Different cuts to present Josh Albert Notable Points about 07a MC - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Different cuts to present

Josh Albert

Notable Points about 07a MC

• The cut on outer detector hits has been changed

from nhitac<10 to nhitac<16, this is to bring it in line with SK-III standards.

• Changing the nhitac cut has virtually no effect on

sensitivity

• Mine-san made a new version of POLfit to reduce

backgrounds with minimal loss of signal.

• All sensitivity plots are for 90% one sided

confidence level

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Table of cuts with new POLfit

New POLfit total truefid recfid nhitac evis

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elike nomuedcy cosine pi0mass pi0like recnuE numu + numubar Background nue Signal CC NC CC NC CC 5460.2 152% 5614.4 196% 254.1 154% 95.52 182% 489.5 153% 3537.9 98% 3644.4 128% 165 100% 61.61 117% 316.2 99% 3598.6 100% 2857.4 100.0% 165.3 100% 52.49 100.0% 319.8 100% 2837.2 78.8% 2841.9 99.5% 160.9 97.4% 52.09 99.2% 314.5 98.3% 2502.5 69.5% 896.0 31.4% 159.1 96.2% 26.16 49.8% 304.9 95.3% 1364.5 37.9% 218.13 7.6% 95.87 58.0% 6.508 12.4% 266 83.3% 50.96 1.42% 161.42 5.65% 94.86 57.39% 4.562 8.69% 262.0 81.93% 17.31 0.48% 144.11 5.04% 80.13 48.48% 3.973 7.57% 242.6 75.86% 4.30 0.12% 94.63 3.31% 40.55 24.54% 2.400 4.57% 212.9 66.55% 3.49 0.10% 24.754 0.87% 31.74 19.20% 0.684 1.30% 191.6 59.91% 1.18 0.03% 20.52 0.72% 30.28 18.32% 0.5158 0.98% 185.9 58.12% 0.432 0.01% 9.703 0.34% 15.42 9.33% 0.2122 0.40% 142.8 44.66%

*Histograms showing each cut can be found in the backup slides

K2K-style cuts.

• remove cosine cut
• remove pi0 likelihood cut
• make pi0mass cut p dependant:
• pi0mass increases linearly from 50 to 100

for momentum between 0 and 300 MeV.

• For p>300 MeV, the cut is simply

pi0mass<100.

K2K-style cut on signal

1 10

2

10

3

10 p (MeV) 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 50 100 150 200 250 300

pi0mass vs p (CCQE signal 1Re) pi0mass vs p (CCQE signal 1Re)

Cut Keep

POLfit π0 mass vs. p (νμ→νe 1-ring e-like)

π0 mass (MeV)

K2K-style cut on νμ- NC background

1 10

2

10

3

10

4

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5

10 p (MeV) 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 50 100 150 200 250 300

pi0mass vs p (NC numu only 1Re) pi0mass vs p (NC numu only 1Re)

Cut Keep

POLfit π0 mass vs. p (νμ 1-ring e-like)

π0 mass (MeV)

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Cuts A la Josh

• Cosine cut is still eliminated
• pi0likelihood cut is back
• the k2k style pi0mass cut is now:
• pi0mass increases linearly from 50 to 100

for momentum between 0 and 300 MeV.

• For p>300 MeV, the cut is simply

pi0mass<100.

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Comparison of all Cut setups

total truefid recfid nhitac evis

• nering

elike nomuedcy cosine pi0mass pi0like recnuE

Std Cuts (Old POLfit) Std Cuts (New POLfit) K2K Style A La Josh Background Signal Background Signal Background Signal Background Signal

