Earnings Presentation 4Q & FY 2019 Results Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Earnings Presentation 4Q & FY 2019 Results Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The National Commercial Bank Earnings Presentation 4Q & FY 2019 Results Disclaimer The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared this presentation on a proprietary basis as general background information about the activities of NCB. The
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Disclaimer
2
The National Commercial Bank (NCB) prepared this presentation on a proprietary basis as general background information about the activities of NCB. The information contained herein is given in summary form and for discussion purposes only. Some of the information that is relied upon by NCB is
- btained from sources believed to be reliable, but NCB (nor any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or subsidiaries) does not guarantee
the accuracy or completeness of such information, and disclaims all liability or responsibility for any loss or damage caused by any act taken as a result
- f the information. This presentation including the information covered therein is not intended either to be relied upon or construed as an advertisement
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NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Net et i income e (SA SARbn) Fina nanc ncing ng (SA SARbn)
Key Messages
3
Agenda for today's FY 2019 earnings call
9.6 11.4 +19%
5 10 15 20 25 30FY 18 FY 19 265 282 +6%
100 200 300 400 500 600 7004Q 18 4Q 19 FY FY 20 2019 Guida danc nce FY FY 20 2019 Rep eported ed Fina nanc ncing ng Gro rowth +4-6% +6.5% NSCI M I Margi rgin 3.65% - 3.69%* 3,77% Cos
- st to I
- Incom
- me
Below 34% 30.7% Cost st of R f Risk sk 0.6% - 0.8% 0.51% Tier 1 C CAR AR 16% - 18% 18.0%
* FY 2019 outlook provided in 2Q and 3Q 2019 were at similar levels of ~3.5% Excluding the restatement impact of fee amortization, NSCI margin would have been 3.52%
Business Segments Strategic Enablers
- 1. Tangible progress against strategic agenda
- 2. Strong financial performance
- 3. Exceeded original guidance expectations
- 4. Positive momentum and outlook for 2020
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
LDR Cost of Risk Net Income (TRYmn) AUM Net Income (SARmn) Investment Income (SARmn) Net Income (SARmn)
2019 Strategy Highlights
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Strategic Priorities
RETAIL AIL CORP RPORA RATE TREASURY RY NCB C CAP APIT ITAL AL TÜ TÜRKIYE YE FIN INAN ANS KATIL ILIM IM BAN ANKAS ASI (TFKB FKB)
Net Income (SARmn) Mortgage Financing Growth (SARbn) Net Income Return on Assets 24 37
(5) 5 15 25 35 45 554Q 18 4Q 19
+57 57% +32 32% +21 21% +33p 33ps +2% 2%
376 459
100 200 300 400 500 600 7002018 2019
+22% 22% +8% 8%
445 377
100 200 300 400 500 600 7002018 2019
- 15
15% +7 +76bp bps +1 +175% 5%
4,375 5,765
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,0002018 2019 1.84% 2.17% 2018 2019 3,418 3,497
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,0002018 2019 514 1,411
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,0002018 2019
SAR 156bn 2.21%
2,399 2,905
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,0002018 2019
- 31
31bps
76%
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
2019 Strategy Highlights
Strategic Enablers
DIG IGIT ITIZ IZATIO ION
Digital Transactors (% of Total) Digital Sales (% of Total) Branch Transactions Digital Account Opening
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LEAN AN D DIS ISTRIB IBUTIO ION
Branches Self-Service Kiosks Average FTE / new Branch FTE / Branch 39% 50% 62% 2017 2018 2019
+12ppt 2ppts
YoY
- Y
51%
+23 23ppt ppts
2.2%
- 75bp
5bps
19% 71%
1 1 1 12018 2019
+52ppt 2ppts
401 434
100 200 300 400 500 600 7004Q 18 4Q 19
+33 33
315
+21 210
10.4 9.9 9.6 2017 2018 2019
- 3%
3%
YoY
- Y
PRODUC DUCTIVITY
Front to Back Office Ratio NOR per Employee (SARmn) Cost to Income Ratio, excl. International
72% to 28%
+30b 30bps
6
- 23
237bps ps
29.3%
2.1 2.2 2.5 2017 2018 2019
+11% 11%
YoY
- Y
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
