FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN AFRICA Angela Nalikka, Manager - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN AFRICA Angela Nalikka, Manager - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN AFRICA Angela Nalikka, Manager National and Regional Power Systems Joao Cunha, Manager Renewable Energy Webinar - Norwegian Energy Partners 19 May 2020 Outline 1. AfDBs role in lighting and powering Africa 2.


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Angela Nalikka, Manager National and Regional Power Systems Joao Cunha, Manager Renewable Energy

Webinar - Norwegian Energy Partners

19 May 2020

FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN AFRICA

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Outline

  • 1. AfDBs role in lighting and powering Africa
  • 2. Overview of Power Sector issues in Africa
  • 3. Selected medium/large grid-connected projects examples
  • 4. Accelerating energy access through small-scale renewables
  • 5. Financial instruments for small-scale renewables
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AfDB role on lighting and powering Africa

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The African Development Bank Group at a glance

▪ Established in 1964 ▪ 54 African countries and 26 non- African countries ▪ USD 93 billion authorized capital ▪ Resources primarily raised from capital markets ▪ Established in 1972 ▪ Financed by 27 State participants and 4 regional donors ▪ USD 36 billion subscription ▪ Concessional financing terms for 37 eligible Regional Member Countries ▪ Established in 1976 by Nigeria ▪ Targets the Bank’s neediest countries ▪ Maturing in 2023 ▪ USD 242 million total resources KEY FIGURES CLIENTS PRODUCTS ▪ Private companies or SPVs in Regional Member Countries ▪ Governments of middle-income countries ▪ Governments of low-income countries ▪ Governments of poorest countries ▪ Technical Assistance, Grants ▪ Policy Advisory ▪ Loans, Equity, Risk Mgmt & Mitigation ▪ Concessional loans ▪ Technical Assistance, Grants ▪ Technical Assistance

➔Unparalleled access to governments, parliaments, private sector and other stakeholders ➔A broad range of products available to our clients (financing instruments, de-risking solutions, sectoral expertise, etc.) ➔Cooperation between public and private counterparties which is crucial in moving transactions forward

African Development Bank (AfDB) African Development Fund (ADF) Nigeria Trust Fund (NTF)

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UA 13.8 billion committed to energy sector projects since 2000, of which UA 11.1 billion for the public sector and UA 2.7 billion for the private sector More than 3.7 million connections to the grid since 2000, and 560,000 off-grid connections since 2018 +18.5 GW of additional installed energy, of which 5.4GW from renewable energy resources +22,500 kilometers of transmission lines constructed, of which 9,800 are regional interconnections +102,000 kilometers of distribution lines constructed

AfDB a leading African energy sector financier over last 10 years

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AfDB’s Strategy holistically addresses key challenges for private investments

Theme 1: Setting up the right enabling policy environment Theme 2: Enabling utility companies for success Theme 3: Dramatically increase the # of bankable energy projects Theme 4: Increasing the funding pool to deliver new projects Theme 5: Supporting bottom of the pyramid energy access programs Theme 6: Accelerating major regional projects and driving regional int. Theme 7: Rolling out waves of country-wide energy transformations

New Deal on Energy for Africa

The NDEA addresses 7 strategic issues that represent the over- arching themes driving the strategy of the Bank

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Overview of Power Sector issues in Africa

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Power Sector Reform (results over the last 10 years)

SOUTH AFRICA

NIGER CHAD ETHIOPIA

NIGERIA KENYA TANZANIA ZAMBIA NAMIBIA MALI

ANGOLA CONGO, DEM REPUBLIC SOUTH SUDAN SUDAN LIBYA

ALGERIA

EGYPT

Legend

21% - 40% 41% - 60% 61% - 80% 81% - 100% 0% - 20% Total IPP investment (for plants >5MW) > USD 2 Bn USD 0.5 Bn – 1.3 Bn < USD 0.5 Bn Share of IPPs in total installed capacity

Main reform goal

  • Capital

investment flows in the power sector Two Financially Viable Utilities > 27 GW in new capacity IPPs in >30 countries Atleast 34 African countries established regulatory frameworks Two Whole Concessions

Sources: Revisiting Reforms in the Power Sector in Africa (AfDB & Association of Power Utilities), Electricity Regulatory Index (ERI) for Africa 2019 (AfDB)

Unintended Consequences

  • High tariffs
  • Low electricity access growths rates
  • Exponential increase in Sector debt
  • Lack of Centralised Sector planning
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Current levels of investment insufficient to provide universal access

  • Investments

in power supply (per capita) in Africa among the lowest in the world

50 100 150 200 250 300

North America Europe China India Africa

Source: IEA Africa Energy Outlook 2019 – Unit in dollars per capita

  • Fossil fuels represent the majority of

new capacity since 2010 (ca 90GW)

