Earnin rnings gs Call ll Slides des 4Q19 Q19 March, 2020 This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Earnin rnings gs Call ll Slides des 4Q19 Q19 March, 2020 This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Earnin rnings gs Call ll Slides des 4Q19 Q19 March, 2020 This presentation has been prepared by Goodrich Petroleum Corporation (the Company) solely for information purposes and may include "forward- looking statements"
This presentation has been prepared by Goodrich Petroleum Corporation (the “Company”) solely for information purposes and may include "forward- looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. Private Litigation Securities Reform Act of 1995. The Company, its respective employees, directors,
- fficers or advisors, does not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the presentation
- materials. The Company shall have no liability for this presentation, information contained herein, or any representations (expressed or implied),
whether the communications were oral or written. The statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that the Company expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. These statements include, but are not limited to forward-looking statements about acquisitions, divestitures, trades, potential strategic alliances, the availability of capital, the expectations of plans, strategies, objectives and anticipated financial and operating results of the Company, including the Company's drilling program, production, hedging activities, capital expenditure levels and other guidance that may be included in this presentation. These statements are based on certain assumptions made by the Company based on management's experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, anticipated future developments and other factors believed to be appropriate. Such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those implied or expressed by the forward-looking statements. These include risks relating to the Company's financial performance and results, availability of sufficient cash flow to execute its business plan, prices and demand for oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids, the ability to replace reserves and efficiently develop current reserves, the ability to access the capital markets and finance operations, including capital expenditures, and
- ther important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected as described in this presentation and the Company's
reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. See "Risk Factors" in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other public filings and press releases.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made and the Company undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
March, 2020
2
Environmental:
- Total Gas Flared:
- Total GHG Emissions: (2019) (000 Mt) (EPA,LDEQ,MDEQ,TECQ Compliant) 27
- Total Water Use (2019 - MMBls):
5.1
Social:
- Number of Employees:
51
