Egypt focused production with transformational exploration upside - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Egypt focused production with transformational exploration upside - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SDX Energy Inc . Egypt focused - high margin growth opportunity September 21, 2016 Oil Capital Conference Egypt focused production with transformational exploration upside AIM and TSX-V listed (TSXV: SDX/ AIM:SDX) High margin producing


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SDX Energy Inc.

Egypt focused - high margin growth opportunity

September 21, 2016 Oil Capital Conference

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Egypt focused production with transformational exploration upside

  • AIM and TSX-V listed (TSXV: SDX/ AIM:SDX)
  • High margin producing assets:
  • Cash flow positive (asset and corporate levels)
  • Net production 1,550 boe/d
  • 7.34 mmboe 2P reserves (31/12/15)
  • Development potential to 2X production and 3X reserves
  • High impact exploration program underway
  • Solid balance sheet:
  • US$8.2MM of Working Capital ($6.9MM in Cash)
  • No debt
  • Zero Egyptian receivables, being paid on time and in full
  • Well placed to capitalise on Egyptian distressed asset opportunities

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Experienced Management Team

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Paul Welch, CEO (London) CEO of two public exploration and production companies, 15 years with Shell Developed Pioneer’s Tunisian portfolio from 500 boepd to a peak of over 25,000 boepd Mark Reid, CFO (London) Finance Director at AIM listed Aurelian and Chariot Oil and Gas Limited (2009-2015) Former Head of Oil and Gas in London for BNP-Paribas Fortis Ahmed Moazz, Egypt Country Manager (Cairo) Chairman of El Wastani company, JV between EGAS and Centurion Energy Former EGPC Vice Chairman for production in Egypt Cameron Snow, VP Subsurface (London) 10 years with Apache Oil Corp, four years of which were resident in Egypt Geologist with a PhD from Stanford University

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Key Investment Highlights

  • Diverse portfolio: Producing assets combined with material exploration potential
  • High margin: opex <US$10/bbl, generate positive cash flow down to US$15/bbl Brent
  • Clear development opportunity:
  • Well workover program can 2X existing production
  • Waterflood and Infill program can 3X existing reserve volumes
  • Asset acquired as part of merger in October 2015, technical work recently completed
  • Plan to commence program end Q4 2016 and complete in Q1 2017
  • Executing program while costs are low and services readily available
  • Improve margins by increasing production and further reducing already low opex/bbl
  • Near term exploration opportunity is fully carried
  • Providing the Company/Investors with a “free” option on the upside
  • Strong BOD & Management Team with skill set to capture SDX Energy full potential

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Strategic Objectives

  • Create a profitable mid-tier E&P by focusing on an aggressive Egyptian growth strategy,

delivering superior returns to shareholders

  • Near Term:
  • Development of existing high margin production base
  • Increase margins by further opex reductions. Target opex <US$5/bbl
  • Target of net 3,000 boepd
  • Medium Term:
  • Execute high impact exploration opportunities
  • Capture new opportunities either asset or corporate
  • Target of net 5,000 to 7,000 boepd
  • Long Term:
  • Material growth in Egypt gas business
  • Execute “Roll –Up” strategy within MENA
  • Target of net 25-30,000 boepd

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Egypt: Highly attractive operating environment

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Egypt – Geology & Operating Environment

  • World class hydrocarbon basins
  • Western Desert basin 2nd best value creator over the last 10 years
  • Zohr discovery 22+TCF (4 Billion bbl equivalent) largest discovery

globally in 2015

  • Excellent operating environment
  • Competitive fiscal terms, low operating costs
  • Decreasing costs
  • Service company costs still dropping (EGP denominated)
  • Egyptian currency depreciates against dollar
  • Historic pay-out backlog clearing
  • SDX has zero long dated receivables
  • Paid 66% USD, 34% EGP in 2015
  • Government pledged to clear balance by end 2017
  • Economy stabilised with new cabinet and parliament
  • Current PM was former Petroleum Minister
  • Transition to full democracy completed
  • Local gas prices increasing
  • Domestic gas market significantly underserved (importing LNG
  • Long term demand not satisfied by Zohr alone due to demand

growth and natural declines in existing fields

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#2 #10 #14 (before Zohr Discovery)

