From Carnegie Mellon to Kyoto: How Far Can We Go? Project Courses - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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From Carnegie Mellon to Kyoto: How Far Can We Go? Project Courses - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

From Carnegie Mellon to Kyoto: How Far Can We Go? Project Courses at Carnegie Mellon Involve real-world, unstructured problems involving technology and public policy. Provide students with leadership experience in problem-solving environments.


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SLIDE 1

From Carnegie Mellon to Kyoto: How Far Can We Go?

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SLIDE 2

Project Courses at Carnegie Mellon

Involve real-world, unstructured problems involving technology and public policy. Provide students with leadership experience in problem-solving environments. Require a multi-disciplinary, team-oriented approach.

Department of Engineering & Public Policy Department of Social & Decision Sciences

  • H. John Heinz III School of Management & Public Policy

Managed by students and monitored by faculty advisors. Assisted by a review panel of campus decision makers, specialists, and industry experts.

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SLIDE 3

Introductions: Review Panel

In Washington, DC

Alexandra Carr, Department of Engineering & Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon Helen Kerr, BP Amoco Joseph Romm, Global Environment and Technology Foundation Joel D. Scheraga, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency James Zucchetto, National Research Council

In Pittsburgh, PA

Martin Altschul, Facilities Management Services, Carnegie Mellon Jeffrey Bolton, VP for Business and Planning, Carnegie Mellon Jarod Cohon, President, Carnegie Mellon David Dzombak, Professor, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon James Ekmann, Assoc. Director, NETL, U.S. Department of Energy Ken Kimbrough, Assistant VP, Facilities Management Services, Carnegie Mellon Barb Kviz, Chairperson, Green Practices Committee, Carnegie Mellon Elizabeth Munsch, Asst. University Energy Manager, University of Pittsburgh John Schenk, University Energy Manager, University of Pittsburgh Thomas Spiegelhalter, Professor of Architecture, Carnegie Mellon

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SLIDE 4

The Environmental Impacts of Greenhouse Gases (GHGs)

GHG emissions have been cited as a cause of global climate change, causing sea level rises, changes in weather patterns, and health effects. GHGs include carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous

  • xide (N2O), and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), among others.

CO2 is by far the dominant GHG. Emissions of CO2 are primarily the result of the burning of fossil fuels, such as coal, natural gas, and transportation fuels.

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SLIDE 5

The Kyoto Protocol

The Kyoto Protocol is an international treaty aimed at reducing global GHG emissions in industrialized and developing nations under the 1997 U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The Kyoto Protocol would limit U.S emissions of GHGs to 7% below 1990 baseline levels by the period 2008-2012, as shown below:

1990 2001 2010

7 %

reduction

? %

reduction

past data target level projected levels w/o initiatives projected levels w/ initiatives

GHG emissions time

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SLIDE 6

The United States has chosen not to ratify the treaty, arguing that it is not economically feasible, among

  • ther things. However, other nations are pursuing

ratification. A growing number of large corporations (e.g. BP Amoco, AEP) are independently pursuing GHG emissions reductions. Can Carnegie Mellon, as part of its environmental initiative, meet the Kyoto Protocol’s targets?

If so, how? At what cost? If not, why? How far can we go?

Project Motivations

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SLIDE 7

Project Objective

Determine the feasibility of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with Carnegie Mellon University in the context of the Kyoto Protocol. Process:

Analyze Carnegie Mellon’s energy consumption and associated GHG emissions. Estimate potential progress toward Kyoto goals. Evaluate possible reduction strategies. Recommend best strategies. Provide other institutions considering voluntary commitment with potentially useful methodologies.

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SLIDE 8

Energy

Suppliers

Off-Campus GHG Emissions On-Campus GHG Emissions

Carnegie Mellon University

Devices Users

Behavior Technology

Demand-Side Solutions:

Electricity Steam Natural Gas Transportation Fuels

Supply-Side Solutions

Carnegie Mellon Energy System:

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SLIDE 9

Presentation Outline

Carnegie Mellon Energy Consumption and GHG Emissions: A Closer Look

Where is Carnegie Mellon’s energy being used? What are our GHG emissions? Kyoto obligations?

