ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF KEY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ISSUES: THE COLUMBUS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF KEY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ISSUES: THE COLUMBUS REGION ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Jung Kim | Columbus 2020 3 October 2016 ABOUT COLUMBUS 2020 Economic development organization for the 11-county Columbus Region Network of


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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF KEY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ISSUES: THE COLUMBUS REGION ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE

Jung Kim | Columbus 2020 3 October 2016

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ABOUT COLUMBUS 2020

Economic development

  • rganization for the 11-county

Columbus Region Launched in 2010 to strengthen and diversify economic base:

  • Build existing assets
  • Attract new investment
  • Create new business
  • pportunities
  • Continually improve Region as

a business location

Network of public and private sector partners

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U.S. EXPORTS, 1960-2015

500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 $ million Source: Census Bureau

U.S. companies exported $2.2 trillion in goods and services in 2015, down slightly from the past two years but still far above historical levels

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50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $ million

U.S. NET FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Note: Net FDI equals greenfield investment and acquisitions minus closures and dispositions back to domestic ownership.

In 2015, the U.S. reached record levels of FDI ($348bn)

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COLUMBUS REGION EXPORTS

Source: Brookings Institution

Columbus Region exports grew 56% from $6.9bn in 2003 to $10.7bn in 2015. Services’ share of exports rose from 30% to 41%.

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $ million

Goods Services

Columbus Region export value (2015 USD)

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COLUMBUS REGION EXPORTS

Source: Brookings Institution

Export-supported jobs in the Columbus Region grew 30% from 2003 to 2015, compared to 9%

  • verall job growth.

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Columbus Region jobs supported by export activity

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COLUMBUS REGION EXPORTS

Source: Brookings Institution

2,269 993 867 833 673 567 520 404 382 362

Transportation Equipment Financial Services Chemical Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Travel & Tourism Royalties Tech Sector Food Manufacturing Freight & Heavy Industry Electrical Equipment & Appliances

Top 10 industries by export sales ($M)

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COLUMBUS REGION INDUSTRIES AND TPP

 Agriculture: Meat and soybean exporters in particular will benefit from reduced foreign tariffs.  IT, Finance, Professional Services: More clarity for service (“knowledge industry”) exports, including short- term business visits.  Apparel: Neutral to positive for U.S. retail brands and production source countries (e.g. Vietnam).  Automotive: Reduction of NAFTA regional value content may provide more flexibility for OEMs but affect suppliers.

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COLUMBUS REGION FDI

Source: Columbus 2020

The Columbus Region has 451 foreign-

  • wned firms that

employ >60,000 workers. Japanese-owned firms employ >25,000 workers.

130 53 51 41 28 27 69 24 28

Japan United Kingdom Canada Germany France Switzerland Other Europe Other Asia Other

Columbus Region firms by foreign HQ country

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COLUMBUS REGION FDI

Source: Columbus 2020

International projects comprise about half of our active attraction projects. 74% of FDI projects announced from 2011 to 2016 YTD (August) are manufacturing or science/ technology, versus 45% of domestic projects. Columbus 2020 attraction projects pipeline

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16

International Domestic

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Columbus-based pharma acquired as pure generic play in 1978. Now ~1,200 employees in Columbus Region. Columbus-based company acquired in 1980s and consolidated with 6 other U.S. acquisitions. Now a major 3PL HQ with ~2,000 employees in Region.

COLUMBUS REGION FDI

Source: Brookings Institution

From 1991 to 2011, M&A represented 58% of the Columbus Region’s employment growth in foreign-owned firms

  • 10,000

20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000

Employment by entry year of foreign-owned establishment

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Apparel Imports support thousands of HQ, office, IT and logistics jobs in the Columbus Region

A VALUE CHAIN PERSPECTIVE ON TRADE AND INVESTMENT

Automotive Parts can cross national borders within and outside NAFTA multiple times for cars assembled here or elsewhere

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Auto parts manufacturing value added per worker

$134,235 $21,362 $18,972 $19,120 $22,682 $20,722 $24,519 $27,481 $18,671 $19,110

Ohio México (nation) Chihuahua Coahuila Guanajuato Jalisco México (state) Nuevo León Querétaro San Luis Potosí

Sources: 2013 data from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 Annual Survey of Manufactures and Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía, Censos Económicos 2014

A VALUE CHAIN PERSPECTIVE ON TRADE AND INVESTMENT

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Multinational manufacturing companies hire an extra 250 U.S. workers for every 100 employees they bring on in Mexico. (Source: Peterson Institute) Automation manager at Wisconsin plant who started career at $5.50/hour: “The robots do my [old] job, and I am managing people that manage them.”

http://www.latimes.com/projects/la-fi-manufacturing- boom-mexico/#nt=oft07a-3gp1

A VALUE CHAIN PERSPECTIVE ON TRADE AND INVESTMENT

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IMMIGRATION IN COLUMBUS

U.S.-born Foreign-born Under 5 years 5 to 17 years 18 to 24 years 25 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 to 74 years 75 years and over

Age by nativity, Columbus MSA

Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2015

63% of foreign-born residents in the Columbus metro are of prime working age (age 25 to 54), compared to 41% of their U.S. born counterparts

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IMMIGRATION IN COLUMBUS

Entrepreneurship

 Immigrants represent 10.5% of Columbus metro business owners, versus 7.7% of the population.  >40% of Fortune 500 companies were founded by immigrants or the children of immigrants (Partnership for a New American Economy).  51% of unicorn startups (>$1 billion valuation) had at least one immigrant founder (National Foundation for American Policy).

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IMMIGRATION IN COLUMBUS

Income range by nativity

Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2015 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% <$25K $25-35K $35-50K >$50K

U.S.-born Foreign-born

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Less than high school graduate High school graduate (includes equivalency) Some college

  • r associate's

degree Bachelor's degree Graduate or professional degree

U.S.-born Foreign-born

Educational attainment by nativity, adults age 25+

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IMMIGRATION IN COLUMBUS

Source: Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2015

14% 22% 31% 24% 14%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% U.S.-born All Entered U.S. 2010 or later Entered U.S. 2000 to 2009 Entered U.S. before 2000

Foreign-born

Poverty rate by nativity, year of entry into U.S.

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