@ $6-$10/mmbtu)

Source: WoodMackenzie

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High Margin Producing Assets

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Assets - Egypt

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North West Gemsa - Overview

10% Working Interest 7,370 boepd

  • Avg. production (gross), June 2016

9.43 Mmboe 2P Reserves (gross), 31 Dec. 2015 22.3 Mmboe Cumulative production to Dec. 2015 5x Production Performance since acquisition in 2010 2x Reserves 3 Producing Fields Al Amir SE, Geyad, Al Ola

2016 WORK PLAN

  • 2 development wells & 9 work-overs – Completed
  • Maintain plateau production at 7-8 Mboepd
  • 83km2 onshore concession 300km from Cairo
  • Partners: North Petroleum (50%, Operator) Circle Oil (40%)

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North West Gemsa - High Margin Producing Asset

  • Waterflood development essentially completed in 2

horizons

  • Unitisation efforts underway with offset operator. Expect

to conclude Q4 2016. Additional development potential

  • nce unitisation is finalized
  • Low operating costs ~ $US6/bbl. Very low future Capex
  • requirements. Significantly cash generative going forward
  • G&G team now focusing on:
  • Exploration opportunities in deeper Nubia horizons
  • Attractive Netbacks:

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% [VALU E] [VALU E] [VALU E]

NWG Fiscal Terms

Cost Oil Profit Oil State $/boe [VALUE ] [VALUE ] [VALUE ]

NWG Netback at 2016 Brent FWD Curve - $48.36

Netback Opex Revenues

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Meseda - Significant Development & Exploration Potential

  • 50% Working Interest (Operator: Dublin Petroleum)
  • Discovered: June 2011
  • Production start up: November 2011
  • Drilled 16 wells to date, 13 wells currently producing
  • 118 MMBO STOOIP (total structure)
  • 86 MMBO STOOIP (net to Meseda)
  • 2P gross reserves – 12.8 MMboe – 31/12/15
  • Current Production (June 16):
  • Gross: 4,169
  • Net to WI: 2,085
  • Cumulative Production to Dec 2015:
  • 5.5 MMSTB
  • 6.3% recovery to date

2016 WORK PLAN

  • Subsurface mapping and modelling completed
  • Facilities’ study underway
  • Workover program paused until facilities’ study is

completed

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Meseda cont

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  • Subsurface geologic modelling completed
  • Well performance review and modelling completed
  • Sub-surface simulation completed
  • Facilities’ study nearing completion
  • Significant improvement in well performance identified through

recent studies

  • Potential to 2X current production with workovers Q4 ‘16/Q1 ‘17
  • Potential to improve recoverable volumes by 3X with waterflood

and infill program by end Q1 2017

  • Attractive Netback:

% [VALUE ] [VALUE ] [VALUE ]

Meseda Revenue Sharing

Dublin WI SDX WI State $/boe [VALUE] [VALUE] [VALUE] [VALUE]

Meseda Netback at 2016 Brent FWD Curve - $48.36

Netback Tax Opex Revenues

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Meseda – Well Review Results – 2X Current Production (Minimum)

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Gaffney Cline & Assoc (GCA) study concluded that most pumps are incorrectly sized Properly sized ESP’s can, at a minimum, double current production rates

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Meseda - Development Potential

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1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000

03 November 2011 30 July 2014 25 April 2017 20 January 2020 16 October 2022 12 July 2025 07 April 2028 02 January 2031

Oil Production - Barrels/Day

Meseda Field Egypt - Production History and Forecasts

Historical Production Base Case Base + Workovers Base + Workovers +Waterflood

Base + Workovers Rec Eff: 19% Base + Workovers + Waterflood Rec Eff: 35% Base Case (PDP) Rec Eff: 13%