- Percentage of Employees Unionized:
0%
- Percentage of Women in the Workforce:
51%
- Percentage of Minorities in the Workforce:
20%
- Percentage of Minorities in Management:
11%
- Community Spending:
Low
Governance:
- Size of Board:
8
- Independent Directors:
6
- Percentage of Independent Directors:
75%
- Board Duration:
1 Year
- Number of Board Meetings:
10
- Board Meeting Attendance:
100%
- Political Donations:
N/A
March, 2020 3
16 Year Inventory of Core Locations (77% Operated)
Acreage is Held By Production and Fully De-Risked
>1.0 Tcf of Natural Gas Resource Potential in North Louisiana
Production: 145,000 Mcfe/day (4Q19), 85% YOY Growth
Low Finding/Development and Lifting Cost Generating Competitive Rates of Return
2.5 Bcf Per 1,000 Feet of Lateral
Low LOE ($0.05/Mcf) and No Sev Tax on New Wells
Return on Capital Employed (“ROCE”) – 12.4% (TTM EBIT/(Assets – Current Liabilities)
4Q19 Adjusted EBITDA of $20.9 Million. EBITDA Margin
- f Approximately 62%*
Top Tier Capital Efficiency
Low Leverage (4Q19 – Net Debt to EBITDA – 1.25X)
Low Multiple (EV/EBITDA ~ 2.0X)
TUSCALOOSA MARINE SHALE:
Gross (Net) Acres (4Q19): 48,000 (33,000) Proved Reserves (YE19 – SEC) 7 Bcfe Objectives: Tuscaloosa Marine Shale
EAGLE E FORD SHALE: E:
Gross (Net) Acres (4Q1 Q19): 18,000 (12,000) Proved Reserve ves (YE19 – SEC) 0 Objective ves: Eagle Ford Shale, Pearsall Shale & Buda Lime
HAYNESVILLE / BOSSIER SHALE ANGELINA RIVER TREND (“ART”)
Gross (Net) Acres (4Q18): 7,000 (3,000) Proved Reserves (YE18 - SEC) Objective: Haynesville & Bossier Shale
HAYNES ESVIL ILLE LE SHALE - CORE CORE
Gross (Net) Acres (4Q1 Q19): 42,000 (22,000) Proved Reserve ves (YE19 - SEC) 510 Bcfe Objective ve: Haynes nesvi ville Shale
HAYN YNESV SVILLE PURE PLAY AY OPPO PORTUN RTUNIT ITY STRONG RONG HAYN YNESV SVILL ILLE RESUL ULTS TS COMP MPANY ANY RETURN URNS S AND BALANC ANCE SHE HEET T
Texas Mississippi
March, 2020 4
* EBITDA Margin defined as EBITDA divided by Revenues adjusted for settled derivatives
5 55 303 428 480 517 100 200 300 400 500 600 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2019 ETX TMS NLA - Haynesville Total
SEC PV10 10 of $297 7 Mill llion
- n
YE19 9 Prov
- ved Rese
serv rves es by Area rea (Bcfe Bcfe, , %) YE19 9 Prov
- ved Rese
serv rves es by Categor tegory y (Bcfe Bcfe, , %) %) SEC Prove
- ved
d Reserv eserves es (Bcfe cfe) YE19 9 Prove
- ved
d Rese serv rves es by Commod
- dity
ity (Bcfe cfe, , %)
March, 2020
PUD- 372 (72%) PDP- 145 (28%)
HS – 510 (99%)
TMS-7 (1%) Natural Gas – 510 (99%) Oil - 7 (1%)
Cash
$1,452
Debt
- Senior Credit Facility
92,900
- 2L Convertible Notes
12,969 Total Debt 105,869 Total Net Debt $104,417
March, 2020 6
March, 2020
- 20,000
40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000
Mcfe/Day /Day
Mcfe/Day
7
* Mid-Point of Guidance
Period riod Nat atural ural Gas Volumes s Swap p Volumes s Collar lar Volumes s Swa wap p Price ce Collar lar Price ces s
(MCFPD PD) (MCFPD PD) (MCFPD)
CFPD)
4Q19 100,000 100,000 0 $2.89
1Q20 70,000 70,000 0 $2.87