11424.2 154% 489.46 155% 11424.2 154% 489.46 155% 11424.2 154% 489.46 155% 11424.2 154% 489.46 155% 7408.98 100% 316.18 100% 7408.98 100% 316.18 100% 7408.98 100% 316.18 100% 7408.98 100% 316.18 100% 6673.8 90% 319.84 101.2% 6673.8 90% 319.84 101.2% 6673.8 90% 319.84 101.2% 6673.8 90% 319.84 101.2% 5892.05 79.5% 314.5 99.5% 5892.05 79.5% 314.5 99.5% 5892.05 79.5% 314.5 99.5% 5892.05 79.5% 314.5 99.5% 3583.7 48.4% 304.92 96.4% 3583.7 48.4% 304.92 96.4% 3583.7 48.4% 304.92 96.4% 3583.7 48.4% 304.92 96.4% 1685 22.7% 266.43 84.3% 1685 22.7% 266.43 84.3% 1685 22.7% 266.43 84.3% 1685 22.7% 266.43 84.3% 311.803 4.21% 262.04 82.88% 311.803 4.21% 262.04 82.88% 311.803 4.21% 262.04 82.88% 311.803 4.21% 262.04 82.88%

nomuedcy 245.518 3.31%

242.62 76.73% 245.518 3.31% 242.62 76.73% 245.518 3.31% 242.62 76.73% 245.518 3.31% 242.62 76.73% 141.888 1.92% 212.86 67.32% 141.888 1.92% 212.86 67.32%

• 81.2584 1.10%

199.4 63.07% 60.6683 0.82% 191.63 60.61% 88.0654 1.19% 213.62 67.56% 88.0654 1.19% 213.62 67.56% 71.4493 0.96% 193.96 61.34% 52.4927 0.71% 185.89 58.79%

• 68.1092 0.92%

206.29 65.24% 33.2258 0.45% 149.09 47.15% 25.7632 0.35% 142.84 45.18% 35.4456 0.48% 163.16 51.60% 32.3071 0.44% 158.65 50.18%

25.86 28.14 27.41 27.91

S √ B

• All differences are in the last 4 rows.
• The new POLfit improves the ratio noticeably.
• Other cut tweaks do not help as much.

S √ B

Backup slides

• Comparision of old polfit with nhitac<10
• vs. nhitac<16
• Sensitivity slides in order for easy flipping
• Comparison tables of all cut values
• Variation on 2-D cut histograms
• Standard cut definitions and parameters
• New POLfit cut histograms

Change nhitac cut

07a MC with 07d recon +old polfit + nhitac check total truefid recfid recfid_eff nhitac nhitac_eff evis evis_eff

• nering
• nering_eff

elike elike_eff nomuedcy nomuedcy_eff cosine cosine_eff pi0mass pi0mass_eff pi0like pi0like_eff recnuE recnuE_eff numu anti-Numu bkg nue signal nhitac<10 nhitac<16 nhitac<10 nhitac<16 nhitac<10 nhitac<16 nhitac<10 nhitac<16 CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC CC