Behavioral Options to Reduce Energy Demand

What can we do to affect the campus community’s behavior in order to decrease energy consumption?

Technology Options to Increase Energy Efficiency

What can we do to increase the energy efficiency of campus systems and devices?

Supply-Side Options to Reduce GHG Emissions

Can we purchase “cleaner” energy from suppliers? Can we produce our own energy on campus?

Policy Evaluations and Recommendations

Who makes the decisions, how are they made, and how can we influence them? What are our final recommendations?

Questions & Answers

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SLIDE 10

Carnegie Mellon Energy Consumption and GHG Emissions

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SLIDE 11

Objectives

Characterize current Carnegie Mellon energy use. Estimate Carnegie Mellon’s past (1990) energy consumption. Estimate future (2010) energy consumption under ‘low’ and ‘high’ scenarios. Estimate associated greenhouse gas emissions.

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SLIDE 12

Defining Carnegie Mellon: 2000

Physical Space

3.8 million sq ft 41 buildings Building Functions (% sq ft of total campus):

Academic 38% Housing Facilities 20% Research 15% Common, Admin, etc. 27%

Population

Students 8,500 Faculty/Staff 3,300 Total 11,800

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SLIDE 13

Carnegie Mellon Utilities: 2000

$5.23 per MCF $201,255 38,500 MCF Natural Gas $7.30 per Mlb $2,011,588 275,560 Mlbs Steam $0.0572 per kWh $4,890,600 85,500,000 kWh Electricity Price per Unit Total Cost Total Usage

Total Energy Cost = $7.1 million (~$840 per student)

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Carnegie Mellon Energy Consumption: 2000

ELECTRICITY in million kWh per building

2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Mellon Instutit University Cent Cyert Hall Bake r/Porter GS IA/Posne Roberts Engineeri Hunt Library CFA/ S tudio Thea Hill Dorms More wood Garde Donner Hal

  • E. Ca mpus Gar. /Stadi

S caife Hall UTDC 6555 Pe nn Av Gymnasium Whitfield Hal Bramer Hous Woodlawn Apt Fra ternity Hous e S pirit Hous e Building

kWH (in Millio

50% of total consumption

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SLIDE 15

Carnegie Mellon Energy Consumption: 2000

STEAM in million lbs per building

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 M e l l

  • n

I n s t u t i t e W e a n H a l l B a k e r / P

  • r

t e r D

  • h

e r t y H a l l U n i v e r s i t y C e n t e G S I A / P

  • s

n e r H a m m e r s c h l a g H a C F A / S t u d i

  • T

h e a t M M / C a r n e g i e H a F

  • r

m e r U S B M R

  • b

e r t s E n g i n e e r i n H u n t L i b r a r y M

  • r

e w

  • d

G a r d e n G y m n a s i u m C y e r t H a l l R e s n i c k H

  • u

s e / W e s t W i P h y s i c a l P l a n t B u i l d i n S c a i f e H i l l D

  • r

m s W a r n e r H a l l F r a t e r n i t y H

  • u

s e M u d g e H

  • u

s e A l u m n i H a l l M M A p a r t m e n t s D

  • n

n e r H a l l Building MLB

Over 50% of total consumption

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Carnegie Mellon Energy Consumption: 2000

NATURAL GAS in MCF per building

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 C M R I F r a t e r n i t y H

