for the period ended 30 June 2015 This presentation does not - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
for the period ended 30 June 2015 This presentation does not - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
for the period ended 30 June 2015 This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Centrica shares or other securities. This presentation contains certain forward-looking
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Centrica shares or other securities. This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results, operations and businesses of Centrica plc. These statements and forecasts involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements and forecasts. Past performance is no guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser.
Chief Executive
4 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
Rick k Haythor hornth nthwait waite
Chairman
Iain Conn
Chief Executive
Jeff Bell
Chief Financial Officer
Jill l Shedden en
Group Director, Human Resources
Ian Peters s Director,
Customer Facing Strategy
Grant Grant Dawson
- n Group General
Counsel & Company Secretary
Mark Hanafin fin
Managing Director, Centrica Energy
Mark Hodges
Managing Director, British Gas
Badar Badar Khan President
and CEO, Direct Energy
Nick k Baird rd Group
Corporate Affairs Director
5
09:00-10:00 Interims presentation and Q&A 10:00-10:20 Break 10:20-12:30 Strategy presentation and Q&A 12:30-13:30 Buffet lunch
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
6
- Commodity prices
- UK General Election
- Competition and Markets Authority investigation
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
7
- Earnings up 15%; EPS of 12.3p; operating cash flow of £1.1bn
- Good progress in strengthening balance sheet and financial
metrics
- Full year outlook broadly unchanged
- Senior Management team changes
- Strategic review complete
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
Chief Financial Officer
9 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
The above adjusted figures are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements. Adjusted operating profit also includes share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation. A definition of the adjusted effective tax rate is provided in the Group Financial Review in the Interim Results announcement.
Period ended 30 June H1 2015 H1 2014 ∆%
Revenue (£m) 15, 5,451 451 15,748 (2%) Adjusted operating profit (£m) 1,000 000 1,032 (3%) Adjusted effective tax rate 29% 29% 37% (8ppt) Grou
- up
p result lt: Adjusted earnings (£m) 611 611 530 15% Adjusted earnings per share (p) 12. 2.3 10.5 17% Interim dividend per share (p) 3.57 57 5.10 (30%) Period ended
Jun 2015 Dec 2014 ∆%
Net debt (£m) 4,905 905 5,196 (6%)
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60
Jan Jan 14 Jul Jul 14 14 Jan Jan 15 Jul Jul 15 15 Jan Jan 16 Jul Jul 16 16
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Jan Jan 14 Jul Jul 14 14 Jan Jan 15 Jul Jul 15 15 Jan Jan 16 Jul Jul 16 16
20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Jan Jan 14 Jul Jul 14 14 Jan Jan 15 Jul Jul 15 15 Jan Jan 16 Jul Jul 16 16
10 10 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Aver erage age month h ahead ad Brent nt oil price e ($/boe)
Prices as at 29 July 2015
UK Power wer (£/MWh)
Aver erage age month h ahead ad gas prices es UK power r prices es and clean an dark and and clean an spar ark spread ads
Clean spark rk sprea read (£/MWh) Clean dark rk sprea read (£/MWh) UK Gas s (p/therm) US Gas s (p/therm)
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
11 11 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
2015 5 average age UK temper eratur ature
(degrees Celsius)
Colder than normal Warmer than normal Seasonal normal temperature
2015 5 average age US North East t temperat eratur ure
(degrees Celsius)
5 10 15 20 25 Jan Jan Feb Feb Mar ar Apr pr May ay Jun Jun
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 Jan Jan Feb Feb Mar ar Apr pr May ay Jun Jun 2014 temperature
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
12 12 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Period ended 30 June (£m)
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆% British Gas 656 656 455 44% Direct Energy 192 192 41 368% Bord Gáis Energy 23 23
- nm
Centrica Energy 116 116 526 (78%) Centrica Storage 13 13 10 30% Adjus justed ed opera eratin ing g prof
- fit
it 1,000 000 1,032 (3%)
Share of JV / associates’ interest and taxation (51) (63) nm Depreciation of FV uplifts to property, plant and equipment (24) 4) (40) nm
Grou
- up
p oper erat ating ing prof
- fit
it 925 925 929 (0%)
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements. FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
13 13 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Opera ratin ing profi fit (£m)
Period ended 30 June
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆% Residential energy 528 528 265 99% Residential services 125 125 129 (3%) Business 3 61 (95%) Brit itis ish Gas Gas 656 656 455 44%
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements.
