Diversification against Capitalism Konstantin Simonov Sofia - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Diversification against Capitalism Konstantin Simonov Sofia - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

National Energy Security Fund Diversification against Capitalism Konstantin Simonov Sofia October 15 2015 Is it thrush? National Energy Security Fund The results of four years investigation of the European Commission It is not Gazprom


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National Energy Security Fund

Diversification against Capitalism

Konstantin Simonov

Sofia October 15 2015

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Is it thrush?

National Energy Security Fund

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The results of four years investigation of the European Commission

  • It is not Gazprom that is to blame for the fact that

some countries on account of their geography, history, and economic and political decisions have an alternative to Russian gas and others have not. Gazprom did not and could not prevent anyone from building their own interconnectors, underground storage facilities, LNG terminals, and other infrastructure

  • The charges concerning preventing cross-border

flows of gas sound even more ridiculous. How it is possible in Bulgaria? If you have no alternative supplier – it is not guilt of Gazprom

National Energy Security Fund

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How is responsible for prices?

National Energy Security Fund

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Romania Hungary Denmark Croatia Turkey Latvia Estonia Bulgaria Poland Serbia Lithuania Slovakia Luxembourg Czech Republic Slovenia Netherlands Belgium Germany Austria United Kingdom Ireland Sweden Italy France Greece Liechtenstein Spain Portugal Gazprom price*

* - Gazprom’s Average Price of Gas Deliveries to EU+Turkey without Baltic in 2014 Source: Eurostat, NESF calculations Gas Prices for Households excl. of Tax in European Countries (H2 2014, €/’000 Cubic Metres)

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How is responsible for prices?

National Energy Security Fund

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Romania Hungary Turkey Serbia Bulgaria Croatia Latvia Estonia Lithuania Poland Luxembourg Slovakia Czech Republic Slovenia United Kingdom Belgium Germany Austria Ireland France Greece Netherlands Liechtenstein Denmark Italy Spain Portugal Sweden Gazprom price*

* - Gazprom’s Average Price of Gas Deliveries to EU+Turkey without Baltic in 2014 Source: Eurostat, NESF calculations

Gas Prices for Households incl. of Tax in European Countries (H2 2014, €/’000 Cubic Metres)

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National Energy Security Fund

Transit Prize

Planned distribution of South Stream gas, bcm per year

14 2,5 3 7 2 32 2,5 Turkey Bulgaria Greece Hungary Serbia Baumgarten* Others

* Italy and Austria

Source: Gazprom, NESF calculations

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Money is nothing?

National Energy Security Fund

40 million Euros now and 600 million Euros in future ANNAULLY

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You do not want to earn money?

National Energy Security Fund

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Okay, Germany will do it!

National Energy Security Fund

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Policy of neighbors

Turkey gas import in 2010-2014, bcm

National Energy Security Fund

10 20 30 40 50 60 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LNG Iran Azerbaijan Russia

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Still no alternative

  • Supply of Russian gas to Europe (net of direct sales to the

Baltic states and Finland as well as supply to Turkey) in August 2015 increased by 28% compared with the same month of last

  • year. The supply of Russian gas to Europe during 9 months of

2015 was 92 bcm compared with 90 bcm last year.

  • In most European countries there is a very significant lag in

terms of pumping gas into under ground storage facilities (USF). For example, in Germany at the end of August reserves were 4.7 billion cubic metres or 24% lower than last year. They are just 67% full versus 90% on 1 September 2014. In countries in Southeast Europe (Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary), reserves are 3.3 billion cubic metres (25%) lower than last year

National Energy Security Fund

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National Energy Security Fund

Thank you!

simonov@energystate.ru