Enable Midstream Partners, LP
Third Quarter 2019 Conference Call
November 6, 2019
Enable Midstream Partners, LP Third Quarter 2019 Conference Call - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Enable Midstream Partners, LP Third Quarter 2019 Conference Call November 6, 2019 Forward-looking Statements Some of the information in this presentation may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements give our current
November 6, 2019
Some of the information in this presentation may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements give our current expectations, contain projections of results of operations or of financial condition, or forecasts of future events. Words such as “could,” “will,” “should,” “may,” “assume,” “forecast,” “position,” “predict,” “strategy,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “project,” “budget,” “potential,” or “continue,” and similar expressions are used to identify forward-looking statements. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, forward-looking statements contained in this presentation include our expectations of plans, strategies, objectives, growth and operational performance, including revenue projections, capital expenditures and tax
Consequently, no forward-looking statements can be guaranteed. A forward-looking statement may include a statement of the assumptions or bases underlying the forward-looking statement. We believe that we have chosen these assumptions or bases in good faith and that they are reasonable. However, when considering these forward-looking statements, you should keep in mind the risk factors and other cautionary statements in this presentation and in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018 (“Annual Report”). Those risk factors and other factors noted throughout this presentation and in our Annual Report could cause our actual results to differ materially from those disclosed in any forward-looking statement. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. We expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
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Gross margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted interest expense, Distributable cash flow (DCF) and Distribution coverage ratio are not financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. Enable has included these non-GAAP financial measures in this presentation based on information in its consolidated financial statements. Gross margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted interest expense, Distributable cash flow and Distribution coverage ratio are supplemental financial measures that management and external users of Enable’s financial statements, such as industry analysts, investors, lenders and rating agencies may use, to assess:
without regard to capital structure or historical cost basis;
This presentation includes a reconciliation of Gross margin to total revenues, Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable cash flow to net income attributable to limited partners, Adjusted EBITDA to net cash provided by operating activities and Adjusted interest expense to interest expense, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, as applicable, for each of the periods indicated. Distribution coverage ratio is a financial performance measure used by management to reflect the relationship between Enable's financial operating performance and cash distributions. Enable believes that the presentation of Gross margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted interest expense, Distributable cash flow and Distribution coverage ratio provides information useful to investors in assessing its financial condition and results of operations. Gross margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted interest expense, Distributable cash flow and Distribution coverage ratio should not be considered as alternatives to net income, operating income, revenue, cash flow from operating activities, interest expense or any other measure of financial performance or liquidity presented in accordance with GAAP. Gross margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted interest expense, Distributable cash flow and Distribution coverage ratio have important limitations as analytical tools because they exclude some but not all items that affect the most directly comparable GAAP measures. Additionally, because Gross margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted interest expense, Distributable cash flow and Distribution coverage ratio may be defined differently by other companies in Enable’s industry, Enable’s definitions of these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies, thereby diminishing their utility.