Resid identi tial l energ rgy revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%) Resid identi tial l serv rvices ices revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%) Busin iness revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%)
4,551 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 802 802 804 804 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 1,573 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 12.5% 12.6% 3.0% 0.1% 1,421 4,691 9.0% 4.5%
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
223 223 256 256 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 4,814 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 1,399 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014
14 14 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Period ended 30 June
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆% Residential energy (underlying) 67 67 80 (16%) Business energy (underlying) 143 143 12 1,092% Services (18) 8) 14 nm Direc ect Energy ergy (underlying) 192 192 106 81% Polar Vortex impact
- (65)
- Direc
ect Energy ergy 192 192 41 368%
Opera ratin ing profi fit (£m)
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements. The 2014 residential energy and business energy operating profit includes one-off costs associated with the polar vortex.
Resid identi tial l energ rgy revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%) Busin iness energ rgy revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%) Serv rvic ices revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%)
1,204 3.0% 2.1% 4,475 1.9% 3.9%
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
(0.3%) (4.9%)
400 400 H1 H1 2015 0.9 H1 H1 2015
15 15 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Opera ratin ing profi fit (£m)
Period ended 30 June
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆% British Gas 656 656 455 44% Direct Energy 192 192 41 368% Bord Gáis Energy 23 23
- nm
Centrica Energy 116 116 526 (78%) Centrica Storage 13 13 10 30% Adjus justed ed opera eratin ing g prof
- fit
it 1,000 000 1,032 (3%)
1.9
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements.
Genera ratio ion (TWh) Revenue (£m) and post tax marg rgin in (%)
5.0% 1.1
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
16 16
- GAS
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Period ended 30 June (£m)
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆% Operating profit before tax 48 48 465 (90%) Operating profit after tax (23) 3) 235 nm
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements. A definition of operating profit after taxation is included in note 4b of the Interim Results announcement.
Avera rage gas sales pric ice
Euro rope (p/therm) Ameri rica cas s (US$/mmbtu)
Avera rage liquid id sale les pric ice
Euro rope (£/boe) Ameri rica cas s (US$/boe) 48.8 .8 56.0 .0 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 2.3 4.0 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 40.3 .3 59.9 .9 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 44.7 .7 78.6 .6 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
17 17
- E&P VOLUMES AND COSTS
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Productio ion volume mes
1
Gas s (mmth) Liqu iquids ids (mmboe)
Europ
- pe
Americas
- 1. Production volumes include 100% share of Canadian assets owned in partnership with Qatar Petroleum.
Tota tal l unit t producti tion costs
Euro rope (£/boe) Ameri rica cas s (US$/boe) Tota tal l (£/boe)
DDA Costs Lifting & other production costs
7.5 7.5 1.5 1.2 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 1,196 810 749 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 11.8 .8 12.5 .5 15.6 14.6 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 7.4 8.7 12.5 15.4 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 9.3 10.0 .0 12.9 12.8 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 1,11 118
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014
18 18
- POWER
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Opera ratin ing profi fit (£m)
Period ended 30 June
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆%
Gas-fired (62) (70) nm Renewables 18 18 (17) nm Nuclear 108 125 (14%) Midstream 4 23 (83%)
Power er 68 68 61 11%
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements. Renewables includes a net loss of £40m in H1 2014 relating to the write-down of our interest in the Celtic Array offshore wind development.