2Q20 70,000 47,000 23,000 $2.54 $2.40 - $2.62
3Q20 70,000 45,000 25,000 $2.56 $2.40 - $2.62
4Q20 70,000 45,000 25,000 $2.59 $2.40 - $2.62
1Q21 70,000 43,000 27,000 $2.64 $2.40 - $2.62 Perio iod Oil Volumes s Swap p Volumes s Collar ar Volumes s Swap p Price ce Collar llar Price ces s (BOPD) OPD) (BOPD) OPD) (BOP OPD) D)
4Q19 300 300 0 $51.08
1Q20 250 250 0 $60.44
2Q20 225 225 0 $59.41
3Q20 210 210 0 $58.36
4Q20 200 200 0 $57.51
1Q21 200 200 0 $56.58 March, 2020 8
Product ductio ion 2020E
2020E
Annual Net Production: 53 – 56 Bcfe
Avg Daily Production (Mid-Point): : 149,300 Mcfe/d
Natural Gas:
99%
Cape pex (MM) $55 - 65
Price e Real alization ation HH Less $0.20 – 0.30
Unit Cost sts s (Per Mcfe)
LOE $0.20 – 0.25
Taxes $0.05 – 0.10
Transportation $0.25 – 0.35
G&A (Cash) $0.24 – 0.30
Activity y (Turned In Line) Well ells
Gross (Net) Wells: 13 (5.8)
Average Net Lateral Length: ~8,500’
Percentage Operated (Net): 72%
Net Capi pital al Allocat cation
Bethany-Longstreet 91%
Thorn Lake 9%
Quarterl erly y Comp mplet etion n (TIL) L) Cadenc dence e
1Q20 1 Gross (1.0 Net)
2Q20 7 Gross (2.3 Net)
3Q20 2 Gross (1.8 Net)
4Q20 4 Gross (0.7 Net)
Total 13 Gross (5.8 Net)
March, 2020 9
- 10.00
- 5.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 GDP GDP
ROCE CE
March, 2020
Peer Group Includes: APA,AR,BCEI,CDEV,CHK,CLR,COG,CPE,CRC,CRK,CXO,DNR,DVN,EOG, EQT,FANG,GDP,GPOR,HPR,KOS,LPI,MGY,MTDR,MUR,NBL,OAS,OVV,PDCE,PE,PVAC,PXD,QEP,RRC, SD,SM,SWN,WLL,WPX,XEC Source: Bloomberg, Company (4Q19 Financ ancial als as of Mar arch 3, 2020)
10
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 GDP GDP
NET DEBT BT/EB /EBITDA ITDA
March, 2020
Peer Group Includes: APA,AR,BCEI,CDEV,CHK,CLR,COG,CPE,CRC,CRK,CXO,DNR,DVN, EOG,EQT,FANG,GDP,GPOR,HPR,KOS,LPI,MGY,MTDR,MUR,NBL,OAS,OVV,PDCE,PE,PVAC,PXD,QEP RRC,SD,SM,SWN,WLL,WPX,XEC Source: : Bloom
- mbe
berg, , Compa pany (4Q19 Finan ancial als as of Mar arch 3, 2020)
11
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 GDP GDP
EV/EBITDA EBITDA
March, 2020
Peer Group Includes: APA,AR,BCEI,CDEV,CHK,CLR,COG,CPE,CRC,CRK,CXO,DNR,DVN,EOG,EQT, FANG,GDP,GPOR,HPR,KOS,LPI,MGY,MTDR,MUR,NBL,OAS,OVV,PDCE,PE,PVAC, PXD,QEP,RRC,SD,SM,SWN,WLL,WPX,XEC Source: Bloomberg, Company (4Q19 Financ ancial als as of Mar arch 3, 2020)
12
GDP P 22,000 ,000 Net t Acres cres
Pay Zones
} 100 – 300 feet
March, 2020 13
March, 2020 14
Haynesville - Core
- Total Gross/Net Acres:
~34,000/19,000
- Average WI/NRI: ~59%/43%
- Acreage HBP: 100%
- 117 total producing wells (32
Operated)
- 1/1/20 – Inventory of 208 gross (91
net) potential locations on 880’ spacing – 16 Year Inventory
- Operator for Approximately 73% of
the NLA core position
- CHK Joint Venture on most of the
remaining 27% of NLA Core Acreage
- Recent Acreage Swaps Adding to
Operated and Long Lateral Acreage
- Continuing to Look For Bolt-On
Opportunities Shelby Trough/Angelina River Trend (ART) Haynesville and Bossier Shales:
- Total Gross/Net Acres: ~8,000/
3,000
- Average WI/NRI: ~40% / 30%
