East Midlands Housing Group
Investor Presentation
Presenting Team: Chan Kataria - Group Chief Executive Andrew Kilby - Executive Director Finance December 2015
East Midlands Housing Group Investor Presentation Presenting Team: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
East Midlands Housing Group Investor Presentation Presenting Team: Chan Kataria - Group Chief Executive Andrew Kilby - Executive Director Finance December 2015 Key highlights Established in 1946, now one of the largest housing groups in
Presenting Team: Chan Kataria - Group Chief Executive Andrew Kilby - Executive Director Finance December 2015
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Our vision: “To be widely recognised as the best social housing and care businesses in the country, leading the market as service provider and employer”
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1. EMH Group introduction and overview 2. Impact of Government policy changes on EMH 3. Financial performance 4. Funding and treasury strategy 5. Transaction highlights 6. Appendices
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Turnover – Breakdown by type FY 15A Social housing lettings – Breakdown by type FY 15A
board oversight
characterised by a very high demand for social housing
Investors in People (silver) and top 100 Apprenticeship Employer Highest rating for Governance and Viability from the Social Housing Regulator (G1 / V1)
Key highlights
Core values: I DO ACE (integrity, diversity, openness, accountability, clarity, excellence)
78% 17% 5% Social Housing Lettings Care and Support Other 67% 28% 5% General Needs Supported Housing & Housing for Older People Low Cost Home Ownership
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EMH Group – key milestones
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Homes owned across the East Midlands Evolution of turnover Evolution of housing units owned and managed
44.1 58.0 72.3 91.3 94.3 30.0 50.0 70.0 90.0 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 £m 11,545 17,013 17,254 17,432 17,833 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 Units
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Development programme¹
High priority areas Breakdown by funding Breakdown by usage
Ashfield Mansfield Erewash South Derbyshire NW Leicestershire Charnwood Leicester Blaby Harborough
Kettering
Wellingborough Northampton Daventry
Development programme – Priority areas
Other priority areas
83% 17% Social and affordable rent Shared ownership 22% 72% Section 106 Developed
¹Breakdown from 3 year programme of identified units
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Key highlights
Pipeline – Developed vs. section106 Pipeline – Completed vs Committed
Year Completed Committed Pipeline Feasibility Total Rent SO Rent SO Rent SO Rent SO 2015-16 82 48 52 20 5 207 2016-17 176 28 54 22 13 1 294 2017-18 162 17 73 13 123 4 392 Total 82 48 390 65 132 35 136 5 893 Year Completed Committed Pipeline Feasibility Total Developed S106 Developed S106 Developed S106 Developed S106 2015-16 55 75 44 28 5 207 2016-17 158 46 76 14 294 2017-18 162 17 75 11 123 4 392 Total 55 75 364 91 151 16 137 4 893
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2013
Homes and Enable, as well as three specialist entities
activities regulated by the HCA
More efficient governance and focused Executive Management team Higher degree of consistency in operational management while maintaining local preferences Holistic approach to asset management strategy £1.3m efficiency savings and greater economies of scale EMH Group – New legal structure Key highlights
Sharpes Garden Services Limited EMH Treasury Plc Special purpose vehicle (SPV) Enable Housing Association Limited Not registered with HCA Charitable C&CBS Closed membership Enable Care and Home Support Limited Charity Commission registered Company limited by guarantee EMH Housing & Regeneration Limited (EMH Homes) Registered provider Charitable C&CBS Closed membership Midlands Rural Housing and Village Development Associated Limited Not registered with HCA Non-charitable C&CBS
East Midlands Housing Group Limited (EMH Group)
Non-charitable C&CBS Registered Provider Group parent Main operating entities Specialist entities
Enable EMH Homes
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Subsidiary Boards Board committees Sets strategic direction of the group
compliance and monitoring risk
through internal controls and delegation
its objectives Operational delivery EMH Homes Enable
business plan
Audit Treasury Remuneration
Code of Governance
Group and subsidiary boards reduced to 9 members Independent board members (except for chief executive)
based selection process Succession in place over the next few years; moving towards harmonised board structure
the Board as a whole is evaluated on an annual basis
executive role of the management team
risks
EMH Group Board Key highlights
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EMH Group – Executive Management Team