3.3 3 TWh 4.1 1 TWh £9.8/ MWh £12.0/ MWh 6.1 1 TWh 6.2 2 TWh £51.0/ MWh £49.7/ MWh
Gas-fir ired genera ratio ion (TWh) & achie ieved clean spark spre read Nucle lear generati tion (TWh) & achie ieved pric ices
0.4 4 TWh 0.5 5 TWh £113.2/ MWh £118.2/ MWh
Renewable les genera ratio ion (TWh) & achie ieved pric ices (incl. ROCs)
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
19 19 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Opera ratin ing profi fit (£m)
Period ended 30 June
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 ∆% British Gas 656 656 455 44% Direct Energy 192 192 41 368% Bord Gáis Energy 23 23
- nm
Centrica Energy 116 116 526 (78%) Centrica Storage 13 13 10 30% Adjus justed ed opera eratin ing g prof
- fit
it 1,000 000 1,032 (3%)
Stora rage revenue (£m)
SBU SBU Addition
- nal
al space ce /
- the
her
The above operating profit figures include share of JVs and associates before interest and taxation and are before depreciation of fair value uplifts to property, plant and equipment from Strategic Investments and exceptional items and certain re-measurements.
2 4 6 8 10 12
Jan an 12 12 Jan an 13 13 Jan an 14 14 Jan an 15 15
Forw rward rd seasonal l gas sprea reads (p/therm)
Prices as at 29 July 2015
W14 – S14 s spread W15 – S15 spread W13 – S13 s spread W16 – S16 spread
46 46 50 50 25 25 20 20 H1 H1 2015 H1 H1 2014
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
20 20 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Period ended 30 June (£m)
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 FY 2015e
3
Centrica Energy gas and oil 424 424 556 800 Direct Energy 45 45 46 75 British Gas 41 41 78 100 Centrica Storage 14 14 13 25 Centrica Energy power
1
37 25 Other 3 8 25 Total pre-acquisitions 527 527 738 1,050 Acquisitions / (disposals)
2
(144 44) (329) Net inv nves estment nt 383 383 409
- 1. Centrica Energy Power includes investments in wind farm JVs.
- 2. Acquisitions/ disposals in H1 2015 include the disposal of Lincs wind farm debt and the acquisition of AlertMe. Acquisitions / disposals in H1 2014 include the disposal of three Texas
CCGTs, the disposal of an interest in the Greater Kittiwake Area E&P assets, the acquisition of a package of Canadian assets from Shell and the acquisition of Bord Gáis Energy in Ireland.
- 3. Latest guidance for 2015.
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
21 21 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Period ended 30 June (£m)
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 FY 2014 EBITDA 1,444 444 1,501 2,811 Working capital movements (97) 7) 161 (37) Tax (144 44) (413) (707) Dividends received 65 65 43 138 Other1 (119 19) (6) (4) Adjusted operating cash flow 1,149 149 1,286 2,201 Net investment (383 83) (409) (829) Interest (88) 8) (111) (261) Dividends (238 38) (605) (864) Share repurchase
- (207)
(422) Other2 (83) 3) (13) (80) Net cash inflow / (outflow) 357 357 (59) (255)
- 1. Other includes re-measurement of energy contracts, profit on disposal of business, employee share scheme costs, movement on provisions and defined benefit pension service cost and normal
contributions.
- 2. Other includes net payments for own shares, net foreign exchange movement on financing activities, payments relating to exceptional charges and defined benefit pension deficit payments.
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
22 22 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
- 1. H1 2014 net debt has been restated to include cash posted or received as collateral under margin and collateral agreements, to more accurately reflect management’s view of net debt.
The items, to which the cash posted or received as collateral under margin and collateral agreements relate, are not included within net debt. For further details see note 12 of the Interim Results announcement.
