Equilibrium in the Labour Market with Search Frictions Christopher - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

equilibrium in the labour market with search frictions
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Equilibrium in the Labour Market with Search Frictions Christopher - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Equilibrium in the Labour Market with Search Frictions Christopher A Pissarides London School of Economics Nobel Lecture, 8 December 2010 Theory How I got into search theory Searching for what? Search for a high wage Two-sided


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Equilibrium in the Labour Market with Search Frictions

Christopher A Pissarides London School of Economics Nobel Lecture, 8 December 2010

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Theory

 How I got into search theory  Searching for what?

 Search for a high wage  Two-sided search for a good match  The matching function

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Theory

 Towards an equilibrium model  Wage bargains  Job creation  Beveridge curve equilibrium

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vacancies unemployment

Job creation Beveridge curve

θ

The Beveridge curve and equilibrium vacancies and unemployment

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Application 1

Comparing economies

  • ver space and time
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Comparing economies

vacancies unemployment

Job creation lines Beveridge curves

θ

Economy with more frictions v u Economy with lower level of aggregate activity

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Figure 4 The British Beveridge curve, 1975-1984 (an economy with more frictions)

84 83 82 81 80 79 78 77 76 75 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 unemployment % vacancies %

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Figure 5 The British Beveridge curve, 2008-2010 (an economy with lower level of aggregate activity)

1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5

unemployment vacancies

2008M1 2009M4 2010M

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Figure 6 The US Beveridge Curve, 1975-1984 (an economy driven by aggregate economic activity)

84 83 82 81 80 79 78 77 76 75 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5 unemployment vacancies

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Figure 7 The US Beveridge curve, 2008-2010 (an economy with lower level of aggregate activity, followed by jobless recovery with frictions?)

1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 unemployment vacancies

2008M1 2009M4

2010M10

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More applications

 Wage stickiness  Job destruction  Employment protection legislation

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Figure 9 Job creation and job destruction rates, US non-farm sector

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 per cent of employment (annual) JCR JDR

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Where do we go next?

 Role of institutions  Theory of wages: how much wage stickiness and why?  Imperfect capital markets  Imperfect knowledge and expectations  Integration of financial and labour markets