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SIGCOMM 2012 13-17 August, 2012 - Helsinki, Finland Extracting Benefit from Harm: Using Malware Pollution to Analyze the Impact of Political and Geophysical Events on the Internet A. Dainotti, R. Amman, E. Aben, K. C. Claffy alberto@caida.org


  1. SIGCOMM 2012 13-17 August, 2012 - Helsinki, Finland Extracting Benefit from Harm: Using Malware Pollution to Analyze the Impact of Political and Geophysical Events on the Internet A. Dainotti, R. Amman, E. Aben, K. C. Claffy alberto@caida.org CAIDA/UCSD w w w . cai da. or g

  2. CONTEXT Analysis of large-scale Internet Outages • Country-level Internet Blackouts Egypt, Jan 2011 Government orders ( BGP withdrawals, packet-filtering, to shut down the Internet satellite-signal jamming, ... ) • Natural disasters affecting the infrastructure/population Japan, Mar 2011 Earthquake of Magnitude 9.0 EPICENTER Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 2 w w w . cai da. or g

  3. IDEA “Extracting benefit from harm..” • Use Internet Background Radiation (IBR) generated by malware-infected hosts as a “signal” Infected Host Randomly Scanning the Internet UCSD Network Telescope Darknet xxx.0.0.0/8 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 3 w w w . cai da. or g

  4. NOVELTY Using IBR to study Internet Outages • Revival of Network Telescopes Study of Opportunistic Characteristics Study of Inferring DoS Measurement Spread of CodeRed Internet Slammer IBR Revisited of IBR Outages Activity Worm . Worm . . 2010 2002 2003 2004 2005 2011 2001 • Alternative/Complementary measurement approaches to study outages - BGP [13][28] - Active Probing [20][42] - Passive Traffic [22][24] - Google services [13][14] - Peer-to-Peer traffic [5][6] Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 4 w w w . cai da. or g

  5. THE EVENTS (1/2) Internet Disruptions in North Africa • Egypt - January 25th, 2011 : protests start in the country - The government orders service providers to “shut down” the Internet - January 27th, around 22:34 UTC : several sources report the withdrawal in the Internet’s global routing table of almost all routes to Egyptian networks - The disruption lasts 5.5 days • Libya - February 17th, 2011 : protests start in the country - The government controls most of the country’s communication infrastructure - February 18th (6.8 hrs), 19th (8.3 hrs), March 3rd (3.7 days) : three different connectivity disruptions: Jan 25 Feb 17 Feb 18 23:15 (6.8 hours) Jan 27 22:12 (5.5 days) Mar 03 16:57 (3.7 days) Feb 19 21:55 (8.3 hours) G G Feb Feb Mar 2011 Figure 1: Timeline of Internet disruptions described in the paper. Times in figure are UTC (Egypt and Libya are UTC+2). The pair of red dots indicate the start Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 5 w w w . cai da. or g

  6. NETWORK INFO Prefixes, ASes, Filtering • Egypt - 3165 IPv4 and 6 IPv6 prefixes are delegated to Egypt by AfriNIC - They are managed by 51 Autonomous Systems - Filtering type: BGP only LY EG • Libya - 13 IPv4 prefixes, no IPv6 prefixes - 3 Autonomous Systems operate in the country - Filtering type: mix of BGP , packet filtering, satellite signal jamming A. Dainotti, C. Squarcella, E. Aben, K. C. Claffy, M. Chiesa, M. Russo, A. Pescapè, “Analysis of Country-wide Internet Outages Caused by Censorship” ACM SIGCOMM Internet Measurement Conference 2011 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 6 w w w . cai da. or g

  7. EGYPT IBR: packet rate 140 120 100 packets per second 80 60 40 20 0 01-27 00:00 01-28 00:00 01-29 00:00 01-30 00:00 01-31 00:00 02-01 00:00 02-02 00:00 02-03 00:00 02-04 00:00 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 7 w w w . cai da. or g

  8. RANDOM PROBING E.g., Conficker Infected Host Randomly Scanning the Internet DST:xxx.1.2.3 UCSD Network Telescope Darknet xxx.0.0.0/8 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 8 w w w . cai da. or g

  9. BACKSCATTER e.g., SYN+ACK replies to spoofed SYNs src:yyy.1.2.3 ATTACKER (spoofing src:zzz.4.5.6 SRC IPs) DoS VICTIM src:xxx.1.2.3 DST:xxx.1.2.3 UCSD Network Telescope Darknet xxx.0.0.0/8 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 9 w w w . cai da. or g