Period ended 30 June (£m)
H1 2015 15 H1 2014 FY 2014 Opening net debt (5,196 5,196) (4,942) (4,942) Net cash inflow / (outflow) 357 357 (59) (255) Other non cash movements in net debt (66) 6) 34 1 Closing net debt
1
(4, 4,905 905) (4,967) (5,196) Margin cash (465) (230) (776) Closing net debt excluding margin cash posted (5,370) (5,197) (5,972)
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
23 23
- H1 earnings up 15%
- Operating cash flow of £1.1bn
- Good progress on reducing net debt and improving credit metrics
- Full year outlook broadly unchanged
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
Chief Executive
25 25
- Low wholesale commodity prices
- Colder than normal weather
- Highly competitive market
- Operational performance generally strong
- UK General Election
- CMA investigation
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
26 26
- Wide-ranging review
- Agree with most conclusions
- Some questions and concerns
- Active discussions ongoing
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
27 27
CUSTOMER-FACING BUSINESSES
- Safety, compliance and customer service
- Energy supply market shares broadly stable
- UK and Ireland gas pricing
- UK services accounts down; North America stable
- Billing issues in BGB
- Focus on value in North America
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
28 28
E&P AND POWER
- Safety and compliance
- E&P production broadly flat compared to 2014
- Valemon field on-stream in January 2015
- Cygnus first gas in H1 2016
- Good nuclear generation volumes
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
29 29
- 1.5m residential UK smart meters installed
- Acquisition of AlertMe; Hive 2 launched
- Accelerated investment in US solar
- FID on fifth train at Sabine Pass LNG facility
- UK gas-fired portfolio rationalisation
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
30 30
- Solid first half performance
- Positive net cash flow
- Good progress on balance sheet
- Strategic review complete
- Clear purpose, direction and priorities
INTERIM RESULTS 2015
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE INTRODUCTION
31 31 INTERIM RESULTS 2015
Iain in Conn
Chief Executive
Jeff ff Bell
Chief Financial Officer
Mark rk Hanafi fin
Managing Director, Centrica Energy
Mark rk Hodges
Managing Director, British Gas
Badar Khan
President and CEO, Direct Energy
30 July 2015
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Centrica shares or other securities. This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results, operations and businesses of Centrica plc. These statements and forecasts involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements and forecasts. Past performance is no guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser.
33 33 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Chief Executive
35 35 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Group financial framework Operating capability and efficiency Portfolio mix and capital intensity Outlook and sources of growth
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
36 36
- Market trends and environment
− changes in global oil and gas markets − changing trends in demand and customer behaviour
- Medium term view
- Sources of potential growth
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Outlook and sources of growth
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
37 37
- Upstream / downstream mix
- Focus areas for growth
- Investment priorities
- Capital intensity
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Portfolio mix and capital intensity
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
38 38
- Capabilities assessed
- Efficiency benchmarked
- Material efficiency opportunities identified
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Operating capability and efficiency
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
39 39
- Robust financial framework
- Medium term expectations for:
− growth − returns − reinvestment − distributions − credit rating
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Group financial framework
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
40 40
- Centrica well positioned
- Strengths lie in being a customer facing business
- Purpose – “to provide energy and services to satisfy the changing
needs of our customers”
- Increase shareholder value through returns and growth
- Growth = post-tax operating cash flow growth
- Focus on cash flow, not necessarily on expansion
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
41 41
- 3-5% post-tax operating cash flow growth to 2020 and beyond
- Flat real oil and gas prices
− $70/barrel Brent oil − 50p/therm UK gas
- Normal weather patterns
- Excludes major inorganic activity and one-off costs
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
42 42
CONTINUED
- Customer-facing focus
− additional £1.5bn resource allocation to 2020
- Smaller E&P and central thermal generation businesses
− reduction of £1.5bn resource allocation to 2020
- Less capital-intense business model
- Efficiency programme to deliver £750m of annual savings by 2020
− Group operating cost base in 2020 below 2015, net of inflation and growth
- Clear financial framework
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
43 43
- Operating cash flow growth of 3-5% per annum
- Progressive dividend reflecting operating cash flow growth
- Capital limited to £1bn per annum in near term and to 70%
- f operating cash flow longer term
- Underpinning dividend and credit ratings
- Post-tax ROACE of 10-12%
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
44 44
- Primary energy demand growth
- Fastest growing contributors will be
natural gas, nuclear and renewables
- Divergence of CO2 from energy growth
- Fossil fuels still important
- Growth in LNG trade and energy marketing
and trading
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
45 45
CONTINUED
- OECD central power generation ‘market failure’
- Distributed generation likely to take market share
