Energy is the lifeblood of our civilization Quotation from an - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Energy mix and transition to a low-carbon economy

Energy is the lifeblood

• f our civilization

Quotation from an energy-related OPINION of the EESC

Gerd Wolf – Conference European Energy Community – Road Map 2050 - 31.January 2012

1

• EU-27 results

Reference scenario: GDP, energy consumption and CO2 emissions 40 years back and ahead (1990 = 100)

50 100 150 200 250 300 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

GDP Gross energy consumption CO2 emissions

2

• 2

Basis of scenarios 80% domestic GHG reduction in 2050

Efficient pathway:

• 25% in 2020
• 40% in 2030
• 60% in 2040

Context: Low-Carbon Economy Roadmap (Mar 2011)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Current policy Power Sector Residential & Tertiary Non CO2 Other Sectors Industry Transport Non CO2 Agriculture

3

• 3

Basis of scenarios 80% domestic GHG reduction in 2050

Efficient pathway:

• 25% in 2020
• 40% in 2030
• 60% in 2040

Context: Low-Carbon Economy Roadmap (Mar 2011)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Current policy Power Sector Residential & Tertiary Non CO2 Other Sectors Industry Transport Non CO2 Agriculture

This implies an even greater challenge and a risky blood-letting

Energy mix and transition to a low-carbon economy Will this blood-letting weaken our condition or will it prove therapeutic in the long term? Can we develop an energy mix which is robust, powerful, competitive and diverse enough to fulfill

• ur expectations?

Will we find satisfactory solutions even outside the electricity sector? How can the Energy Community contribute to this task?