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capital
gathered volumes compared to third quarter 2018
Transmission, LLC (MRT) rate case
2019 and signed a precedent agreement in October 2019 for the Merge, Arkoma, SCOOP and STACK (MASS) natural gas transportation project
Delhi Compressor Station
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Note: SCOOP counties are designated as Caddo, Carter, Garvin, Grady, McClain and Stephens and STACK counties are designated as Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Dewey, Kingfisher, Major and Woodward counties of Oklahoma 1. Rigs per Enverus as of Oct. 28, 2019; represents wells expected to be connected to either Enable’s natural gas gathering or crude oil and condensate gathering systems 2. Since Enable’s formation in May 2013
Active Rigs on Enable’s Footprint1
footprint with 31 rigs1 currently drilling wells expected to be connected to Enable’s gathering systems
drilling wells expected to be connected to Enable’s gathering systems
wells drilled by 88% of the active rigs1 on Enable’s footprint in the SCOOP play
Rig Activity Updates Segment Highlights
Anadarko:
increase Q4-19 natural gas gathered volumes
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September volumes were 4% higher than Q3-19 average, driven by a large number of new wells coming online
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Multi-well pads in the SCOOP recently came online, achieving total volumes in October of over 180 MMcf/d
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Multi-well pads in the STACK recently came online, achieving total volumes in September of over 90 MMcf/d
2019
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September volumes were 12% higher than Q3-19 average, continuing the growth trend since acquisition
Ark-La-Tex:
the last year of Haynesville MVCs that expired in Q3-19
demand growth from LNG exports Williston:
3 17 2 6 3
STACK SCOOP Granite Wash Ark-La-Tex Williston
3.65 5 5 9 20
Year-End 2018 MRT Contracts MASS CERC Extension Gulf Run
Transportation Contract Life in Years
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Enable’s Infrastructure Provides Compelling Value for New and Existing Customers
capacity during third quarter 2019
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Entered into a definitive agreement to sell EGT’s undivided 1/12th ownership interest in the Bistineau natural gas storage facility, located in Louisiana for ~$19 million, which is expected to close second quarter 2020
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Continued Execution Resulting in Long-Term Agreements
1. Year-end 2018 weighted average contract life of EGT, MRT, EOIT and SESH 2. MRT settlements included as one element the extension of contracts by most of the settling parties for terms that will now end in 2024
capacity, which includes nine-year contract terms for the majority of the renewed capacity
the MASS natural gas transportation project that leverages Enable’s existing infrastructure to address natural gas takeaway limitations by connecting production in the Anadarko and Arkoma Basins to delivery points with access to emerging Gulf Coast markets and growing demand markets in the Southeast Enable Gas Transmission (EGT)
transportation capacity; most of these customers agreed to extend capacity commitments on MRT through 2024
subscribed transportation capacity to establish new maximum recourse rates for the non-settling parties Mississippi River Transmission (MRT)
Gulf Run Pipeline
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Map as of Nov. 4, 2019 1. Pipeline miles are approximate and interstate/intrastate pipeline miles include ~7,800 miles of interstate pipeline (including SESH) and ~2,300 miles of intrastate pipeline 2. CaSE, Line AD Expansion, Muskogee, Bradley Lateral and including Project Wildcat in the G&P segment 3. MASS and Gulf Run
Favorable contract structure with significant fee-based and demand fee margin Diverse, high-quality customer base, including many investment-grade companies With five2 major projects placed into service since 2015 and two3 additional projects underway, Enable has achieved 2.4 Bcf/d of market solutions for customers T&S segment is well-positioned to support natural gas demand growth in the Mid- continent, Gulf Coast and Southeast regions
Large Scale, Top-Tier Integrated Assets Provide Unique Market Solutions for Many Sources of Supply and Demand
10,100 Miles
Interstate/Intrastate Pipelines1
84.5 Bcf
Natural Gas Storage Capacity
EOIT EGT
Gulf Run
5.40 5.97 Q3-18 Q3-19 31.87 132.99 Q3-18 Q3-19
0.4%
Decrease
3.0%
Decrease
