Essential Minerals for Life
Nomura Global Chemical Industry Leaders Conference
Essential Minerals for Life Nomura Global Chemical Industry Leaders - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Essential Minerals for Life Nomura Global Chemical Industry Leaders Conference Rome, March 22, 2012 Disclaimer The information delivered or to be delivered to you does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to do any The information
Nomura Global Chemical Industry Leaders Conference
The information delivered or to be delivered to you does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to do any The information delivered or to be delivered to you does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to do any transaction in Israel Chemicals Ltd. (ICL) securities. Although our shares may be bought and sold on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE) at any trading time, they do not trade out of Israel - neither in the United States, nor EU ,nor elsewhere and this presentation does not constitute an offer or investment advice to any US or other person at this time. If we ever do so, our offer will only be made by a prospectus or a registration statement conforming with all requirements of U.S., EU or any other applicable law. Certain statements in this presentation and other oral and written statements made by ICL from time to time, are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non- historical matters; or project revenues, income, returns or other financial measures. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the statements, including, among others, the following: (a) Crisis in financial markets;(b) War or terror operations;(c) I t l f f tili ( d t i t li i d th ) (d) S bj ti t l i l ti d Impacts on sales of fertilizers (product prices, government policies and weather); (d) Subjection to legislative and licensing restrictions;(e) Exposure relating to environmental protection and safety;(f) Third party liability and product liability; (g) Volatility in the markets that affects the demand for some of the products; (h) Concessions and permits; (i) Natural disasters; (j) Water level in Pond 150 in Dead Sea;(k) Dependence on seaports, transportation and loading in
have made and shall make with the TASE. They may discuss new or different factors that may cause actual results to diff t i ll f thi i f ti differ materially from this information. All information included in this document speaks only as of the date on which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update such information afterwards. Some of the market and industry information is based on independent industry publications or other publicly available y p y p p y information, while other information is based on internal studies. Although we believe that these independent sources and our internal data are reliable as of their respective dates, the information contained in them has not been independently verified and we can not assure you as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Readers and viewers are cautioned to consider these risks and uncertainties and to not place undue reliance on such information.
Potash Corp (POT) 14%
Israel Corp (ILCO) Public 34%
(ILCO) 52%
* Including new acquisitions ** As of March 12, 2012
ICL Shareholders
Potash
Potash, Phosphate Rock, Phosphoric Acid, Phosphate Fertilizers, Compound Fertilizers, Specialty Fertilizers, Feed Additives, Salts
ICL
Potash 34%
Elemental Bromine, Bromine & Organophosphorus Flame Retardants, Various Bromine Compounds, Chlorine based Biocides Magnesia Prod cts
Potash 34% Other 4% ICL Industrial Products 22%
Fertilizers & Phosphates 17%
Chlorine-based Biocides, Magnesia Products Specialty Phosphates: Technical, Food Grade & Electronic Grade Phosphoric Acid, Phosphate Salts,
Fertilizers & Phosphates ICL Performance Products 23% 4%
Electronic Grade Phosphoric Acid, Phosphate Salts, Food Additives, Hygiene Products, Wildfire Safety Products, Water Treatment Chemicals and Services
p 17% 23%
Pure Magnesium, Magnesium Alloys; Water Desalination Solutions (via IDE, 50% JV)
Note: % based on 2010 sales
Potash Potash
The Dead Sea
Bromine Polyhalite
Sea
Bromine Magnesium S
Iberpotash (Spain) & CPL (England)
(Israel)
Salts Phosphates
3 Peat Mining The Negev Desert 3 Peat Mining Sites (England) (Israel)
Dredging Operation 2 Production Lines Evaporation Process Open Air Storage Capacity Capacity
saves the burning of about 10 million tons of coal or diesel oil each year y
CO emissions to the atmosphere
2
At th Dead Sea Works royalty rate will increase from 5% to 10% on ex works (average) price
Floating dredgers harvest the salt The suspension flows through a floating pipe to a drainage The salt is
solution is filtered and The dry salt is loaded onto a conveyor to transport At the North terminal, the salt is The barges return the salt to the northern basin to a drainage area near the dike. filtered and returned to the pond. transport it to the terminal. loaded onto barges. northern basin
Sea.
