EDC COMPANY PRESENTATION JANUARY 2015
EDC COMPANY PRESENTATION JANUARY 2015 DISCLAIMER This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
EDC COMPANY PRESENTATION JANUARY 2015 DISCLAIMER This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
EDC COMPANY PRESENTATION JANUARY 2015 DISCLAIMER This presentation contains certain forward looking statements. These forward looking statements include words or phrases such as EDC or its management believes, expects,
This presentation contains certain “forward looking statements.” These forward looking statements include words or phrases such as EDC
- r its management “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “foresees”, or other words or phrases of similar import.
Similarly, statements that describe EDC’s objectives, plans or goals also are forward-looking statements. All such forward looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward-looking statement. Such forward looking statements are made based on management’s current expectations or beliefs as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. EDC does not make expressed or implied representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information contained herein and shall not accept any responsibility or liability (including any third party liability) for any loss or damage, whether or not arising from any error or omission in compiling such information or as a result of any party’s reliance or use of such information. The information and opinions in this presentation are subject to change without notice. This presentation does not constitute a prospectus or other offering memorandum in whole or in part. Information contained in this presentation is a summary only and is prepared for discussion purposes and is not a complete record of the discussions. This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. There shall be no sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to qualification under securities laws of such state or jurisdiction. By receiving this presentation, each investor is deemed to represent that it is a sophisticated investor and possesses sufficient investment expertise to understand the risks involved. Prospective investors should undertake their own assessment with regard to their investment and they should obtain independent advice on any such investment’s suitability, inherent risks and merits and any tax, legal and accounting implications which it may have for them.
DISCLAIMER
5 Power Industry Overview
EDC MANAGEMENT TEAM - PHILIPPINE CORPORATE DAY TOKYO 2015
RICHARD B. TANTOCO
President and Chief Operating Officer
ERWIN O. AVANTE
Vice President for Corporate Finance and Compliance Officer
ERUDITO S. RECIO
Investor Relations and Corporate Information Officer
7 Key Investment Highlights
Wind concessions acquired with ~543 MW capacity
TOP REASONS FOR INVESTING IN EDC -- A GLOBAL DIVERSIFIED RENEWABLE POWER COMPANY
100%
Successfully acquired power plants inside its geothermal concessions
1 of 11 light bulbs
EDC accounts for 9%
- f the Philippine’s
electricity production
Largest vertically integrated geothermal company globally
Domaine Expertise Contract-based Cash Flows Track Record of Growth Favorable Industry Dynamics Strong Credit & Investment Profile
Into geothermal, hydro & wind and now diversifying into solar energy
YEAR
2031
Concession agreements start expiring
5
RE Act of 2008