  • u

s e s 6 5 5 5 P e n n A v e D

  • h

e r t y A p t s R

  • s

e l a w n T e r r a c e U n i v e r s i t y C e n t e r M

  • r

e w

  • d

G a r d e n s H i l l D

  • r

m s S h i r l e y A p a r t m e n t s A p a r t m e n t s , H

  • u

s e s M M / C a r n e g i e H a l l W h i t f i e l d H a l l W

  • d

l a w n A p t s D

  • n

n e r H a l l M u d g e H

  • u

s e G y m n a s i u m R e s n i c k / W W S p i r i t H

  • u

s e D

  • h

e r t y H a l l M M A p a r t m e n t s S c a i f e 4 7

  • 4

9 C r a i g S t r e e M e l l

  • n

I n s t u t i t e a n d S E A l u m n i H a l l G S I A / P

  • s

n e r C F A / S t u d i

  • T

h e a t r e Building MCF

50% of total consumption

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The Carnegie Mellon University Campus, 2000-2010

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Projected Campus Growth, 2000-2010

Campus Area

New buildings added = 286,300 ft2 Buildings demolished = 81,300 ft2 Net addition = 205,000 ft2

Carnegie Mellon Population Growth

Estimated 2010 total = ~12,700 students, faculty, and staff.

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SLIDE 19

Projected Campus Electricity Use

1990 2000 2010 60 80 100 120

Uncertainty

Year Electricity (million kWh)

40

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Projected Campus Steam Use

1990 2000 2010

Year

225 250 275 300

Uncertainty

Steam (million lbs)

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SLIDE 21

Projected Campus Natural Gas Use

1990 2000 2010

Year

10 20 30 40 Natural Gas (million ft3)

Uncertainty

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SLIDE 22

Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Direct University Emissions:

Electricity (kWh) Steam (Mlbs) Natural Gas (MCF) Automotive fuels (gal)

Indirect Emissions:

Municipal solid waste Commuter vehicles Airplane travel (students and faculty)

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SLIDE 23

Current GHG Emissions: 2000

Electricity Supply:

71% coal, 29% nuclear 0.74 tons CO2 per MWh

Steam Supply:

56.5% coal, 43.5% natural gas 0.104 tons CO2 per Mlbs

Natural Gas Supply:

0.06 tons CO2 per MCF

Carnegie Mellon Vehicles and Other

Negligible

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SLIDE 24

Carnegie Mellon CO2 Emissions

How far do we have to go to reach Kyoto?

41,980 34,980 Total CO2 reduction (tons) 69,600 69,600 Kyoto Target (tons) 111,580 104,580 94,200 74,840 Total tons of CO2 2,500 2,440 2,310 780 CO2 from natural gas (tons) 30,980 30,170 28,620 26,700 CO2 from steam (tons) 78,100 71,970 63,270 47,360 CO2 from electricity (tons) 2010 (high) 2010 (low) 2000 1990

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CO2 emissions time 1990

2000 2010 Kyoto target Past growth

U n c e r t a i n t y

7% reduction

35,000 tons 42,000 tons

Estimated growth

33-38% reduction

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Behavioral Options to Reduce Energy Demand

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SLIDE 27

Objectives

Identify attitudes and behaviors among the campus community concerning energy use. Evaluate possible solutions for energy conservation.

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Survey Methodology

Surveys showed behavioral patterns and attitudes regarding energy consumption among students at Carnegie Mellon. Questions focused on respondents’ support for policies affecting their personal energy consumption.

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SLIDE 29

Who took the survey?

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

  • n campus
  • ff campus

On vs. Off Campus Respondents

Series1

N = 174

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On-Campus Distribution

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 boss hamerschlag morew ood resnik w elch cat man shirley Actual Buidling P

  • pulation

Actual Buidling P

  • pulation
5 10 15 20 25 Boss Hamerschlag Morewood Resnik Welch
  • Cath. Mans
Shirley Apts Building

Responses by Building

Series1
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SLIDE 31

Overall Attitudes Concerning Environmental Policies

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Environmental Concern

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Extremely Unconcerned 4 7 Extremely Concerned Off Campus On Campus N= 169 µ = 6.67

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SLIDE 33

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Extremely Supportive 4 7 Extremely Unsupportive Off Campus On Campus

N = 155 µ = 3.41

Green Campus Initiative

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SLIDE 34

Dormitory Options:

Can students be more efficient and save money at the same time?

