EDC COMPANY PRESENTATION
DECEMBER 2013
S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L
DISCLAIMER This presentation contains certain forward looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
C O N F I D E N T I A L A N D P R I V A T E S T R I C T L Y EDC C OMPANY P RESENTATION D ECEMBER 2013 DISCLAIMER This presentation contains certain forward looking statements. These forward looking statements include words or phrases such
EDC COMPANY PRESENTATION
DECEMBER 2013
S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L
2
This presentation contains certain “forward looking statements.” These forward looking statements include words or phrases such as EDC
statements that describe EDC’s objectives, plans or goals also are forward-looking statements. All such forward looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward-looking statement. Such forward looking statements are made based on management’s current expectations or beliefs as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. EDC does not make expressed or implied representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information contained herein and shall not accept any responsibility or liability (including any third party liability) for any loss or damage, whether or not arising from any error or omission in compiling such information or as a result of any party’s reliance or use of such information. The information and opinions in this presentation are subject to change without notice. This presentation does not constitute a prospectus or other offering memorandum in whole or in part. Information contained in this presentation is a summary only and is prepared for discussion purposes and is not a complete record of the discussions. This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. There shall be no sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to qualification under securities laws of such state or jurisdiction. By receiving this presentation, each investor is deemed to represent that it is a sophisticated investor and possesses sufficient investment expertise to understand the risks involved. Prospective investors should undertake their own assessment with regard to their investment and they should obtain independent advice on any such investment’s suitability, inherent risks and merits and any tax, legal and accounting implications which it may have for them.
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Page
Key Investment Highlights 4 – 22
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights 23 – 33
Growth Projects 34 – 42
Summary 43 – 44
Page
Stages of Geothermal Development 47 – 51
WESM 52 – 54
Feed-in-Tariff and Retail Open Access 55 – 57
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5
Key Investment Highlights
2nd largest vertically integrated geothermal company in the world
geothermal concession areas
energy Energy sales largely derived from long term revenue contracts
both Parent and Project Company level
agreements start expiring in 2031 88% increase in generating capacity achieved in 2009 – 2010
driving revenue growth
successfully acquired in Chile (4) and Peru (4) Geothermal is a competitive, strategic and reliable energy source
demand and tightening reserves margin
regulatory support to the sector Financial risks deliberately managed
stakeholders
investment profile maintained
6
Domaine Expertise
COMPANY COUNTRY
STEAM CAPACITY
(in MW)
PLANT CAPACITY
(in MW)
Calpine USA 1,310 1,310
Comision Federal de Electricidad Mexico 958 958
Enel Green Power Italy 915 915
Chevron USA 1,329 887*
Ormat Israel 689 749
Mighty River Power New Zealand 385 385
Terra Gen USA 337 337
Contact Energy New Zealand 335 335
Orkuveita Reykjavikur Iceland 333 333
CalEnergy Generation USA 329 329
Star Energy Ltd. Indonesia 227 227
Northern California Power Agency USA 220 220
Note: * Not included is the 442 MW operated by the Indonesian Government through PLN Source: Bertani, Ruggero, 2010: Geothermal Power Generation in the World 2005-2010 Update Report
2ND LARGEST VERTICALLY INTEGRATED GEOTHERMAL COMPANY GLOBALLY
7
Domaine Expertise
LEGEND
694.4MW Geothermal steam field and power plant
(Integrated)
87MW Wind
(under development)
435MW Geothermal steam field and power plant
(EDC/EDC subsidiary)
132MW Hydro power plant
(EDC subsidiary)
1 1 1 1 2 3 2
NPC DUs WESM NGCP TOTAL %
LUZON
778 498 1,826 9 VISAYAS 8,245 7,789 550
84 MINDANAO 1,373
7
TOTAL 9,618 8,339 1,328 498 19,783
100 %
49 42 7 2
100
87MW Burgos (Under development) 120MW Pantabangan 12MW Masiway 110MW Bacman I 20MW Bacman II 112.5MW Tongonan 112.5MW Palinpinon I 80MW Palinpinon II 125MW Upper Mahiao 232.5MW Malitbog 180MW Mahanagdong 50.9MW Optimization 52 MW Mindanao I 54 MW Mindanao II
1 1 1 1 2 3 2
1,129MW Geothermal 79MW Hydro Power
7% of Installed Capacity 10% of Electricity Produced