Provides regulatory support 10% Income Tax 7-year ITH Feed-in-Tariff (FIT)
Geothermal is
11%
- f Installed
capacity
YTD 3Q’14 Highlights Revenues Php23.0 billon RNI Php8.0 billion EBITDA (TTM) Php17.2 billion Revenue derived from contract tenors
- f greater than
6 years
64%
92%
Revenue derived from long-term contract agreements
Concessions acquired in Chile & Peru
Managing Financial Risks
Interest rate on
81% of loans
are fixed
44% of
revenues are US$ indexed
4.9 yrs. loan life 6.6% Interest
cost
Geothermal provides
13%
- f electricity production
in the Philippines
Robust Growth
Domestic Expansion
Install ~180MW of geothermal capacity
Overseas Expansion
Drill wells in Mariposa, Chile by 2015
10
8 Key Investment Highlights Domaine Expertise Plant Type Manufacturer
150.0MW Burgos Wind Vestas 4.0MW Burgos* Solar Juwi 120.0MW Pantabangan Hydro Andritz 12.0MW Masiway Hydro Toshiba 110.0MW Bacman I Geothermal Toshiba/Alstom 20.0MW Bacman II Geothermal Mitsubishi 112.5MW Tongonan Geothermal Mitsubishi 112.5MW Palinpinon I Geothermal Fuji 60.0MW Palinpinon II** Geothermal Fuji 125.0MW Upper Mahiao Geothermal GE/Ormat/Kato 232.5MW Malitbog Geothermal Fuji 180.0MW Mahanagdong Geothermal Toshiba 50.9MW Optimization Geothermal Various 49.4MW Nasulo Geothermal Fuji 52.0MW Mindanao I Geothermal Mitsubishi 54.0MW Mindanao II Geothermal Mitsubishi 1 1 1 2 3 3 Note: * under development **20 MW Nasuji Power Plant placed on preservation
1,441 MW
1,159MWGeothermal 150MWWind 132MWHydro 4MWSolar (under development)
% share
7% of Installed Capacity 9% of Electricity Produced
EDC
AT A GLANCE
2
COMPANY
CAPACITY (in MW) STEAM PLANT
1 EDC
1,159 1,159
2 Comision Federal de Electricidad 958 958 3 Enel Green Power 915 915 4 Chevron 1,329 887 * 5 Ormat 689 749
Source: Bertani, Ruggero, 2010: Geothermal Power Generation in the World 2005-2010 Update Report Note: * Not included is the 442 MW operated by the Indonesian Government through PLN
TOP 5 GEOTHERMAL COMPANIES
EDC IS THE LARGEST VERTICALLY INTEGRATED GEOTHERMAL COMPANY GLOBALLY
Wind Hydro Solar Geothermal (EDC Subsidiary) Geothermal (Integrated)
Offices
- Philippines Chile
- Indonesia
- Peru
1 1 1 2 3 1 3 2
1
1
9 Key Investment Highlights Domaine Expertise
GEOTHERMAL IS NOT NEW TO JAPAN
With 21 power plants in 18 geothermal sites, Japan’s total installed geothermal capacity is ~537 MW, i.e. representing ~0.3%
- f total country electricity production
Source: The Geothermal Research Society of Japan
Operated by Power Plants MW Year Tohoku Electric Power Co. Sumikawa 50.00 1995 Tohoku Electric Power Co. Matsukawa 23.50 1966 Tohoku Electric Power Co. Kakkonda 1& 2 80.00 1978/ 1995 Tohoku Electric Power Co. Uenotai 28.80 1994 Tohoku Electric Power Co. Yanaizu-Nishiyama 65.00 1995 Tohoku Electric Power Co. Hachijo-jima 3.30 1999 Kyushu Electric Power Co. Takigami 25.00 1996 Kyushu Electric Power Co. Otake 12.50 1967 Kyushu Electric Power Co. Hatchobaru 1 & 2, binary 112.00 1977/1990/2006 Kyushu Electric Power Co. Ogiri 30.00 1996 Kyushu Electric Power Co. Yamagawa 30.00 1995 Hokkaido Electric Power Co. Mori 50.00 1982 Mitsubishi Materials Corp. Onuma 9.50 1974 J Power Onikobe 15.00 1975 Suginoi Hotel Suginoi 1.90 1981 Kojyu Kanko Hotel Kuju 0.99 1998 Hirose Trading Co., Inc. Takenoyu 0.10 1991 Daiwabo Kanko Co., Inc. Kirishima-kokuksai 0.10 1984 TOTAL 537.69
* Stopped/Closed operations Source: The Geothermal Research Society of Japan and Global Energy Observatory
