First Quarter Results to March 31, 2007 Shire plc April 25, 2007 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
First Quarter Results to March 31, 2007 Shire plc April 25, 2007 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
First Quarter Results to March 31, 2007 Shire plc April 25, 2007 THE SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 Statements included herein that are not historical facts are forward-looking
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THE “SAFE HARBOR” STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 Statements included herein that are not historical facts are forward-looking
- statements. Such forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and
uncertainties and are subject to change at any time. In the event such risks
- r uncertainties materialize, Shire’s results could be materially affected.
The risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, risks associated with: the inherent uncertainty of pharmaceutical research, product development, manufacturing and commercialization; the impact of competitive products, including, but not limited to the impact of those on Shire’s Attention Deficit and Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) franchise; patents, including but not limited to, legal challenges relating to Shire’s ADHD franchise; government regulation and approval, including but not limited to the expected product approval dates of SPD503 (guanfacine extended release) (ADHD) and SPD465 (extended release triple-bead mixed amphetamine salts) (ADHD); Shire’s ability to secure new products for commercialization and/or development; Shire’s ability to benefit from its acquisition of New River Pharmaceuticals Inc.; and other risks and uncertainties detailed from time to time in Shire plc’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, particularly Shire plc’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006.
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Agenda
Introduction and Q1 Highlights
Matthew Emmens
Q1 Financial Review
Angus Russell
Product Launches
Matthew Emmens
Conclusion
Matthew Emmens
Questions & Answers
All
Matthew Emmens CEO Introduction and Q1 Highlights
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Q1 2007 Financial Highlights
Product sales up 33% to $462 million Total revenues up 29% to $528 million EPS – ADS (diluted)
GAAP up 78% 64 cents Non GAAP* up 39% 75 cents
* This is a non GAAP financial measure which excludes intangible asset amortization charges, the accounting impact of share-based compensation and the effect of certain cash and non-cash items, both recurring and non-recurring, that Shire's management believes are not related to the core performance of Shire’s business.
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A series of transactions and approvals has created a solid foundation for the future and transformed Shire…
TKT acquisition diversified our portfolio and moved Shire into
high-value, niche, biologic products with long exclusivity
Early stage TKT/HGT pipeline should drive significant growth in
2013 and beyond
Barr settlement created more certainty for our ADHD franchise Recent product approvals and lifecycle extensions fuel strong
growth going forward
Acquisition of New River underpins our ADHD franchise long-term The ownership of the patented CARRIERWAVE platform
technology may lead to other pharmaceutical applications
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Q1 2007 Highlights - Executing on Strategy
New River Acquisition Completed – April 19 ADHD
VYVANSE – FDA paediatric approval on February 23 ADDERALL XR – Marketing license application for adult indication granted by Health Canada DAYTRANA – Strong launch continues
GI
LIALDA – Launched on March 19
Very positive reaction from patients and physicians Latest market share – 1.2% of TRx and 3.2% of NRx
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Q1 2007 Highlights - Executing on Strategy
Renal
FOSRENOL – launched in 6 more countries in 2007 including the UK
19 countries in total Authorization to launch received in Italy