Wind Energy (under development)
TECHNOLOGY & GEOGRAPHICALLY DIVERSE
YTD 3Q 2013 Revenues
8
Domaine Expertise
Fluid Collection and Recycling Operations; Electricity Generation; Maintenance and Repair; Resource Management;
Surface Exploration Geo-scientific Investigation Exploration and Well Testing Resource Assessment Feasibility Study Fluid and Recycling Systems Design and Construction Power Plant Development
FULLY INTEGRATED AND SPANS THE ENTIRE GEOTHERMAL VALUE CHAIN
9
Contract-based Cash Flows
EDC Parent (4) 2,076 32% EGC (3) 3,242 51% FGHPC 1,082 17% EDC Parent (4) 5,432 43% EGC (3) 5,710 45% FGHPC 1,526 12% EDC Parent (4) 9,618 49% EGC (3) 8,339 42% FGHPC 1,826 9%
(2) All figures in PHP millions as of Sept. 30, 2013 (3) EGC figures do not include Bacman revenues from own generation - capitalized
since these were incurred pre-operations as per accounting rules
(4) EDC Parent figures include, Drillco, EWEHI, and International
19,783
EBITDA (2) as of Sept. 2013
12,668
Net Income (2) as of Sept. 2013
6,400
First Gen Hydro Power Corporation (FGHPC)
120.0 MW Pantabangan 12.0 MW Masiway
60%
Wind Energy Projects
87.0 MW Burgos (Under Development)
100%
International Expansion
100% EDC Geothermal Corporation (EGC) 100%
192.5 MW Palinpinon 112.5 MW Tongonan
Green Core Geothermal
100%
110.0 MW Bac-Man I 20.0 MW Bac-Man II
Bac-Man Geothermal
100%
(1)
588.4 MW Unified Leyte Power Project 106 MW Mindanao Power Project Note: 49 MW No. Negros was put
2011 (1) Formerly First Luzon Geothermal Energy Corporation (FLGEC)
Lopez Group
IFC GIC Public
E: 49.93 % V: 33.62% E: 1.69 % V: 1.12 % V: 3.35 % E: 5.03 % V: 61.91 % E: 43.35 %
Revenues (2) as of Sept. 2013
GENERATES CASHFLOWS AT BOTH PARENT AND SUBSIDIARY LEVELS
10
Contract-based Cash Flows
Electric Cooperatives/ Third party customers
POSSESSES STABLE AND PREDICTABLE CASH FLOWS
Subsidiaries of EDC
National Power Corporation
Power Supply Agreements (PSA) Transition Supply Contracts (TSC) Percentage of Consolidated Revenues (2) Power Purchase Agreements
USD Linkage
Electricity Cashflow
Steam Sales Agreements (SSA)
Bac-Man (1) Geothermal
Geothermal Resources Sales Contracts (GRSC)
Green Core Geothermal FG Hydro
Electricity Cashflow Electricity Cashflow Electricity Cashflow Steam
Cashflow or Dividends
Steam
Cashflow or Dividends
Dividends
Electricity 49% 73%
Sovereign off-take
Electricity 51% 0%
Commercial off-take
(1) Undergoing rehabilitation (2) As of Sept. 30, 2013
11
Contract-based Cash Flows
NGCP 498 2% DU 8,340 42% NPC 9,618 49% WESM 1,328 7%
19,783
LIMITED EXPOSURE TO VOLATILE SPOT MARKET
LONG-TERM CONTRACTUAL AGREEMENTS
(1) Consolidated revenues as of Sept. 30, 2013
2031 Geothermal Renewable Energy Service Contract CONCESSION Power Purchase Agreements (sovereign) Power Supply Agreements (commercial) ELECTRICITY 2024 2022
REVENUE IN PHP MILLIONS REVENUE IN GWH TERM STRUCTURE OF CONTRACTS(1) In PHP Millions
year concession agreements start expiring
revenue from volatile spot market
expanded revenue base from non-institutional clients
National Power Corporation 9,618 49% National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (Ancillary Services) 498 2% Distribution Utilities/Industrial 8,340 42% WESM 1,328 7% National Power Corporation 3,283 62% National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (Ancillary Services) 110 2% Distribution Utilities/Industrial 1,663 31% WESM 276 5%
revenue from contract tenors of 3-5 yrs
SPOT 1-2 YRS 3-5 YRS >6 YRS WESM 7%
DU
9% 22%
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Track Record of Growth III
19,007
28,369
10,324
17,330
8,768
10,376
(+) 125.0 MW
Upper Mahiao
(+) 49.4 MW
(+) 463.4 MW
Mahanagdong, Malitbog, and Optimization
(+) 132.0 MW
Pantabangan – Masiway
geothermal concessions
(-) 49.4 MW
(-) 20.0 MW
Botong
(+) 150.0 MW
Bac-Man I & II
(+) 106.0 MW
Mindanao I & II
(+) 305.0 MW
Palinpinon & Tongonan
SIGNIFICANT PORTFOLIO EXPANSION SINCE PRIVATIZATION
STEAMFIELD OPERATOR STEAMFIELD AND POWER PLANT OPERATOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2006 1976 - 2005
current (MW) 125 512.8 132 411 150 (69.4)
125 637.8 769.8 1,180.8 1,330.8 1,261.4 1,261.4
Revenues 49.3% EBITDA 67.9% Net Income 18.3%
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Track Record of Growth III
1,046 6,555 8,186 10,563 1,247 2,140 2,408 4,753 3.68 3.58 4.38 4.93 3.90 6.10 4.50 5.40
1.00 3.00 5.00 7.00 9.00
2 5 8 11 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012
DRIVERS OF REVENUE GROWTH
Leak-free “Vanessa” Valves increased plant output by 2.89 MW (ave.) NJA interconnection addresses a 2 MW shortfall without drilling a new well
INVESTMENT Php42 Million REVENUES
Php170 Million
INVESTMENT Php5.7 Million REVENUES
Php67 Million for 10 mos. GCGI
Revenues 900%
RECENT PLANT ACQUISITIONS RESTRUCTURING THE ORGANIZATION - FROM BEING FUNCTION-LED, TO BEING DRIVEN BY STRATEGIC BUSINESS UNITS (SBUs)
