Fiscal Year 2017 Analyst and Investor Presentation August 2017 Tony - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Fiscal Year 2017 Analyst and Investor Presentation

August 2017 Tony Price Chief Executive, Midway Limited

Disclaimer

2

This presentation has been prepared by Midway Limited ACN 005 616 044 (Midway or the Company). The information contained in this presentation is current at the date of this presentation. The information is a summary overview of the current activities of the Company and does not purport to be all inclusive or to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require in evaluating a possible investment. It is to be read in conjunction with the Company’s disclosures lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange, including the Company’s Appendix 4D and Half Year Report for the period ended 31 December 2016 lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange on 23 February 2017. The material contained in this presentation is not, and should not be considered as, financial product or investment advice. This presentation is not (and nothing in it should be construed as) an offer, invitation, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of any security in any jurisdiction. This presentation is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor which need to be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding whether or not an investment is appropriate. This presentation contains information as to past performance of the Company for illustrative purposes only, and is not – and should not be relied upon as – an indication of future performance of the Company. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Midway makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any information contained in this

• document. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Midway will have no liability (including liability to any person by reason of negligence or negligent misrepresentation) for any statements,
• pinions or information (express or implied), arising out of, contained in or derived from, or for any omissions from this document.

Forward looking statements This document contains certain “forward-looking statements”. The words “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “project”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “outlook”, “upside”, “likely”, “intend”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “target”, “plan” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance, including Midway’s FY17 outlook, are also forward-looking statements, as are statements regarding Midway’s plans and strategies and the development of the market. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Midway, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Midway cannot give any assurance or guarantee that the assumptions upon which management based its forward-looking statements will prove to be correct or exhaustive, or that Midway’s business and operations will not be affected by other factors not currently foreseeable by management or beyond its control. Such forward-looking statements only speak as at the date of this document and Midway assumes no obligation to update such information. Non-IFRS information This presentation includes certain financial measures that are not recognised under Australian Accounting Standards (AAS) or International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Such non-IFRS financial measures do not have a standardised meaning prescribed by AAS or IFRS and may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other entities, and should not be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in accordance with AAS or IFRS. Recipients are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any non-IFRS financial measures included in this presentation. The non-IFRS information has not been subject to audit or review by Midway‘s external auditor. All references to dollars are to Australian currency unless otherwise stated.

Solid full year 2017 results

3

• Sales of $209.2 million and EBITDA of $24.9 million
• Pro forma NPAT of $17.3 million, exceeding the pro forma forecast
• Statutory net profit before tax was $19.9 million and NPAT was $14.9 million, down 42.5% on a

pcp basis due to the sale of the tree crop and no proceeds from log sales

• Fully franked final dividend of $0.09 cents per share for a total dividend for the year of $0.18

cents per share FY17 results in line with expectations

• Strong working capital position
• Low credit risk on receivables
• Meeting all financial covenants

Cash flow positive and strong balance sheet

• Export demand is forecast to remain strong, especially in China, with future global supply

constraints contributing to positive pricing trends

• Midway has continued to cement key trading relationships with our export customers, especially

with pulp and paper producers in China and Japan Positive international fundamentals

Business unit contributions [Pro Forma]

4

Revenue EBITDA NPAT Comments

$Am FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 Midway Midway 100% 184.0 182.6 25.9 24.1 15.2 13.8

Geelong performed well throughout the year, with slight decrease in sales volume offset by higher dry fibre content, better USD FOB sale prices and a favourable exchange rate

SWF Midway 51% Mitsui 49% 85.5 77.6 9.4 5.4 5.7 2.8

SWF had strong performance, slightly better than the prospectus forecast

QCE Midway 90% Graincorp 10% 16.3 26.6 4.0 1.2 2.5 0.7

Geelong and SWF offset lower sales volumes from QCE which was adversely affected by lower softwood export volumes and adverse weather conditions in northern NSW that impacted hardwood harvesting

Eliminations (85.5) (77.6) (3.7) (2.3)

• Total

200.3 209.2 35.6 28.4 23.4 17.3

Financial Performance

5

$Am FY16 FY17 % Change

Sales Revenue 208.5 209.2 0.3% Other Income 4.6 4.1 (10.9%) Equity Accounted Share of Profits 5.7 2.8 (50.1%) Operating Costs (178.0) (191.2) (7.4%) EBITDA 40.8 24.9 (39.0%) Depreciation and Amortisation (3.6) (3.4) 5.6% EBIT 37.2 21.5 (42.2%) Finance expense (2.0) (1.6) 20.0% Pre-Tax Profit 35.2 19.9 (43.5%) Tax Expense (8.8) (5.0) 43.2% Statutory NPAT 26.4 14.9 (43.6%) Pro forma NPAT 23.4 17.3 (26.1%)