Chris Ashton Executive Director Housing Chan Kataria Group Chief Executive
Key highlights
management team Current Group Chief Executive only the third one since creation in 1946 CEO has been a statutory appointee in troubled organisations CEO is sector representative on key trade bodies EMT has over 100 years of sector expertise
including the regulator and local authorities
including National Housing Federation, Chartered Institute of Housing, Placeshapers and Health and Supporting People commissioning bodies Andrew Kilby Executive Director Finance Jim Patman Executive Director Development Margaret Mitchell Executive Director Human Resources Joanne Tilley Executive Director Business Support Joanna Grainger Executive Director Care & Support
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Estimated population growth in the East Midlands
housing associations in the area provide affordable homes for
times the average regional income22
22,0001 a year between 2012 and 2033, equating to a c.23% rise
each year
Key highlights Affordability / Supply Data2 (selection of key local authorities)
4.50 4.54 4.58 4.90 4.62 4.66 0.89% 0.88% 0.87% 0.87% 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2021 Millions 0.70% 0.75% 0.80% 0.85% 0.90% Population % growth
Sources: 1. CLG statistics; 2. NHF 2015-16 Hometruths
0.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 6.0 7.5 9.0 10.5 Northampton Blaby Harborough Leicester Charnwood NWLDC Erewash Ashfield Ratio of house prices to incomes 750 1,500 2,250 3,000 3,750 4,500 Northampton Blaby Harborough Leicester Charnwood NWLDC Erewash Ashfield Shortfall in homes 2011-2014
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Affordable housing waiting list data (Dec 15)
development areas
576 Key highlights Annual Homes Required per SHMA¹ New Homes Delivered in 2014-15
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Blaby NWLDC Leicester Charnwood Northampton Wellingborough
Affordable Other
¹Strategic Housing Market Assessment
200 400 600 800 1,000 Blaby NWLDC Leicester Charnwood Northampton Wellingborough No, of Homes delivered Affordable Other 1,149 787 10,580 1,936 3,300 696 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Blaby NWLDC Leicester Charnwood Northampton Wellingborough
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Social and market rent in key areas of operations1 Key highlights1
thirds of the £124 weekly cost of an equivalent home in the private rented sector
by 67% in the next 10 years, representing an increase of £342 per month
£177,000 compared to £266,000 for England
Sources: (1) CLG data, valuation office agency rent officers’ data, Homes and Communities Agency, Regulatory and Statistical Return sNote:: (1) Key areas defined as local authorities with over 500 units
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Northampton Blaby Harborough Leicester Charnwood NWLDC Erewash Ashfield £ Average Weekly Rent Market Rent EMH Group
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Stock by property type1
EMH Group – Stock profile (as of November 2015)
Stock by no. of bedrooms (general needs) Stock by age Stock by usage1
Note: (1) “Other” includes commercial properties, garage and caravans Note: (1) “Other” includes commercial properties, garage and caravans
61% 8% 21% 4% 5% General Needs Shared Ownership Housing for Older People Supported Housing Other 65% 30% 5% Houses / Bungalows Flat Other 19% 34% 44% 2% 1% 1 Bedroom 2 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms 4 Bedrooms Other 16% 25% 17% 10% 13% 19% Prior 1950 1950-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 Post 2000
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Key highlights Age profile Breakdown by economic status
arrears Low exposure to tenants below 24, traditionally the segment with high arrears High percentage of retired tenants (c30%)
allows the group to plan the impact of welfare reforms and tailor services to meet individual needs
Breakdown by category
5% 32% 26% 22% 10% 5% 24 or less 25-44 45-59 60-74 75-84 Over 85 29% 19% 11% 14% 13% 11% 3% Retired Full time employment Job Seeker Not seeking work Long term sickness/disability Part-time employment Other 34% 22% 15% 11% 7% 11% Working age, no benefits Working age, full benefits Working age, partial benefits Pension age, full benefits Pension age, partial benefits Pension age, no benefits
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1. EMH Group introduction and overview 2. Impact of Government policy changes on EMH 3. Financial performance 4. Funding and treasury strategy 5. Transaction highlights 6. Appendices
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Spending Review
Increased focus on Low Cost Home Ownership Funding for starter homes Funding for elderly persons accommodation Limited funding for rented properties
Increase proportion of Low Cost Home Ownership from 25% to 50% Rented programme will be dependent on availability of funding – mainly RTB replacements and residual S106 schemes