TOTAL L HAYNESVI SVILL LLE E SHALE ~22,00 000 0 net Ac ART 3,000 0 Net Ac Ac
NORTH TH LOUIS ISIA IANA CORE AREA 19,000 ,000 Net t Ac
Rig Source: Ulterra Bits
HAYNESVILLE – RECENT INDUSTRY ACTIVITY
March, 2020 15
(8) CHK ROTC 1 & 2 10,000’ Laterals IP: 72,000 Mcf/d 19 Bcf in 19 months (11) GDP-Wurtsbaugh 25-24 #2&3 7,500’ Laterals IP: 25,000 Mcf/d IP: 29,000 Mcf/d (10) GDP Wurtsbaugh 26 4,600’ Lateral IP: 22,000 Mcf/d (9) GDP MSR - Hunt 5H-1 4,600’ Lateral IP: 17,000 Mcf/d (22) CHK Black 1H IP: 44,000 Mcf/d 10,000’ Lateral (21) Vine HA RA SU74;L L Golson 3 - 003-ALT IP: 18,800 Mcf/d 4,661’ Lateral
- 5. CHK
GEPH Unit IP: 47,988 Mcf/d 15,000’ Lateral
- 4. CRK
HUNTER 28-21HC 1&2 IP: 27,000 Mcf/d each 9,200’ Laterals (13) GDP Franks 25&24 #1 IP: 30,000 Mcf/d 9,600’ Lateral (12) GDP Wurtsbaugh 25-24 #1 8,800’ Lateral IP: 31,000 Mcf/d (19) GDP Cason-Dickson #1&2 IP: 31 MMcf/d, IP: 23 MMcf/d 8,000 & 3,000’ Laterals
- 3. CRK
FLORSHEIM 9-16 HC #1&2 10,000’ Laterals IP: 26,500 Mcf/d IP: 27,600 Mcf/d (20) GDP Cason-Dickson 23&24 #3&4 IP: 62,000 Mcf/d 9,300’ Laterals (18) GDP Harris 14&23 #1 IP: 27,500 Mcf/d 6,100’ Lateral (14) GDP Loftus 27&22 #1 & 2 26,000 Mcfe/d 25,000 Mcfe/d 7,500’ Laterals (15) GDP Demmon 34H #1 22,500 Mcf/d 4,600’ Lateral (16) GDP Wurtsbaugh 35H #1 IP: 22,500 Mcf/d 4,600’ Lateral (7) CRK Cook 21-28 HC #2 10,000’ Lateral IP: 26,800 Mcf/d 3,798#/ft (6) CRK Cook 21-28 HC #1 10,000’ Lateral IP: 25,600 Mcf/d 3,803#/ft (2) CRK Nissen 28-21HC #2 10,000’ Lateral IP: 25,000 Mcf/d 3,801#/ft (1) CRK Nissen 28-21HC #1 10,000’ Lateral IP: 27,000 Mcf/d 3,796#/ft (17) Covey Park Tucker 31-6C H1 IP 18,045 Mcf/d 7,466’ Lateral
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10-16 17 18-20 21 22
(22) GDP Melody Jones 20H-1 4,600’ Lateral IP: 22,000 Mcf/d
22
(23) CRK Gates 26-35 #1 & #2 10,000’ Laterals IP: 24,600 Mcf/d IP: 23,700 Mcf/d
23
March, 2020 16
March, 2020 17
March, 2020 18
March, 2020 19
Assumptions Louisiana EUR 12.2 Bcf (2.7 Bcf/1,000’) Sales Gas BTU Price Adjustment 1.020 Pricing Differentials/ Transportation Average - NYMEX less $0.15 / MMBtu Transportation: $0.25 / Mcf Fixed Opex Fixed Opex: $3,290 / month Variable Opex $0.07 / Mcf Severance Tax Payout or 24 month tax holiday; thereafter $0.12 / Mcf Ad Val Tax $0.04 / Mcf Royalty Burden 27.0% D&C Capex $8.9 MM Facilities Capex $0.185 MM, included in D&C Capex Spud to 1st Sale 60 Days PV10 (M$)
($2.75/Mcf Pricing)
$4,875 (Post Capex) Economic EUR’s vary depending on gas price assumptions. 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 20 40 60 80 100 120 Avg g Daily y Produ ducti tion
- n (Mcfpd
pd) Month ths
4,600' Lateral ral Type Curve ve
4,600' Lateral EUR Capex (Mmcfe) ($M) 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110% 2.00 3.7% 11.5% 21.3% 2.00 20.7% 11.5% 5.1% 2.25 9.0% 23.6% 40.6% 2.25 38.2% 23.6% 13.0% 2.50 22.4% 38.0% 56.6% 2.50 54.3% 38.0% 26.2% 2.75 35.6% 54.8% 77.3% 2.75 75.1% 54.8% 40.0% 3.00 51.2% 74.2% 101.7% 3.00 98.7% 74.2% 56.4%
Ownership: WI 100% - NRI 73% Pricing: Flat Pricing AFE: Two well pad.