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5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Extremely Supportive 4 7 Extremely Unupportive

Off Campus On Campus

N = 168 µ =5.18

Lower Housing Fee/Pay Utilities

Unsupportive

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SLIDE 36

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Extremely Supportive 4 7 Extremely Unsupportive Off Campus On Campus

N = 164 µ = 5.79

Energy Quota

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SLIDE 37

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Extremely Interested 3 5 7 9 Off Campus On Campus N = 169 µ = 3.77

Environmentally Conscious Dorm

Extremely NOT interested

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Energy Devices

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Heating Control

53% 47% Yes No

Do you control the heating in your room?

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Heating Control

Would you be happier if you had an individual thermostat in your room?

83% 17% Yes No

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SLIDE 41

How Students Deal with Uncomfortable Room Temperatures

62.8% open windows 19.8% use fans 6.6% wear more clothing 3.6% use space heaters 2.4% complain

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SLIDE 42

Temperature Problems with Campus Rooms

Rooms having too much heating

40% 2% 45% 10% 3%

Dorms Common Areas Academic Buildings Clusters All

Rooms having too much AC

23% 6% 39% 32% Dorms Common Areas Academic Buildings Clusters

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SLIDE 43

Reduced Heating/Air Conditioning

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Extremely Supportive 4 7 Extremely Unsupportive Off Campus On Campus N = 169 µ = 5.05

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SLIDE 44

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Extremely Supportive 3 5 7 9 Off Campus On Campus

N = 169 µ= 3.27

Occupancy Sensors

Extremely Unsupportive

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SLIDE 45

How many students own personal computers?

59% 41%

  • wn computer

don't own

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Computers: Hours ON

Computers: Hours On

20 40 60 80 100 120 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Ho u rs Laptop Desktop

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Computers: Hours in “Sleep Mode”

Com puters: Hours In Sleep Mode

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Ho u r s Lapt op De skt op

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SLIDE 48

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Extremely Supportive 4 7 Extremely Unsupportive Off Campus On Campus N = 170 µ = 4.05

Computer Clusters: Light Shutdown

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Computer Clusters to Keep Open

Clusters to Remain Operational During Non-Peak Times

110 95 90 49 39 34 33 29 29 29 24 21 20 17 15 13 12 11 3 20 40 60 80 100 120 Clus t e rs S eries1

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SLIDE 50

Behavioral Options: Conclusions

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SLIDE 51

Overall Attitudes

Carnegie Mellon students are concerned about the environment, and overwhelmingly support ideas such as the Green Campus Initiative. If a push toward energy conservation is made, students will follow.

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Accepted Measures

Reducing the heating and air conditioning in public buildings. Leaving only certain clusters on during off-peak hours. Establishing an Environmentally Conscious Dormitory. Installing thermostats in dormitory rooms.

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Energy Savings

Morewood Gardens as an Environmentally Conscious Dorm: 10% reduction in energy would save 700 tons of CO2 per year (~950,000 kWh). Shutting down all but three clusters: Reduction would save 565 tons of CO2 per year (~506,000 kWh). Adjusting temperatures in academic buildings and common areas by three degrees would save significant energy and money.

Energy savings of 3-6%, ~1000-2000 tons of CO2 per year.

Installation of occupancy sensors: Analyzed in the Technology Options presentation.

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SLIDE 54

Technology Options to Reduce Energy Demand

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SLIDE 55

Objectives

Identify campus areas where energy efficiency improvements can reduce Carnegie Mellon’s energy consumption and associated CO2 emissions. Analyze the cost and effectiveness of alternative technology options.

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SLIDE 56

Two General Approaches:

Incorporate “green design” into future campus construction/expansion. Retrofit/replace existing systems with more energy-efficient technologies.

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SLIDE 57

What Can Be Accomplished?

Energy conservation projects elsewhere have achieved substantial energy savings:

International Netherlands Group Bank uses 92% less energy than an average building of the same size. Savings depend on depth of “green design” integration into facilities. The most successful retrofitting projects have saved 50 – 60% in overall energy use.