Revenue
(PHP Million)
SBUs will deliver long-term effect of deeper business insights for improved decision making
BOD PRESIDENT
NEGROS ISLAND BACMAN LEYTE LATIN AMERICA INDONESIA FG HYDRO BURGOS WIND CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE SBUs
FG Hydro
Revenues 281%
years during which we planted the seeds of growth
Tongonan and Palinpinon have started to yield robust results
Revenues (LHS)
(P/KWh)
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Track Record of Growth III
MAINTAINS A TRACK RECORD OF OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
Unified Leyte Palinpinon I Palinpinon II Mindanao I Mindanao II Tongonan
Availability Factor (1) (%) Reliability Factor(2) (%)
Visayas Mindanao
YTD 3Q ‘12
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 97% 74% 99% 97% 98% 85%
YTD 3Q ‘12
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 99% 77% 99% 99% 100% 85%
YTD 3Q ‘13
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 98% 92% 83% 99% 100% 100%
YTD 3Q ‘13
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 98% 100% 99% 100% 100% 94% Source: Company data as of the end of Sept. 30, 2013 (1) Availability Factor - Fraction of time a unit is capable of providing service, considering both planned and unplanned outages. (2) Reliability Factor - Measure of ability of generating units to perform their intended function, considering unplanned outages only.
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Favorable Industry Dynamics IV
PRINCIPAL TAX BENEFITS PRIMARY REVENUE & COST INCENTIVES OTHER KEY INCENTIVES
proceeds
years
guidelines on pass-on savings
gross margins
years
(1) Feed-in Tariff - A policy designed to accelerate investment in renewable energy technologies by offering long-term contracts to renewable energy producers. (2) Renewable Portfolio Standard - A market-based policy which requires electricity suppliers to source an agreed portion of their energy supply from eligible renewable energy resources. (3) Green Energy Option - A mechanism that empowers end-users to choose renewable energy in meeting their energy requirements.
RE ACT OF 2008 PROVIDES SUPPORT TO PHILIPPINE RENEWABLE ENERGY SECTOR
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Favorable Industry Dynamics IV Luzon Visayas Mindanao
4.5% Average Demand Growth until 2030 4.6% Average Demand Growth until 2030 3.8% Average Demand Growth until 2030
2009 2010f 2011f 2012f 2013f 2014f Current and Committed Dependable Capacity (LHS) Required Capacity to Maintain Reserve Margin (LHS) Peak Demand (LHS) Reserve Level (RHS) Minimum Reserve Margin (RHS)
Philippine Power Supply And Demand Profile
MW MW MW
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Source: Company estimates
STRONG PHILIPPINE POWER DEMAND AND TIGHTENING RESERVE MARGINS WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT NEW CAPACITY REQUIREMENTS
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Favorable Industry Dynamics IV
Coal 5,568 33% Oil Based 3,074 18% Geothermal 1,848 11% Hydro 3,521 20% Natural Gas 2,862 17% New RE 153 1%
2012 POWER GENERATION IN THE PHILIPPINES
17,025 MW
NOTES: 1) Quoted production costs were derived from estimated weekly cost of Luzon grid power plants at 83% capacity factor as of August 29 2013, VAT inclusive 2) Despite P 1.87/kWh production cost, hydro capacity is still used for peaking because these are not run-of-river types used for base load. Only Casecnan is run-of-river
2012 INSTALLED CAPACITY IN THE PHILIPPINES
Source: DOE
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Geothermal Coal Natural Gas Hydro Oil Based/Gas Turbine
LUZON DISPATCH AT FULL COST (1)
5.60–7.60 P/kWh WITH VAT 4.22 P/kWh 3.68 P/kWh 4.80–5.00 P/kWh 1.87 PHP/kWh(2) 4.96 PHP/kWh 12.59 PHP/kWh
2012 Peak Demand: 7,889 MW 2012 Required Reserve: 9,703 MW
GEOTHERMAL REMAINS TO BE A COMPETITIVE, RELIABLE AND STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCE
72,922 GWh
Coal 28,265 39% Oil Based 4,254 6% Geothermal 10,250 14% Hydro 10,252 14% Natural Gas 19,642 27% New RE 259 0%
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Favorable Industry Dynamics IV
Technical Services 14% Engineering & Construction 4% Power Generation 29% Steam Field Operations 29% Others (2) 24%
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
LED BY AN EXPERIENCED BOARD OF DIRECTORS AND MANAGEMENT TEAM THAT IS COMMITTED TO BEST IN CLASS CORPORATE GOVERNANCE PRACTICES
stakeholders
improved environmental performance
Society of the Philippines
Average Years of Management Experience
Average Years
Experience
(1) As of June 30, 2013 (2) Includes Office of the President, Finance, HR, Business Development, Supply Chain,
and Environment & External Relations
TECHNICAL EXPERTISE (1) CORPORATE GOVERNANCE RECENT AWARDS
strategy
committees.