10 Key Investment Highlights Contract-based Cash Flows
EDC GENERATES STRONG AND ROBUST CASHFLOWS AT BOTH PARENT AND SUBSIDIARY LEVELS
First Gen Hydro Power Corporation (FGHPC)
120.0 MW Pantabangan 12.0 MW Masiway
60% EDC Wind Energy Holdings Inc. 100%
EDC Hong Kong Limited
100% EDC Geothermal Corporation (EGC) 100%
172.5 MW Palinpinon (2) 112.5 MW Tongonan
Green Core Geothermal
- Inc. (GCGI)
100%
110.0 MW Bac-Man I 20.0 MW Bac-Man II
Bac-Man Geothermal
- Inc. (BGI)
100%
(1)
- 743.8 MW Power Plants
588.4 MW Unified Leyte Power Project 106.0 MW Mindanao Power Project 49.4 MW Nasulo Power Project (1) Formerly First Luzon Geothermal Energy Corporation (FLGEC) (2) 20 MW Nasuji Power Plant to be placed in preservation
Lopez Group
IFC GIC Public
E: 50.18 % V: 50.59% E: 1.69 % V: 1.12 % V: 3.33 % E: 4.99 % V: 44.96 % E: 43.14 %
EDC Burgos Wind Power
- Corp. (EBWPC)
150.0 MW Burgos (Under Development)
International Expansion
- Chile
- Peru
- Indonesia
100% 95/100%
EDC Parent(3) 3,290 31% EGC 6,640 63% FGHPC 614 6% EDC Parent (3) 5,801 59% EGC 7,391 75% FGHPC 1,084 11% EDC Parent (3) 6,646 44% EGC 7,294 48% FGHPC 1,465 6%
(2) All figures in PHP millions as of Sept. 30, 2014 (3) EDC Parent figures include the Company’s other subsidiaries
22,982
EBITDA (2) as of Sept. 2014
14,275
Net Income (2) as of Sept. 2014
10,544
Revenues (2) as of Sept. 2014
11 Key Investment Highlights Contract-based Cash Flows WESM, 1,909 NGCP, 593 DU, 10,370 NPC, 10,111 SPOT 8% 1-2 YRS 21% 3-5 YRS 7% >6 YRS 64%
22,983
LIMITED EXPOSURE TO VOLATILE SPOT MARKET
LONG-TERM CONTRACTUAL AGREEMENTS
(1) Consolidated revenues as of Sept. 30, 2014
TERM STRUCTURE OF CONTRACTS(1) In PHP Millions
2031 Geothermal Renewable Energy Service Contract CONCESSION Power Purchase Agreements (sovereign) Power Supply Agreements (commercial) ELECTRICITY 2022/24 2022
SPOT 1-2 YRS 3-5 YRS >6 YRS WESM
8%
- NGCP
- 3%
- DU
- 18%
7% 20%
NPC
- 44%
2031
year concession agreements start expiring
92%
revenue from long-term contracts
64%
revenue from contract tenors
- f >6 yrs
44%
expanded revenue base from non-NPC clients
12 Key Investment Highlights Track Record of Growth
- Limited to steam field operations
(+) 125.0 MW
Upper Mahiao
(+) 49.4 MW
- N. Negros
(+) 463.4 MW
Mahanagdong, Malitbog, and Optimization
(+) 132.0 MW
Pantabangan – Masiway
- Acquired geothermal
concessions overseas
(-) 49.4 MW
- N. Negros
(-) 20.0 MW
Botong
(+) 150.0 MW
Bac-Man I & II
(+) 106.0 MW
Mindanao I & II
(+) 305.0 MW
Palinpinon & Tongonan
SIGNIFICANT PORTFOLIO EXPANSION SINCE PRIVATIZATION
STEAMFIELD OPERATOR STEAMFIELD AND POWER PLANT OPERATOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2006 1976 - 2005
current (MW) 125 513 132 411 150 (69) 179
- cum. (MW)
125 638 770 1,181 1,331 1,262 1,262 1,262 1,441
2007-2013 (CAGR)
Revenues 5.1% EBITDA 7.2% Net Income 7.1% 2013 2014
(+) 49.4 MW
Nasulo
(-)
20.0 MW Nasuji
(+) 150.0 MW
Burgos
19,007 29,902* 10,324 17,815* 8,768 9,711*
*Bloomberg estimates
13 Key Investment Highlights Strong Credit & Investment Profile
DELIVERING SUPERIOR FINANCIAL AND OPERATING RESULTS TO STAKEHOLDERS
- 3,000
6,000 9,000 12,000
5,245(1) 9,895 7,458(2) 6,400 7,980 9,711
RECURRING NET INCOME
- 6,000
12,000 18,000 24,000 30,000 36,000
24,551 28,369 25,656 19,783 22,982 29,902
CONSOLIDATED REVENUES
1) P1.2 B forgone steam revenues resulting from EDC’s acquisition of the Bacman power plants 2) P2.7 B lower revenues mainly from ancillary services
90% of FY 2013 107% of FY 2013