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SLIDE 58

Available Energy-Efficient Technologies

Lighting:

Compact Fluorescent Bulbs Fluorescent tubes Occupancy sensors Photo sensors LED exit signs

Heating & Cooling:

Insulation Windows Steam traps Programmable thermostats Efficient chillers Window A/C

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SLIDE 59

Available Technologies (cont’d)

Information Technology:

Energy Star computers Energy Star monitors Printers, copiers, fax machines Network infrastructure

Appliances:

Refrigerators Freezers Fans Ovens Microwaves

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SLIDE 60

Questions:

How much energy can efficient technologies save at Carnegie Mellon? How much CO2 can we reduce? At what cost?

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SLIDE 61

Difficulties Faced

Carnegie Mellon does not currently have a detailed energy audit.

Electricity and steam use are generally available only at the building level. No inventory of major energy-using devices. Little or no data on actual end-use consumption.

Limited information on energy savings of alternative technologies.

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SLIDE 62

Carnegie Mellon Case Studies

Lighting Options:

Efficient fixtures Occupancy sensors Photoelectric control

Heating & Cooling:

Air conditioning Radiators, thermostats, insulation Windows

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SLIDE 63

Basic Methodology

Compare the cost-effectiveness of each technology option based on:

Capital cost Annual energy savings Net annualized cost (6% interest rate) Annual CO2 reduction Cost-Effectiveness = Net cost per ton CO2 reduced

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Lighting Case Study

Three switch-technology options considered for installation in six space categories.

Photoelectric switches, photoelectric dimmers, and

  • ccupancy sensors

Three fixture upgrades considered for campus- wide implementation.

Tube lamps, CFLs, LED Exit signs

Sample audits conducted of technologies currently in place to determine effectiveness.

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Lighting: Improved Fixtures

Opportunities limited because there has already been widespread implementation of these devices

  • n campus.

Device Device Count Improvement Energy Savings $ / Device Tube Lamp

1000 T-8 retrofit 20% 8

Light Bulb

500 25 W CFL 67% 20

Exit Sign

100 LED Exit 98% 60

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Lighting: Automatic Switch-off Options

Technology Space Room Count Energy Savings $ / Space

Office 1500 33% 100 Dorm Room 1500 33% 100 Classroom 300 25% 100 Open Area 50 8% 200 Office 1500 53% 500 Classroom 300 53% 1,200 Open Area 50 53% 1,500 Office 1500 32% 100 Dorm Room 1500 32% 100 Classroom 300 43% 150 Restroom 300 30% 100 Open Area 50 55% 200 Corridor 500 55% 200

Photo Switch Photo Dimmer Occupancy Sensor

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SLIDE 67

Lighting Example: Occupancy Sensors

Average net annualized cost: -$95 per year. On average, -$154 per ton CO2 reduced. Average payback period: 1.8 yrs for 4 of 6 implementations.

Technology Space Room Count Energy Savings $ / Space

Office 1500 32% 100 Dorm Room 1500 32% 100 Classroom 300 43% 150 Restroom 300 30% 100 Open Area 50 55% 200 Corridor 500 55% 200

Occupancy Sensor

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SLIDE 68

Air Conditioning Case Study

Case study compared three different options:

High Efficiency Retrofit Standard Efficiency Retrofit Remodel with Central A/C

Standard Efficiency Retrofit Cost

$60/ton of CO2 reduced, based on immediate replacement of existing window units.

  • $80/ton of CO2 reduced, based on replacement of retired units.

Campus-wide savings of 79 tons CO2 per year (based on 367 window units).

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SLIDE 69

Doherty Hall: A Case Study in Energy Waste

Many offices and labs overheated (85oF) with no ability to control temperature, except by:

Opening windows (where possible). Running air conditioners all winter!

Improved controls yield annual savings of ~1000 tons of CO2.