conducted
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Favorable Industry Dynamics IV
Health 4% Education 48% Livelihood 23% Environment 17% Others 8%
EDC HAS VARIOUS CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY PARTNERSHIPS AND PROGRAMS
OUR SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL COMMITMENTS CSR INVESTMENTS FOR 2012
Note: Data is as of year 2012, except for the no. of students studying in UP which is as of September 2013.
Total CSR Investment in 2012
poverty
Technology (KEITECH)
(SFE) project
school), 34 (college).
in which we operate
income of PHP12.3M.
local farmer federations.
because failing this - our resources will suffer
(Tree for the Future, Tree for Life and Tree for Food)
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Strong Credit & Investment Profile
DELIBERATELY MANAGING FINANCIAL RISKS
DEBT MATURITY PROFILE1 Sculpted to support EDC’s growth trajectory LOANS BY STRUCTURE2 Predominantly fixed debt matches nature of energy projects
Average Loan Life (Years)
5.6 yrs
Average Interest Cost
7.1%
Type Currency Outstanding
(MM)
Repayment Interest Tenor
(Yrs)
Maturity Club Loan3 USD 158 Amortizing LIBOR+1.75% 6.0 2017 Reg S Bonds USD 300 Bullet 6.50% 10.0 2021 IFC Loan 1 PHP 3,416 Amortizing 7.40% (2) 15.0 2023 IFC Loan 2 PHP 3,137 Amortizing 6.66% 15.0 2025 PHP FXCN PHP 6,930 Amortizing 6.62% 10.0 2022 PHP Bonds PHP 12,000 Bullet 8.64%, 9.33% 5.5, 7.0 2015, 2016 PHP Bonds PHP 7,000 Bullet 4.16%, 4.73% 7.0, 10.0 2020, 2023
(1) In USD Millions as of September 30, 2013 (3) USD65MM converted to PHP via Cross Currency Swap (2) First 5 years, subject to re-pricing for another 5-10 years
LOANS BY CURRENCY3 US$ indexed revenues provide natural hedge LOANS
200 300 400 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 USD Debt PHP Debt
Fixed 1,105 92% Floating 99 8% USD1,204 PHP Debt 805 67% USD Debt 399 33% PHP Revenues 392 65% USD Revenues 213 35% USD1,204
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Strong Credit & Investment Profile
Dec-12 Dec-11 Dec-10
2.75x 3.24x 2.14x 2.51x
Dec-12 Dec-11 Dec-10
PHP 29.96 PHP 29.84 PHP 29.30 PHP 26.47
Dec-12 Dec-11 Dec-10
2.29x 2.17x 2.95x 2.56x
Dec-12 Dec-11 Dec-10
1.12x 1.06x 1.32x 1.09x
Dec-12 Dec-11 Dec-10
0.37x 0.30x 0.33x 0.32x
Notes: (1) Figures computed on a consolidated basis ending Sept. 30, 2013 (2) EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization, Trailing 12 months (3) Debt Service Coverage Ratio = Net Cashflow from Operating Activities / (Short Term Debt + Long Term Debt + Projected Interest Service for the next 12 months) (4) PHP Million per MW
NET DEBT TO MARKET CAPITALIZATION Deteriorated with drop in price per share NET DEBT TO EQUITY Allows for additional fund raising NET DEBT TO EBITDA (2) Well within our targeted 3.6x NET DEBT PER MW POWER (4) Declined with the pre-funding of Burgos Project DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO (3) Higher than the minimum covenanted 1.2x
MAINTAINING A ROBUST CREDIT PROFILE (1)
1.2x 3.6x
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Strong Credit & Investment Profile
13,748 13,238 17,330 16,448 16,508
57% 54% 61% 59% 62% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 18,000 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 YTD 3Q'12 (12 mos) YTD 3Q'13 (12 mos)
6,000 9,000 12,000 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 YTD 3Q'12 YTD 3Q'13
7,238 5,245 9,895 7,772 6,400 4,395 615 10,376 8,566 5,925
400 2,400 4,400 6,400 8,400 10,400 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 YTD 3Q'12 YTD 3Q'13
CONSOLIDATED NET INCOME To decrease with lower ancillary revenues RECURRING NET INCOME To remain at the same level as last year
12,000 18,000 24,000 30,000 36,000 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 YTD 3Q'12 YTD 3Q'13
24,153 24,540 28,369 21,443 19,783
EBITDA MARGIN To remain robust & stable CONSOLIDATED REVENUES To remain at the same level as last year
(1) Consolidated revenues and net income in PHP mm for the period ended Sept. 30, 2013 (2) EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization, Impairment and Non-Cash Provisions in PHP mm for the period ended Sept. 30, 2013 (3) Recurring Net Income = Net Income – FX Gains – Derivative Gains – Impairments and other one-time expenses
DELIVERING SUPERIOR FINANCIAL AND OPERATING RESULTS TO STAKEHOLDERS
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24
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
21.4 0.6 (1.9) (0.3)
Revenues,
GCGI FG Hydro Mindanao and Leyte Revenues,
22.0 20.1 19.8 19.8
YTD SEPTEMBER 2013 CONSOLIDATED REVENUES DECLINED BY PHP1.6 BILLION DUE MAINLY TO DECREASED CONTRIBUTION FROM FG HYDRO
In PHP Billions
NGCP.