14 Key Investment Highlights Growth Projects
EDC SUCCESSFULLY DELIVERED ON ITS 2014 STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
OUTPUT 382 GWH REVENUES Php2.0 B OUTPUT 968 GWH REVENUES Php4.8 B OUTPUT 326 GWH REVENUES Php2.8 B
4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00 8.50 9.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00 8.50 9.00 Price Price
1 2 3
Bloomberg
2015 EPS (est.) 0.675 2016 EPS (est.) 0.732
130.0 MW Bacman plants have returned to service 150.0 MW Burgos wind starts commissioning
- Nov. 5, 2014
49.4 MW Nasulo plant starts commissioning runs April 2014
5th Best Performing (PSEi)
2014 High : 8.47 2014 Low : 5.12 2013year-end : 5.33 2014year-end : 8.20 % Change : 53.85%
EBITDA CONTRIBUTION OF GROWTH PROJECTS WILL DRIVE ROBUST 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS
15 Key Investment Highlights Growth Projects
BURGOS WIND FARM WINS GLOBAL AWARD…
Asia-Pacific Renewables Deal
- f the Year Burgos
A landmark
transaction being…
- the first wind farm project
financing in the Philippines to reach financial close
- the first to be banked under the
country’s new feed-in tariff regime
“Achieving financial close indicates growing confidence and an increasingly sophisticated view of the Philippine market by both international and local lenders” – Yearbook 2015
Project Finance International
Project
Sponsor
- Energy Development Corporation
16 Key Investment Highlights Growth Projects
EDC’S GROWTH AGENDA
305 MW Palinpinon-
Tongonan acquired in 2009
130 MW Bacman
acquired in 2010
- Bid for Unified Leyte
IPPA in 2014
Bid for Mindanao 1 & 2
IPPA in 2014
150 MW Burgos Wind
commissioned in 4Q’14
- Wind measurement
studies is on-going in 9
- ther concessions
- Potential 4MW solar
Granted 5 concessions &
19 pending applications in Chile & Peru
Established local offices
in LatAm and Indonesia
- Drill wells in
Mariposa, Chile by 2015
- Continue to prospect
prime geo sites
1 2 3 4
ACQUIRE DEVELOP CONQUER DIVERSIFY
Win key government geothermal privatization projects
Install 180MW
- f local geothermal
capacity to address new demand Establish viable
- perations in
Asia, Latin America, and Africa Build 200MW
- f wind
capacity, while expanding RE portfolio
49.37 MW Nasulo
commissioned in Sept. 2014
- 6 MW NNGP Plant
development is on-going
- 180 MW for
commissioning by 2018 2015 STATUS 2015 STATUS
17 Key Investment Highlights Favorable Industry Dynamics
Geothermal 13% Hydro 13% New Re 0% Coal 43% Natural Gas 25% Oil Based 6%
2013 POWER STATISTICS OF THE PHILIPPINES
Source: DOE
11%
Geothermal
as a % of Installed Capacity
13%
Geothermal
as a % of Electricity Production
Fuel Type Installed Capacity (MW) Coal 5,568 Hydro 3,521 Oil-based 3,353 Geothermal 1,868 Natural Gas 2,862 New RE 153
Total 17,325
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY IS A STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCE FOR THE PHILIPPINES
Renewable 26% Conventional 74%
- 2,000
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Geothermal Coal Natural Gas Hydro Oil Based/Gas Turbine
5.60–7.60 P/kWh 4.22 P/kWh 3.68 P/kWh 4.80–5.00 P/kWh 1.87 Php/kWh(2) 5.16 Php/kWh 14.14Php/kWh
2013 Peak Demand: 8,283 MW 2013 Required Reserve: 10,105 MW
- Ave. dependable capacity (MW)
LUZON DISPATCH AT FULL COST (1) WITH VAT
NOTES: 1) Quoted production costs were derived from estimated weekly cost of Luzon grid power plants at 83% capacity factor as of August 29 2013, VAT inclusive 2) Despite P 1.87/kWh production cost, hydro capacity is still used for peaking because these are not run-