2.50 2.49 Q3-18 Q3-19 4.61 4.47 Q3-18 Q3-19
10.6%
Increase
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Transported Volumes Natural Gas Gathered Volumes Natural Gas Processed Volumes
TBtu/d TBtu/d TBtu/d
gathered volumes in the Arkoma and Anadarko Basins
processed volumes in the Anadarko Basin, partially offset by higher processed volumes in the Ark-La-Tex Basin
Enable’s crude oil and condensate gathering system acquisition in the Anadarko Basin and growth in the Williston Basin
capacity on EGT, including volumes from EGT’s CaSE project
Crude Oil and Condensate Gathered Volumes
MBbls/d
101.12 MBbls/d Increase
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Quarter over Quarter
$ in millions, except per-unit and ratio data
Q3-19 Q3-18 % Change
Total Revenues $699 $928 25% Gross Margin1 $436 $412 6% Net Income Attributable to Limited Partners $132 $138 4% Net income Attributable to Common Units $123 $129 5% Net Cash provided by Operating Activities $264 $233 13% Adjusted EBITDA1 $295 $301 2% Distributable Cash Flow1 $202 $220 8% Distribution Coverage Ratio2 1.40x 1.60x 0.20x Cash Distribution per Common Unit $0.3305 $0.3180 4% Cash Distribution per Series A Preferred Unit $0.625 $0.625
Financial Results
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Natural Gas Gathered Volumes (TBtu/d) 4.5 – 5.1 Anadarko 2.2 – 2.4 Arkoma 0.4 – 0.5 Ark-La-Tex 1.9 – 2.2 Natural Gas Processed Volumes (TBtu/d)1 2.2 – 2.8 Anadarko 2.0 – 2.3 Arkoma 0.05 – 0.15 Ark-La-Tex 0.2 – 0.3 Crude Oil/Condensate – Throughput Volumes (MBbl/d)2 140 – 170 Anadarko 100 – 120 Williston 40 – 50 Interstate Firm Contracted Capacity (Bcf/d) 5.7 – 6.1
2020 Operational Outlook 2020 Financial Outlook
$ in millions
Net Income Attributable to Common Units $385 – $445 Interest Expense $175 – $195 Adjusted EBITDA3 $1,050 – $1,150 Series A Preferred Unit Distributions4 $36 Adjusted Interest Expense3 $170 – $190 Maintenance Capital $110 – $130 Distributable Cash Flow3 $720 – $800 Distribution Coverage Ratio5 +/- 1.3x Total Debt / Adjusted EBITDA3 +/- 4.0x
2020 Expansion Capital Outlook
$ in millions
Gathering and Processing Segment $120 – $180 Transportation and Storage Segment $40 – $60 Total Expansion Capital $160 – $240
2020 Price Assumptions
Natural Gas – Henry Hub ($/MMBtu) $2.40 – $2.70 NGLs – Mont Belvieu, Texas ($/gal)6 $0.40 – $0.50 NGLs – Conway, Kansas ($/gal)6 $0.35 – $0.45 Crude Oil – WTI ($Bbl) $50.00 – $60.00
preceding the quarter in which the distribution is made
$325 $160 $425 $240 2019E 2020E
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business environment
the ability to self-fund the majority of 2020 expansion capital with excess distributable cash flow
Run and MASS, on time and within budget
Looking ahead to 2020
Cost Discipline 2020 Gross Margin Profile3 Expansion Capital Expenditures
51% 38% 2% 9%
Volume Dependent Demand Commodity-Based Hedged Commodity-Based Unhedged
~91% Fee-Based or Hedged Margin
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$1,255 $1,422 $1,612 $1,737 37% 33% 31% 30%
25% 27% 29% 31% 33% 35% 37% 39% $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,0002016 2017 2018 TTM
Gross Margin O&M & G&A % of Gross Margin
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percentage hedged includes hedges executed through Oct. 18, 2019; table excludes a de minimis amount of hedged 2021 exposure
condensate positions offset by short natural gasoline positions
Three Months Ended September 30 2019 2018 Gain (Loss) on Derivative Activity $8 ($24)
Change in Fair Value of Derivatives ($2) ($16) Realized Gain on Derivatives $10 ($8)
Derivative Activity ($ in millions) Price Sensitivities1 ($ in millions) Hedging Summary3
Commodity 2019 2020 Natural Gas (NYMEX) Exposure Hedged (%) 74% 13% Average Hedge Price ($/MMBtu) $2.85 $2.94 Natural Gas Basis (PEPL / EGTE) Exposure Hedged (%) 65% 30% Average Hedge Price ($/MMBtu) $(0.45) $(0.40) Crude4 Exposure Hedged (%) 91% 38% Average Hedge Price ($/Bbl) $60.25 $62.22 Propane Exposure Hedged (%) 52% 12% Average Hedge Price ($/gal) $0.71 $0.75 Normal Butane Exposure Hedged (%) 16% 0% Average Hedge Price ($/gal) $0.90
Adjusted EBITDA (including hedges)
2019 2020
(10%) / +10% (10%) / +10% Natural Gas and Ethane $0 / $0 ($9) / $9 NGLs (excluding ethane) and Condensate ($2) / $2 ($8) / $8
2019 2020
(10%) / +10% (10%) / +10% Natural Gas and Ethane ($2) / $1 ($8) / $8 NGLs (excluding ethane) and Condensate ($2) / $2 ($7) / $7
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Operational Results
Quarter over Quarter Q3-19 Q3-18 % Change
Anadarko Basin Gathered Volumes (TBtu/d) 2.27 2.31 2% Processed Volumes (TBtu/d)1 2.04 2.08 2% NGLs Produced (MBbl/d)1,2 103.53 124.80 17% Crude Oil and Condensate Gathered Volumes (MBbl/d) 91.58