2019 Financial Highlights
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Strong financial performance from positive trends in key driver metrics
RO ROE
18.4%
+221 bps
ROA OA
2.4%
+22 bps
Net et I Income e (SAR mn)
11,401
+19%
Total A Asse ssets s (SAR bn)
507.3
+12%
Ope peratin ing In Income (SAR mn)
20,607
+9%
NSCI
15,807
+5%
NSCI Margin Fee & Other Income
4,801
+26%
Cost st t to I Inco come me Rat Ratio
- 334pbs
Cos
- st of
- f Ri
Risk
0.51%
+0bps
NPL C Cover erage e Rat Ratio
138.1%
- 338bps
Fina nanc ncing ng (SAR bn)
+6%
Cust ustome mer D Deposi sits (SAR bn)
+11%
Inves estmen ents (SAR bn)
134.1
+14%
EPS PS (SAR)
+19%
DP DPS (SAR)
+10% 3.08 3.68
2018 2019
2.10 2.30
2018 2019
319 353
2018 2019
265 282
2018 2019
3.81% 3.77%
2018 2019
34.1% 30.7%
2018 2019
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Asset Deployment
Healthy balance sheet growth from financing and Investments
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452.2 17.2 16.0 13.5 8.4 507.3 +12%
0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.004Q 18 Financing Invest- ments Cash, Bank & SAMA Other 4Q 19
Movement i nt in n Tot
- tal A
Assets (S (SARb Rbn) n)
265 282 118 134 48 62 21 29 452 507
1 1 14Q 18 4Q 19
Tot
- tal Assets C
Com
- mpos
- sition
- n
(S (SARb Rbn) n)
Other Cash, Bank & SAMA Investments Financing 452 507
100 200 300 400 500 600 7004Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Tot
- tal A
Assets Trend nd (S (SARb Rbn) n)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
265.1 13.5 5.5 (1.9) 1.8 (1.7) 282.3 +6%
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1004Q 18 Mortgages Other Corporate FI Inter- national 4Q 19
Movement nt in F n Fina nanc ncing ng (S (SARb Rbn) n)
Financing
Financing growth of 6% mainly from strong Retail mortgage origination
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Reta etail +SAR 19bn (+18%)
Guida danc nce +4%-6%
104 123
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2004Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Retail (S (SARb Rbn) n)
131 129
50 100 150 200 2504Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Cor
- rpor
- rate (S
(SARb Rbn) n)
21 20
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 404Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Int nterna nationa
- nal (S
(SARb Rbn) n)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Saudi Government securities 52% Other investment grade 35% Non- investment grade 5% Equity &
- thers
8%
Investment nts b by y Credit Grade (S (SARb Rbn) n)
Investments
Continued participation in Saudi Government Issuance drives investment portfolio growth
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118.1 13.9 (5.1) 3.0 4.2 134.1 +14%
20 40 60 80 1004Q 18 Saudi Government securities Other investment grade Non- investment grade Equity &
- thers
4Q 19
Movement nt in n Investment nts (S (SARb Rbn) n)
118 134 34
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1604Q 18 4Q 19 118 134 34
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1604Q 18 4Q 19
Fixed rate securities 64% Floating rate securities 29% Equity instruments & others 7%
Investment nts b by y Typ ype (S (SARb Rbn) n)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
CASA 71% Time 25% Others 4%
Cust ustomers' s' D Deposi sits M s Mix (S (SARb Rbn) n)
Interbank 14% Customers' deposits 81% Debt 0% Other 5%
Total al Liab iabil ilitie ities M Mix ix ( (SARbn)
Funding
Balance sheet growth funded by growth in time deposits and effective utilization of inter-bank markets
10
Domesti estic D c Dep eposi sits ts +SAR 28.4bn (+9%) Intern ternati tional Dep eposi sits ts +SAR 6.3bn (+33%)
387 87 43 437
100 200 300 400 5004Q 18 4Q 19 31 319 353 53
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 5004Q 18 4Q 19
452.2 (6.6) 36.7 16.2 (1.7) 2.6 3.6 0.2 (8.4) 507.3 +12% 8.5 4.1
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2004Q 18 CASA Time Other CASA Time Other Inter- bank Debt Other Liabil- ities Total Equity 4Q 19
Movement i nt in n Fund nding ng (S (SARb Rbn) n)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