Cash Flow

6

$Am FY16 FY17 $Am Change

Operating Cash Flow 3.0 16.2 440.0% Investing Cash Flow 51.7 (0.4) (100.8%) Financing Cash Flow (72.7) (12.0) 83.5% Net Change in Cash (18.0) 3.8 121.1% Net Debt 19.9 16.6 16.6% Interest Cover 21.7 18.6 14.3%

Balance Sheet

7

$Am FY16 FY17 $Am Change

Total Current Assets 39.0 35.7 (8.5%) Total Non-current Assets 117.3 119.1 1.5% Total Assets 156.3 154.8 (1.0%) Total Current Liabilities 20.9 19.9 4.8% Long Term Debt 30.4 30.9 (1.6%) Total Non-current Liabilities 44.9 43.9 2.2% Total Liabilities 65.8 63.8 3.0% Net Assets 90.5 91.0 0.6%

Risk Management

8

• Active hedging policy in place
• Aim to reflect the movement in the AUD:USD rate in timber purchase prices
• Timber supply costs are negotiated regularly.

Exposure to foreign exchange rates

• Effective management of vessel chartering to maximise profit

Vessel chartering

• Focused on maintaining a diversified customer base, while ensuring strong relationships with key

customers

• Demand from key customers in China and Japan is likely to exceed our existing supply for

foreseeable future, demonstrated by fact Chinese hardwood woodfibre imports are up 12.5% in 2017 from the previous year Customer contracts

• A number of long term supply agreements with major plantation owners in place
• Regularly signing up smaller plantation owners in Geelong and Portland
• Large volume of hardwood plantation available for Brisbane

Supply of logs

Strategic Priorities and Outlook

August 2017

9

Strategic Priorities

10

Increasing EBIT over time:

• 1. OPERATING EFFICIENCIES
• 2. EXPANSION OF EXISTING BUSINESS
• 3. ACQUISITIONS
• Economies of scale
• Margin expansion
• Favourable demand/ supply dynamics
• Development of Hardwood and Softwood log

exports

• Better utilisation and expansion of existing

infrastructure

• Complementary businesses
• Industry consolidation
• Domestic and international
• The company has continued to maximise

long term supply by replanting across the land portfolio and securing contracts with plantation owners.

• Midway continues to assess opportunities to

better utilise existing facilities and acquire businesses in key forestry areas in Australia and overseas.

• The Group maintains a disciplined approach

to capital management to ensure we maximise shareholder value.

Good progress against Strategic Objectives in FY17

FY18 Outlook

11

Strong demand underpinning a positive price outlook

• Focus on optimising use of existing infrastructure and bolt-on acquisition
• pportunities to grow revenue
• Continue to closely manage key value drivers including:
• Production and Shipping schedules
• Supply chain costs
• Processing costs
• Wood supply
• Foreign exchange exposure
• Further expansion of pulp processing capacity in China, for both paper and

textile end uses is currently under construction and is expected to come online in 2018-19. This will drive further demand in woodchip consumption.

Appendix

Overview of Company

12

A leading woodchip exporter

13

QCE Brisbane Midway Geelong South West Fibre Export Facilities Railway Wood supply area

• Listed in December 2016, ASX: MWY
• Produces and exports high quality woodfibre, headquartered in Geelong
• Key customers are pulp and paper producers in China and Japan
• Wholly owns strategic processing and export facilities in Geelong
• Substantial future supply from a range of large plantation growers
• Key assets also include ~16,000 ha of freehold plantation land valued at $64.0 million as

at 30 June 2017

• Hardwood woodfibre capacity ~4.0 million GMT per annum
• Softwood woodfibre capacity ~0.4 million GMT per annum

 Joined Midway in 1993  Over 25 years with the Company  Oversaw QCE and South West Fibre acquisitions  Over 25 experience in finance and management Ashley Merrett, Chief Financial Officer  Appointed CEO in 2015  Over 30 years experience in the forestry sector  Previously CEO of Australian Bluegum Plantations  Previous tenure at Rio Tinto / North Limited Tony Price, Managing Director & CEO

Largest Australian processor of woodchips

14

• A leading company in the Australian forestry

sector, primarily involved in the production and export of high quality woodfibre to producers of pulp, paper and associated products in China and Japan

• Founded in 1980, Midway wholly owns

strategic processing and export facilities in Geelong and is the majority stakeholder in strategic processing and export facilities in Portland and Brisbane

• Substantial future supply from a range of

large plantation growers has been secured

• Key assets also include ~16,000 ha of

freehold plantation land valued at $64.0 million (as at 30 June 2017) – The Company uses this land to extract existing trees owned by a third party and plant new seedlings, where appropriate. The Company continues to assess the highest and best use of this land in order to maximise shareholder wealth.

