin 21% 18% 320bps Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA 161.5 134.3 20.3% Margin 30% 28% 220bps Operating Cash Conversion (3) 76% 58% 18%
Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA and Income
5.8x 5.6x 5.3x 7.0x Dec'16 Sept'17 Dec'17 Average Peers
Total Net Leverage(2)
+20% Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA growth vs. prior year led to 0.5x reduction in net leverage Dec ’17 total net leverage of 5.3x compares favorably with privately held peers
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17 2) Defined as total net debt as at balance sheet date over LTM Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA 3) Defined as Adj. EBITDA less net working capital movements less maintenance capex Normalised for timing of payment of £12m 2016 Towergate operating liabilities
(4)
4) Pro forma for June ’17 refinancing 5) Secured net leverage as at 31 Dec’17 was 5.2x 6) Based on a selected sample of privately held insurance brokers
(6)
6.0x
(5)
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Autonet (Digital) Paymentshield Insurance Broking Schemes & Programs MGA Wholesale
Distribution MGA & Services Wholesale Corporate Management
Geoff Gouriet General Counsel
+20 years
Sarah Dalgarno
Strategic Risk Director
+25 years
Antony Erotocritou Group FD
+15 years
David Ross CEO
+26 years
Adrian Brown COO
+28 years
Janice Deakin
Deputy CEO
+16 years
Derek Coles
+25 years
Scott Hough
+20 years
Steve Anson
+20 years
Paul Dilley
+25 years
Andy Baughan
+30 years
David Leatham
+30 years
Kay Martin
+25 years
Rob Evans
+20 years
James Watson
+33 years
Joe Thelwell
+15 years
Rob Worrell
+31 years
Iain Laws
+25 years
Gordon Newman
+50 years
Neil Pearce
+20 years
James Masterton
+25 years
Mark Mugge Strategic Advisor
+25 years
Ian Donaldson
+20 years
Craig Ball
+10 years Years of relevant industry experience
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1. Ardonagh income of £536m is +11% higher vs. prior year(1) driven by successful “add-on” acquisition strategy, effective hiring of market leading talent and underlying Organic income growth of +3.5%
contributing £37m annualised to income and £13m annualised to EBITDA in 2017
expected to deliver £30-40m incremental income and £10-15m incremental EBITDA in the medium-term 2.
savings 3. Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA of £162m with +20% growth vs. prior year including £19m additional cost saving opportunities identified to date (including cost synergies related to post June’17 M&A) 4. £52m invested in 2017 in: Towergate Transformation Plan which is now 81% complete (£24m investment); M&A cost synergy delivery (£2m investment); additional non-BAU investments to upgrade IT (£10m), property (£5m) and Group infrastructure/ governance (£11m) 5. UCIS redress payments of £19m completed in Q3 2017 and ETV redress payments now expected at c. £51m (vs. £45-65m previous guidance) over 24 months starting from Q3/Q4 2018 6. Operating cash flow conversion of 76% including normalisation for timing of payment of £12m 2016 Towergate operating liabilities. Further improvements towards 80-90% target expected throughout 2018 as the result of recent strengthening of Treasury and IBA functions 7. Net Secured leverage reduced to 5.2x vs. 5.7x at closing of the June’17 refinancing. Total liquidity of £133m including £58m operating cash and £75m available RCF as at 31 Dec’17
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17