- Energy supply demand in core markets at best flat
- Energy services a source of differentiation
- ‘Internet of Things’ developing rapidly
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
46 46
“To provide energy and services to satisfy the changing needs of our customers”
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
47 47
CONTINUED
- Energy and services company
- Deliver for the changing needs of our customers
- Delivering long-term shareholder value through
returns and cash flow growth
- Trusted corporate citizen
- Employer of choice
- A “21st century energy company”
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
48 48
- Customer-facing businesses a source of
competitive advantage
- Energy supply cash flow broadly flat
− competitive market for British Gas − market share growth in North America and Ireland
- Stable E&P remains a material source of cash flow
- Near term growth underpinned by efficiencies; longer
term growth through investment in growth areas
- Operating cash flow growth of 3-5% per annum until
2020
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
49 49
- Energy supply
- Services
- Distributed Energy and Power
- Connected Home
- Energy Marketing and Trading
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
50 50
Consumption Competitive environment Current market share
UK UK market ket enviro ronment nment
Service excellence
Re Response se
Innovative
- fferings
Cost efficiency Working capital management
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– UK AND IRELAND ENERGY SUPPLY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
51 51
Consumption Competitive environment Current market share
No North th Ameri rica ca market ket enviro ronment nment
Improved propositions and customer mix
Re Response se
Lower churn Cost efficiency Working capital management
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– NORTH AMERICA ENERGY SUPPLY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
200 400 600 800
2013 2013 2014 2014
52 52
- Increased scale following Hess Energy
Marketing acquisition
- Market leading position in provision of energy
to business customers
- Optimisation opportunities around capacity
and storage positions
Gas Gas Powe wer Powe wer
Bcf
US business ness suppl ply volum umes es
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– NORTH AMERICA BUSINESS ENERGY SUPPLY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
53 53
Insurance urance contra tract cts s On On-dema mand Landlord
- rds
Effi ficie ciency cy
- Focus on refreshing core offerings to hold value in a mature market
- Low current market share in mature market
- Proportion of private tenants growing
- Increase in regulation driving need for insurance cover
- Efficiency opportunities
Installatio tallation
- Mature market, shift from complex to simpler boiler replacements
- Connected boiler opportunity
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– UK SERVICES
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
54 54
Protectio tection n plans Connect cted homes Solar Effi ficie ciency cy
- Growth potential in a fragmented ‘on demand’ market
- Customer appetite for bundling with energy offerings
- Partnerships, leverage leading UK position
- Significant growth expected in US residential solar market
- Benefits from IT projects and operational improvements from scale
Franchise nchise
- Revenue growth opportunity
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– NORTH AMERICA SERVICES
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
55 55
Distri tribu buted ted Energy gy Assets ets
Flexib ible le Generatio ration New Technolo logy Energy rgy Eff fficie iciency
1 2 3 Solar PV Combined Heat & Power (CHP) Lighting Gas engine Diesel generator Battery storage Future technology Optimisation
Energy rgy control trol centre re Opti timis misatio ion
4 5
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– DISTRIBUTED ENERGY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
56 56
New information on their existing energy usage, needs and audits Right-sized measures and installation fit for the customers usage needs Access new revenue sources and reduce energy bill Tailored energy bill; access to PPAs, innovative financing arrangements A guarantee of performance on new installations
Consult ltatio ion Defin ine & desig ign Imple lemen mentati tion O&M Opti timis misatio ion Addit itio ional l serv rvices ices
Reduced need for customer resources to perform O&M activity
Centric trica capabil ilit itie ies What t do custome mers rs want? t? Custo tome mer journ rney
£700m m investmen stment t over r next t five e years
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
57 57
Gas Lighting Electrical appliances Consumer electronics Water Ventilation / air conditioning Electricity Plumbing & Drains Electrical wires Insulation & Glazing Security
Danger alerts
Broadband EV charging Micro-generation Energy storage (battery) Property Insurance Heating Non-heat gas appliances Entertainment (e.g. TV, music) Telephony Gas pipes & gas safety Integration & optimisation Intelligent tech platform Heartland Energy adjacencies Other adjacencies New technology Non-core
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– THE CONNECTED HOME
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
58 58
Scale
- Large customer base
- High volume of customer data
Brand
- In both energy & services
- Potential to build global connected
consumer brand (Hive) Capabilitie ities
- Existing engineer workforce, both UK &
US
- Multi-channel sales & support
- Platform (AlertMe), product development &
analytics capabilities
- Only provider offering end-to-end delivery
capabilities
Produc uct bundl dling ng Standal ndalon
- ne
e sales es & instal tallati ation
- n
Subscript ption
- n services
es Data Data analytics & insight ght for 3rd
rd parties
es Produc uct & platfor form services es for 3rd
rd parties
es Complete ete home e energy rgy manageme agement nt soluti ution
- n
a b c d e f