Gathered Volumes (TBtu/d) 0.46 0.56 18% Processed Volumes (TBtu/d) 1 0.10 0.10 NGLs Produced (MBbl/d) 1,2 4.42 7.04 37% Ark-La-Tex Basin Gathered Volumes (TBtu/d) 1.74 1.74 Processed Volumes (TBtu/d) 0.35 0.32 9% NGLs Produced (MBbl/d) 2 9.83 10.16 3% Williston Basin Crude Oil Gathered Volumes (MBbl/d) 41.41 31.87 30%
Financial Results ($ in millions)
Total G&P Total Revenues3 $542 $778 30% Gross Margin3,4 $304 $285 7% Operation & Maintenance and G&A Expenses3 $79 $78 1% Depreciation and Amortization $77 $66 17% Taxes other than Income Tax $10 $9 11% Operating Income $138 $132 5%
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Operational Results
Quarter over Quarter Q3-19 Q3-18 % Change
Transported Volumes (Tbtu/d) 5.97 5.40 11% Interstate Firm Contracted Capacity (Bcf/d) 6.02 5.76 5% Intrastate Average Deliveries (TBtu/d) 2.10 2.02 4%
Financial Results ($ in millions)
Total Revenues1 $234 $281 17% Gross Margin1,2 $132 $129 2% Operation & Maintenance and G&A Expenses1 $57 $48 19% Depreciation and Amortization $31 $34 9% Taxes other than Income Tax $7 $6 17% Operating Income $37 $41 10%
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Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, 2019 2018 2019 2018 (In millions, except per unit data)
Revenues (including revenues from affiliates): Product sales $ 320 $ 553 $ 1,156 $ 1,497 Service revenue 379 375 1,073 984 Total Revenues 699 928 2,229 2,481 Cost and Expenses (including expenses from affiliates): Cost of natural gas and natural gas liquids (excluding depreciation and amortization shown separately) 263 516 958 1,335 Operation and maintenance 105 98 307 289 General and administrative 31 28 82 81 Depreciation and amortization 108 100 323 292 Taxes other than income tax 17 15 52 48 Total Cost and Expenses 524 757 1,722 2,045 Operating Income 175 171 507 436 Other Income (Expense): Interest expense (48) (40) (142) (109) Equity in earnings of equity method affiliate 5 7 12 20 Other, net 1 1 2 1 Total Other Expense (42) (32) (128) (88) Income Before Income Tax 133 139 379 348 Income tax benefit — — (1) — Net Income $ 133 $ 139 $ 380 $ 348 Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest 1 1 2 1 Net Income Attributable to Limited Partners $ 132 $ 138 $ 378 $ 347 Less: Series A Preferred Unit distributions 9 9 27 27 Net Income Attributable to Common Units $ 123 $ 129 $ 351 $ 320 Basic earnings per unit Common units $ 0.28 $ 0.30 $ 0.81 $ 0.74 Diluted earnings per unit Common units $ 0.28 $ 0.30 $ 0.81 $ 0.73
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Three Months Ended Three Months Ended Year Ended September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31, December 31, 2019 2018 2019 2019 2018 2018 2017 2016 (In millions)
Reconciliation of Gross margin to Total Revenues: Consolidated Product sales $ 320 $ 553 $ 393 $ 443 $ 609 $ 2,106 $ 1,653 $ 1,172 Service revenue 379 375 342 352 341 1,325 1,150 1,100 Total Revenues 699 928 735 795 950 3,431 2,803 2,272 Cost of natural gas and natural gas liquids (excluding depreciation and amortization) 263 516 317 378 484 1,819 1,381 1,017 Gross margin $ 436 $ 412 $ 418 $ 417 $ 466 $ 1,612 $ 1,422 $ 1,255 Reportable Segments Gathering and Processing Product sales $ 294 $ 528 $ 379 $ 423 $ 605 $ 2,016 $ 1,538 $ 1,081 Service revenue 248 250 208 207 203 802 632 559 Total Revenues 542 778 587 630 808 2,818 2,170 1,640 Cost of natural gas and natural gas liquids (excluding depreciation and amortization) 238 493 297 360 479 1,741 1,285 915 Gross margin $ 304 $ 285 $ 290 $ 270 $ 329 $ 1,077 $ 885 $ 725 Transportation and Storage Product sales $ 100 $ 153 $ 114 $ 167 $ 183 $ 625 $ 621 $ 479 Service revenue 134 128 138 149 142 537 525 545 Total Revenues 234 281 252 316 325 1,162 1,146 1,024 Cost of natural gas and natural gas liquids (excluding depreciation and amortization) 102 152 123 169 190 628 604 492 Gross margin $ 132 $ 129 $ 129 $ 147 $ 135 $ 534 $ 542 $ 532
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1. Change in fair value of derivatives includes changes in the fair value of derivatives that are not designated as hedging instruments 2. Other non-cash losses includes loss on sale of assets and write-downs of materials and supplies 3. This amount represents the quarterly cash distributions on the Series A Preferred Units declared for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2019 and 2018. In accordance with the Partnership Agreement, the Series A Preferred Unit distributions are deemed to have been paid out of available cash with respect to the quarter immediately preceding the quarter in which the distribution is made 4. Distributions for phantom and performance units represent distribution equivalent rights paid in cash. Phantom unit distribution equivalent rights are paid during the vesting period and performance unit distribution equivalent rights are paid at vesting 5. See below for a reconciliation of Adjusted interest expense to Interest expense 6. Represents cash distributions declared for common units outstanding as of each respective period. Amounts for 2019 reflect estimated cash distributions for common units