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Variance Full Year Variance £m Q4 2017 Q4 2016 £m % 2017 2016 £m % Income 130.3 121.3 9.0 7.4% 535.7 481.3 54.4 11.3% Staff Expenses (68.7) (66.8) (1.9) (2.9%) (279.9) (269.5) (10.4) (3.8%) Operating Expenses (38.2) (33.2) (5.0) (15.1%) (141.6) (124.4) (17.2) (13.8%) Adjusted EBITDA 23.4 21.3 2.1 9.8% 114.3 87.4 26.9 30.8% Margin % 17.9% 17.5% 40 bps 21.3% 18.2% 320 bps Pro Forma Cost Adjustments 22.7 16.4 6.4 38.9% 47.2 46.9 0.4 0.8% Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA 46.1 37.6 8.5 22.5% 161.5 134.3 27.2 20.3% Margin % 35.4% 31.0% 430 bps 30.1% 27.9% 230 bps Staff Costs as % of Income 52.8% 55.1% 230 bps 52.2% 56.0% 380 bps Operating Expenses as % of Income 29.3% 27.4% (200 bps) 26.4% 25.8% (60 bps) Organic Income Growth 1.8% 3.5% Secured Net Debt at hedged fx 842.9 766.0 Secured Net Leverage 5.2x 5.7x
Strong income and EBITDA growth driven by M&A and Organic performance
(1) (1) (2) (2)
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17 2) June’17 OM set out 2016 total net leverage of 5.75x and net secured leverage of 5.67x, which have been restated to account for USD SSN at hedged fx rate of 1.2742 (2)
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Strong Organic growth in Wholesale, Advisory and Autonet. Distribution income performance affected by Paymentshield back- book run-off and weaker growth in Retail (market headwinds, SBU closure)
(1) (1) (2) (2)
Variance Full Year Variance Organic Growth Income (£m) Q4 2017 Q4 2016 £m % 2017 2016 £m % Q4 YTD Distribution 82.3 74.3 8.0 10.7% 351.1 309.3 41.8 13.5% 2.1% 1.5% Wholesale 23.6 20.5 3.1 14.9% 90.3 75.2 15.1 20.1% 11.4% 15.9% MGA and Services 24.1 26.5 (2.3) (8.7%) 93.1 96.6 (3.4) (3.6%) (7.6%) (1.4%) Corporate 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 Income 130.3 121.3 9.0 7.4% 535.7 481.3 54.4 11.3% 1.8% 3.5% Variance Full Year Variance EBITDA (£m) Q4 2017 Q4 2016 £m % 2017 2016 £m % Distribution 17.0 12.5 4.5 35.8% 87.2 62.0 25.2 40.6% Wholesale 4.4 4.6 (0.2) (3.9%) 19.3 13.7 5.5 40.4% MGA and Services 3.0 5.6 (2.5) (45.3%) 13.2 17.0 (3.8) (22.1%) Corporate (1.1) (1.4) 0.3 (5.4) (5.3) (0.1) Adjusted EBITDA 23.4 21.3 2.1 9.8% 114.3 87.4 26.9 30.8% Pro Forma Cost Adjustments 22.7 16.4 6.4 38.9% 47.2 46.9 0.4 0.8% Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA 46.1 37.6 8.5 22.5% 161.5 134.3 27.2 20.3% Variance Full Year Variance EBITDA Margin % Q4 2017 Q4 2016 (bps) 2017 2016 (bps) Distribution 20.7% 16.9% 380 24.8% 20.0% 480 Wholesale 18.6% 22.3% (370) 21.3% 18.2% 310 MGA and Services 12.6% 21.1% (840) 14.2% 17.6% (340) Adjusted EBITDA Margin % 17.9% 17.5% 40 21.3% 18.2% 320 Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA Margin % 35.4% 31.0% 430 30.1% 27.9% 230
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17
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(£ in millions)
£481 £536 £561-571 £29 £37 £25-35m (£12) 2016 Underlying Growth Annualised M&A Legacy 2017 Medium-term Income Initiative Uplift Illustrative Medium- term Income Potential
M&A including Carole Nash, Mastercover, Healthy Pets, Chase Templeton acquisitions and various book- buys See page 19 Includes PSL back-book, impact of Underwriting legacy issues under remediation and SBU closure impact Organic growth
investment in new hires
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17
Overall impact of legacy issues peaked in 2017 and will to decrease going forward
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£87 £114 £162 £172-177 £25 £13 £47 £10-15m (£12) 2016 Underlying Growth Annualised M&A Legacy
2017 Cost Adjustments Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA 2017 Medium-term Income Initiative Uplift Illustrative Incl. Medium-term Income Potential