Mindanao.
(7.5%).
Leyte 8,422 Mindanao 1,492 Tongonan I 2,376 Palinpinon 5,384 Pantabangan
3,770
YTD 3Q 2012 REVENUES
(P millions) Leyte 8,245 Mindanao 1,373
Tongonan I 3,112 Palinpinon 5,227
Pantabangan- Masiway 1,826
YTD 3Q 2013 REVENUES
(P millions)
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YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
7.8 6.4 5.8 0.6 0.3* (0.6) ( 1.7) 0.6
RNI, June 2012 GCGI BGI EDC Parent FG Hydro RNI, June 2013 NCI RNI Attributable to EDC
8.7 8.1 5.8 6.4
In PHP Billions
Note: * excludes own generation offset against Property, Plant & Equipment
8.4
Hydro resulted to a decline in Consolidated Net Income (NI)
ancillary revenues (P1,364.5 M) decreased FG Hydro’s NI and RNI contribution by P1,692.4 M and P1,692.6 M, respectively.
RNI contribution increased by P257.5 M and P554.5 M due to P579.6 M (7.5%) in additional revenues.
CONSOLIDATED RECURRING NET INCOME DOWN BY PHP1.4 BILLION
RNI Computation
YTD 3Q 2013 YTD 3Q 2012 NET INCOME (LOSS) 5,925 8,566 ADD (DEDUCT) NON-RECURRING ITEMS: Foreign exchange (gain)/loss 901 (814) Capitalization of interest expense to property, plant & equipment (191) (174) Write-off of 2006 input VAT claims 220
(401)
16 104 Income tax provision for (benefits from) non-recurring items (70) 90 RECURRING NET INCOME 6,400 7,772
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YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
BCQs 270.1 BCQs 117.6 WESM 84.8 WESM 156.3
Sales Volume
(GWh)
PHP435 Million 5.37 4.85
(PHP/KWh)
PHP144 Million
3,769 1,826
Ancillary Services, 1,862 Ancillary Services, 498
Revenues
(PHP Million)
1,943 2,774 1,082
Net Income
(PHP Million)
1,692 Drivers Lower Ancillary services (1,364) Lower tariff (144) Lower volume (435) (1,943) Drivers Lower revenues (1,943) Lower expenses mainly interest expense 251 (1,692) Net income attributable to: Non-controlling interest 575 EDC 507 1,082
Contracted 551 30% WESM 778 43% Ancillary 498 27%
YTD 3Q 2013 Revenues
(PHP Millions)
FG HYDRO’S REVENUE AND NET INCOME DECREASED DUE TO LOWER REVENUES FROM ANCILLARY SERVICES AND LOWER TARIFF
27
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
1,587 1,665
Sales Volume
(GWh) PHP381 Million + 4.9%
7,759 8,339
Revenues
(PHP Million)
+ 7.5%
580 Drivers Higher tariff 199 Higher volume 381 580 4,010 4,267
Net Income
(PHP Million)
+ 6.4%
258 Drivers Higher revenues 580 Lower operating expenses 48 Others, mainly foreign exchange loss (328) Higher provision for income tax (42) 258
4.89 5.01
(PHP/KWh) Php199 Million + 2.4%
Contracted 7,789 93% WESM 550 7%
YTD 3Q 2013 Revenues
(PHP Million)
GCGI’s INTEGRATED NET INCOME INCREASED BY 6% DUE TO HIGHER REVENUES PARTIALLY OFFSET BY FX LOSS
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YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
Drivers Lower operating costs 686 Others, mainly foreign exchange loss (249) 437 1,402** 417* 440* 1,379 Gross Cash Generated Cost from WESM Net Cash Generated
Bacman Geothermal Inc.