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Meseda - Exploration Potential

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Prospect Summaries

  • Both prospects have similar risk

profiles and would be testing similar concepts

  • The main risk for both prospects is

the location of the bounding fault

  • Yusr-1X appears to have more

favourable volumetric assessment

  • Both prospects are within the same

SHF development lease section

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Exploration

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South Disouq

55% Working Interest (Operator) 1,275 km2 Concession area 585 BCF (PMean) Gross Prospective Resources 6.4 TCF 100 Mmboe Rec. Volumes within Abu Madi Baltim Trend (IHS)

  • Acquired in the 2013 bid round
  • 65 km north of Cairo within prolific Abu Madi – Baltim trend
  • First period work commitment: 300km2 seismic and 1 well
  • Partners, (IPR 45%) – carries the cost of the Exploration Well

Abu-Madi – Baltim Trend 2016 WORK PLAN

  • Acquire 300km2 of 3D Seismic – Completed June 12, 2016
  • Processing and Interpretation of 3D seismic
  • Drill Exploration Well – end Q4 2016/ early Q1 2017

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Seismic Processing Timeline

Key Dates

  • Field tapes delivered on June 19th
  • Fast Track volume received July 19th
  • PSTM completion on September 29th
  • PSDM completion on December 28th

Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16

Mobilization Acquisition Testing and Fast Track Processing PSTM Processing PSDM Processing

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South Disouq Top Abu Maadi Structure Map

Anubis-1X Abu Maadi Prospect Osiris-1X Abu Roash/AEB Prospect

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Seismic Inline through Anubis-1X Prospect

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Anubis-1X Osiris-1X Target Interval: Abu Maadi

Well developed 4-way dip closure at top Abu Maadi interval

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3D seismic Perspective of Anubis-1X Prospect

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  • Overlying Khafr El Sheikh

zone offers opportunities added low-risk gas potential

  • Good seismic resolution of

shallower intervals creates

  • pportunities to target stacked

pay intervals

  • Play fairway analysis shows

that Abu Maadi sands extend into South Disouq block

Anubis-1X

Shallow Gas Zone in Khafr El Sheikh Brightening Amplitudes Against Fault Top Abu Maadi Interval at 7000’ MD

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Seismic Crossline through Osiris-1X

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Target Interval: Abu Roash

Faulted 4-way dip closure

Target Interval: AEB-3 Osiris-1X

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South Disouq - Exploration Upside

Onshore Nile Delta Egypt

  • Transformational Exploration potential
  • Potential for 320 BCF (Pmean) net to SDX’s 55% interest
  • Have also identified deeper potential in Abu Roash & AEB within concession
  • 300 km2 of 3D Seismic at South Disouq acquired
  • Exploration well to spud late Q4 2016/early Q1 2017, well cost carried by partner (IPR)
  • Existing 2D seismic shows evidence of gas in target horizons
  • Concession located within existing gas infrastructure, main gas transmission transects the block
  • Egypt is short of natural gas and importing LNG to satisfy demand. Expect upward pressure on realized gas prices.

SDX has material exploration upside with moderate risk exposure

Page 24 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (MMSCFD)

Egyptian Gas Market Supply vs. Demand

Supply Demand

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Egyptian “roll-Up” Opportunity

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EGYPT – THE CASE FOR CONSOLIDA TION

Egypt has several large players that are focused on gas (primarily offshore) However, it also contains many (20+) small and medium sized companies that are focused on

  • il (primarily on shore)

Too small to survive in the current environment These are the opportunities

  • >50% looking to exit or reduce exposure
  • Numerous sales processes ongoing (public

and private)

  • Market closed for smaller companies to

raise equity or debt

  • Many companies caught by combination of

Egyptian receivables, US$ denominated debts, US$ shortage in country

  • Several already failed, others on brink
  • Buyers market in the current environment
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Summary

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2016 - Activity

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Field Activity 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