Driven by underlying income growth and £24m cost savings, partly offset by investments in people and systems
(£ in millions)
Cost reduction initiatives expected to deliver “run rate” savings within 12 months See page 19
Margin 18% Margin 30% Margin 21% Margin 31%
(1)
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17
(1) (1)
M&A including Carole Nash, Mastercover, Healthy Pets, Chase Templeton acquisitions and various book- buys Includes PSL back- book, impact of Underwriting legacy issues under remediation and SBU closure impact
Overall impact of legacy issues peaked in 2017 and will to decrease going forward
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£10m in-flight
(2016: £27m)
£9m actioned
(2016: 8m)
£36m delivered
(2016: £13m)
£3m in-flight
(2016: --)
£7m actioned
(2016: --)
£1m delivered
(2016: --)
£15m in-flight £4m actioned
Transformation Plan Group Synergies New 2017 Cost Savings
£56m - 81% Complete £11m - 70% Complete £19m - 22% Complete
Consistent and rapid conversion of identified cost reduction opportunities into underlying EBITDA £37m delivered to EBITDA, representing a £24m increase vs. 2016
1) £56m total Towergate Transformation Plan savings, £55m actioned by Dec’18
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Adjustments to EBITDA (£m) 2016 Pro Forma Adj 2017 Additional Delivery Increased line of sight 2017 Pro Forma Adj Net Change % Actions Complete (1) Towergate Transformation Plan 35.0 (22.9) 6.9 19.0 (16.0) 81% Completed "Fix" Programmes 28.9 (22.9) 1.4 8.2 (20.7) 92% In-Flight "Enhance" Programmes 6.1
10.8 4.7 35% (2) Group Synergies 6.9 (1.3) 4.1 9.7 2.8 70% (3) Other (incl. FX) 5.0
Subtotal 46.9 (24.2) 11.0 28.7 (18.2) 79% (4) New Cost Savings
18.6 18.6 22% Cost Synergies with New M&A
3.9 3.9 26% New Ardonagh OE Programme
5.0 5.0 0% New Cost Reduction Plans
9.7 9.7 32% Total Pro Forma Adjustments 46.9 (24.2) 29.5 47.2 0.3 67% % of Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA 35% 29%
(£ in millions)
£24m savings embedded in 2017 EBITDA result and a further £30m identified during the year £18m like-for-like reduction in OM June’17 pro forma adjustments
1) Excludes £13m delivered in 2016 result 2) Not delivered in 2017 EBITDA result
(2)
(1)
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Delivered Savings in 2017 EBITDA Annualised Savings for Actions Complete Dec-17 Annualised Savings for Actions Complete Dec-18 2017 Pro Forma Adjustment Spend to Dec’17 Total Investment Description / Progress Completed IT Transformation £5m £8m £9m £4m £19m £19m Majority actions complete, with smaller contract renegotiations to complete e.g. license reductions SBU Turnaround £6m £7m £7m £1m £4m £4m Completed Property Cost Reduction Phase 1 £5m £5m £5m
£1m Completed Operational Efficiency £14m £16m £17m £3m £2m £2m Large changes complete, smaller procurement savings coming through in BAU Finance Transformation Phase 1 £6m £7m £7m £1m £12m £12m Completion of system upgrades including new single general ledger, automation of manual processes and initial offshoring Subtotal £36m £43m £45m £9m £38m £38m In-Flight Finance Transformation Phase 2
£5m
Complete offshoring and process efficiency. Some delivery challenges have extended programme and increased costs by c.£3m Property Cost Reduction Phase 2
Further site consolidations identified for 2018 and 2019 Broker Systems Consolidation
£5m £5m £4m £12m 65% of targeted systems moved to single platform, currently 12 months ahead of original plan Group Synergies and Other £1m £8m £11m £10m £2m £6m Claims all moved to Direct Group. Price Forbes synergies delivered and others on track to be delivered in 2018 Subtotal £1m £10m £21m £20m £6m £32m New Cost Synergies with New M&A