General needs properties – worst case only £4k reduction Under 35 lettings – worst case £186k reduction assuming all on housing benefit Supported living / extra care will be impacted if included Rent reductions will reduce future impact
Housing and Planning Bill
Not a major issue in region Not included in financial plan Any impact will be marginally positive
No change to governance arrangements Government commitment to take action to reverse the decision Supporting NHF in lobbying
Currently being piloted Very restricted application (e.g. 10 tenancy) National funding will be restricted Estimated 5,600 EMH Group tenancies could be eligible PRTB already available to c3,500 tenants resulting in approximately 20 sales per year
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Impact
and Specialised Supported Housing
in 19/20
Board Objectives
resultant efficiency gains
efficiency gains
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Actions underway
and submitted to Regulator
protected; future development capacity maintained at 350 units per year with increased focus on shared
per annum by 18/19
programme
Board on 4 December 15
Revised Financial Projections
(exc. surplus on sales)
covenants
Mitigating Actions as % Lost Revenue EBITDA MRI Margins / Interest Cover¹
28% 18% 29% 25% Management (£3m) Maintenance (£2m) Reduced Surplus (£3m) Other (Bad Debts, Sales & Interest, £3m) ¹ EBITDA MRI Group / Interest Cover EMH Homes 25% 30% 35% FY15A FY16F FY17F FY18F FY19F FY20F Revised Forecast Original Forecast Actual 110% 120% 130% 140% FY15A FY16F FY17F FY18F FY19F FY20F Revised Forecast Original Forecast Actual
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Key highlights
application of Local Housing Allowance is also likely to impact on new single tenants aged under 35
Use of an impact assessment tool as well as maximising the use of tenant profiling Weekly dashboard to identify any emerging trends
Universal Credit. Arrears on these tenancies currently c 12%
These will be live by February 2016
this financial year (i.e. tenants supported by full or partial housing benefits)
current financial plan: gradual increase of bad debt from 1.4% of social housing turnover in FY 2016 to 3.2% in FY 2021
arrears reach 8 weeks
transfers and tenants entering employment
arrears overall is £109,000 and reducing
that the overall benefit cap was to be reduced from the current level of £23k per year to £20k per year
be 3 times the previous level. This will still be low over all the stock – approximately 150 properties
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Key initiatives…
Directors with an action plan in place to ensure that the Group is well prepared for the potential impact of the reform
and takes early action
Executive Management and Board meeting
universal credit including: proactively targeting singles under 25 and couples who are transferring to UC now tailored and targeted support and information based on personal circumstances risk assessed interventions digital inclusion project to prepare for on line paperless benefit applications
…combined with a change in culture and approach
collection of rents Provision of advice and support to affected tenants Stricter line on rent arrears (‘say it, do it’ approach) “In-credit” approach from the outset of the tenancy
Maximise income collection through pro-active tenant profiling Target contacts to tenants on a risk assessed basis Rent arrears currently at the lowest level seen
Universal credit
contact with tenants: age, gender, relationship with lead household, economic status
regularly update and monitor the list of affected tenants
early advice
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1. EMH Group introduction and overview 2. Impact of Government policy changes on EMH 3. Financial performance 4. Funding and treasury strategy 5. Transaction highlights 6. Appendices
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Key highlights Evolution of voids Evolution of bad debts Evolution of rent arrears
demonstrating strength of demand
levels on a sustained basis, despite the challenging economic environment
missed payments, frequent contacts with tenants, in order to minimise level of bad debts and arrears
(3.2%)
1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% FY 11A FY 12A FY 13A FY 14A FY 15A % gross rental income 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% FY 11A FY 12A FY 13A FY 14A FY 15A % net rental income 4.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% FY 11A FY 12A FY 13A FY 14A FY 15A % net rental income
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Key Financial Ratios
Key Ratios Actual FY11 Actual FY12 Actual FY13 Actual FY14 Actual FY15 Turnover from Social Housing Lettings as % Total Revenues 86% 89% 90% 77% 78% Social Housing Interest Coverage (x) 1.79 1.63 1.79 1.64 1.76 Recurrent Cash Interest Coverage (x) 1.89 1.73 1.96 1.84 1.92 Operating Surplus as % of Turnover 36% 31% 30% 25% 31% Surplus before tax as % of Turnover 15% 10% 10% 7% 12% Long Term Debt to Assets at Cost 47% 49% 47% 54% 48% Net Capex as % of Turnover 65% 38% 28% 30% 29% Debt to Revenues (x) 4.9 5.3 4.3 4.1 3.8 ¹ FY12 and FY14 where relevant negative goodwill excluded