NW Gemsa AASE-23

AASE-24 9 Well Workover Program

Meseda

Subsurface Mapping Well Review Simulation Study 11 Well Workover Program Infill Producer -1 Infill Producer -2 Infill Producer -3 Infill Producer -4

  • S. Ramadan 3D Reprocessing

Interpretation Farmout/Relinquish

  • S. Disouq

3D Acquisition 3D Processing Interpretation Exploration Well 1 Explo Prod Injector Rig Move Workover Studies Contingent

2016

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NW Gemsa $6.8 Meseda $59.1 Working Capital $8.2 Core NAV $74.1 South Ramadan $3.5 South Disouq $41.9 Upside $45.4 RENAV $119.5

$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140

Net Asset Value @ 12.5% (US$MM)

Net Asset Value @ 12.5% (US$MM)

Current NAV – Using Brent Forward Curve

Page 29 Core NAV C$1.23/share £0.71/share* Exp Upside C$0.75/share £0.43/share RENAV C$1.98/share £1.14/share

Current Market Capital: US$27 MM or C$0.45/share (£0.26/share) Trading: 63% Discount to Core NAV, 77% Discount to RENAV *C$1.73/£

Operations Value:

  • 4 Concessions, 1 Operated
  • 1,550 boepd production (net)
  • High impact prospects in Egypt
  • Core NAV: C$1.23/share, RENAV: C$1.98/share

Base Base & Workovers Base, Workovers Waterflood Brent Fwd. Curve Year US$/BBL 2016 $47.30 2017 $50.74 2018 $53.87 2019 $56.27 2020 $58.35 2021 $60.22 2022 $62.01

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Investment Summary – High margin production and exploration

  • A growing E&P company with a diverse portfolio of assets consisting of:
  • High margin producing assets
  • High margin development opportunities
  • Exploration assets with high impact potential
  • Significant production growth upside identified in Meseda.
  • Potential to 2X existing production rates and to 3X reserves
  • High margin producing assets; resilient in a low commodity price environment
  • Debt free balance sheet with positive free cash flow and US$8.2MM of Working Capital ($6.9MM in Cash)
  • Active work programme which provides multiple catalysts for investors
  • Focused, highly skilled management team with international and Egyptian operational experience
  • Well placed to capitalise on distressed opportunities in Egypt

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High Margin Growth

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Advisory

Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains certain statements or disclosures relating to, among other things, SDX Energy Inc. (“SDX”), its proposed private placement (“Private Placement”) and its proposed listing of its common shares on AIM (“AIM Admission”) and, together with the Private Placement, the “Transaction”) which constitute “forward-looking statements” as such term is used in applicable Canadian securities laws. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or are not statements of historical fact should be viewed as forward-looking statements. In particular, statements concerning SDX, the Transaction, the anticipated benefits that will result from the Transaction and the key characteristics of SDX should be viewed as forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this document are based on certain assumptions and although management of SDX consider these assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently available to them, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements because SDX can give no assurances that they may prove to be correct. This includes, but is not limited to, assumptions related to the ability of SDX to receive, in a timely manner, the necessary regulatory, stock exchange and other third party approvals, the ability of SDX to satisfy, in a timely manner, the other conditions to the closing of the Transaction and expectations and assumptions concerning, among other things: commodity prices and interest and foreign exchange rates; planned capital efficiencies and cost-savings; applicable tax laws; future production rates; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned activities; the availability and cost of labour and services; the production capacity