£4m £4m
Identifying cost savings once integrated with Ardonagh, primarily Carole Nash OE Program
£5m
Implementing robotics to improve operational efficiencies Cost Reduction Plans
£10m £10m
Further cost savings identified across every segment Subtotal
£19m £19m
Total £37m £57m £85m £47m £44m £92m
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full year although significant improvement in Q4
medium-term 80%-90% target unchanged
were delayed into 2017 as we implemented new payment control systems, harmonized payment terms and renegotiated agreement with a number of
Mastercover and Healthy Pets - £55m new bonds issued and £30m RCF draw to finance investment
Wholesale and Underwriting strategic hires and AE/DE tactical hires in Advisory
Towergate Transformation Plan which is now 81% complete (£24m investment); M&A cost synergy delivery (£2m investment); additional non-BAU investments to upgrade IT (£10m), property (£5m) and Group infrastructure/ governance (£11m)
Note: Certain reclassifications between line items have been made vs. previously reported numbers, impacting working capital movement, other exceptionals and legacy LTIPs. All costs in relation to Project Kairos are excluded from the above analysis. Please see appendix for a reconciliation to Q4 net cash flow. 1) Normalised for timing of payment of £12m 2016 Towergate operating liabilities
Cash flow reflects continued improvement in operating cash conversion and investment across the Group including selected M&A, cost and income initiatives
Full Year £m Q4 2017 Q4 2016 Variance 2017 2016 Variance Adjusted EBITDA incl. M&A 23.4 21.3 2.1 114.3 87.4 26.9 Pro Forma for M&A (1.2)
22.2 21.3 0.9 101.3 87.3 14.0 Working Capital Movement(1) 0.7 1.0 (0.3) (20.3) (32.0) 11.7 Maintenance Capex (1.1) (1.6) 0.4 (4.3) (4.5) 0.1 Operating Cash Flow 21.7 20.7 1.0 76.7 50.9 25.7 Operating Cash Conversion % 98.2% 97.4% 0.8% 75.7% 58.3% 17.4% Investments in Both Income and Cost Initiatives: M&A Investments (60.8) (5.0) (55.8) (83.3) 6.3 (89.7) Investments in Income Growth (7.6) (6.5) (1.1) (18.3) (10.9) (7.4) Project Capex (4.6) (10.6) 5.9 (27.4) (25.2) (2.2) Cost Saving Exceptionals (10.2) 0.3 (10.5) (24.7) (11.9) (12.8) Total Investments (83.2) (21.7) (61.4) (153.7) (41.6) (112.1) Other Non-recurring: Normalisation of Working Capital Movement(1)
(12.0) (12.0) 12.0 (24.0) Legacy LTIPs / Shareholder Loans
7.1 (1.8) (15.5) 13.7 Other Exceptionals (5.0) (8.1) 3.1 (10.6) (13.3) 2.7 Regulatory (incl. UCIS Redress) (0.9) (3.7) 2.8 (15.8) (13.7) (2.1) FX Hedge Losses (0.7) (2.0) 1.3 (7.9) (5.7) (2.3) Corporation Tax 0.3 (1.0) 1.3 (2.6) (4.7) 2.2 Cash Flow before Financing (67.7) (10.8) (56.8) (127.8) (31.6) (96.2)
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£42 £56 £58 £26 £59 £55 £30 £133 (£71) (£83) 2016 Operating Cash 2017 Cash Flow (excl. Investments) Net Proceeds from June Financing Capex & Exceptional Spend 2017 Operating Cash Pre-M&A Oct-2017 Bond Tap RCF Drawdown 2017 M&A 2017 Operating Cash / Liquidity Post M&A
(1) (2)
(£ in millions)
1) Pro forma for Jun-2017 refinancing 2) RCF increased to £105m from £90m in December 2017
Carefully crafted funding strategy to support significant level of investment, while maintaining ample liquidity at all times
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Ample liquidity available with £58m operating cash and £75m undrawn revolver as of 31 December 2017 Demonstrating deleveraging capabilities with net secured leverage post M&A now 5.2x vs. 5.7x as of Dec’16