- f-river types used for base load. Only Casecnan is run-of-river
18 Key Investment Highlights Growth Projects
REPLICATING BACMAN’s RETROFIT PROGRAM INTO BOTH TONGONAN I AND PALINPINON I ... LIFE EXTENSION YIELDS ADDITIONAL BENEFITS
TURBINE Retrofit
30 year old design with associated reliability issues
GENERATOR Retrofit
30 year old design with associated reliability issues
1 2
EDC REALIZES EFFICIENCY GAINS WITH NEW TECHNOLOGY AND ACHIEVES LIFE EXTENSION FOR LEGACY POWER GENERATING ASSETS
3Q ‘16 Jan ‘15 Tongonan retrofit kit order date Target COD for Tongonan 2017 Palinpinon retrofit kit order date 2H ‘15 Target COD for Palinpinon
Efficiency Gains Electricity Production 10.00% Steam Consumption 9.75%
Bacman Retrofit Program
19 Key Investment Highlights Growth Projects
LOCAL GEOTHERMAL PROJECTS WILL BE THE MAIN SOURCE OF GROWTH IN THE MEDIUM TERM
DONE EXECUTION ADVANCED EXPLORATION RESOURCE CONFIRMATION POWER PLANT RETROFIT
1 1 3 1 1 2 5 4 6 7 3
PROJECT CAPACITY
2014 2015 2016 2017
Beyond
2018
Nasulo* 49 MW X Burgos Wind 150 MW X
- No. Negros
6 MW X Burgos Solar 4 MW X Bacman 3**
up to 30 MW
X Nasuji
up to 20 MW
X Botong-Rangas** up to 40 MW X Mindanao 3 50 MW X Pagudpud Wind X Bacman 10 MW X Tongonan ~12 MW X Palinpinon ~12 MW X Kayabon 50 MW X Dauin 40 MW X
2
3 4 5 6 7
FRONTIER AREAS
(GEOTHERMAL)
Mandalangan, Negros Occidental Lakewood, Zamboanga del Sur Ampiro, Misamis Occidental Balingasag, Misamis Oriental
- Mt. Zion, North Cotabato
Note: *20 MW Nasuji Power Plant placed on preservation **Resource sustainability assessment is on-going
2
2 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 4
4
FRONTIER AREAS
(WIND)
Bayog I (Burgos I) Pagali (Burgos II) Iloilo 1 Iloilo 2 Matnog 1 Matnog 2 Matnog 3 Negros
1 2
2 1
20 Key Investment Highlights Growth Projects
EDC SEIZED THE OPPORTUNITY AND NOW HOLDS STAKES IN UP TO 5 CONCESSIONS AND 19 APPLICATIONS
Exploration Drilling Estimate: USD 30 MM Target COD Q4 ‘15 Q2 ‘20 Site Development Budget: USD 15 MM Q1 ‘14
WE ARE NOW EXECUTING AN EXPLORATION DRILLING PROGRAM IN MARIPOSA, ONE OF THE MOST ADVANCED GEOTHERMAL PROJECTS IN CHILE
* Peru: Achumani and Quello Apacheta (from HRL acquisition) and Pinchollo Libre (From Alterra JVA) Chile: Laguna del Maule and Pellado (both comprise the Mariposa project from Alterra JVA)
LATIN AMERICA
Company (Entry into LatAm) Granted Sites* Applications Peru Chile Peru Chile Alterra Power Corp 1 2 8 Hot Rock Ltd 2 3 EDC Applied/Bid Sites 4 4 TOTAL 3 2 15 4
GRAHO NYABU GEOTHERMAL PROSPECT Results from EDC’s completed survey activities for Graho Nyabu in Sumatra shall be used by Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources for its upcoming tender of the Graho Nyabu concession Currently, in partnership discussions with a geothermal concession holder for a JV in one of their geothermal sites (~ 220 MW at an ~ US 1.0 billion development cost) INDONESIA
Prospect Temp (deg C) Resource Probability Area (km2) MWe Achumani Project (Peru) 250-320 P90 7 70 P50 26 260 P10 70 700 Quello Apacheta Project (Peru) 220-240 P90 6 55 P50 17 168 P10 49 487 Tutupaca Project (Peru)* *Under EDC application 220-290 P10
- P50
27 270 P10 40 400 Mariposa Project (Chile) 250-290 P90 10 105 P50 15 155 P10 21 210
~760
to
1,800
END OF PRESENTATION
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