DYNEPO – Launched in Germany in March
Human Genetic Therapies
ELAPRASE – US and European launches in progress
291 patients globally on therapy by March 31
REPLAGAL – Launched in Japan on February 15 GA-GCB – Phase 3 clinical program has begun with first patients dosed in February
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2007 Newsflow
VYVANSE – launch planned for June
– sNDA for adult indication to be filed with FDA in Q2
SPD503 – paediatric non-stimulant – PDUFA June 24 SPD465 – long-acting stimulant for adults – PDUFA May 21 DAYTRANA – EU filing in H2
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2010 2010 2007 2007 2009 2009 2008 2008 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013-2015 2013-2015 Expanding Geographic Reach Label Expansion New Product Launch
Shire has one of the strongest late-stage pipelines in the Specialty Pharma sector
Seven potential new product launches over a 30 month period from 2006-2008
* Launch timing subject to review
VYVANSE DYNEPO LIALDA /
MEZAVANT
SPD503 SPD465* GA-GCB Sanfilippo MLD CEPO SPD493 FOSRENOL
- CKD
ELAPRASE
CNS
FOSRENOL
EU
ELAPRASE
EU
DAYTRANA
EU
Seasonique VYVANSE
EU
Angus Russell CFO Q1 Financial Review
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Total Revenues
Q1 07 Q1 06 Growth $m $m % Product Sales 87% 400.2 338.2 18%
(excl. new launches)
DAYTRANA 11.9
- ELAPRASE
26.6
- FOSRENOL EU
13% 6.5 0.6 FOSRENOL US 16.3 7.2 Product Sales 100% 461.5 346.0 33%
Q1 07 Q1 06 Growth $m $m %
Product Sales 461.5 346.0 33% Royalties 59.5 61.0 Other Revenue 7.2 4.0 Total Revenues 528.2 411.0 29%
Total Revenue 466.9 403.2 16%
(excl. new launches)
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Q1 07 Q1 06 Sales US RX* $m $m Growth Growth ADDERALL XR 249.1 206.1 21% 5% PENTASA 43.8 28.1 56% 6% REPLAGAL 32.5 25.8 26% n/a ELAPRASE 26.6
- n/a
n/a FOSRENOL 22.8 7.8 192% 15% CARBATROL 15.5 14.1 10%
- 6%
XAGRID** 14.5 12.1 20% n/a DAYTRANA 11.9
- n/a
n/a
* Source: IMS Data ** worldwide sales excluding US and Canada
Major Product Sales
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*Foreign exchange movements have contributed +4% to reported growth **Foreign exchange movements have contributed +11% to reported growth ***Includes REMINYL/RAZADYNE
Royalties
Q1 07 Q1 06 Growth $m $m (%) 3TC 35.5 39.5
- 10% *
ZEFFIX 9.1 7.7 18% ** Other *** 14.9 13.8 9% Total 59.5 61.0
- 2%
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Net Income/EPS
Q1 07 Q1 06 Growth Net income ($m) (%)
- GAAP
112.7 61.1 84%
- Adjustments
18.9 30.4
- Non GAAP(1)
131.6 91.5 44% EPS - ADS (diluted)
- GAAP
63.9c 36.0c 78%
- Non GAAP(1)
74.7c 53.7c 39%
(1) These are non GAAP financial measures. They exclude intangible asset amortization charges, the accounting impact of
share-based compensation and the effect of certain cash and non-cash items, both recurring and non-recurring, that Shire's management believes are not related to the core performance of Shire’s business.
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EPS Reconciliation
Q1 07 Q1 07 Q1 06 Q1 06 $m cents/ADS $m cents/ADS Net income for diluted EPS (ADS) 112.7 63.9c 61.1 36.0c Cost of product sales fair value adjustment
- 23.6
13.8c New River milestone payment
- 50.0
29.4c Integration costs
- 2.3
1.5c Amortization 15.3 8.7c 13.7 7.8c SFAS 123R effect 10.6 6.0c 9.0 5.4c Taxes on above adjustments (7.0) (3.9c) (27.6) (16.2c) Gain on disposition of discontinued operations
- (40.6)
(24.0c)
Net income for non GAAP EPS (ADS) (Ex SFAS 123R and amortization)
131.6 74.7c 91.5 53.7c
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Financial Ratios
(on a non-GAAP basis)
Q1 07 Q1 06 FY 06 COGS : Product sales 14% 11% 13% Gross margin 86% 89% 87% R&D : Revenues 15% 18% 17% SG&A (excl. D&A) : Product sales 45% 51% 52% EBITDA margin 34% 30% 28%
This slide contains non GAAP financial measures. They exclude intangible asset amortization charges, the accounting impact of share-based compensation and the effect of certain cash and non-cash items, both recurring and non-recurring, that Shire's management believes are not related to the core performance of Shire’s business.