Overview of Midway’s business activities

Strategically located port and processing facilities

15

Hardwood woodfibre capacity ~4.0 million GMT per annum Softwood woodfibre capacity ~0.4 million GMT per annum

• 19 hectares of freehold

land adjacent to Port of Geelong

• Two woodfibre mills

(separate plantation and native processing facilities)

• Three stockpiles including

three reclaimers with 200,000 GMT total capacity

• Capacity to process and export up to 1.8 million GMT per annum hardwood

(includes plantation and native) and 100,000 GMT per annum softwood

• South West Fibre is the first plantation hardwood

processing and marketing operation in the Green Triangle - provides geographic and future market diversity

• Myamyn - 1.2 million GMT per annum current site capacity

+ in-field chipping and “upstream” chip and log storage

• Portside woodfibre receival, storage and loading facilities

contracted with GrainCorp

• 80,000 GMT woodfibre stockpile capacity
• Woodfibre receival capacity of 1.8 million GMT per annum
• 10 year x 1.2 million GMT per annum supply agreement

with Australian Bluegum Plantations signed in July 2010

• 51% owned Joint Venture with Mitsui
• Sole woodfibre exporter

from Brisbane Port – provides geographic and market diversity

• 15 year lease on a four

ha site with the Port of Brisbane for producing, storing & loading

• GrainCorp provides toll ship loading
• 300,000 GMT per annum softwood woodfibre export capacity
• Hardwood exports commenced in 2008. Capacity of 300,000 GMT per annum
• Stockpile capacity: 100,000 GMT of softwood and/or hardwood

QCE Brisbane Midway Geelong South West Fibre / Portland

QCE Brisbane Midway Geelong South West Fibre Export Facilities Railway Wood supply area

Supply deficit expected in medium term

16

Asian hardwood chip balance forecast – demand to outstrip supply 2020 - 2030

• Demand is forecast to be relatively stable in the

short term, but supply is expected to reduce over the medium term, resulting in a likely woodchip supply deficit

• This shortage indicates a favourable environment

for woodfibre pricing, particularly from 2020-2030

• The woodfibre deficit is expected to be 2.0 million

BDMT in 2025F and widening to 2.1 million BDMT in 2030F (‘000 BDMT) Demand % Change Supply % Change Balance % Balance 2015A 21,608 6.6% 21,702 7.1% 94 0.5% 2020F 22,150 2.0% 21,395 (3.0%) (755) (3.5%) 2025F 21,435 (3.2%) 19,480 (9.0%) (1,955) (10.0%) 2030F 21,125 (1.4%) 19,050 (2.2%) (2,075) (10.9%) Change to 2015 (2.2%) (12.3%)

Asian Hardwood Chip Demand & Supply Forecast (‘000 BDMT)

Source data: Outlook for Hardwood Chip Supply and Demand in the Asian Markets, 2015-2030 RISI 2016

21,608 22,150 21,435 21,125 21,702 21,395 19,480 19,050 94 (755) (1,955) (2,075) (2,500) (2,000) (1,500) (1,000) (500) 500 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 2015A 2020F 2025F 2030F Balance ('000 BDMT) Level of Supply/Demand ('000 BDMT) Demand (LHS) Supply (LHS) Balance (RHS)

Committed supply of raw materials and Strategic Alliance

17

• Midway has a number of short and long term (1 year to 10 year) agreements in place with a number of large plantation managers in each
• f our operating regions
• Significant new supply is being secured -

– Extension of existing supply arrangements of 1.2 million GMT per annum from ABP to Portland which currently run to FY2021 – Regularly signing up a large number of smaller plantation owners in Geelong and Portland – Large volume of hardwood plantation available for Brisbane up to 400K GMT per annum for 8-10 years)

• Strategic Alliance Agreement with GMO Renewable Resources

– Midway has entered into a Strategic Alliance Agreement with GMO Renewable Resources to explore opportunities to the purchaser

• f Midway’s plantation assets to expand the plantation estate for Midway to have additional long term resource supply

Facility Volumes (000’s GMT) FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 Geelong 1,413 1,201 900 865 885 Portland 1,545 1,661 1,450 1,456 1,337 Brisbane 292 355 355 380 480 TOTAL 3,250 3,217 2,705 2,701 2,702

There is a substantial area of plantations in the catchments of Midway’s processing facilities

