Does ride-sourcing absorb the demand for car and public transport - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

does ride sourcing absorb the demand for car and public
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Does ride-sourcing absorb the demand for car and public transport - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Does ride-sourcing absorb the demand for car and public transport in Amsterdam? Jishnu Narayan Oded Cats Niels van Oort Serge Hoogendoorn Department of Transport and Planning TU Delft 1 Structure Mobility trends and objective


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Does ride-sourcing absorb the demand for car and public transport in Amsterdam?

Jishnu Narayan Oded Cats Niels van Oort Serge Hoogendoorn Department of Transport and Planning TU Delft

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Structure

  • Mobility trends and objective
  • Modelling framework
  • Amsterdam scenario
  • Simulation scenarios
  • Results and Conclusion
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Mobility trends worldwide

Advancements in ICT Rise of on-demand services User operator interaction Flexibility of travel

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Mobility trends worldwide

Timely to assess the potential of such services Car and public transport increasingly lose their share

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Ride-sourcing service replacing private cars

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Modelling framework

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Agent based simulation model for Amsterdam

Agent based simulation model

  • Users as agents
  • Autonomous decision making
  • Activity based travel plan
  • One iteration = one day
  • 168,103 people
  • 17,375 nodes
  • 31,502 links
  • 2,517 public transport stops

Amsterdam network

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Service definition

Public transport Ride-sourcing services

  • Real time requests (no pre booking)
  • Offers door-to-door service
  • Private taxi like service

Dispatching unit

Privately owned cars Active modes

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Fleet size to provide similar los as PT trips Fleet size to provide similar los as car trips

Scenarios considered

Base case Ride-sourcing vehicles enter the system

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Fleet size to provide similar los for all PT trips

1417 (1%) vehicles is able to achieve door-to-door travel time 2834 (2%) vehicles is able to achieve stop-to-stop travel time

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Impact of ride-sourcing on PT sub networks

100% PT 100% ride-sourcing

Bus and tram users mostly switch to active modes and ride-sourcing Most PT users shift to ride-sourcing due to longer trips

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4251 vehicles (3%) is able to achieve near to similar travel time as car trips in base case

Fleet size to provide similar los for all car trips

The fleet size corresponds to 9.1% of cars in base cases

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Key findings

Base case Fleet of ride-sourcing vehicles is introduced

29% 21% 22% 28%

How many vehicles are required to provide similar los as PT?

Door-to-door travel time Stop-to-stop travel time

1417 vehicles 1.3% of PT trips 2834 vehicles 2.7% of PT trips

How many vehicles to provide similar los as car?

Total travel time Replacement ratio

1:9 4251 vehicles 3% of total demand

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Future direction

  • Impact of a simultaneously shared service
  • Multiple ride-sourcing operators
  • Impact of cost on market share of users
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Thank you!!!