  • The

share

  • f

hydro and renewable increasing, but still largely untapped

Source: IEA Africa Energy Outlook 2019 – Unit in GW

50 100 150 200 250

Coal Gas Oil Hydro Other RE

Africa 2010 2018 North Africa 2010 2018 South Africa 2010 2018 Rest of Africa 2010 2018

  • Poor Power system performance, with

electricity losses higher than developing countries’ average

5 10 15 20 25

Ethiopia Côte d'Ivoire South Africa

Source: World Bank, 2015 – Unit in loss percentage

Africa average Developing countries average

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Participation trends in the medium term

❑ Parallels between 2008 financial crisis and post COVID-19. Challenges in the energy sector (debt, reliability, high tariff etc.) and revenue loss due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Renewed interest in private sector participation in the energy sector. ❑ Post COVID-19: Countries seeking self sufficiency so growth in industrialization and mining. Constrained public resources and fiscal space but infrastructure investments are vital Private Sector as an alternative additional source of funding to meet the gap. Captive power to industry and mining companies to drive industrialization, creating demand ❑ Second wave of Sector Reforms targeted at: Utility Transformation for efficiency and sector sustainability Private sector participation (PSP) models in electricity transmission More PPPs in Generation Ramping up access programs - Offgrid/Minigrid in rural areas to increase access rates

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Key determinants of success for private power projects

  • Clear Generation capacity deficit
  • Integrated resource plan with Identified least-cost

projects

  • Equitable risk allocation in the legal and regulatory

framework

  • Private sector expertise/exp. and efficient resource

mobilisation

  • Address social & environmental impacts
  • Account for climate change implications
  • Balance national needs for water & energy

development - hydro power

  • Mobilize the required financial resources for

project preparation and financing.

RE Specific

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Selected medium/large grid-connected projects examples

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Itezi-Thezi hydropower project

AfDB Role

  • Lender Coordinator
  • Senior lender
  • Modelling bank

Key Figures Total Project Cost USD 239 million Debt : Equity 70 : 30 AfDB Senior Loan USD 35 million AfDB Board Approval June 2012 The Project

Development of a 120 MW hydropower power plant in the central part of Zambia and a 276 km transmission line to connect the IPP to the power grid.

  • Increases

Zambia’s power generation capacity

  • Project Sponsors: TATA Africa and ZESCO
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Lake Turkana Wind Farm project

The Project

Development of a 300 MW wind farm in the north west part of Kenya

  • 365 wind turbines of 850 KW capacities
  • Added clean energy to the power grid
  • Increased national installed power by 25%
  • Project Sponsor(s): Aldwych, KP&P, IDC, Norfund,

Vestas, IFU 1000km transmission line to connect project to grid

AfDB Role

Non-sovereign Window

  • MLA
  • Senior lender
  • Syndication

Sovereign Window

  • PRG for T-Line

Completion Risk

Key Figures

Total Project Cost EUR 635 million Debt : Equity 70 : 30 Senior Loan - Private EUR 100 million PRG EUR 20 million (up to 4× total exposure)

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Ruzizi III – Regional

AfDB Role

  • Public Sector Lender – approved USD

138 million

  • Private Sector Lender – due diligence
  • ngoing

Key Figures

Total Project Cost USD 641 million Debt / Equity 71.6 / 28.46 Equity USD 182 million (Developer – USD 100m) Concessional Debt (Viability Gap) USD 365 million

Commercial debt USD 94 million The Project

A 147 MW power station located in south- western Rwanda and eastern DRC between Lake Kivu and Lake Tanganyika on Ruzizi river.

  • Developed by NELSAP, Nile Basin Initiative
  • PIDA/CAPP/EAPP Project

Project Sponsors: Governments, IPS, SN Power

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Accelerating energy access through small-scale renewables

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Small-scale and decentralized RE solutions can address critical electrification gaps

Cha Challe lenges wit ith Ut Utili ility-Scale RE RE Sm Small-Scale an and Dec Decentraliz ized RE RE

  • Grid extension is not operationally nor

economically viable in all remote areas

  • Tailored for remote and off-grid areas
  • Grid extension can be expensive (high cost

per connection)

  • Increasingly cost-competitive: new

technologies, data, and business models

  • Grid extension takes a long time (long

planning and construction periods)

  • Rapid deployment and limited O&M
  • National utilities are financially weak and

have limited capacity

  • Commercial capital is seeing the opportunity

and is increasingly available

  • Large-scale generation can present

challenges for environmental and social sustainability, long-term resilience

  • Limited social and environmental risk with

strong community development benefits

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Our Approach: Market Building, Project Preparation, Catalytic Finance

MARKET BUILDING

  • Country support in

designing scale-up programmes

  • Policy and regulatory

readiness

  • Financial structuring and

mobilization

  • Mobilization of technical

and financial partners PROJECT PRE REPARATION

  • project preparation

financing

  • Connection to additional

TA providers (e.g. GET.Invest, ALSF)

