from Circumstantial Evidence William E. Kovacic George Washington - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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from Circumstantial Evidence William E. Kovacic George Washington - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Inferring Agreement to Rig Bids from Circumstantial Evidence William E. Kovacic George Washington University Law School 7 th LEAR Conference Rome, 4 July 2017 Antitrust and Collusion in the US Before 1890 After 1890 Stronger


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Inferring Agreement to Rig Bids from Circumstantial Evidence

William E. Kovacic George Washington University Law School 7th LEAR Conference Rome, 4 July 2017

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Antitrust and Collusion in the US

  • Before 1890
  • After 1890

–Stronger detection and sanctions –Stonger concealment

  • Issue for Antitrust

– Basis for inferring agreement

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Agenda

  • US Doctrine Status Quo
  • Circumstantial Proof
  • Personal Views Only
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Joint Work

  • Bob Marshall
  • Leslie Marx
  • Alison Jones
  • Damon Anderson
  • Emma Cronenweth
  • Rob Anderson
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SLIDE 5

Resources

  • Marshall & Marx, The Economics of

Collusion (MIT Press 2012)

  • Kovacic, Marshall, Marx & White,

Super Plus Factors and Agreement in Antitrust Law, 110 Michigan Law Review 393 (2011)

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Marshall/Marx Methodology

  • Cartel Architecture and Operations
  • Examination of Past Cases

–Agency decisions –Published case studies –Own consulting

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US Doctrine Fundamentals

  • Sufficient Proof of Agreement

–Direct –Circumstantial

  • Parallel Conduct Alone: Insufficient
  • Parallel Conduct Plus other Proof

–“Plus Factors”

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Plus Factors

  • Industry Structure
  • Firm Conduct

–Past collusion –Communications –Complexity –Irrationality

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Traditional Application

  • Checklist
  • Tick the Box
  • Are There Enough?
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Emerging Approach

  • Link Factors to Cartel Tasks
  • Form Consensus
  • Detect Deviations
  • Punish Cheaters
  • Suppress External Threats

–Buyers, suppliers, mavericks

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Super Plus Factors

  • Close Connection to Cartel Behavior
  • Linked to Cartel Performance Tasks
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Super Plus Factors and Bid Rigging

  • Extensive Communications
  • Extensive Subcontracting
  • Broad Pattern of Refusals to Deal
  • Sales Force Incentives