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SLIDE 70

Baker/Porter Window Replacement Case Study

Sensitivity: Net Annualized Cost Baker/Porter

($100,000) ($50,000) $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

% Energy Reduction Net Annualized Cost

$45/sqft $67/sqft $100/sqft

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SLIDE 71

Comparison of Cost Effectiveness

Cost per ton of CO2 Reduced

$(200) $(150) $(100) $(50) $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 Cost per ton CO2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

1. Occupancy Sensors 2. CFL 3. LED Exit Signs 4. T-8 Retrofit 5. Photoelectric Switch 6. Window Replacement 7. Radiator Valves 8. Valve and Insulation 9. Pipe Insulation 10. Standard Window AC 11. Photoelectric Dimmer 12. Valve, Insulation, Thermostat 13. Efficient Window AC 14. LCD Computer Monitors

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SLIDE 72

Conclusions

There are significant opportunities to reduce campus energy use at little or no net cost, or at a net savings. Cost-effective solutions can likely reduce CO2 emissions by roughly 10-15% or more. More detailed consumption and inventory data and improved savings estimates are needed to refine and extend the current case studies.

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SLIDE 73

Energy Supply Options to Reduce GHG Emissions

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SLIDE 74

Objectives

Identify options for supplying campus energy from low or zero-carbon sources.

Off-campus supplies On-campus generation

Evaluate options with respect to:

Emission reduction potential Cost Availability

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SLIDE 75

Energy Suppliers Off-Campus GHG Emissions On-Campus GHG Emissions

Carnegie Mellon University

Electricity Steam

Supply-Side Solutions

Carnegie Mellon Energy System

Natural Gas

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SLIDE 76

Current Energy Suppliers

Steam:

Bellefield Boiler Plant

Electricity:

Duquesne Light/Orion Power Wind (Community Energy/Exeleon Power)

Natural Gas:

Dominion Peoples

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SLIDE 77

Options for Future Steam Use

Current fuel mix:

56.5% coal, 43.5% natural gas

Small natural gas boilers are to be added to the Bellefield Boiler Plant to meet growing demand. Future plans are being evaluated by an engineering contractor.

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SLIDE 78

CO2 Emissions from Bellefield as a Function of Fuel Mix

20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 20 40 60 80 100

Natural Gas Percentage Carbon Dioxide (tons)

Current demand 2010 demand

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SLIDE 79

Cost Effectiveness of Natural Gas for Steam Production

100% Natural Gas used for steam production:

New steam cost: $8.55 per Mlb Total additional cost: $350,000 per year (based

  • n current demand)

CO2 reductions: 8,500 tons/yr Cost per ton CO2: $41

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SLIDE 80

Alternative Electricity Suppliers

Carnegie Mellon now purchases 5% of its electricity from a wind farm in Somerset, PA (as of October 24th, 2001). Emissions reductions:

3,500 tons per year of carbon dioxide. Additional reductions of nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, particulates, and mercury from coal-fired plants.

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SLIDE 81

Cost Effectiveness of Wind Power

Total added cost is $81,000 per year. Current cost per ton CO2 reduced = $23 Future cost of wind power expected to decline by about 20%.

2010 cost per ton CO2 reduced = $13

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SLIDE 82

Using Wind to get to Kyoto Protocol

Cost to meet the Kyoto Protocol: $440,000 - $960,000

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 25,000 50,000 Tons of Carbon Dioxide Dollars Current price 2010 price

Kyoto

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SLIDE 83

Alternative Power Suppliers

We contacted over 15 energy suppliers and consultants to ask about current availability of “green” power for Carnegie Mellon. No suppliers were able to provide 100% green power to Carnegie Mellon today.

Green Mountain Energy (supplies residential customers

  • nly)

Additional efforts needed to find alternative sources and suppliers.

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SLIDE 84

On-Campus Supply Options

Co-generation systems can provide both electricity and heat more efficiently than current energy sources. Greenhouse gas emissions per unit of energy are reduced significantly. Solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) were studied as a potential future option for Carnegie Mellon.