1,819 1,379
Replacement Power Own Generation
In PHP Millions
WESM 101 28% Own Generation 261 72%
Supply Power
In GWh
Net cash generated from BGI’s operations is PHP 1,379 M
(1,302) (865)
Net Loss
(PHP Million)
437
IMPROVEMENTS IN OPERATING COSTS RESULTED TO A LOWER NET LOSS FOR BACMAN
* Trading revenues and replacement power costs are presented net in the P&L ** Php1,402 million in testing revenues generated by Bacman are netted off from PPE as required by Philippine Accounting Standards (PAS) 16
29
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
1,492 1,373
Revenues
(PHP Million)
119 240 19
Net Income
(PHP Million)
221 Drivers Lower revenues (119) Higher operating expenses (32) Others (mainly foreign exchange loss) (70) (221) Drivers Lower tariff (11) Lower Volume (32) Q1 2013 adjustment for prior year’s shortfall generation (none in Q1 2012) (76) (119)
2.80 2.78
(PHP/KWh) PHP11 Million
533 521
Sales Volume
(GWh)
PHP32 Million
MINDANAO I & II’s NET INCOME DECREASED DUE TO 2012 SHORTFALL ADJUSTMENT EFFECTED IN 2013 AND FX LOSS
30
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
8,422 8,245
Revenues
(PHP Million)
Drivers Higher tariff 2 Lower volume (179) (177) 2,972 2,228
Net Income
(PHP Million)
Drivers Lower revenues (177) Lower expenses 128 Others, mainly foreign exchange loss (695) (744)
2.985 2.986
(PHP/KWh) 0.03% 2,821 2,761
Sales Volume
(GWh)
PHP179 Million PHP2 Million
UNIFIED LEYTE‘s NET INCOME DECREASED DUE TO LOWER VOLUME AND FX LOSS
177 744
31
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
In PHP Billions
CASH GENERATED FROM OPERATIONS AND PESO BOND ISSUANCE SERVICED DEBT AND FUNDED CAPEX
11.4 18.2 11.9 6.9 3.4 2.5 6.1
Cash Balance, Dec 2012 Cash generated from
Peso Bonds proceeds Debt Servicing Cash Dvidends PPE Acquisition, & Others Cash Balance,
23.3 30.2 26.8 24.3 18.2
proceeds from the Peso Bond issuance. These were offset by the following:
P6,107.7 M property, plant and equipment acquisition P2,458.7 M payment of cash dividends P3,429.4 M interest, financing charges paid and payment of long term debts
32
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
Current ratio improved due to higher current assets brought about by higher cash balance from Peso Bond issuance. Net debt-to-equity improved mainly due to higher equity brought about by the additional net income for the past 12 months. Net debt-to-EBITDA improved mainly due to higher annualized EBITDA
2.11 2.48
Current Ratio
1.12 1.03
Net Debt-to-Equity
2.33 2.29
Net Debt-to-EBITDA*
Note: *- trailing 12 months
DEBT RATIOS ALSO GENERALLY IMPROVED AS A RESULT OF HIGHER NET INCOME
33
YTD 3Q 2013 Financial Highlights
DIVIDEND POLICY IS TO DECLARE 30% OF PRIOR YEAR’S RNI
Dividend Policy Statement
At or about 30% of previous year’s Recurring Net Income subject to i) debt service requirements and loan covenants, and ii) the implementation of business plans, operating expenses, budgets, funding for new investments and acquisitions, appropriate reserves and working capital. 1,485 1,875 2,175 1,863 2,250 3,000 1,875 750 1,500 1,500
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2007 2008 2008 (special) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 (special) 2013 2013 (special)
PHP Million
Dividends on Common Shares
PHP/share 0.099 0.125 0.145 0.125 0.120 0.160 0.100 0.040 0.080 0.080 Yield 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 2.4% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% % of RNI 30% 30% 35% 33% 31% 45% 42% 16% 18% 18%
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35
Growth Projects
EDC’S GROWTH AGENDA
Tongonan in 2009
2010
Unified Leyte IPPA 87 MW Burgos Wind to
be commissioned in 4Q ’14; plan to upsize development to 150 MW is underway
Wind measurement
studies on-going in other prospects
~25 MW Nasulo to be
commissioned in 2H’14
5 MW NNGP Plant
development is on-going
~120 MW for
commissioning by 2018
successfully acquired in Chile (4) and Peru (4)
in Latin America and Indonesia
1 2 3 4
