From the construction to the usage of statistics beyond GDP NTTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

From the construction to the usage of statistics beyond GDP

Marina Signore

e-Frame Project Coordinator Director of Research, Istat

Donatella Fazio

e-Frame Network Coordinator Senior Statistician, Istat

NTTS Conference Brussels, 10-12 March 2015

The European debate

• From measurement to policy use of indicators

“In this time of crises, when new political narratives are necessary to identify where our societies should go, the report advocates a shift of emphasis from a “production-oriented” measurement system to one focused on the well-being of current and future generations, i.e. toward broader measures of social progress.” (Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report, 2008 ) The importance of shifting from measurement to policy use” and the importance of providing policy makers with ideas and tools on how best to use new measures in their policies (Giovannini, 4th World Forum 2012)

e-Frame contribution

• Organisation of 9 Thematic Workshops, a

Summer School and two Conferences

• Preparation of Stocktaking reports including

Guidelines and Recommendations

• Creation of the European Network on Wikiprogress.org hosted by

OECD (alongside the Regional Networks of Africa and Latin America)

• Fostering the European Position
• Contributing to setting the future EU agenda

Policy documents

1. Convergence report: provides an overview of measurement systems in the context of the Post-2015 process. 2. Map of policy use of Progress indicators 3. Roadmap for future research needs European Framework for Measuring Progress Coordination and support actions project

• Duration from 1 January 2012 –

30 June 2014

• Consortium of 19 partners
• Co-chaired by Istat and Statistics

Netherlands

Proposing the way forward

Research areas for better statistics on “GDP and beyond”

conceptual and methodological aspects (subject areas, indicators, measurements,…) the implementation of the tools to collect, produce, disseminate and share data the communication aspects

e-Frame Roadmap for future research needs

The Roadmap for future research needs

 Research needs and information gaps identified by e-Frame activities  Developments in order to empower the development, the understanding, dissemination and use of statistics on well-being and sustainable development  Proposing topics for future research projects in the context of Horizon 2020 as well as future EU projects according to ESS needs

• A. Measurement issues in official statistics
• B. Exploiting non official sources
• C. Communication issues
• D. For a policy use of progress indicators

http://www.eframeproject.eu/fileadmin/Deliverables/Deliverable11.2.pdf

• A. Measurements issues in official statistics

Continue or further develop

• implementing subjective indicators
• constructing indicators at different levels: local,

national, global

• disaggregating at the right dimension (target groups)
• harmonizing concepts, standards and definitions

(metadata)

• improving timeliness
• developing indicators of sustainability
• increase microdata availability
• analyse quality implications for well-being measurement
• training at University level

e-Frame Report on Subjective well-being e-Frame Report on Measuring Progress at the local level e-Frame Report on New Measures of International trade e-Frame Summer School EMOS QuoLexity Master e-Frame Report on NSIs initiatives e-Frame Report on macroeconomic indicators e-Frame Report on Social Monitoring and Reporting in Europe

• B. Exploiting non-official sources

BIG DATA Satellite event 9 March ww.cros- portal.eu

• Need to bridge top-down and bottom-up approaches for the

construction of statistics beyond GDP

• Need to foster the usage of non-official data for the

construction progress statistics

• Need to exploit crowd sourced locally generated data
• Need to evaluate how to integrate/complement official data

with non-official data

• Need to develop technologies for the use of big data and
• pen data in official statistical production
• Need to evaluate the role for non-official data in a cost-

benefit perspective

• Need to validate the usage of non-official data in a new

quality framework

• Need to “label” the non official data

e-Frame Guidelines for stakeholders inclusion

• C. Communication issues
• Need to facilitate the communication to policy makers
• Need to find a wording for policy makers
• Need to develop Web2.0 tools to improve the understanding of

progress statistics

• Need to exploit the digital initiatives carried out by communities

for statistics beyond GDP

• Need to foster the culture on the measurement of well being
• Need to educate the opinion leaders on statistics beyond GDP
• Need to inform and train the business world and educate the

market to read new measurements of progress and well-being as a chance to catch for business