5072 5379 5072 5379 387.9 235.5 387.9 235.5 254.1 95.52 254.1 95.52 489.5 489.5 3288 3491 3288 3491 250.0 153.1 250.0 153.1 165 61.61 165 61.61 316.2 316.2 3344 2729 3344 2729 254.8 128.2 254.8 128.2 165.3 52.49 165.3 52.49 319.8 319.8 102% 78.2% 102% 78.2% 102% 83.8% 102% 83.8% 100% 85.2% 100% 85.2% 101% 101% 2636 2712 2654 2715 181.4 127 182.9 127 160.1 52.00 160.9 52.09 313.8 314.5 80.2% 77.7% 80.7% 77.8% 72.5% 82.9% 73.1% 83.1% 97% 84.4% 98% 84.5% 99.2% 99.5% 2310 837.7 2326 839.1 174.8 56.73 176.2 56.84 158.3 26.09 159.1 26.16 304.6 304.9 70.3% 24% 70.8% 24% 69.9% 37.1% 70.5% 37.1% 95.9% 42.4% 96.3% 42.5% 96.3% 96.4% 1237 201.8 1244 202.1 119.1 15.99 120.2 16.02 95.48 6.490 95.87 6.508 266 266 37.6% 5.8% 37.8% 5.8% 47.6% 10.4% 48.1% 10.5% 57.8% 10.5% 58.1% 10.6% 84.2% 84.3% 47.92 149.7 48.45 149.9 2.478 11.49 2.513 11.51 94.49 4.544 94.86 4.562 261.8 262.0 1.5% 4.3% 1.5% 4.3% 1.0% 7.5% 1.0% 7.5% 57.2% 7.4% 57.5% 7.4% 82.8% 82.9% 16.14 133.5 16.43 133.7 0.8486 10.37 0.8835 10.40 79.83 3.955 80.13 3.973 242.4 242.6 0.5% 3.8% 0.5% 3.8% 0.3% 6.8% 0.4% 6.8% 48.4% 6.4% 48.5% 6.5% 76.7% 76.7% 4.056 87.73 4.168 87.76 0.1358 6.859 0.1358 6.867 40.48 2.393 40.55 2.400 212.7 212.9 0.1% 2.5% 0.1% 2.5% 0.1% 4.5% 0.1% 4.5% 24.5% 3.9% 24.6% 3.9% 67.3% 67.3% 1.900 41.05 1.914 41.09 0.06681 3.165 0.06681 3.173 33.97 1.024 33.99 1.0280 199.3 199.4 0.1% 1.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1% 20.6% 1.7% 20.6% 1.7% 63% 63.1% 1.427 34.67 1.427 34.69 0.03490 2.453 0.03490 2.461 32.03 0.7829 32.05 0.7865 193.9 194.0 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6% 19.4% 1.3% 19.4% 1.3% 61.3% 61.3% 0.5787 15.07 0.58 15.067 0.009393 1.060 0.009393 1.0601 16.22 0.2927 16.22 0.2927 149.0 149.1 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 9.8% 0.5% 9.8% 0.5% 47.1% 47.2%

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POLfit version comparison

07a MC with 07d recon + nhitac16 + polfit check total truefid recfid recfid_eff nhitac nhitac_eff evis evis_eff

• nering
• nering_eff

elike elike_eff nomuedcy nomuedcy_eff cosine cosine_eff pi0mass pi0mass_eff pi0like pi0like_eff recnuE recnuE_eff numu anti-Numu bkg nue signal new POLfit