  • f SDX’s current and future assets; the reserves and resources potential of SDX’s current and future assets; future

cash flow projections; the exploration potential of SDX’s current and future assets; expectations for being paid in full and on time in the future; future operating expenditures; near-term, medium-term and long-term projections for SDX; the benefits of the Transaction; future cost reductions; the economic and political environment in Egypt and Cameroon; oil and gas commodity prices; SDX’s development and exploration potential, including the success of workover, infill drilling and waterflood extraction techniques and the costs and benefits related to same; risk and success potential related to future drilling locations; Egyptian demand for oil, gas and LNG products; timing of capital expenditures including the drilling of wells and costs associated with same; results of seismic programs; the relative price of assets and the financial status of buyers and sellers in the Egyptian market; opportunities related to legacy payment issues; the timing of the Private Placement and AIM Admission; and completion of the Private Placement and AIM Admission. The anticipated dates provided may change for a number of reasons, including unforeseen delays in preparing materials, investor demand, inability to secure necessary regulatory, stock exchange or other third party approvals in the time assumed or the need for additional time to satisfy the other conditions to the completion of the Transaction. By their very nature, forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties (both general and specific) that could cause actual events or outcomes to differ materially from those anticipated or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and other factors include, but are not limited to the timing of the Transaction, requisite approvals of the TSX Venture Exchange, political, social and other risks inherent in daily operations of SDX, risks associated with the industries in which SDX operates in general, such as: operational risks; delays or changes in plans with respect to growth projects or capital expenditures; costs and expenses; health, safety and environmental risks; commodity price, interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations; environmental risks; competition; failure to realize the anticipated benefits of the Transaction; ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; and changes in legislation, including but not limited to tax laws and environmental regulations. There is a risk that SDX fails to satisfy the conditions to the Transaction which may result in the Transaction not being completed on the proposed terms, or at all. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive and are advised to reference SDX’s Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2015 for a description of additional risks and uncertainties associated with SDX’s business, including its exploration activities, which can be found on SDX’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and SDX does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

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Reserves Data The determination of oil and natural gas reserves involves the preparation of estimates that have an inherent degree of associated uncertainty. Categories of proved, probable and possible reserves have been established to reflect the level of these uncertainties and to provide an indication of the probability of recovery. The estimation and classification of reserves requires the application of professional judgment combined with geological and engineering knowledge to assess whether

  • r not specific reserves classification criteria have been satisfied. Knowledge of concepts including uncertainty and risk,

probability and statistics, and deterministic and probabilistic estimation methods is required to properly use and apply reserves definitions. The recovery and reserve estimates of oil reserves provided herein are estimates only. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. Terms related to reserves classifications referred to herein are based on definitions and guidelines in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGE Handbook”) and are in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. “Proved reserves” are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. “Probable reserves” are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. The qualitative certainty levels referred to in the definitions above are applicable to “individual reserves entities”, which refers to the lowest level at which reserves calculations are performed, and to “reported reserves”, which refers to the highest level sum of individual entity estimates for which reserves estimates are presented. Reported reserves should target the following levels

  • f certainty under a specific set of economic conditions:
  • at least a 90 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimated proved
  • reserves. This category of reserves can also be denoted as 1P;
  • at least a 50 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of the estimated

proved plus probable reserves. This category of reserves can also be denoted as 2P; and

  • at least a 10 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of the estimated

proved plus probable reserves. This category of reserves can also be denoted as 3P. Additional clarification of certainty levels associated with reserves estimates and the effect of aggregation is provided in the COGE Handbook. The estimates of reserves for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Use of the term “boe” may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A “boe” conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based

  • n an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value

equivalency at the wellhead. Certain volumes provided in this presentation represent a pro forma arithmetic sum of multiple estimates of proved plus probable reserves, or proved plus probable plus possible reserves, which statistical principles indicate may be misleading as to volumes that may actually be recovered. Readers should give attention to the estimates of individual classes of reserves and appreciate the differing probabilities of recovery associated with each class as explained in the annual oil and gas disclosure filings of SDX (available on www.sedar.com) and the effects of arithmetic aggregation. Factors that could affect the accuracy of the reported pro forma aggregated reserves estimates include company level differences in evaluation effective dates, reservoir characteristics and pricing assumptions. Reserves information in this presentation are based on the independent reserves evaluation of the Preliminary Competent Person’s Report as of December 31,2015 on certain properties owned by SDX Energy Inc. in Egypt prepared by DeGolyer and MacNaughton Canada Limited .