• Need to complement statistics with story telling

e-Frame Handbook e-Frame ICT Catalogue new FP7 Web-COSI project

• Need to develop models capable to describe the trade-off between different

dimensions and simulate the various effects

• Need to develop an integrated framework for a policy use of progress

indicators

• Need to evaluate the “Institutional” Sustainability for a well-being oriented

policy

• Need to develop risk indicators to measure the social effect of not doing
• Need to construct econometric models of simulation to measure the effect of

the policies on well being

• Need to study how the use of well-being indicators positively influences the

(good) policies

• Need to develop a beyond GDP narrative
• D. For a policy use of progress indicators

e-Frame Map of policy use of progress indicators

http://www.eframeproject.eu/fileadmin/ Deliverables/Deliverable11.1.pdf

 Results emerged from all e-Frame WPs: workshops, conferences and stocktaking reports – coordinated by Istat

+ Other EU projects (Brainpool) + EU Agencies (Joint Research Center)

 At the forefront of the debate:

• How to support policy use of WB indicators?
• How to support evidence-based decision process?
• What successful experiences exist?
• What are the limitations?
• Practical approach: how to use the proposed indicators and uses to date
• Wording: easy to understand, not for specialists but addressed to a wider audience
• Recommendations for use

The e-Frame Map of policy use of progress indicators

The structure

Overview

Aims and contents On the use of progress indicators

• A. Measuring well-being and societal progress

Material well-being; Measurement of intangible assets within National Account Frameworks; Subjective well-being; Social capital; Worker welfare and Labour market; Human capital; Sustainable development; Trends and challenges for environmental indicators; World Input- Output Tables: Tracing the Consequences of Globalisation; Social innovation; Corporate Social Responsibility and the Global Reporting Initiative

• B. Methodologies and tools for measuring well-being and societal progress

Indicators legitimacy and stakeholders inclusion; Policies at local level; EU NSIs’ activities beyond GDP; Visualisation tools and software; Social Monitoring and Reporting; Advanced training in beyond GDP; The European Network on Measuring Progress; and Composite indicators

• C. Towards an integrated policy framework for better lives

Policy-integrated frameworks for well-being: putting well-being at the core of policy-making, Examples and Challenges

Template for methods and tools 1.Why it is important

• 2. Which initiatives/ tools/ references must be considered
• 3. How to implement/ exploit them
• 4. Best practices/ recommendations/ future developments

References

The format

Template for thematic topics 1.Why it is important

• 2. Which measures must be considered
• 3. How to use them
• 4. Uses to date

References

What can be expected from the Map?

• Step forward towards the actual use of progress indicators in policy making
• This frontier has not been reached uniformly for all relevant topics and

methodologies State of the art Measures which are not yet fully developed (e.g. globalisation, intangibles) Measures currently produced within the official statistics but often ignored in policy making (e.g. material conditions; worker welfare and labour markets) Good practices of policy making which already moved “Beyond GDP” (e.g. subjective measures; environmental indicators)

Worker Welfare and Labour Markets:

Richer people will systematically choose better conditions and accept a negative compensating wage differential (CWD), that is, a lower wage given their human capital. Poorer people will do the opposite. Differences in wages will then understate differences in welfare, and we need to go beyond wages. Prospects: job security, career progression, contract quality Intrinsic job quality: discretion, social environment, physical environment, work intensity Working time quality: including work duration and short-term flexibility

The content: Example of Thematic topics

The content: Examples of tools and methodologies

Include stakeholders: All relevant actors, including “hard to reach groups”, media Composite indicators: Needed, but with due caution Local level: from local definitions of progress to Small Area Estimates ICT tools: to exploit visualization tools and interactions with users Advanced training: to increase knowledge at all levels

The content – A policy-integrated framework

Key challenges:

• which specific goals should a policy maker pursue?
• how scarce resources should be prioritised?
• how to manage trade-offs between different dimensions of well-

being?

• how to analyse the interrelations between the different

dimensions?

A specific process for assessing policy in well-being terms

A policy-integrated framework for well-being

• Rationale: well-being is multidimensional, therefore we need to have a policy

tool that explicitly factors in the various well-being components and how they vary together

• Value added: integration enhances policies Alignment, their Analysis as well

as their Accountability

• How does it work: well-being indicators may inform many stages of the

policy-making process

Set the strategy:

• Inform priorities setting
• Identify the best policy package to achieve more than one
• bjectives at a time

Help evaluating policy:

• Ex ante appraisal of policies
• Ex post impact assessment

Concluding remarks

European and world-wide debate to set well-being at the center of the political agenda (well-being is not a spin-off of GDP growth) EU research funded project can provide a great contribution ESS and NSIs are committed to further progress on “Beyond GDP” indicators It is vital to join efforts Still a lot of work to do not only from the technical and methodological side but also from the communication side and for a better exploitation of the potentialities offered by non-

• fficial (crowd-sourced) data