• ld POLfit

new POLfit

• ld POLfit

new POLfit

• ld POLfit

new POLfit old POLfit CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC CC

5072 5379 5072 5379 387.9 235.5 387.9 235.5 254.1 95.52 254.1 95.52 489.5 489.5 3288 3491 3288 3491 250.0 153.1 250.0 153.1 165 61.61 165 61.61 316.2 316.2 3344 2729 3344 2729 254.8 128.2 254.8 128.2 165.3 52.49 165.3 52.49 319.8 319.8 102% 78.2% 102% 78.2% 102% 83.8% 102% 83.8% 100% 85.2% 100% 85.2% 101% 101% 2654 2715 2654 2715 182.9 127 182.9 127 160.9 52.09 160.9 52.09 314.5 314.5 80.7% 77.8% 80.7% 77.8% 73.1% 83.1% 73.1% 83.1% 98% 84.5% 98% 84.5% 99.5% 99.5% 2326 839.1 2326 839.1 176.2 56.84 176.2 56.84 159.1 26.16 159.1 26.16 304.9 304.9 70.8% 24% 70.8% 24% 70.5% 37.1% 70.5% 37.1% 96.3% 42.5% 96.3% 42.5% 96.4% 96.4% 1244 202.1 1244 202.1 120.2 16.02 120.2 16.02 95.87 6.508 95.87 6.508 266 266 37.8% 5.8% 37.8% 5.8% 48.1% 10.5% 48.1% 10.5% 58.1% 10.6% 58.1% 10.6% 84.3% 84.3% 48.45 149.9 48.45 149.9 2.513 11.51 2.513 11.51 94.86 4.562 94.86 4.562 262.0 262.0 1.5% 4.3% 1.5% 4.3% 1.0% 7.5% 1.0% 7.5% 57.5% 7.4% 57.5% 7.4% 82.9% 82.9% 16.43 133.7 16.43 133.7 0.8835 10.40 0.8835 10.40 80.13 3.973 80.13 3.973 242.6 242.6 0.5% 3.8% 0.5% 3.8% 0.4% 6.8% 0.4% 6.8% 48.5% 6.5% 48.5% 6.5% 76.7% 76.7% 4.168 87.76 4.168 87.76 0.1358 6.867 0.1358 6.867 40.55 2.400 40.55 2.400 212.9 212.9 0.1% 2.5% 0.1% 2.5% 0.1% 4.5% 0.1% 4.5% 24.6% 3.9% 24.6% 3.9% 67.3% 67.3% 1.573 22.77 1.914 41.09 0.04719 1.986 0.06681 3.173 31.74 0.684 33.99 1.0280 191.6 199.4 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 1.2% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 2.1% 19.2% 1.1% 20.6% 1.7% 61% 63.1% 1.155 18.92 1.427 34.69 0.02806 1.598 0.03490 2.461 30.28 0.5158 32.05 0.7865 185.9 194.0 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.6% 18.3% 0.8% 19.4% 1.3% 58.8% 61.3% 0.4230 9.08 0.58 15.067 0.009393 0.625 0.009393 1.0601 15.42 0.2122 16.22 0.2927 142.8 149.1 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.7% 9.3% 0.3% 9.8% 0.5% 45.2% 47.2%

K2K style comparison

07a MC with 07d recon + nhitac16 + new polfit + k2k-style cuts total truefid recfid recfid_eff nhitac nhitac_eff evis evis_eff

• nering
• nering_eff

elike elike_eff nomuedcy nomuedcy_eff cosine cosine_eff pi0mass pi0mass_eff pi0like pi0like_eff recnuE recnuE_eff numu anti-Numu bkg nue signal normal k2k normal k2k normal k2k normal k2k CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC CC

5072 5379 5072 5379 387.9 235.5 387.9 235.5 254.1 95.52 254.1 95.52 489.5 489.5 3288 3491 3288 3491 250.0 153.1 250.0 153.1 165 61.61 165 61.61 316.2 316.2 3344 2729 3344 2729 254.8 128.2 254.8 128.2 165.3 52.49 165.3 52.49 319.8 319.8 102% 78.2% 102% 78.2% 102% 83.8% 102% 83.8% 100% 85.2% 100% 85.2% 101% 101% 2654 2715 2654 2715 182.9 127 182.9 127 160.9 52.09 160.9 52.09 314.5 314.5 80.7% 77.8% 80.7% 77.8% 73.1% 83.1% 73.1% 83.1% 98% 84.5% 98% 84.5% 99.5% 99.5% 2326 839.1 2326 839.1 176.2 56.84 176.2 56.84 159.1 26.16 159.1 26.16 304.9 304.9 70.8% 24% 70.8% 24% 70.5% 37.1% 70.5% 37.1% 96.3% 42.5% 96.3% 42.5% 96.4% 96.4% 1244 202.1 1244 202.1 120.2 16.02 120.2 16.02 95.87 6.508 95.87 6.508 266 266 37.8% 5.8% 37.8% 5.8% 48.1% 10.5% 48.1% 10.5% 58.1% 10.6% 58.1% 10.6% 84.3% 84.3% 48.45 149.9 48.45 149.9 2.513 11.51 2.513 11.51 94.86 4.562 94.86 4.562 262.0 262.0 1.5% 4.3% 1.5% 4.3% 1.0% 7.5% 1.0% 7.5% 57.5% 7.4% 57.5% 7.4% 82.9% 82.9% 16.43 133.7 16.43 133.7 0.8835 10.40 0.8835 10.40 80.13 3.973 80.13 3.973 242.6 242.6 0.5% 3.8% 0.5% 3.8% 0.4% 6.8% 0.4% 6.8% 48.5% 6.5% 48.5% 6.5% 76.7% 76.7% 4.168 87.76 16.43 133.7 0.1358 6.867 0.8835 10.396 40.55 2.400 80.13 3.973 212.9 242.6 0.1% 2.5% 0.5% 3.8% 0.1% 4.5% 0.4% 6.8% 24.6% 3.9% 48.5% 6.5% 67.3% 76.7% 1.573 22.77 3.138 33.46 0.04719 1.986 0.19188 2.975 31.74 0.684 47.22 1.0792 191.6 213.6 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.1% 1.9% 19.2% 1.1% 28.6% 1.8% 61% 67.6% 1.155 18.92 3.138 33.46 0.02806 1.598 0.19188 2.975 30.28 0.5158 47.22 1.0792 185.9 213.6 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.1% 1.9% 18.3% 0.8% 28.6% 1.8% 58.8% 67.6% 0.4230 9.08 0.64 15.18 0.009393 0.625 0.013273 1.2896 15.42 0.2122 17.93 0.3951 142.8 163.2 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.8% 9.3% 0.3% 10.9% 0.6% 45.2% 51.6%