18

A long history of growing sales and customer base

Note: Includes 100% contribution from SWF (Portland), Geelong and Brisbane. Note: The above is based on calendar year Source data: Midway Group (SWF and QCE are totals and not adjusted for the Midway Group’s share) 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.20 0.15 0.21 0.260.33 0.43 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.70 0.67 0.85 0.99 0.88 0.97 1.08 1.23 1.46 1.07 1.34 1.23 1.66 1.63

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Geelong Portland Brisbane

Midway total export volumes since 1986 (million GMT) – ~18% CAGR since 1986

2.92 3.00 2.18

Growth over the last 10 years has been driven through new capital investment

19

Board of Directors – overseen strong growth

Greg McCormack Non-Executive Chairman Founding Director of Midway in 1980 and has a long-term commitment to the Australian forest products industry, holding senior positions with both the National and Victorian Association of Forest industries (having served as President of both associations). He is the current President of the Australian Forest Products Association and is a current ASX-Listed company Director. Tony Price Managing Director and CEO Joined Midway in 2015 and has 30 years experience in the forestry sector. Prior to joining Midway he held a number of senior management positions in the hardwood plantation sector and has also run his own consultancy business. Also a Director of Forestworks Ltd, an

• rganisation which provides training packages to the forest industry.

Anthony Bennett Independent Non-Executive Director Mr Bennett has extensive background in production management, particularly in the manufacture of high volume/low margin products for use in civil engineering construction. Gordon Davis Independent Non-Executive Director Mr Davis joined the board in 2016 and is currently a Non-Executive Director of Nufarm Limited and a Non-Executive Director of Primary Health Care Limited. Mr Davis was Managing Director and CEO of AWB Limited from 2006 to 2011. He was also Chair of VicForests from 2011 to 2016. He is currently the Chair of Greening Australia, and a Trustee of The Nature Conservancy. Nils Gunnersen Non-Executive Director Joined the board in 2012 and has over 25 years’ experience across operations and strategic business improvement within the broader forest industry – forestry, harvest & haul, processing, sales and marketing, finance, IT and administration – in Australia, NZ, USA and Indonesia. Thorry Gunnersen Non-Executive Director Mr Gunnersen has extensive experience in the timber sector. He is Chairman of the Gunnersen family investment companies and Gunnersen Companies Pty Ltd and was previously Managing Director of Gunnersen Companies Pty Ltd between 1970 and 2008. Tom Keene Independent Non-Executive Director Mr Keene joined the board in 2008 and has a strong commercial and agribusiness background having held the position of Managing Director of GrainCorp Ltd between 1993 and 2008. He is currently a Director of AACo Ltd.

20

Management team – over 15 years average service

Tony Price Chief Executive Officer See previous slide Stephen Roffey Development and Marketing Manager Mr Roffey joined Midway in 1994 and holds forestry qualifications. He previously held the position of CEO between June 2012 and February 2013. He then commenced his duties and role as the head of Development. Mr Roffey has formerly held management roles in resource supply, operations and plantation estate management and has over 30 years’ experience in forest management and

• perations.

Ashley Merrett Chief Financial Officer Mr Merrett joined Midway in 1993 and is responsible for all accounting, tax, group forecasting and capital management (including debt facilities). He is the Company Secretary for SWF and QCE. He has a Bachelor of Commerce and over 25 years of experience in a finance, accounting and office management. Michael Taylor Operations Manager Mr Taylor joined Midway in 2000 and is responsible for operations. He has formerly held management roles in business development and business analysis. He has a forestry degree and graduate diplomas in business and applied finance and investment (SIA), with

• ver 20 years’ experience in forestry, harvesting and processing in Australia, USA and Brazil.

Rowan Eyre Resources Manager Mr Eyre joined Midway in 1999 as part of the acquisition of Victree Forests. He has been involved in various roles at Midway including resource management, wood procurement, processing and shipping and since 2010, has held the position of Resources Manager. His background encompasses over 30 years’ experience in forest management including plantation establishment, harvesting and sales of forest products. Malcolm Hatcher Technical Services Sophie Karzis Company Secretary Mr Hatcher joined Midway in 2004 and is responsible for technical services. He has formerly held management roles in operations and business analysis. He has a forestry degree, with over 30 years' experience in forest management, forest harvesting, plantation establishment, processing, forest certification and management systems. Ms Karzis is a practising lawyer with over 15 years’ experience as a corporate and commercial lawyer, company secretary and general counsel for a number of public companies. Ms Karzis is the principal of Corporate Counsel, a corporate law practice with a focus on corporate governance for ASX-listed entities, as well as the more general aspects of corporate and commercial law. Ms Karzis is currently the Company Secretary of a number of ASX-listed and unlisted entities, and is a member of the Law Institute of Victoria as well as the Governance Institute of Australia.