* Impairments include impairment charges for financing, investments and goodwill
9,594 683 996 115 215 78 (327) 46 11,401 +19%
0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00FY 18 NSCI Fee & Other Income Expenses Impair- ments* Other Non- Operating Zakat & Tax Minorities FY 19
Net I Inc ncom
- me aft
fter Z Zakat and nd I Inc ncom
- me Tax a
x attributed t to E
- Equity
y Hol
- lders (S
(SARm Rmn) n)
Net Income
Strong growth in net income, driven by NSCI and Investment income, combined with controlled operating and credit costs
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16.2% 18.4% +221 bps
1FY 18 FY 19
RO ROE (% (%)
3.08 3.68 +19%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9FY 18 FY 19
EPS PS (S (SAR) R)
2.10 2.30 +10%
1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5FY 18 FY 19
DPS PS (S (SAR) R)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
15,123 1,356 216 (394) (34) (7) 15,807 +5% 3.81% +16 bps +0 bps
- 8 bps
- 10 bps
- 0 bps
- 2 bps
3.77% (454)
- 1,000
FY 18 Financing mix & yield Investments Deposit mix & cost Wholesale funding Other International FY 19
Movement i nt in n Net S Special Com
- mmision I
- n Inc
ncom
- me (S
(SARm Rmn) & n) & NSCI Margin n (% (%)
Outlook
- ok @
@3Q 3.51%
NSCI and Margin
Margin negatively impacted by change in funding mix, partly offset by positive retail mix impact
12
Domesti estic +SAR 717mn (+5%}
Guida danc nce 3.65%-3.69%
* Excluding the restatement impact of fee amortization
3.52%*
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
269 237 3,804 82 (59) 15 (18) (22) (104) 897 205 4,801 4,564 3,535 +26%
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
FY 18 Finance & lending Trade finance
- Inv. mgt.
& brokerage Credit cards Others Exchange Income Investment- related income Other
- perating
expenses FY 19
FY 1 19 F Fee a and nd ot
- ther I
Inc ncom
- me Movement
nt (S (SARm Rmn) n)
Fee & Other Income
Fee and other income grew by 26% YoY due to higher investment income and lower other operating expenses
13
Fees ees fro rom Banking S Serv ervices ces
- SAR 2mn (-0%)
Do Domest stic Int Interna rnational.
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Operating Expenses
Digitization, productivity enhancement and
- ptimization delivered further expense savings
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Do Domest stic Int Interna rnational
34.1% 32.2% 32.5% 32.1% 30.7% 31.6% 30.1% 30.8% 30.6% 29.3% FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Cos
- st to I
- Inc
ncom
- me Ra
Ratio (Y
- (YTD
TD %)
Group (%) Excluding International (%) 6,446 59 (371) 259 (62) 6,331 5,604 727 5,506 940
- 2%
FY 18 Employee- related Rent & premises Deprecia- tion & amorti- zation Other G&A FY 19
FY 1 Y 19 Op Oper erating Ex Expen enses es Movemen ement (S (SARm Rmn) n)
Guida danc nce < 34%
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
51 (3) 9 (3) 3 (1) (5) 51 +0 bps
- 5
FY 18 Impairments Recoveries & Other Impairments Recoveries & Other Other International FY 19
Movement i nt in n Cos
- st of
- f Ri
Risk (b (bps)
Cost of Risk for Financing
Overall stability in cost of risk
Guida danc nce 60 - 80 bps
Corp rpora rate te
- 8 bps
Reta etail +6 bps
15
0.5% 0.5% FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Gro roup
0.3% 0.4% FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Retail ail
0.6% 0.4%
(0)FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Cor Corpor
- rate
1.5% 2.2% FY 18 1Q 19 1H 19 9M 19 FY 19
Internat atio ional al
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
5,247 (54) (316) 452 5,329 +2%
- 1,000
4Q 18 Retail Corporate International 4Q 19
Movement i nt in n NPL PLs (S (SARm Rmn) n)
Credit Quality
Credit Quality remains stable, albeit impacted by International segment
Domesti estic
- SAR 370mn (-9%)
16
142% 138% 1.9% 1.8%
120% 130% 140% 150% 160% 170% 180% 190% 200%4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Gro roup
264% 290% 0.6% 0.5%
200% 250% 300% 350% 400%4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Retail ail
136% 151% 2.5% 2.3%
