Experimenting Smarter not Harder - - PDF document

experimenting smarter not harder
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Experimenting Smarter not Harder - - PDF document

I zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA Experimenting Smarter not Harder zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA - Taguchi Methods Stella Q"vmd BAE SYSTEMS ISMOR 1 1 1 The Problem Developed


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Experimenting Smarter not Harder zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

  • Taguchi Methods
Stella Q"vmd BAE SYSTEMS ISMOR 1 1 1

The Problem

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Design of Experiments

Developed zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA in Great Brirain zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA in zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA the 1920's Developed extensively i n the academic enyMmeni

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Taguchi Methods zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

Control Factors

RCS Characteristics >-- Force zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA Mix

Noise Factors -

Weather zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA Threat zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA S A M Density Threat &-Air Density zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

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Configuration Study

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Objectives zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

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Measures

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First detections

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Missiles launched

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Failures (Kills)

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Control Variables Noise Variables

.Scenario .Ingress Route
  • Random seed

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Taguchi Arrays zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

*Balanced Array *Independent Variables Experimental Design Matrix - LTaguchi Array m canpumt)au

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* Numban 1.2 zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA I 3 zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA 8- feplacsd with the Low. Medium or High Value of each tador zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA
  • 38
configuratimi out ol the tull fanorial sotol 12.754.y14 mntguratims Uertm,DIL.IOl.m-~m
  • 18 hour8
  • VS. 700 yeam

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Taguchi Control Factor Separation

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Influence of Control Factors on the three MoEs zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA 1 ........ I R zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA *Parameter 15 is most significant *Parameter 3 is not significant for zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA h i t s Control Factors Ranked by Influence on Detections *Parameter 6 is very imponant *Panmeter 2 is unimportant for Detections (cf. Hits &hunches) zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA .Panmeter 16 is also relatively unimponant
  • I o D I , - m . ~ - o I I
Control Factor8 Ranked by Influence on Launches *Parameter 6 is less imponant 'Paramem 2 is more imponant .Parameter 16 is very imponant

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Control Factors Ranked by Influence
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Advantages of using Taguchi

*Reduced Experimentation 36 vs 12,754,584 experiments *Reduction in experimentation time 18 hrs vs over 700 years *Statistically Robust Outcome vs Pseudo Random Sample
  • Structured experimentation
Multiple Analysts reach the same outcome zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

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