£500m m investmen stment t over r next t five e years
Pathways ways to success ccess
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
59 59
- Good benchmarked capability
- Cheniere US export contract
- Route-to-market services
- Detailed knowledge of European gas and
power markets
- International marketing and trading capability
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
– ENERGY MARKETING AND TRADING
£150m m investmen stment t over r next t five e years
60 60
- Shift of resource allocation from E&P and power to
customer-facing activities
- £1.5 billion additional resources in customer-facing
growth areas − approximately half capex, half opex
- Lower capital intensity
- Capital discipline
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
61 61 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
62 62
- Diversification of cash flows
- Balance sheet strength to manage risk
- Role evolved away from security of supply
and integration
- Appropriately scaled position
- Sufficient capability to participate effectively
- Concentrate on fewer geographies
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
63 63
- Size limited to 40-50mmboe per annum
- £400m-£600m per annum of capex
- Includes possible small inorganic additions
post 2017
- Restoration of E&P margins a source of
growth
- Strong E&P business sustainable within
reduced scale
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
75 75 2014 2015 Fu Future re 80 80 40 40-50 50 £1.1 .1bn £800 00m £400- 600m 2014 2015 Fu Future re
Productio ion (mmboe) Capex
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
64 64
- Currently in five countries
- Improve efficiencies in UK and
Netherlands
- Continue to develop Norwegian
assets
- Release capital from Trinidad and
Tobago
- Canadian E&P business non-core
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
Canada Europe pe Trinida nidad & Tobago go
65 65
- More focused central power generation business
- Retain sufficient capability
- Each station considered on a plant-by-plant basis
- Capabilities transitioned towards distributed
energy
- New Distributed Energy and Power business unit
established
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
66 66
- Diversity of cash flows and balance sheet
strength
- Limited optionality
- Future value dependent on
− operational excellence − life extensions − effective cost management − capacity market
- Nuclear shareholding considered as a financial
investment
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
67 67
- Exit our 245MW portfolio of wind assets
- Scale not material
- New offshore wind expensive
- No future potential projects
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
68 68
- Hold the Rough gas storage asset
- Not seen as a growth option given
low seasonal gas spreads
- Focus on completing the
assessment of operating integrity
- Strategic storage asset for the UK
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
69 69
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
Group financial framework Operating capability and efficiency Portfolio mix and capital intensity Outlook and sources of growth
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
4.2
2015 2015 Inf nflat lation ion Ef Effic icienc iency 2020 2020 Grow Growth
70 70
- Gross efficiencies of £750m per annum by 2020
- Efficiency programme excludes
− cost of smart metering − major acquisitions or disposals − additional investment in growth areas
- Like-for-like opex base down £300m after
taking account of inflation
- 2020 opex at or below 2015 including
additional investment in growth areas
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND
SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
- £300m
£300m
2015 2015 2018 2018 2020 2020
71 71
- Boundaries – safety, compliance and
customer service
- Two-thirds of efficiencies by end
2018
- Required investments of £500m-
£600m over next five years
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Realised ed efficienc ency savings ngs
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
Infl nflat ation
- n
Underl erlyi ying g operat erating ng cost st base
- £500m
£500m
- £750m
£750m
72 72
- Customer facing businesses
− back office simplification, consolidation and automation − front office simplification and optimisation − sales efficiencies − shared services for marketing and network services
- Centrica Energy simplification and efficiency
- Group functions and corporate centre
- Procurement and supply chain efficiencies
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND
SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
73 73
Inves est t in service e excel ellenc ence e Increase ease efficienc ency and optimi mise e working ng capital al Deepen en customer
- mer relati
tions
- nshi
hips ps Transfor form m current ent energy gy and services es offers Devel elop
- p talent
nt
Commo mmon n stra rateg egic ic prior iorities ies acr cross
- ss our
ur cus ustom
- mer
er-facing facing busin sinesse esses Leading ading to the same me 5 c cor
- re
e pro roposi positions ions
- We help you to use energy efficiently
- We give you peace of mind
- We help you conveniently control your devices
- We supply your energy needs
- We service your home / business
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
74 74
- Reduction in like-for-like headcount of around 6,000 roles
− half attrition − half redundancy
- Redundancies mainly by 2017
- 2,000 roles created through growth
- Net reduction of 4,000 roles
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND
SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
75 75
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
Group financial framework Operating capability and efficiency Portfolio mix and capital intensity Outlook and sources of growth
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Chief Financial Officer
- ROACE
- 10-12%
77 77 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
- Operating cash flow
- 3-5% growth p.a.