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Cash generation
Cash flow – YTD 2007
Cash surplus for YTD 2007 : +919
+ 100 Net tax/interest Share issue Option/Warrant exercises + 8
Millions of USD
Product milestones + 1 + 29 Asset sales + 878
- 28
Treasury stock purchases New River acquisition/funding costs paid Fixed asset purchases
- 20
- 6
- 44
Net Cash at 31.12.06
1,157
Cash Surplus Q1 2007
919
Net Cash at 31.3.07
2,076
Provision for amounts due for appraisal rights
(459)
Restricted cash
(30)
“Free Cash”
1,587
New facilities
2,300
Liquidity at 31.03.07
3,887
Less New River Payments (approx)
(2,600)
Revised liquidity
1,287
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Q1 2007 Actual v 2007 Guidance (including NRP)
Q1 07 Original Updated Actual
FY Guidance FY Guidance
Revenue growth
29% Around 20% Low 20% range
Revenue growth (excl. launches)
16%
R&D - GAAP ($m)
80.8
Less SFAS 123R
(2.3)
R&D - Non GAAP ($m)
78.5 $360m to $380m $340m to $360m
SG&A - GAAP ($m)
213.8
Less SFAS 123R
(7.5)
SG&A - Non GAAP ($m)
206.3 $930m to $960m Unchanged
D&A - GAAP ($m)
28.9
Less amortization
(15.3) Up 20% approx $70m Up 80% approx $100m
Depn - Non GAAP ($m)
13.6 Up 20% approx. $50m Unchanged
Tax rate
27% 26% Unchanged
New River Integration costs
- n/a
$10m (to be non GAAPed)
Matthew Emmens CEO Product Launches
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VYVANSE
Next generation of ADHD treatment
VYVANSE - innovative and future flagship product for ADHD Impressive efficacy, extended duration, less potential for abuse Strong IP until 2024 FDA approval received on February 23, 2007 Awaiting final DEA scheduling Launch in June is optimal sNDA for adult indication expected to be filed in Q2 2007
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Most Parents Report that their Child’s ADHD Medication Wears Off before 6 PM
Harris Interactive Omnibus Survey
389 parents surveyed about their child who is currently taking a once- daily ADHD medication in the morning Conducted October 2006
Results
53% report that their child’s ADHD medication stops working before 6PM 63% report their child’s once-daily stimulant medication works 11 hours
- r less
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VYVANSE provides efficacy throughout the day
- 10.3
- 8.9
- 7.7
- 48.2*
- 51.8*
- 51.5*
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
VYVANSE Placebo
The CPRS was used to assess the duration of therapeutic response in 285 patients by separately analyzing the assessments performed per protocol in the morning (~10 AM), afternoon (~2 PM), and evening (~6 PM). *P<.0001 vs placebo. Adapted from Biederman, et al, Clinical Therapeutics, March 2007
% Change
~10 AM ~2 PM
~6 PM
Median daily dosing time was between 7:30 AM and 8 AM.
Change in Score at Endpoint From Baseline on Conners’ Parent Rating Scale (CPRS) Across the Day
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Consistency/Reliability are the most important Attributes of an ADHD medication
Quantitative Research w/750 High Rxers of ADHD
medications:
Physicians need for the therapy they prescribe to work the first
- time. They do not like to prescribe again and when they do, they
have to explain why their first choice did not work. Physicians want to have their first prescription work with every patient, the same way, every time and for the long term.
Brain Surgery quantitative study, January 2006
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VYVANSE appears to have less variability in drug delivery than ADDERALL XR
Concentration ( Concentration (ng/mL ng/mL) ) Time (h) to Maximum Concentration ( Time (h) to Maximum Concentration (Tmax Tmax) )
VYVANSE 70 mg (n=8) (d-amphetamine) ADDERALL XR 30 mg (n=9) (total amphetamine)
Steady-state pharmacokinetics in pediatric patients (ages 6 to 12) in a randomized, 3-way crossover, double-blind study that included VYVANSE, ADDERALL XR, and placebo. Data on file, LDX005. Shire US Inc.
50 100 150 200 250 300 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
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74% of Patients Taking VYVANSE Were Much/Very Much Improved (CGI-I)
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Much improved Very much improved
- 32% of patients taking VYVANSE responded as “very much improved”
% of Subjects % of Subjects Much/Very Much Improved Much/Very Much Improved
*P<.0001. CGI-I=Clinical Global Impressions-Improvement (ITT Analysis) Data on file, LDX 003. Shire US Inc.
18% 72%* 74%*
VYVANSE Placebo ADDERALL XR
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VYVANSE Market Research
Over 1,600 high prescribing physicians have participated in 11 market research projects since January 2006
In the most recent study that included 200 physicians, 3/4ths said they were
likely/very likely to prescribe VYVANSE and less than 8% said that they are not likely to prescribe it.
Based on another study with 200 physicians, 93% said they would prescribe
VYVANSE.
Over 400 consumers have participated in 5 research projects since October 2006
In one study of 160 caregivers, over 100 had a positive impression of
VYVANSE’s product profile relative to the ADHD medication their child is currently taking.
The attraction to VYVANSE is driven by its effectiveness until 6 PM In another study of 100 caregivers, 92% stated they liked the medication; 88%
stated that they are likely or very likely to ask their physicians about VYVANSE.
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LIALDA – Impressive Efficacy from a Novel QD Formulation
As the only once daily oral 5-ASA proven to control symptoms
and induce remission, LIALDA helps patients overcome the disruption of UC
LIALDA induces remission as measured by stringent clinical and
endoscopic endpoints
LIALDA utilizes MMXTM (Multi-matrix) technology to delay initial
release of mesalamine to the terminal ileum and ensure that mesalamine is released throughout the colon with just one daily dose.