  10. EGYPT IBR: dissecting it 80 70 60 packets per second 50 40 30 20 10 0 01-27 00:00 01-28 00:00 01-29 00:00 01-30 00:00 01-31 00:00 02-01 00:00 02-02 00:00 02-03 00:00 02-04 00:00 distinct IPs backscatter (pps) conficker-like (pps) other (pps) Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 10 w w w . cai da. or g

  11. EGYPT IBR: rate of distinct src IPs vs packet rate 700 90 80 600 70 500 packets per second 60 IPs per hour 400 50 40 300 30 200 20 100 10 0 0 01-27 00:00 01-28 00:00 01-29 00:00 01-30 00:00 01-31 00:00 02-01 00:00 02-02 00:00 02-03 00:00 02-04 00:00 distinct IPs backscatter (pps) conficker-like (pps) other (pps) Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego w w w . cai da. or g

  12. LIBYA the first two outages 450 400 350 Ratio of distinct IPs per hour 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 02-18 18:00 02-19 00:00 02-19 06:00 02-19 12:00 02-19 18:00 02-20 00:00 02-20 06:00 02-20 12:00 02-20 18:00 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 12 w w w . cai da. or g

  13. THE EVENTS (2/2) Earthquakes • Christchurch - NZ Christchurch - NZ Tohoku - JP - February 21st, 2011 23:51:42 UTC Distance (Km) Networks IP Addresses Networks IP Addresses < 5 1 255 0 0 - Local time 22nd, 12:51:42 PM < 10 283 662,665 0 0 - Magnitude: 6.1 < 20 292 732,032 0 0 < 40 299 734,488 0 0 < 80 309 738,062 5 91 • Tohoku - JP < 100 310 738,317 58 42,734 < 200 348 769,936 1,352 1,691,560 < 300 425 828,315 3,953 4,266,264 - March 11th, 2011 05:46:23 UTC < 400 1,531 3,918,964 16,182 63,637,753 - Local time 02:46:23 PM < 500 1,721 4,171,527 41,522 155,093,650 - Magnitude: 9.0 We use MaxMind GeoLite City DB to compute distance from a given network to the epicenters Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 13 w w w . cai da. or g

  14. A SIMPLE METRIC to evaluate impact and extension I ∆ t i - number of distinct source IP addresses seen by the telescope over the interval ∆ ti, scope - 1-hour time slots following the event where ∆ t 1 , ..., ∆ t n and ∆ t − 1 , ..., ∆ t − n - 1-hour time slots preceding the event − 24 X I ∆ t i i = − 1 θ = 24 X I ∆ t j j =1 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 14 w w w . cai da. or g

  15. RADIUS OF IMPACT rough estimate based on θ - We compute θ for address ranges geolocated at different distances from the epicenter of the earthquake (0 to 500km in bins of 1km each ) - θ around 1 indicates no substantial change in the number of unique IP addresses observed in IBR before and after the event. Christchurch 3 θ - Ratio of distinct IPs before/after earthquake 2.5 (x=20,y=2.4) 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 Km Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 15 w w w . cai da. or g

  16. RADIUS OF IMPACT rough estimate based on θ radius ρ max of We call the maximum distance at which we observe a value of θ significantly > 1 Figure ?? Tohoku 90 θ - Ratio of distinct IPs before/after earthquake 80 70 60 50 40 30 (x=304,y=9.3) 20 10 0 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 Km Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 16 w w w . cai da. or g

  17. EXTENSION OF IMPACT geo coordinates of most affected networks Networks within each respective radius ρ max of Figure ?? (a) Christchurch (b) Tohoku Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 17 w w w . cai da. or g

  18. “MAGNITUDE” A measure of impact • Varying the radius, we pick the highest value of θ calculated for the whole set of networks within the corresponding circle 4 θ - Ratio of distinct IPs before/after earthquake (x=137,y=3.59) 3.5 (x=6,y=2.0) 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 Km Christchurch Tohoku Christchurch Tohoku Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis Magnitude ( θ max ) 2 at 6 km 3 . 59 at 137 km University of California San Diego Radius ( ρ max ) 20 km 304 km 18 w w w . cai da. or g

  19. IP RATE IN TIME reflects the dynamics of the event Christchurch Tohoku 180 800 EARTHQUAKE 160 700 EARTHQUAKE 140 Number of distinct IPs per hour Number of distinct IPs per hour 600 120 100 500 80 400 60 300 40 200 20 0 02-18 00:00 02-20 00:00 02-22 00:00 02-24 00:00 02-26 00:00 02-28 00:00 03-02 00:00 03-04 00:00 100 03-04 00:00 03-06 00:00 03-08 00:00 03-10 00:00 03-12 00:00 03-14 00:00 03-16 00:00 03-18 00:00 03-20 00:00 03-22 00:00 Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis University of California San Diego 19 w w w . cai da. or g

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