- Dividend
- Progressive in line with operating cash flow
- Controllable costs
- Cost growth < inflation
- Capital re-investment
- Investment <70% of Operating cash flow
- Limited to £1bn p.a. in 2016-17
- Credit rating
- Strong investment grade
(Baa1/BBB+ or above)
Targe gets ts Metrics rics
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
78 78
- Operating cash flow most appropriate measure of
business performance − underpins dividend and credit rating − fundamental driver of shareholder value
- Deliver £300m-£600m of incremental cash flow by 2020
− ~£2bn current operating cash flow − 3-5% growth rate range − $70/barrel Brent oil, 50p/therm UK gas
- Excludes one-time cost to achieve of £500m-£600m
− will disclose separately
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
c£2bn
2015 2015 2020 2020
£300m- £600m
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
79 79 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Energy rgy Supply ly E&P E&P Servi rvice ces, s, Distri tribute ted Energy rgy and Power, wer, Connecte cted Homes, s, Energy rgy Marke ketin ting and Tradin ing
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
3-5%
80 80
- Strong investment grade credit
ratings important for Centrica − large user of collateral − efficient procurement of energy − cost effective short term sources of liquidity
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND
SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
Current Stron
- ng
investmen stment t grade Baa1 BBB+ B+ A-
(negative outlook)
Baa1
(stable outlook)
81 81 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND
SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
E&P (including maintenance) Rest st of Group maint intenance ce capex Additio itional inve vestmen stment t consiste sistent t with th financia cial l framewo work Pote tential tial to inve vest st in growth wth areas £1bn £800m £400m- £600 00m £250m £200m- £300m
2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
82 82 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
2014 2014 2018+ 2018+ 2015 2015 2016 2016 -17 17
EBITDA TDA
Tax and inte tere rest st Divid idends Inve vestme stment
83 83
- Progressive dividend policy
- Dividend linked to sustainable
growth in operating cash flows
- Scrip alternative retained
− kept under review
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Sustainable cash flow growth
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
12.0p 12.0p Re Rebas based d ed dividend dend Futur uture
84 84
- Progress measured against parameters set out in strategic review
- Finalise future reporting in the second half
− reporting segments and key performance indicators − transparency of changes
- ‘Rules of thumb’ to help understanding of changes to commodity
prices and weather
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
- ROACE
- 10-12%
85 85 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
- Operating cash flow
- 3-5% growth p.a.
- Dividend
- Progressive in line with operating cash flow
- Controllable costs
- Cost growth < inflation
- Capital re-investment
- Investment <70% of Operating cash flow
- Limited to £1bn p.a. in 2016-17
- Credit rating
- Strong investment grade
(Baa1/BBB+ or above)
Targe gets ts Metrics rics
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
Chief Executive
87 87
- Energy and services company
- Purpose – “to provide energy and services to satisfy the changing needs
- f our customers”
- Long term shareholder value through returns and growth
- 3-5% per annum operating cash flow growth
- £750m per annum cost efficiency programme
- Growth focus on customer-facing businesses and reduce scale in E&P
and central power generation − £1.5bn resource reallocation to 2020
- Progressive dividend policy and strong investment grade credit rating
STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
SUMMARY OUTLOOK AND SOURCES OF GROWTH OPERATING CAPABILITY AND EFFICIENCY GROUP FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK PORTFOLIO MIX AND CAPITAL INTENSITY
88 88 STRATEGY PRESENTATION July 2015
Iain in Conn
Chief Executive
Jeff ff Bell
Chief Financial Officer
Mark rk Hanafi fin
Managing Director, Centrica Energy
Mark rk Hodges
Managing Director, British Gas
Badar Khan
President and CEO, Direct Energy