125% 130% 135% 140% 145% 150% 155%4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Corporat ate
90% 62% 5.5% 8.2%
20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Int nterna nationa
- nal
NPL Ratio NPL Coverage
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Capital
Capital position comfortably above regulatory minima
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16.6% 16.5% 16.0% 15.4% 16.2% 18.5% 18.4% 17.8% 17.2% 18.0% 20.6% 19.3% 18.7% 18.0% 18.7% 4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Capit apital al Rat atio ios ( (%)
CET1 ratio T1 ratio TC ratio
T1 G Guida danc nce 16% - 18%
74.3 11.4 (0.4) (6.6) (0.5) (5.0) 73.2
- 2%
- 20.0
FY 18 Net Income Tier 1 Sukuk cost Dividends T2 Sukuk Other FY 19
Movement i nt in n Tot
- tal C
Capital (S (SARb Rbn) n)
360.2 25.5 1.0 3.7 390.3 +8%
- 50.0
FY 18 Credit risk Operational risk Market risk FY 19
Movement i nt in n RW RWA (S (SARb Rbn) n)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
* Headline ratio, which does not equate to SAMA regulatory LDR ratio
Liquidity
Strong and stable liquidity profile maintained
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320 319 330 334 343 250 256 263 271 275 128.0% 124.0% 125.5% 123.2% 124.4%
- 100
4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
NSF NSFR R Ratio (%) (%)
Available stable funding (SARbn) Required stable funding (SARbn) NSFR 97 98 92 92 99 55 53 50 53 59 176.0% 183.9% 185.5% 173.2% 168.9%
(5) 15 35 55 75 95 115 135 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 24Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
LCR Ra R Ratio (%)
HQLA (SARbn) Net cash outflows (SARbn) LCR 83.2% 86.8% 84.4% 82.4% 79.9%
1 1 1 1 14Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
LD LDR R Ra Ratio* ( (%)
13.5% 13.6% 13.2% 12.6% 12.8% 4Q 18 1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19
Basel el III L Lev ever erage e Ratio (%)
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Strategic Enablers
Dig igit ital Pr Product uctivity
Accelerat ate d digital al tran ansformat ation Inc Incre rease Opera rationa nal Efficienc ncy
- Digital sales
- Advanced analytics
- Lean distribution
- Robotics & AI
Funding
Cu Curre rrent t Acco ccoun unts Wh Whole lesale le Fund nding ng
Grow C Current Accou
- unts
Expand nd Fundi nding ng Opt Options
- Digital & physical
distribution
- Cash management
- Customer coverage
models
- Programs across
maturity and seniority spectrums
- Mix and cost
- ptimization
2020 Strategy Overview
19
Strategic agenda for 2020 positions NCB for continued growth
Asset Deployment
Reta tail Cor
- rpor
- rat
ate Treasur sury Subsid idia iarie ies
Grow M Mort rtga gage ges Im Impro rove R Returns rns Sustain Inv n Investment nt Retur urns s Grow V Value Cont ntri ribu bution
- Sales channels
- Digitization
- Mega financing
- SME
- Transaction banking
- Recurring revenues
- Portfolio liquidity &
quality
- Key business lines
- Efficiency &
productivity
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
2020 Guidance
20
Economic outlook provides opportunities
Macro-Economic Outlook
202 020 O 0 Outloo
- ok
Oil Pr Price ce USD 60 / bbl US US Fed ed R Rates es Stable GDP G Gro rowth wth Real GDP +2.3% Bu Budget et
- Revenue SAR 833 bn
- Expenditure SAR 1.0 tr
- Deficit 6.4% of GDP
Inflat ation
- n
+2.0%
Financial Guidance
FY 2 201 019 9 Repor
- rted
202 020 G 0 Guidan ance Financing G Gro rowth wth +6% 10 - 12% NSC NSCI M Margi gin 3.77% 3.60% - 3.80% Cost st t to I Inco come me 30.7% Below 32% Cos
- st of
- f Ri
Risk 0.51% 0.6% - 0.8% Tie ier 1 1 CAR AR 18.0% 16% - 18%
Q&A SESSION
4Q & FY 2019 Results
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
4Q & FY 2019 Results
NCB Investor Relations | 4Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Cont ntact ct U Us
The National Commercial Bank P.O. Box 3555 21481 Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
- Mr. Abdulbadie Alyafi
Head Of Investor Relations +966 12 646 3988 investorrelations@alahli.com
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- re I
Inform formation
- n
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