  • Introductions to strategic

and technical partners

  • First-of-a-kind,

demonstration projects CATALYTIC FI FINANCE

  • TA grants, Results-Based

Financing, Concessional Debt, Junior Equity

  • Guarantees (PRGs/PCGs)
  • Commercial finance

(equity / debt)

  • Local Currency options
  • Additional risk mitigation

products

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Market building: Sao Tome and Principe Mini-Hydro Projects Support Programme

CONTEXT

  • Large dependence on Diesel (90%)
  • high cost of generation (U$

0.30/kWh) subsidized

  • Electricity services are of poor

quality and unreliable

  • Limited country experience with

IPPs

  • National Development Plan 2030 -

new transformational agenda focuses on transparency in public affairs, including energy.

APPROACH

  • Advisory to the Ministry of Energy on
  • ngoing sector reforms financed by

AfDB, EB and EIB

  • TA

A Gr Gran ant for Technical, Economic, Financial and Environmental for several mini-hydro

  • Technical support on the development
  • f the Papagaio Mini-Hydro
  • Africa Legal Support Facility (ALSF)

support government on tender development and transaction

ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES

  • Achieve 100% access to electricity by 2030
  • New mini-hydropower generation through BOT (20 MW) to substitute thermal

power plants and provide universal electricity access to the population of STP

  • Contribute to power sector reform (strategic planning, utility transformation)
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Project Preparation: Songa Energy 9 MW Solar-Hydro Mini-Grid in Burundi

CONTEXT

  • Installed capacity of 73 MW does

not meet the demand

  • Limited country experience with

IPPs (only 7.5 MW solar PV have reached financial close)

  • No audited financial statements

available from the national utility

  • Country heavily dependent on

hydropower (59 %), with the remaining 41 % being diesel generators

APPROACH

  • Proj
  • ject pr

preparation gr gran ant to

  • acc

accele lerate IPP de develo lopment

  • Isolated grid (mini-grid) with

backup connection to the national grid

  • Hydro hybridized with solar PV to

diversify generation sources and enhance drought resilience

  • Africa Legal Support Facility (ALSF)

to support government on PPA negotiations

ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES

  • 9 MW clean and reliable installed capacity
  • 200 jobs during construction, 20 during operation
  • Approximately USD 40 million mobilized
  • 20 ktCO2eq annual GHG emission reductions
  • 20,000 new connections
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Catalytic finance: DRC ESSOR Mini-Grid Programme

CONTEXT

  • DRC Electrification rate of 10 %
  • No national grid but three regional

grids, hence only few cities supplied

  • Only half of the installed capacity

is operational

  • Liberalized energy sector led to

the emerge of PPP distribution concessionaires

APPROACH

  • Programmatic approach for

private-led electrification through mini-grids

  • Focus on three urban centres for a

total if 0.5 million population and various businesses and corporates

  • TA grant for Feasibility Studies
  • AfDB

AfDB pr provid idin ing USD SD 20m m loan

  • an,

mob mobil iliz izin ing fr from GC GCF F USD SD 20m m lo loan and and fr from

  • m SE

SEFA USD SD 10m m vi viability- gap ap fi fina nancin ing (gr grant / / con

  • nnectio

ion)

ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES

  • Up to 20 MW solar PV and 35 MWh of battery storage capacity installed
  • 300 jobs during construction, 45 during operation
  • Approximately USD 70 million mobilized
  • 560 ktCO2eq GHG emission reductions
  • 21,200 new connections

Gemena Isiro Bumba Kinshasa

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Financial instruments for small-scale renewables

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$200 million multi-donor facility providing concessional finance for renewable energy market development activities

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  • Project Preparation Support
  • Enabling environment support
  • Concessional finance instruments
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Joao Duarte Cunha, African Development Bank 24 Investments in key Private Equity Fund renewables

mandates in Sub-Saharan Africa

  • The AfDB investments across these five

funds will leverage approximately $1 billion in risk capital for renewable energy development and financing

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  • Debt instruments, including receivables

lending, inventory finance, working capital and unsecured corporate debt.

  • On-Grid Window: mini-grids, commercial &

industrial solar, and small IPPs

  • Off-Grid Window: off-grid solar companies

using pay-as-you-go technologies or lease- to-own models

Facility for Energy Inclusion (FEI)

$500m commercial debt platform for small-scale renewables

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26

  • Business development services
  • Policy and regulatory advisory
  • Country Market intelligence reports
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THANK YOU

Joao CUNHA DUARTE

Manager | Renewable Energy Power, Energy, Climate & Green Growth Complex African Development Bank j.cunha@afdb.org www.afdb.org

Angela NALIKKA

Manager | National and Regional Power Systems Power, Energy, Climate & Green Growth Complex African Development Bank a.nalikka@afdb.org www.afdb.org