Cut table A La Josh

07a MC with 07d recon + nhitac16 + new polfit + josh-style cuts total truefid recfid recfid_eff nhitac nhitac_eff evis evis_eff

• nering
• nering_eff

elike elike_eff nomuedcy nomuedcy_eff cosine cosine_eff pi0mass pi0mass_eff pi0like pi0like_eff recnuE recnuE_eff numu anti-Numu bkg nue signal normal josh normal josh normal josh normal josh CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC NC CC CC

5072 5379 5072 5379 387.9 235.5 387.9 235.5 254.1 95.52 254.1 95.52 489.5 489.5 3288 3491 3288 3491 250.0 153.1 250.0 153.1 165 61.61 165 61.61 316.2 316.2 3344 2729 3344 2729 254.8 128.2 254.8 128.2 165.3 52.49 165.3 52.49 319.8 319.8 102% 78.2% 102% 78.2% 102% 83.8% 102% 83.8% 100% 85.2% 100% 85.2% 101% 101% 2654 2715 2654 2715 182.9 127 182.9 127 160.9 52.09 160.9 52.09 314.5 314.5 80.7% 77.8% 80.7% 77.8% 73.1% 83.1% 73.1% 83.1% 98% 84.5% 98% 84.5% 99.5% 99.5% 2326 839.1 2326 839.1 176.2 56.84 176.2 56.84 159.1 26.16 159.1 26.16 304.9 304.9 70.8% 24% 70.8% 24% 70.5% 37.1% 70.5% 37.1% 96.3% 42.5% 96.3% 42.5% 96.4% 96.4% 1244 202.1 1244 202.1 120.2 16.02 120.2 16.02 95.87 6.508 95.87 6.508 266 266 37.8% 5.8% 37.8% 5.8% 48.1% 10.5% 48.1% 10.5% 58.1% 10.6% 58.1% 10.6% 84.3% 84.3% 48.45 149.9 48.45 149.9 2.513 11.51 2.513 11.51 94.86 4.562 94.86 4.562 262.0 262.0 1.5% 4.3% 1.5% 4.3% 1.0% 7.5% 1.0% 7.5% 57.5% 7.4% 57.5% 7.4% 82.9% 82.9% 16.43 133.7 16.43 133.7 0.8835 10.40 0.8835 10.40 80.13 3.973 80.13 3.973 242.6 242.6 0.5% 3.8% 0.5% 3.8% 0.4% 6.8% 0.4% 6.8% 48.5% 6.5% 48.5% 6.5% 76.7% 76.7% 4.168 87.76 16.43 133.7 0.1358 6.867 0.8835 10.396 40.55 2.400 80.13 3.973 212.9 242.6 0.1% 2.5% 0.5% 3.8% 0.1% 4.5% 0.4% 6.8% 24.6% 3.9% 48.5% 6.5% 67.3% 76.7% 1.573 22.77 3.138 33.46 0.04719 1.986 0.19188 2.975 31.74 0.684 47.22 1.0792 191.6 213.6 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.1% 1.9% 19.2% 1.1% 28.6% 1.8% 61% 67.6% 1.155 18.92 1.626 25.58 0.02806 1.598 0.07089 2.231 30.28 0.5158 37.86 0.7463 185.9 206.3 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.5% 18.3% 0.8% 22.9% 1.2% 58.8% 65.2% 0.4230 9.08 0.57 12.91 0.009393 0.625 0.013273 1.0364 15.42 0.2122 17.46 0.3219 142.8 158.7 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.7% 9.3% 0.3% 10.6% 0.5% 45.2% 50.2%

