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Bob Moran, Deputy Head
Royal Society, UK - 20 April 2016
Bob Moran, Deputy Head
Royal Society, UK - 20 April 2016
Energy Options for Transport: Perspectives on Policy Development Bob - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Energy Options for Transport: Perspectives on Policy Development Bob - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Energy Options for Transport: Perspectives on Policy Development Bob Moran, Deputy Head Royal Society, UK - 20 April 2016 Can electric cars save the world? Bob Moran, Deputy Head Royal Society, UK - 20 April 2016 Can electric cars save the
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Bob Moran, Deputy Head
Royal Society, UK - 20 April 2016
Can electric cars save the world?
- NO. But they might help …
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Bob Moran, Deputy Head
Royal Society, UK - 20 April 2016
Can electric cars save the world?
- NO. But they might help …
- 1. Policy backdrop
- 2. Policy planning
- 3. Policy challenges
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The Climate Change Act 2008 requires an 80% emissions reduction in the UK by 2050 (against a 1990 baseline)
Legally binding ‘carbon budgets’ to cap emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) over rolling 5 year periods. Committee on Climate Change (CCC) and Adaptation Sub-Committee to advise on progress and direction. UK Government duty to deliver a UK Climate Change Risk Assessment report to Parliament every 5 years.
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016 5
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
MtCO2e
UK GHG emissions 2050 target
80% reduction in emissions required by 2050 (from 1990)
The size of the challenge
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050
MtCO2e
UK GHG emissions Carbon budget 1 Carbon budget 2 Carbon budget 3 Carbon budget 4 2050 target
CB5 tbc UK GHG emissions and carbon budget targets
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25%+ of UK total GHG emissions come from transport
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Rail, 2% Cars & Taxis, 54% HGVs, 21% Aviation & shipping, 3% Vans, 13% Buses and Coaches, 3% Other incl. road, 3%
Transport GHG emissions (incl. international transport): 2013
Domestic transport GHG emissions around 20% of total UK GHG emissions … … up from 15% in 1990. International aviation and shipping GHG emissions roughly 7% …up from 3% in 1990. Transport’s share is more than 25%. Transport emissions are dominated (>90%) by emissions from road vehicles. We have a strategy for low emission vehicles, but this does not adequately cover HGVs, which contribute a disproportionately high level of emissions.
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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Range of transport initiatives to reduce carbon emissions
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Increasing low emission car uptake Investing in alternative fuels Electrifying the railway network Changing consumer behaviour and attitudes Introducing newer cleaner vehicles Negotiating deals on Aviation and Maritime Increasing uptake of cycling Introducing Greener Buses Increasing walking in door to door journeys
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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Government has set stretching goals and increased funding
8 R&D Incentives Energy Issues Comms Infrastructure Supply Chain
SPENDING REVIEW NOVEMBER 2015
The government will spend more than £600m between 2015-16 and 2020-21 to support uptake and manufacturing of ultra-low emission vehicles (ULEVs) …and keep the UK on track for all new cars to be effectively zero emission by 2040. ‘Our aim is for almost every car an van to be a zero emission vehicle by 2050 ... and we will invest £500m over the next five years to achieve it.’
MANIFESTO MAY 2015
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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Most comprehensive policy programme in the world (?)
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££ Battery prize ££ Natural gas infrastructure ££ Hydrogen (including infrastructure) £££ Research and development ££ UK EV infrastructure ££ Go Ultra Low Cities ££ Taxis ££ Buses ££ Incentives for other vehicles ££££ Plug-in Car Grant ££ England EV infrastructure ££ London £ Go Ultra Low comms campaign
- Every new car an ULEV from 2040 and whole fleet by 2050;
- The right supporting infrastructure;
- World class skills and facilities for ULEV tech;
- A smarter electricity grid to maximise ULEV; and
- The UK as the best place in Europe for ULEV industries.
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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Monthly UK registrations of plug-in cars
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 Percentage of all car registrations Number of plug-in car registrations Plug-in cars as a % of all new car registrations
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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New UK registrations of plug-in eligible vehicles
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 New registrations Cars Vans
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Creating a self-sustaining market not reliant on Government support Improving the UK consumer offer
- n charging infrastructure
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REGULATORY
DEMAND Strategic challenges
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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Vehicle to Grid – benefits in first and second life
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CCC Cumulative EV Deployment & Associated Electricity Demand 2020 2025 2030 Vehicles 0.6m 4.3m 11.6m Energy Demand 1.1TWh 7.5TWh 18.2TWh
Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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And then there is the real world …
14 Energy Options for Transport – Policy Development Royal Society, London - 21 April 2016
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