Capitalisation (£m) Dec-16(5) Jun-17(2) Sep-17 Dec-17(6) Operating Cash(1) 42.1 78.1 52.2 58.1 Adjustment
Adjusted Operating Cash 42.1 56.9 52.2 50.2 SSRCF (£105m)(4)
GBP Senior Secured Notes 400.0 400.0 400.0 455.0 USD Senior Secured Notes(3) 408.1 408.1 408.1 408.1 Net Secured Debt 766.0 751.2 755.9 842.9 Other Debt 11.5 12.2 11.5 9.0 Total Net Debt 777.5 763.3 767.4 852.0 LTM Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA 134.3 137.0 137.5 161.5 Interest on Senior Secured Notes 68.3 67.2 67.2 73.1 x Net Secured Leverage 5.7x 5.5x 5.5x 5.2x x Total Net Leverage 5.8x 5.6x 5.6x 5.3x x Fixed Charge Coverage 2.0x 2.0x 2.0x 2.2x
1 Excludes all TC2.4 cash 2 The cash adjustment for June 2017 includes transaction cost payable after 30 June 2017, consideration for post-balance sheet acquisitions (including Healthy Pets) and additional equity proceeds from rights issue 3 USD Senior Secured Notes at hedged USD / GBP FX Rate of 1.2742 4 RCF increased to £105m from £90m in December 2017 5 OM set out total net leverage of 5.75x and net secured leverage of 5.67x, which have been restated to account for USD SSN at hedged fx rate of 1.2742 6 Operating cash at December 2017 adjusted for consideration in relation to post balance sheet acquisitions
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Income 2017 2016 Change % Reported Income per Accounts 411.2 318.7 29% Pro forma for M&A pre-22 Jun'17 (Autonet, Chase Templeton, Direct Group, Price Forbes) 82.9 156.7 Income pro forma for M&A pre-22 June'17 494.1 475.5 4% Pro forma for M&A 22 Jun'17 to 31 Dec'17 (Carole Nash, Healthy Pets, Mastercover, US Binders) 32.3 34.9 Income pro forma for M&A to 31 Dec'17 526.4 510.4 3% Pro forma for M&A signed 31 Dec'17 to 31 Mar'18 (three book buys) 4.8 4.8 Income pro forma for M&A to 31 Mar'18 531.2 515.2 3%
2017 2016 Change % Reported Adj. EBITDA per Accounts 79.8 49.2 62% Pro forma for M&A pre-22 Jun'17 (Autonet, Chase Templeton, Direct Group, Price Forbes) 21.5 38.2
101.3 87.4 16% Pro forma for M&A 22 Jun'17 to 31 Dec'17 (Carole Nash, Healthy Pets, Mastercover, US Binders) 9.5 10.6
110.8 98.0 13% Pro forma for M&A signed 31 Dec'17 to 31 Mar'18 (three book buys) 3.5 3.4
114.3 101.5 13%
As set out in the Annual Report As set out in this presentation
(1) (1)
1) Income set out in this presentation includes normalisation adjustment of £4.5m in 2017 and £5.5m in 2016 which includes hedging losses, loss corridor and remediation adjustments
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The Group presents results to investors using alternative performance measures (‘APMs’). These seek to present the results as though the material acquisitions Nevada, Direct Group and Chase Templeton, had
The Group presents EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA as important APMs for both IFRS and pro forma results. The objective of presenting APMs is to facilitate readers’ understanding of progress irrespective of the capital structure and before deduction
significant business investment and transformation costs, which have been a key element
This slide presents the reconciliations between the IFRS comprehensive gain/(loss) for the year and the key APMs. The full IFRS results can be found in the Consolidated Financial Statements for The Ardonagh Group Limited on the website www.ardonagh.com. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA margins are not measurements of financial performance under IFRS and should not be considered as alternatives to other indicators of the Group’s operating performance, cash flows or any other measure of performance derived in accordance with IFRS.