Terminal
Zohar Ein Gedi
Salt transport Terminal Pond No.5
Ein Bokek Zohar
0.05 g/l
Sea Water ) China, India, Japan (
0.2 g/l
Underground Wells ) China (
2-6 g/l
Brine Wells ) USA* and Russia ( Most Concentrated Source of Bromine
10 12 g/l
Dead Sea Brine ) USA and Russia ( in the World
10-12 g/l
Dead Sea Brine
* Arkansas – brine wells of Chemtura & Albemarle
Raw Materials
Elemental
Source Major Intermediate & Finished Products
Phosphorus ( Penta) Sulfide
Fertilizer Grade Food Grade Phosphoric Acid Phosphate Salts Phosphate Phosphorus Wildfire Extinguishers Food Additives Sulfide
Grade Phosphoric Acid Phosphate Rock Special Grade Acid Food Hygiene Alumina & Magnesia Based Phosphate Fertilizers Salt (NaCl) Compound Fertilizers Specialty Potash
End Brine Carnallite Pure Magnesium Magnesium Specialty Fertilizers Magnesium Chloride Solution
Crude Magnesium End Brine Elemental Chlorine Magnesia Magnesium Alloys Salt (NaCl) Potash Chlorine Bromine Compounds Magnesium Chloride
Sylvanite Elemental Bromine Magnesia Products (MgO) Polynalite
Chlorine based Biocides
y
Fertilizers Industrial Products Performance Products DSM Product Sold
OPFRs & Others
) Sales by Geography (1-9/11
Europe 36% North America 20% Asia 27% Israel 5% ROW 2% Mexico South America 10%
Manufacturing plant Logistic center Sales offices Headquarter
Headquarter
5 692 6,904
$ millions
2 715 2 986 3,258 4,103 4,554 5,692 4,271 5,356 1 346 1 460 1,981 2,271 2,715 2,986 2,336 2,004 770 1,025 1,142 354 561 536 743 938 1,346 1,007 1,460 92 103 251 422 374 553 770 , 779 199 203 354 561 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M10 9M11 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M10 9M11 Net Income Operating Income
Sales
*2002-2006 figures are based on Israeli GAAP, 2007-2011 are based on IFRS
94.5% 49 7%*
52.0%
ROE 10 9% 8 1% 10 4% 10.5% 22.4% 31.2% 23.2% 31.4% 29.5% 38.0% 49.7%*
52.0% 32.5%*
10.9% 8.1% 10.4%
5.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 9.6% 14.4% 12.9% 19.1% 19.4% 21.4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
* LTM (as of September 2011)
ROE (Return on equity) = net income / shareholders' equity, average ROIC (Return on invested capital ) = (operating income ×(1-0.20)) / ((trade receivables + inventory – trade payables) + PP&E, net), average 2000-2006 figures are based on Israeli GAAP, 2007-2011 based on IFRS LTM (as of September 2011)
Year Dividend Yield*
2011 Dividend Payments 2001 4.0% 2002 4.8% 2003 4 5% Q1: $195 million announced on May, 2011 Q2: $298 million announced on August, 2011 2003 4.5% 2004 4.5% 2005 3.6% Q3: $300 million announced on November, 2011 2006 6.4% 2007 3.5% 2008 5.9% 2009 3.9% 2010 7 0%
* Calculated according to market capitalization based on average share price adjusted for dividends
2010 7.0%
Potash Fertilizers & Phospates 34% Potash 66%
Based on 2010 external sales
B l ill t i d i t i h & h t ( USDA M h 2012)
34% 36% 2.3 2.4
Consumption Production Stock to Use
Barley, corn, millet, mixed grain, oats, rice, rye, sorghum & wheat (source: USDA, March 2012)
30% 32% 2.1 2.2
ne
26% 28% 1.9 2.0
illion Tonn
22% 24% 1.7 1.8
B
20.35%
16% 18% 20% 1 4 1.5 1.6
16% 1.4
14 16
Grain Prices: 1997-2012
Soybean US$/ bushel 13 4 6 8 10 12 Wheat 13.4 6.4
4 6
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Corn 6.5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1400
900 1000
Potash Prices (1997-2012) Phosphate Prices (1997-2012)
US$/t spot, Standard grade KCl US$/t spot
Source: CBOT (March 11, 2012)
600 800 1000 1200
400 500 600 700 800 900
200 400
100 200 300
Sources: Fertilizer Week (March 9, 2012)
FOB Vancouver TSP N. Africa DAP US Gulf DAP N. Africa
12 300
10 250
K2O P2O5 N Yield [kg/ha] 8 200
4 6 100 150
2 4 50 100
EU-27 China India
Source: USDA, July 2011, IFA
15 11 13 es KCl 7 9 illion Tonne 3 5 M
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CAGR 2007- 17 China PR 10 68 9 00 8 50 10 38 11 17 11 70 12 32 12 85 13 58 14 07 14 76 3 3%
3
China PR 10.68 9.00 8.50 10.38 11.17 11.70 12.32 12.85 13.58 14.07 14.76 3.3% Brazil 6.99 6.18 5.28 6.53 7.46 7.54 7.71 8.05 8.38 8.72 9.05 2.6% India 4.42 5.55 6.08 5.88 4.87 5.03 7.53 7.87 8.20 8.53 8.87 7.2% USA 8.51 6.09 8.03 8.21 8.94 9.29 9.48 9.66 9.76 9.86 9.96 1.6%
EU 27 6.04 3.49 4.04 5.13 5.02 5.44 5.63 5.69 5.73 5.75 5.77
Sources: FertEcon Potash Outlook 2011-4 (Feb 2012)
