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Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Voting Detecting Voter Fraud Context in an Electronic Voting Context Introduction: Relevance of An Analysis of the Unlimited Reelection Vote in Venezuela Election Forensics Previous Research Ines


  1. Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Voting Detecting Voter Fraud Context in an Electronic Voting Context Introduction: Relevance of An Analysis of the Unlimited Reelection Vote in Venezuela Election Forensics Previous Research Ines Levin Gabe Cohn Electronic Voting System Peter Ordeshook Michael Alvarez in Venezuela The 2007 and California Institute of Technology 2009 Constitutional Referendums August 10, 2009 Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  2. Table of contents Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics 1 Voting Context Previous Research 2 Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics Electronic Voting System in Venezuela 3 Previous Research The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums 4 Electronic Voting System in Venezuela Data, Methodology and Results The 2007 and 5 2009 Constitutional Referendums Conclusion 6 Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  3. Election Integrity and Electronic Voting Detecting Voter Fraud in an Election integrity is important for the elected government to Electronic Voting have legitimacy, and to prevent political conflict. Context Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  4. Election Integrity and Electronic Voting Detecting Voter Fraud in an Election integrity is important for the elected government to Electronic Voting have legitimacy, and to prevent political conflict. Context There are concerns about election integrity as new technologies are introduced. Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  5. Election Integrity and Electronic Voting Detecting Voter Fraud in an Election integrity is important for the elected government to Electronic Voting have legitimacy, and to prevent political conflict. Context There are concerns about election integrity as new technologies are introduced. Introduction: Relevance of Election Specifically, voting machines are sometimes perceived as black Forensics boxes , and may be vulnerable to hacker attacks, to erroneous or Previous Research malicious software, or to manipulation by vendors with partisan Electronic political interests (Kohono et al. 2004; State of Alaska Division Voting System of Elections 2007, 2008; California Secretary of State 2007; in Venezuela Ohio Secretary of State 2007). The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  6. Election Integrity and Electronic Voting Detecting Voter Fraud in an Election integrity is important for the elected government to Electronic Voting have legitimacy, and to prevent political conflict. Context There are concerns about election integrity as new technologies are introduced. Introduction: Relevance of Election Specifically, voting machines are sometimes perceived as black Forensics boxes , and may be vulnerable to hacker attacks, to erroneous or Previous Research malicious software, or to manipulation by vendors with partisan Electronic political interests (Kohono et al. 2004; State of Alaska Division Voting System of Elections 2007, 2008; California Secretary of State 2007; in Venezuela Ohio Secretary of State 2007). The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Pre- and post-election audits, as well as election forensic tools Referendums are important because they compensate for the black box nature Data, of electronic voting. Methodology and Results Conclusion

  7. Aim of the Study and Previous Research Detecting Voter Fraud Most of the forensic tools applied in our paper were previously in an Electronic developed to study election fraud in Russia and Ukraine (see Voting Myagkov, Ordeshook and Shakin 2009). Context Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  8. Aim of the Study and Previous Research Detecting Voter Fraud Most of the forensic tools applied in our paper were previously in an Electronic developed to study election fraud in Russia and Ukraine (see Voting Myagkov, Ordeshook and Shakin 2009). Context These tools are designed to detect artificial election Introduction: heterogeneity, unexplained by socio-demographic factors. Relevance of Election Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  9. Aim of the Study and Previous Research Detecting Voter Fraud Most of the forensic tools applied in our paper were previously in an Electronic developed to study election fraud in Russia and Ukraine (see Voting Myagkov, Ordeshook and Shakin 2009). Context These tools are designed to detect artificial election Introduction: heterogeneity, unexplained by socio-demographic factors. Relevance of Election Ukraine 2004 offered the perfect social science experiment when Forensics the presidential runoff was repeated twice within a month Previous Research period, with the same candidates, issues and electorate, but Electronic fewer opportunities for electoral fraud. Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  10. Aim of the Study and Previous Research Detecting Voter Fraud Most of the forensic tools applied in our paper were previously in an Electronic developed to study election fraud in Russia and Ukraine (see Voting Myagkov, Ordeshook and Shakin 2009). Context These tools are designed to detect artificial election Introduction: heterogeneity, unexplained by socio-demographic factors. Relevance of Election Ukraine 2004 offered the perfect social science experiment when Forensics the presidential runoff was repeated twice within a month Previous Research period, with the same candidates, issues and electorate, but Electronic fewer opportunities for electoral fraud. Voting System in Venezuela In this paper, we compare election returns in the 2007 and 2009 The 2007 and Venezuela referendums, where relatively similar constitutional 2009 Constitutional reforms were put to a vote twice during a short period of time – Referendums approximately 1 year. Thus, similar to the Ukrainian case, the Data, Methodology unlimited reelection vote in Venezuela offers an excellent and Results opportunity for applying our set of forensic indicators. Conclusion

  11. Electronic Voting System in Venezuela Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Voting Context Introduced before the 2004 presidential recall referendum. Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  12. Electronic Voting System in Venezuela Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Voting Context Introduced before the 2004 presidential recall referendum. Has been used in 5 national elections – 3 constitutional Introduction: referendums, 1 presidential election, and 1 parliamentary Relevance of Election election. Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  13. Electronic Voting System in Venezuela Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Voting Context Introduced before the 2004 presidential recall referendum. Has been used in 5 national elections – 3 constitutional Introduction: referendums, 1 presidential election, and 1 parliamentary Relevance of Election election. Forensics Security features (Carter Center 2007): Previous Research Encryption of voting information. Electronic Randomization of information to prevent reconstruction of Voting System in Venezuela voting sequence. The 2007 and Disabling unnecessary physical access points 2009 Constitutional Chain of custody procedures Referendums Data, Methodology and Results Conclusion

  14. Touch Screen System (Smartmatic) Detecting Voter Fraud in an Electronic Voting Context 2009 Referendum Introduction: Relevance of Election Forensics Previous Research Electronic Voting System in Venezuela The 2007 and 2009 Constitutional Referendums Source: Sumate Data, Source: BBC Mundo Methodology and Results Conclusion

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