T2K-SK Cut Details cut true fiducial fiducial (FV) nhitac cut (FC) evis cut

• ne ring

e-like no μ→e decay cos cut π0 mass π0 likeness Eνrec cut Description MC vector (true) information shows the interaction vertex is > 2m from the wall. This indicates the event is fiducial. We normalize event rates to the true fiducial rate, but do not cut on this parameter. The reconstructed interaction vertex is > 2m from the wall. This is the fiducial volume cut. The number of hit PMTs in the OD PMT cluster with the highest charge, nhitac <16. An event passing this cut is considered to be fully contained. The total visible energy in the ID is > 100 MeV/c. This does very little for signal/background separation, but it eliminates non-events. Only one ring is detected by the regular ring-finding algorithms. The one detected ring is determined to be e-like. No μ→e decay is detected in a time window after the event. This eliminates muons (and pions) which are mis-identified as electrons, but which decay into electrons (possibly through muons) at a later time. The angle between the reconstructed electron momentum and the ν beam direction has cosθ<0.9. This eliminates many of the coherent scattering events (which are very forward directed) The POLfit reconstructed π0 mass < 100 MeV. POLfit will attempt to fit a second ring to the data, in case it was missed. Assuming this second ring is valid, the π0 invariant mass is calculated. The cut eliminates π0 decay events where one of the rings was initially mis-identified (π0 mass = 135 MeV). log(L(π0)) -log(L(e)) < 80. POLfit gives likelyhoods to whether the event is π0-like or e-like. This cut eliminates events which are significantly more π0-like than e-like, thus cutting more π0 decay events. Neutrino energy can be reconstructed from the lepton momentum and known beam direction. Events pass this cut if the Eνrec is between 0.35 and 0.85 GeV. The maximum probability for νμ→νe oscillation

• ccurs for neutrinos in this energy range. The beam energy (at this off-axis location) is peaked here.

This cut is only necessary for a counting experiment; this parameter could also be fitted.

Cut Descriptions

07a Oscillation/Physics Parameters

• Sin2(2θ12) = 0.8704
• Sin2(2θ13) = 0.1
• Sin2(2θ23) = 1
• ΔM212 = 7.6e-05 eV2
• ΔM223 = 0.0024 eV2
• CP-violating δ= 0
• Beam length = 295 km
• Earth density = 3.2 g/cm3
• 22.5 kTon fiducial

volume

• NEUT 5.0, 07a Flux
• SK-III Geometry
• Normalization integral

runs from 0 to 9.95 GeV for all neutrino types

• All neutrinos oscillated

with 3-flavor oscillation code written by Roger Wendell

• 750 kW beam of 30 GeV

protons

• (1 year = 1.07x107s run

time)

• (1.66x1021 POT/year)
• includes anti-νμ
• Red indicates a change

from 04b

{

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