Win key government geothermal privatization projects Install 261MW of greenfield geothermal capacity to address new demand Establish viable
Asia, Latin America, and Africa Build 200MW
while expanding RE portfolio
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Growth Projects
NASULO WILL CONTRIBUTE AN ADDITIONAL 20~25 MW, OR ~PHP800-900MM IN REVENUES ANNUALLY
Phase 1 contract awarded to First Balfour Phase 2 contract awarded to Sumitomo, including novation of the Phase 1 contract Target COD
NNGP TO NASULO (N2N) RELOCATION PROJECT
CIVIL WORKS ELECTRO- MECHANICAL DISASSEMBLY WORKS ELECTRO- MECHANICAL INSTALLATION WORKS
*as of Sept 17
POWERHOUSE BUILDING GAS REMOVAL SYSTEM (BEFORE) HOTWELL PUMP FOUNDATION COOLING TOWER
PHASE 1 PHASE 2 AUG ‘12 DEC ‘12 2H '14
GAS REMOVAL SYSTEM (AFTER)
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Growth Projects
EDC decided to shut down NNGP due to the declining resource. Completed Optimization Tests, revealed 5-8 MW NNGP as sustainable resource potential
6 MW NORTHERN NEGROS PLANT
Target COD
NORTHERN NEGROS PLANT WILL BE RESIZED TO A MORE SUSTAINABLE UNIT
JUL ‘11 NOV ‘12 2H '15
DISMANTLING NEW LOCATION OF 6MW NNGP PLANT 49MW NNGP PLANT
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Growth Projects
87 MW BURGOS WIND PROJECT
Installation Target:
200 MW
Projects:
326 MW
87 MW: EDC Burgos 80 MW: UPC Pagudpud 56 MW: Alternergy Pililia 54 MW: TransAsia Guimaras 50 MW: PetroEnergy Aklan
THE WIND INSTALLATION TARGET IS OVER-SUBSCRIBED
Conducted groundbreaking ceremony Signed $300 M deal with Vestas of Denmark
issuance NTP issued to EPC Contractors:
Target COD
MAR ‘13 APR ‘13 MAY ‘13 JUN ‘13 4Q ‘14
PLAN TO UPSIZE TOTAL DEVELOPMENT TO 150 MW IS UNDERWAY
Note: FIT Allocation to be determined upon completion of the project
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Growth Projects
BEFORE AFTER BEFORE AFTER
UNIT 2 COOLING TOWER GAS REMOVAL SYSTEM UNIT 1 - On extended shutdown after hairline cracks were detected during the September 12 interim
inspection, re-certification and repair in a machine shop in Manila duly accredited by Sulzer Turbo Services. UNIT 2 - shut down last February 28, 2013 due to high vibrations; Steam rotor is with Sulzer Turbo Services in Indonesia for inspection, re-certification and repair. UNIT 3 - being operated at rated capacity starting June 2013; initial guidance given was de-rated operation.
130 MW BACMAN PROJECT
COMPLETION OF BACMAN REHABILATION WORKS REMAINS A CHALLENGE
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Growth Projects
LOCAL GEOTHERMAL PROJECTS WILL BE THE MAIN SOURCE OF GROWTH IN THE MEDIUM TERM
EXECUTION ADVANCED EXPLORATION RESOURCE CONFIRMATION
2 1 1 1 2 1 3 3 2 4 5 3 PROJECT CAPACITY 2014 2015 2016 2017
Beyond
2018
Nasulo 20 MW X
6 MW X Bacman 3 30+ MW X Botong-Rangas 40+ MW X Mindanao 3 50 MW X Labo 25 MW X Kayabon 50 MW X Dauin 40 MW X
2
1 2 3 4 5 1 3 2 2 1 1 2 3
FRONTIER AREAS
Mandalangan, Negros Occidental Lakewood, Zamboanga del Sur Ampiro, Misamis Occidental Balingasag, Misamis Oriental
5 FRONTIER GEOTHERMAL AREAS ADDING TO THE 261 MW IN THE EXPANSION SPACE
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Growth Projects
OVERSEAS EXPANSION - INDONESIA
the identification and exploration of new geothermal projects
additional key personnel
grants EDC one year to conduct surface exploration activities and geoscientific surveys.
EDC REPRESENTATIVE OFFICE JAKARTA, INDONESIA
ENTRY MODE IS EITHER BY DIRECT APPLICATION OR IN JV WITH EXISTING CONCESSION HOLDERS
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Growth Projects
OVERSEAS EXPANSION – LATIN AMERICA
JAN ‘12 APR ‘13 ‘14-‘15 MAY ‘12 JUN ‘13
Awarded 3 geothermal concessions in Chile: Newen, San Rafael and Batea
Agreements with Hot Rock Limited Calerias and Longavi in Chile and Quellaapacheta and Chocopata in Peru.
interest in each of the project companies Commenced the incorporation process for the Quellaapacheta Project Company
Agreements with Alterra Power Corp. For the Mariposa concession in Chile and 3 areas in Peru: Tutupaca, Loricota and Crucero.