LIALDA simplifies the route to remission with just two to four
tablets taken once a day
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Profile of LIALDA Attractive to GEs and Patients
GEs rate LIALDA more favorably for UC than Colazal, Asacol or
Remicade
98% of GEs reported they intended to prescribe LIALDA for at least one
patient
GEs intend to prescribe LIALDA for new starts, patients in flare and
patients in remission
55% of patients report they prefer the profile of LIALDA to that of their
current medication
66% of patients who knew about LIALDA reported that they would ask
their doctor to prescribe it
MCO Pharmacy Directors were more concerned about budget impact
from biologics (Remicade, Humira) than the impact from 5-ASA
Survey of 120 GEs, 25 MCO Pharmacy Directors and 160 UC patients
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Launch Progress
Field promotion by 120 reps targeting 8,925 GI physicians began
March 19
Shire call activity increased 37% from pre-launch to launch Shire stocked 26,000 pharmacies with LIALDA prior to launch Shire has trained a sufficient amount of speakers on the LIALDA
data and are available to conduct speaker programs
Branded Direct to Patient campaign planned to commence in May Latest prescription data: NRx 3.2% and TRx 1.2% share of the
branded oral mesalamine market.
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Global FOSRENOL Launch Trajectories
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Estimated Share of ESRD Patients
Sweden Actual Germany Actual US Actual France Actual
Concluding Remarks
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Concluding Remarks
Excellent results – the business continues to perform strongly
Successful launches in 2006 and Q1 2007 with upgraded guidance for full year
Continuing to demonstrate our ability to execute
ADDERALL XR – leading US market share DAYTRANA - strong launch continues ELAPRASE – rapid launch in US and EU LIALDA – approved and launched in Q1 2007, quick uptake FOSRENOL - strong start in Europe, US position improving DYNEPO – launched in Q1 2007, good reception
VYVANSE to launch in the US by mid-2007 Early stage pipeline advancing toward clinical development Shire will continue to evolve in order to maintain its long-term growth
Questions and Answers All
APPENDIX
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Appendix 1-2006 Non GAAP net income - revised basis
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY $m $m $m $m $m Net income for diluted EPS (ADS) 61.1 61.3 87.2 68.6 278.2 New River milestone payments 50.0 -
- -
50.0 Cost of product sales fair value adjustment 23.6 16.7 6.7 - 47.0 Upfront license payments (Duramed and Warren)
- 30.5 -
30.5 Integration costs 2.3 1.6 - 1.7 5.6 Gain on sale of product rights
- (63.0) -
(63.0) Taxes on above adjustments (21.3) (5.1) 7.1 (0.5) (18.8) Gain on disposition of discontinued operations (40.6) -
- -
(40.6) 75.1 74.5 68.5 69.8 288.9 FAS 123R effect 9.0 7.6 9.1 17.1 42.9 Intangible asset amortization 13.7 13.3 14.6 15.7 57.4 Taxes on above adjustments (6.3) (5.9) (6.6) (8.8) (26.9) 91.5 89.5 85.6 93.8 362.3
(1) 2006 Non GAAP basis (2) Revised Non GAAP using 2007 basis
2006 Net income for non GAAP diluted EPS (ADS) (2) Net income for non GAAP diluted EPS (ADS) (1)
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Appendix 2-2006 Non GAAP diluted EPS - revised basis
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY cents/ADS cents/ADS cents/ADS cents/ADS cents/ADS(3) Diluted EPS (ADS) 36.0c 36.1c 51.3c 40.2c 163.8c New River milestone payments 29.4c
- 29.4c
Cost of product sales fair value adjustment 13.8c 9.9c 3.9c
- 27.9c
Upfront license payments (Duramed and Warren)
- 18.0c
- 18.0c
Integration costs 1.5c 0.9c
- 0.9c
3.3c Gain on sale of product rights
- (37.2c)
- (37.2c)
Taxes on above adjustments (12.6c) (3.0c) 4.2c (0.3c) (11.1c) Gain on disposition of discontinued operations (24.0c)
- (24.0c)
44.1c 43.9c 40.2c 40.8c 170.1c FAS 123R effect 5.4c 4.4c 5.2c 10.0c 24.9c Intangible asset amortization 7.8c 7.8c 8.7c 9.3c 33.6c Taxes on above adjustments (3.6c) (3.3c) (3.9c) (5.1c) (15.6c) 53.7c 52.8c 50.2c 55.0c 213.0c
(1) 2006 Non GAAP basis (2) Revised Non GAAP using 2007 basis (3) Full year numbers do not equate to the sum of the quarters due to the change in denominator each quarter.
2006 Non GAAP EPS (ADS) (1) Non GAAP EPS (ADS) (2)