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1. EMH Group introduction and overview 2. Impact of Government policy changes on EMH 3. Financial performance 4. Funding and treasury strategy 5. Transaction highlights 6. Appendices
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Key highlights Source of funding (Oct 2015) Projected Debt maturity profile
£30m expiring 2016
RCF
security purposes £50m (post retained bonds)
Charged Security¹
Revolving credit facility Breakdown of debt instruments
Total debt: 360m Total facility: 80m
50% 42% 8% Bank Bond Other 62% 38% Secured Not secured
200 300 400 500 15A 17F 19F 21F 23F 25F 27F 29F 31F 33F 35F 37F 39F Funding £m Bond Other ¹Securing funding of £450m including retained bonds. LTV 73%
Valuation Basis MVT EUV Total Unit Numbers 4962 9939 14901 Valuation (£m) 314 301 615 Average (£k) 63 30 41
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1. EMH Group introduction and overview 2. Impact of Government policy changes on EMH 3. Financial performance 4. Funding and treasury strategy 5. Transaction highlights 6. Appendices
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Key highlights
as security for the retained element;
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Issuer EMH Treasury Plc Borrower EMH Housing and Regeneration Limited Rating AA- (S&P) Nominal amount £50m (retained element) Maturity 29 January 2044 Security Initially cash to be replaced with social housing property in January 2016 Covenants Asset cover ratios: 1.05x EUV-SH, 1.15x MS-ST Use of proceeds General corporate purposes, including funding the development programme Bookrunners Lloyds
Terms and Conditions Bond structure
EMH Housing and Regeneration Ltd Security trustee Bondholders EMH Treasury Plc Bond trustee Bonds Benefit of issuer security Security trust deed & security agreement Loan agreement Bond trust deed Security Cash flows Benefit of underlying security East Midlands Housing Group Ltd (Guarantor) Guarantee
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1. EMH Group introduction and overview 2. Impact of Government policy changes on EMH 3. Financial performance 4. Funding and treasury strategy 5. Transaction highlights 6. Appendices
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Income statement
Note: FY 12A numbers includes only six months of TVH’s operations
Year end 31 March (£'000) 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 FY 11A FY 12A FY 13A FY 14A FY 15A Turnover 44,132 57,952 72,334 91,329 94,265 % Growth 31.3% 24.8% 26.3% 3.2% Operating Costs
Operating Surplus before exceptional items 15,844 17,771 21,950 23,093 29,554 % Margin 35.9% 30.7% 30.3% 25.3% 31.4% Negative Goodwill from acquisitions 48,382 9,158 Operating Surplus 15,844 66,153 21,950 32,251 29,554 Surplus on Sale of Properties 528 943 746 891 1,191 Interest Income 50 325 163 23 631 Interest Expense
Other Financing Costs (Pension Scheme) 25 85
26 173 Surplus on Ordinary Activities before Taxation 6,801 53,946 7,128 15,271 11,094 Tax Expense
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Surplus on Ordinary Activities 6,604 54,035 7,056 15,206 10,995 % Margin (excl. Negative Goodwill) 9.8% 9.8% 6.6% 11.7% Total Units (Owned and Managed) 11,545 17,013 17,254 17,432 17,833
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Balance sheet
Note: FY 12A numbers includes only six months of TVH’s operations
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Year end 31 March (£'000) FY 11A FY 12A FY 13A FY 14A FY 15A Tangible Fixed Assets Housing Properties (Net of Depreciation) 437,009 595,224 613,948 642,657 682,208 Grant
Total Housing Properties 246,195 399,708 416,625 441,903 462,939 Other Tangible Fixed Assets 6,276 7,668 7,868 9,887 10,446 Investments 1,184 1,237 1,152 1,367 Homebuy Loan / Grant Total Fixed Assets 252,471 408,560 425,730 452,942 474,752 Current Assets Inventories 3,131 2,037 1,360 1,644 1,475 Debtors 2,660 5,733 4,479 6,266 6,202 Investments 17,812 12,942 5,021 35,565 27,815 Cash at Bank and in Hand 1,614 4,740 5,991 40,393 21,149 Total Current Assets 25,217 25,452 16,851 83,868 56,641 Creditors: Amounts falling due within 1 Year
Net Current Assets/(Liabilities) excl. Pensions 13,833 9,119
50,528 25,742 Pension Asset/(Liability) 510
Net Current Assets/(Liabilities) 14,343 4,926
45,248 17,339 Total Assets less Current Liabilities 266,814 413,486 419,719 498,190 492,091 Creditors: Amounts falling due after more than one year 214,560 308,374 309,127 371,579 357,358 Provisions for Liabilities and Charges 61
3 6 47 Called up Share Capital 1 1 1 Designated Reserves 13,938 14,569 15,258 2,352 2,342 Revenue Reserves 38,254 90,570 95,330 124,253 132,344 Total Funds 266,814 413,486 419,719 498,190 492,091
Note: FY 12A numbers include only six months of TVH's operations
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