1) 2017 pro forma for M&A signed and/ or completed by 31 March 2018; 2016 excludes M&A completed by The Ardonagh Group post June’17 2) Includes Autonet, Chase Templeton, Direct Group and Price Forbes 4) Other includes foreign exchange movements, dividends received and income tax (charge)/credit 5) Above reconciles the investor presentation to the Ardonagh Group Limited Annual Report, the accounts
incurred in Ardonagh Group Limited, primarily associated with acquisition & financing and board costs 3) Non trading income includes share of operating loss from associate, (reduction)/increase in the value of contingent consideration, (loss)/profit on disposal of business and investments, loss from disposal of assets and profit from discontinued operations
Reconciliation of IFRS loss for The Ardonagh Group Limited for the period to Alternative Performance Measures 2017 2016 Growth % Reconciliation of Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA to a second pro forma Adjusted EBITDA that reflects the impact of annualising synergies and post period acquisitions Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA(1) 161.5 134.3 +20% Towergate Transformation Plan 19.0 35.0 Group Synergies 9.7 6.9 Other
New Cost Savings 18.6
47.2 46.9 Adjusted EBITDA per investor presentation(1) 114.3 87.4 +31% M&A pro forma(1) (3.5) 10.6 Adjusted EBITDA per annual report 110.8 98.0 +13% Reconciliation of the IFRS loss for the period to EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and pro forma Adjusted EBITDA Pro forma Adjusted EBITDA 110.8 98.0 Adjustments for acquisitions and disposals(2) (31.0) (48.8) Adjusted EBITDA 79.8 49.2 Regulatory costs (58.6) (5.2) Business transformation (25.7) (14.1) Business generation (15.0) (8.1) Legacy costs (17.1) (8.0) Acquisition and financing costs (21.6) 0.2 Non trading income(3) 9.4 19.9 Fair value gain on foreign exchange forward contracts 6.3 EBITDA (42.5) 33.9 Impairment of goodwill (84.5)
(77.4) (47.0) Depreciation and amortisation charges (56.9) (44.1) Other(4) 0.5 11.8 Loss for the year(5) (260.9) (45.4)
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1) Fiduciary funds represent client money used to pay premiums to underwriters, to settle claims to policyholders and to defray commission and other income. They are not available for general corporate
£m Q3 2017 Q4 2017 H2 2017 Cash Flow before Financing (25.3) (67.7) (92.9) Refinancing and Transaction Costs (23.4) (10.6) (33.9) Rights Issue 22.1
Bond Issue
55.0 RCF Drawdown
30.0 Redemption of Price Forbes Loan Notes (0.7)
Repayment of Borrowings
(2.0) Interest (incl. RCF Commitment Fee) (0.3) 1.3 1.0 Acquired cash 0.2
Movement in Restricted Cash 1.5 13.7 15.1 Movement in Fiduciary Cash(1) 4.4 30.5 34.9 Other 0.1 (0.1) 0.0 Net Movement in Cash (21.4) 50.1 28.6
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This investor presentation contains non-IFRS measures and ratios, including Adjusted EBITDA and Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA, that are not required by, or presented in accordance with, IFRS. Our non-IFRS measures are defined by us as set out below. We define “Adjusted EBITDA” or “Adj. EBITDA” as the profit or (loss) on ordinary activities before finance costs, income tax, depreciation and amortisation charges, share of loss from an associate and impairment of goodwill, adjusted for loss or (profit) on the disposal of businesses, related party bad debt provision, reduction in value on contingent consideration, group reorganisation costs, regulatory costs, asset write-downs in connection with business restructuring, business investment costs, consultancy on regulatory matters, levy costs and finance legacy review costs, as applicable. Adjusted EBITDA is stated before exceptional costs and one-off items as determined by management. This includes Towergate, Price Forbes, Autonet, Direct Group and Chase Templeton financial results as if owned for the full period shown in the current and prior financial year. We define “Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA” or “Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA” as the Adjusted EBITDA of each of Towergate, Price Forbes, Autonet, Direct Group and Chase Templeton, each as adjusted for overhead costs currently incurred by The Ardonagh Group, Atlanta Holdco and PF Holdco, certain cost saving initiatives and cost synergies, a USD/GBP FX adjustment related to Price Forbes and certain other transactions adjustments including certain UK GAAP to IFRS adjustments. We define “Operating Cash Conversion” as operating and investing cash flow (as further defined as Adjusted EBITDA less working capital movement and maintenance capital expenditure), over Adjusted EBITDA. This excludes one-off costs, other capital expenditure and exceptional costs related to cost saving and income growth initiatives. We define “Organic” as excluding the impact of acquired or exited businesses and other non-recurring items and is set out at actual FX.