China (total 5.2Mt) India (total 6Mt) Brazil (total 6.1Mt)
Uralkali +Belaruskali 32% Mosaic 3% PCS 5% SQM 2% K+S 3% APC 6% SQM 3%
Uralkali+ Belaruskali 29% APC 13% K & S 3% SQM 1%
32% K+S 16% Uralkali + Silvinit Canpotex 18%
29% Canpotex 19%
Silvinit 3% ICL Canpotex 42% Belaruskali ICL 15%
Silvinit 15%
ICL 16% 23% Belaruskali 13%
ICL 20%
* Out of imports in million metric tons (Mt)
Sources: China Fertilizer Weekly Market Report, Sindicaro Da Industria DE Adubose Corretivos Agricolas No Estado De Sao Paulo, Company estimates
* Out of imports in 2010, in million metric tons (MT)
China (total 6.4Mt) India (total 4.5Mt) Brazil (total 7.5Mt)
Uralkali +Belaruskali 38% K+S PCS 4% SQM 3% BPC K+S 1% APC 11% K+S 3% APC 6% SQM 1% K S 12% 27% Canpotex 18% Uralkali + Silvinit 33% Canpotex 27% Silvinit Canpotex IPC 22% Belaruskali 10% Silvinit 3% ICL 9% Canpotex 31% ICL 21% ICL 20%
Sources: China Fertilizer Weekly Market Report, Sindicaro Da Industria DE Adubose Corretivos Agricolas No Estado De Sao Paulo, Company estimates
* Out of imports in 2011, in million metric tons (MT)
Potash: An addition of 1.15 mt (final products) at Sodom since 1998 (+77%) in dditi t th i iti i E
5,600
addition to the acquisitions in Europe.
Production in thousands of mt KCl
Stage 11 – to add up to 500kt by 2015
2 600 3,600 4,600 600 1,600 2,600 2010 2006 2002 1998 1994 1990 1986 1982 1978 1974 1970
2002 1998 Converting salt pond number 3 to Carnallite +180kt 2002 Purchase of CPL-UK Purchase of IPB-Spain Debottlenecking plant capacity expansion +450kt Debottlenecking
Debottlenecking +300kt +400kt
3 Open Pit Mines Restored Mine Potential Production Capacity (bulk products): Phosphate rock: ~4.5 million tonnes Phosphoric acid: ~550 thousand tonnes Phosphate & compound fertilizers (TSP, SSP, NPKs): ~1.9 million tonnes Bulk production sites: Rotem (IS), Amsterdam (ND), Ludwigshafen (GE)
In addition: Specialty fertilizers, animal feed additives
(Scotts Global Pro) WSF, CRF, SRF
WSNPKs, Liquids
PG Mix, WSNPKs
* WSF= Water Soluble Fertilizers; WSNPK= Water Soluble compound fertilizers; CRF= Controlled Released Fertilizers; SRF= Slow Released Fertilizers
partially coated with an elastic polymer
water enters through the pores
in the water, resulting in a concentrated nutrient
release over 3, 6, 9 or 12 mos
solutions
Organophosphorus flame retardants Other Bromine based flame retardants Water treatment biocides Brominated inorganic & ag chemicals
Based on 2010 external sales
Breakdown of Global Bromine Capacity
China 13% Others 9%
ICL is one of the 3 leading players
ICL 40% Chemtura 14% 13%
Albemarle 24%
Sources: US Bureau of Mines, Arkansas Oil & Gas Commission publications, ICL estimates.
1.01
Source: IPC Association, Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI), March 2012)
4,000 4,500 3,000 3,500 2 000 2,500 3,000 1,500 2,000
Source: Baker Hughes Rig Count, February 2012
Significant potential in mercury Significant potential in mercury emission reduction in coal-fired power plants & cement factories (primarily in the US* & China)
Mercury removal: bromine based
increasing demand
product line
Intermediates for agro, food and pharma MerquelTM product line
2009 acquisition of Medentech, world leader in end-user drinking water treatment, to serve as a
* A tax credit for burning “Refined Coal” (section 45) for electricity generation is in place (10 years). EPA Federal regulation (to reduce mercury emission by ~91%) expected in 2014/5 Many states have already started
platform for growth
in 2014/5. Many states have already started implementation.
G
Phosphate Salts Other and Food Additives Other Phosphate Phosphoric Acid* Other Phosphate Based Products
75% phosphate & phosphorus-based products 25% other
* Food, technical & electronic grade acids Based on 2010 external sales
From Raw Materials to Downstream Products & Services
Food Additives Food Hygiene
High price
Phosphate Salts Phosphoric Food Grade Phosphoric Acid
Acid (MGA) Commodity Fertilizers Acid Phosphate Rock
#1 in pure phosphoric acid & specialty phosphates
Services and Solutions Basic Products
Low price
Functional Food Ingredients Wildfire Safety Ingredients Phosphate Technical Specialties
Negev Desert
Hygiene Services Phosphate Rock Purified Phosphoric Acid Sp P2S5 Electronic Grade Phosphoric Acid
www.icl-group.com
Carnallite Ponds
Pond no. 5 Salt Ponds Hotels Production Sites