IRR Sensitivity Analysis Estimates (IRR sensitivity to EURs and Capex) IRRs Incoporates Early Time Outperformance
Gas Price Gas Price
March, 2020 20
Assumptions Louisiana EUR 21 Bcf (2.8 Bcf/1,000’) Sales Gas BTU Price Adjustment 1.020 Pricing Differentials/ Transportation Average - NYMEX less $0.15 / MMBtu Transportation - $0.25 / Mcf Fixed Opex Fixed Opex: $3,290 / month Variable Opex $0.07 / Mcf Severance Tax Payout or 24 month tax holiday; thereafter $0.12 / Mcf Ad Val Tax $0.04 / Mcf Royalty Burden 27.0% D&C Capex $11.5 MM Facilities Capex $0.185 MM, included in D&C Capex Spud to 1st Sale 60 Days
PV10 (M$)
($2.75/Mcf Pricing)
$10,132 (Post Capex) Economic EUR’s vary depending on gas price assumptions. 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 20 40 60 80 100 120 Avg g Daily y Produ ducti tion
- n (Mcfpd
pd) Month ths
7,500' Lateral ral Type Curve ve 7,500' Lateral EUR Capex (Mmcfe) ($M) 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110% 2.00 15.9% 24.9% 35.4% 2.00 34.9% 24.9% 17.9% 2.25 26.7% 40.4% 72.7% 2.25 54.9% 40.4% 29.9% 2.50 41.2% 58.9% 78.9% 2.50 77.7% 58.9% 45.4% 2.75 58.0% 80.6% 106.4% 2.75 104.8% 80.6% 62.9% 3.00 78.3% 105.8% 137.5% 3.00 135.4% 105.8% 83.6%
Ownership: WI 100% - NRI 73% Pricing: Flat Pricing AFE: Two well pad.
IRR Sensitivity Analysis Estimates (IRR sensitivity to EURs and Capex) IRRs Incoporates Early Time Outperformance
Gas Price Gas Price
March, 2020 21
Assumptions Louisiana EUR 25 Bcf (2.5 Bcf/1,000’) Sales Gas BTU Price Adjustment 1.020 Pricing Differentials/ Transportation Average - NYMEX less $0.15 / MMBtu Transportation - $0.25 / Mcf Fixed Opex Fixed Opex: $3,290 / month Variable Opex $0.07 / Mcf Severance Tax Payout or 24 month tax holiday; thereafter $0.12 / Mcf Ad Val Tax $0.03 / Mcf Royalty Burden 27.0% D&C Capex $13.1 MM Facilities Capex $0.185 MM, included in D&C Capex Spud to 1st Sale 60 Days
PV10 (M$)
($3.00/Mcf Pricing)
$14,376 (Post Capex) Economic EUR’s vary depending on gas price assumptions. 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 20 40 60 80 100 120 Avg g Daily y Produ ducti tion
- n (Mcfpd
pd) Month ths
10,000' Lateral ral Type Curve 10,000' Lateral EUR Capex (Mmcfe) ($M) 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110% 2.00 15.4% 23.3% 31.9% 2.00 31.2% 23.3% 16.8% 2.25 24.8% 35.9% 48.5% 2.25 47.6% 35.9% 27.1% 2.50 40.1% 55.4% 72.9% 2.50 71.8% 55.4% 43.1% 2.75 58.2% 78.5% 101.9% 2.75 100.5% 78.5% 62.2% 3.00 79.3% 105.6% 135.8% 3.00 134.1% 105.6% 84.4%
Ownership: WI 100% - NRI 73% Pricing: Flat Pricing AFE: Two well pad.
IRR Sensitivity Analysis (IRR sensitivity to EURs and Capex) IRRs Incoporates Early Time Outperformance
Gas Price Gas Price
Cash Flow Generation With Strong Balance Sheet and Low
Trading Multiple Creates an Attractive Entry Point for the Stock
16 Year Inventory on Core Haynesville Position Provides 1+ Tcf
- f Resource Potential on Acreage Held By Production