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SLIDE 85

Siemens-Westinghouse Fuel Cells

SOFC (solid-oxide fuel cell) Input: Natural Gas Output: 250 kWh electricity, 120 kWh heat Operating availability: >98% Overall dimensions: 9.8’ H x 8.5’ W x 35.3’ L Operation: Unattended, remote, or local dispatch Estimated lifetime = 8-10 years Estimated cost: 2004: $4000/kW 2008: $1000-1500/kW

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SLIDE 86

Fuel Cell Capital Cost

Annualized cost of fuel cell:

Assume lifetime = 8 yrs, discount rate = 6%, $1500/kW in 2008 Buy in 2004: $160,000 per year Buy in 2008: $60,000 per year

Total annualized capital cost (including infrastructure costs):

Buy in 2004: $185,000 per year Buy in 2008: $84,500 per year

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SLIDE 87

Cost Effectiveness of SOFC Fuel Cell

Cost per ton of CO2 reduced:

Buy in 2004: $84 Buy in 2008: $13

Sensitivity Analysis for 2008:

10 year lifetime, $1000/kW, 70% efficiency Cost per ton CO2 reduced = -$12

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SLIDE 88

Carbon Sequestration

Natural sequestration can offset some or all of Carnegie Mellon’s emissions. 19,000 acres of sinks will cover all of our emissions under the Kyoto Protocol. Markets exist today at relatively low cost.

$1-2 per ton CO2 sequestered

Viability and terms of sinks under the Kyoto Protocol is still not developed.

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SLIDE 89

Conclusions

Several alternative supply options can get us to the Kyoto Protocol’s targets. Costs are expected to decrease significantly in upcoming years. Fuel cells might be able to supply some portion of Carnegie Mellon’s energy yielding a net cost savings. More work is needed to identify suppliers of low carbon power for short-term emissions reductions.

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SLIDE 90

Policy Recommendations and Conclusions

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SLIDE 91

Objectives

Identify key criteria for policy options to aid decision-makers in evaluating options. Review what we have learned about supply, behavioral, and technology options. Identify a plan and the institutions best suited for implementing it.

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SLIDE 92

The Kyoto Challenge

2000 energy emissions are 95,000 tons CO2 per year. The Kyoto Protocol goal is 70,000 tons CO2 by 2010. Projected 2010 levels range from 105,000 to 112,000 tons CO2. Reduction needed:

Between 35,000 - 42,000 tons CO2 by 2010.

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SLIDE 93

Evaluation Criteria

Magnitude of GHG reduction Affordability Uncertainty Ease of implementation Invisibility Campus image

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SLIDE 94

Behavioral Options

Students are prepared to accept campus energy and environmental programs.

Green Campus Initiative Environmental dorms Occupancy sensors Only selected clusters at non-peak hours Reduced heating, A/C in public areas

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SLIDE 95

Technology Options

Occupancy and photoelectric sensors. Address inefficiencies in valves, thermostats, and windows; comprehensive audit needed. Track technology improvements. Conform to government-recommended standards in new construction. Improve metering of University facilities.

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SLIDE 96

Supply Options

Bellefield Boiler Plant – encourage energy-efficient technologies for our steam production. Wind energy & fuel cells – adopt these as they mature into economically viable alternatives. Examine secure alternative energy suppliers. Examine C02 sequestration.

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SLIDE 97

What Needs to Happen?

Energy Initiative More comprehensive metering Commitment to meeting Government standards in construction of new campus buildings. Close tracking of technologies and costs. Bench-marking to other institutions.

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SLIDE 98

Policy Implementation

President’s Council:

Articulate spirit of University guidelines.

Commit resources to GHG reductions. Environmental Practices Committee:

Implement specific practices and programs to reach university’s goals. Closely monitor progress and opportunities.

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SLIDE 99

Questions & Answers

Carnegie Mellon Energy Consumption Demand-Side Energy Solutions

Behavioral Technology

Supply-Side Energy Solutions Policy & Implementation