in each of the project companies. Drilling of Wells in Mariposa and Quellaapacheta
OVERSEAS EXPANSION WILL BE THE MAJOR GROWTH DRIVER IN THE LONG TERM
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Summary
MOVING FORWARD, WE OUTLINE THESE OBJECTIVES FOR 2014 AND BEYOND
Implement and commission the N2N project by 2014 Complete exploration well drilling needed to firm up resource estimates for Bacman 3 and Mindanao 3
Commission 87 MW Burgos Wind project by 4Q 2014 and upsize to 150 MW by 1Q 2015
Drill wells in Mariposa, Chile by 2014 and continue to look for prime geothermal sites in Peru and Indonesia either on our
Term out forthcoming bullet maturities Lower further interest costs and continually manage currency risk exposure
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Stages of Geothermal Development
VOLCANOES, HOT SPRINGS, FUMAROLES AND SOLFATARAS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES
49
Stages of Geothermal Development
GEOSCIENTIFIC SURFACE STUDIES DELIMIT THE GEOTHERMAL PROSPECT AND IDENTIFY TARGETS FOR EXPLORATION DRILLING
50
Stages of Geothermal Development
DISCHARGE TESTING OF WELLS CONFIRM THE CHEMISTRY OF THE RESERVOIR FLUIDS AND THE PRODUCTIVITY OF THE WELLS
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Stages of Geothermal Development
320oC 180oC 165oC Geothermal fluid extracted Geothermal water injected Geowater recycled
VERTICAL INTEGRATION OF GEOTHERMAL SERVICES
OUR IN-HOUSE EXPERTISE SPANS THE ENTIRE GEOTHERMAL VALUE CHAIN: FROM EXPLORATION TO POWER PLANT OPERATIONS
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WESM
2010 2011
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ave Luz Ave
5.64 7.58 5.20 4.11 4.05 3.83 3.76 3.78 4.09 4.08 3.24 3.24 3.37 4.16 3.93 3.83
3.79 Luz Ave Peak
9.53 12.95 8.21 6.11 6.16 5.66 5.79 5.67 6.37 6.58 5.03 5.03 5.42 6.72 6.06 5.75
5.86 Vis Ave
3.60 2.26 3.08 2.59 2.70 4.22 4.07 3.30 3.30 3.51 4.87 4.29 4.18
3.54 Vis Ave Peak
5.63 3.22 4.42 3.30 3.44 6.60 6.59 5.18 5.18 5.80 7.76 6.72 6.47
5.40
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 22.00
P/KWh
High WESM prices due to tight supply caused by: (1) Malampaya outage; (2) DOE mandated Power Plants to conduct maintenance before May elections, (3) Prolonged El Nino lowered hydro power generation Lower Demand due to Cold Season and Extended Holidays Lower prices due to “Limay Must-Run” situation Lower prices with normalized supply in the grid Baseload Plant Outages (Masinloc, Calaca, Sual)
WESM WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICES (JANUARY 1, 2009 TO DECEMBER 31, 2011)
Source: Philippine Electricity Market Corporation
Luzon Baseload Plant Outages Increased demand due to Summer Season Merging of WESM LUZON – VISAYAS
FROM THE SPIKE IN ELECTRICITY PRICES IN 1Q 2010, WESM PRICES HAVE SINCE THEN MODERATED
54
WESM
PRICES PEAKED IN MAY 2011, WHEN DEMAND INCREASED DUE TO HIGH TEMPERATURES, AND IN OCTOBER 2011 AND JUNE 2012, WHEN THE MARKET EXPERIENCED TIGHT SUPPLY CONDITIONS
Jan-11 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-12 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-13 Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Luzon 3.68 3.06 2.38 3.26 6.01 3.90 4.48 3.67 3.77 6.98 5.02 5.03 5.03 3.40 4.43 3.72 5.37 8.12 7.70 2.39 4.30 6.40 5.40 6.10 3.04 2.79 4.89 6.99 6.02 4.31 2.87 3.20 2.68 Visayas 2.82 3.43 2.72 2.69 5.60 3.86 4.51 3.78 3.94 5.89 5.46 5.32 4.71 3.80 4.58 3.67 5.37 8.13 7.49 2.60 4.72 5.60 5.50 6.20 3.25 2.63 4.23 7.16 6.01 4.05 2.88 2.95 3.03
2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00
2011 – 2013 Luzon and Visayas Monthly Ave Prices (ex-Ante)
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Feed-in-Tariff and Retail Open Access iii Incentives Under the RE Act Feed-in tariff (FIT) – a renewable energy policy that provides guaranteed tariff on a fixed rate per kWh for emerging renewable energy sources. Technology Approved FIT Rate (P/kWh) First Installation Target (MW)
Solar 9.68 50 Wind 8.53 200 Biomass 6.63 250 Run-of- River Hydro 5.90 250 Ocean 17.65 * (proposed) 10 Total 760
Renewable Portfolio Standards – a market-based policy that requires electricity suppliers to source an agreed portion of their energy supply from eligible renewable energy resources. Net Metering – refers to a system in which a distribution grid has a two-way connection, it is charged for its electricity consumption and credited for any renewable contribution. Green Energy Option – a mechanism that empowers end-users to choose a renewable energy in meeting their energy requirements.
Renewable Energy Law (RA 9513) Non-Fiscal Incentives FIT Scheme Renewable Portfolio Standards Net Metering Green Energy Option Fiscal Incentives * The ERC deferred fixing the FIT rate for ocean thermal projects pending more studies and data gathering.
FEED-IN-TARIFF MECHANISM : A CATALYST FOR DOMESTIC CAPACITY TO SCALE UP
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Feed-in-Tariff and Retail Open Access iii
EDC CONSIDERS THE OPEN ACCESS MARKET AS AN OPTION TO IMPROVE REVENUE CERTAINTY
access will provide EDC an additional customer segment available to sell its existing and future capacities.
DUs, specifically electric coops, at contract prices which requires approval from the ERC.
customers with demand of as low as 1MW
in place to effectively handle the increasing number of retail customers.
BENEFITS CHALLENGES