30, 2019
Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, 2019 2018 2019 2018 (In millions, except Distribution coverage ratio)
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and DCF to net income attributable to limited partners and calculation of Distribution coverage ratio: Net income attributable to limited partners $ 132 $ 138 $ 378 $ 347 Depreciation and amortization expense 108 100 323 292 Interest expense, net of interest income 48 40 141 109 Income tax benefit — — (1) — Distributions received from equity method affiliate in excess of equity earnings (1) 3 8 11 Non-cash equity-based compensation 4 4 13 12 Change in fair value of derivatives (1) 2 16 3 28 Other non-cash losses (2) 2 — 9 4 Noncontrolling Interest Share of Adjusted EBITDA — — (1) — Adjusted EBITDA $ 295 $ 301 $ 873 $ 803 Series A Preferred Unit distributions (3) (9) (9) (27) (27) Distributions for phantom and performance units (4) (1) (1) (10) (5) Adjusted interest expense (5) (47) (41) (143) (114) Maintenance capital expenditures (36) (30) (86) (70) DCF $ 202 $ 220 $ 607 $ 587 Distributions related to common unitholders (6) $ 144 $ 138 $ 426 $ 414 Distribution coverage ratio 1.40 1.60 1.42 1.42
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Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, 2019 2018 2019 2018 (In millions)
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net cash provided by operating activities: Net cash provided by operating activities $ 264 $ 233 $ 691 $ 638 Interest expense, net of interest income 48 40 141 109 Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest (1) (1) (2) (1) Other non-cash items(1) — — 4 4 Proceeds from insurance — — — 1 Changes in operating working capital which (provided) used cash: Accounts receivable 41 46 (16) 58 Accounts payable (2) — 110 19 Other, including changes in noncurrent assets and liabilities (56) (36) (66) (64) Return of investment in equity method affiliate (1) 3 8 11 Change in fair value of derivatives (2) 2 16 3 28 Adjusted EBITDA $ 295 $ 301 $ 873 $ 803
Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, 2019 2018 2019 2018 (In millions)
Reconciliation of Adjusted interest expense to Interest expense: Interest expense $ 48 $ 40 $ 142 $ 109 Interest income — — (1) — Amortization of premium on long-term debt 1 1 4 4 Capitalized interest on expansion capital — — 1 4 Amortization of debt expense and discount (2) — (3) (3) Adjusted interest expense $ 47 $ 41 $ 143 $ 114
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quarter immediately preceding the quarter in which the distribution is made
2020 Outlook (In millions)
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow to net income attributable to limited partners and calculation of Distribution coverage ratio: Net income attributable to limited partners (1) $421 - $481 Depreciation and amortization expense $420 - $440 Interest expense, net of interest income $175 - $195 Income tax (benefit) expense $0 - $2 Distributions received from equity method affiliate in excess of equity earnings $5 - $15 Non-cash equity based compensation $15 - $20 Change in fair value of derivatives (2) $0 - $10 Adjusted EBITDA $1,050 - $1,150 Series A Preferred Unit distributions (3) $36 Adjusted interest expense $170 - $190 Maintenance capital expenditures $110 - $130 Other $0 - $10 DCF $720 - $800
24 *Enable is unable to present a quantitative reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA to net cash provided by operating activities because certain information needed to make a reasonable forward-looking estimate of changes in working capital which may (provide) use cash during the calendar year 2020 cannot be reliably predicted and the estimate is often dependent on future events which may be uncertain or outside of Enable's control. This includes changes to accounts receivable, accounts payable and
2020 Outlook (In millions)
Reconciliation of Adjusted interest expense to Interest expense: Interest expense, net of interest income $175 - $195 Amortization of premium on long-term debt $0 - $2 Capitalized interest on expansion capital $0 - $2 Amortization of debt expense and discount ($3 - $7) Adjusted interest expense $170 - $190