Delivery Group – 26 July 19
Ofgem
Delivery Group 26 July 19 Ofgem Delivery Group m eeting agenda - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Delivery Group 26 July 19 Ofgem Delivery Group m eeting agenda Agenda topic Time Welcome and introductions 10:00 10:05 Actions update 10:05 10:15 Project update 10:15 10:45 Working paper update Subgroup updates
Ofgem
2
Agenda topic Time Welcome and introductions 10:00 – 10:05 Actions update 10:05 – 10:15 Project update
10:15 – 10:45 Feedback on the 1st working paper
10:45 – 12:15 Lunch 12:15 - 13:00 Future project plan (each policy lead)
13:00 - 14:45 Non SCR update – ENA update 14:45 – 14:55 AOB 14:55 – 15:00
3
4
5
6
7
Products W here w e are now Steps to finalise Whether alternative access choices would restrict the ability of users to participate in w ider m arkets
to be sent to CG and DG.
comments. The feasibility of the ESO/ DNOs
identified.
to the workbook (excel spreadsheet). Ready to be sent to DG.
firm access.
to comments.
to be finalised. The benefits to netw ork com panies and system operators
access rights.
assessment of benefits (PowerPoint presentation).
assessment of benefits (eg reviewing existing data)
document to DG for comment. Further discussion and development needed on approach for quantitative assessment. Whether changes are required to the m onitoring and enforcem ent of access rights to accommodate new access choices.
intend to circulate this to DG when ready.
to comments when circulated.
8
9
Products W here w e are now Next steps Develop and assess options for am ending the distribution connection charging boundary
circulated
assessment of feasibility and desirability (10 Jul).
finalise current arrangements description.
as interim output for September DG and CG (Excel). Develop and assess the options for introducing some form of user com m itm ent
including feasibility and potential barriers. Assessing the value of the options identified for changing the distribution connection charging boundary
value to users (possible CG survey). Treatm ent of existing users
(from RIGs and may require DNO input).
Legislative change
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Principle 1 : Arrangem ents support efficient use and developm ent of system capacity
capacity in allocation to users’ needs and value to network usage
using network at different tim es and places
subsidisation between users
network capacity
Principle 2 : Arrangem ents reflect the needs of consum ers as appropriate for an essential service.
unacceptable im pacts for sm all users
arrangements
predict their future access and charges Principle 3 : Any changes are practical and proportionate.
processing and analysis requirem ents
and equipm ent, potential requirem ent for new I T/ operational system s (eg billing system s)
and settlem ent m ethodologies
standards
com m ercial agreements
22
23
1st w orking paper 2nd w orking paper GEMA 31- Jul 30- Oct Feb- 20 Other Academ ic panel - Oct 2019 Delivery Group 26- Jul 03- Sep Oct- 19 Nov- 19 Dec- 19 Jan- 20 Feb- 20 Challenge Group 24- Jul 25- Sep Dec 2019? CFF 04- Jul CFF- 19 Sept CFF - Dec 20? Program m e
Dec-1 9 Jan-2 0 Feb-2 0 Jul-1 9 Aug-1 9 Sep-1 9 Oct-1 9 Nov-1 9
Publications Ofgem governance/ decisions on access reform External engagem ent I ndustry engagem ent I ndustry engagem ent
generation charging
24
We are also considering several other specific issues alongside the overarching workstreams:
before arriving at our shortlist for impact assessment
engaging on the DSO transition We are delivering the SCR through seven workstreams: 1 . Connection Boundary – considering whether there is merit in moving to a shallow connection boundary 2 . Access Rights – reviewing the definition and choice of distribution and transmission access rights 3 . Cost Models – examining what costs should be in the forward looking signal, how costs vary by location and how they can be signalled to users 4 . DUoS Charging Design – assessing changes to how charges are designed to improve cost reflectivity and signals to users 5 . TNUoS Charging Design – assessing changes to the charge design for demand TNUoS and whether distribution users should face TNUoS charges 6 . Sm all Users – assessing whether the options can be applied to small users or amendments are required 7 . I m pact Assessm ent – undertaking modelling to feed into the distributional, systems and behavioural impact of options
25
26
Requirement Source of Evidence Date Update Complet ed qualit at ive assessment of longlist opt ions
Jan 2019
Ofgem analysis and working papers Agreed opt ions short list
Feb 2020
Reference Net work Modelling (Dx and Tx)
End Oct 2019 for Dx End Nov 2019 for Tx
pot ent ial t o use WSP models
Ofgem resource in place Modelling of impact on DUoS t ariffs and Dn charging met hodologies under DCUSA cont ract
TNEI )
End Dec 2019
DCUSA panel
Modelling impact of TNUoS changes on t ransmission charge met hodologies
End Dec 2019
Consult ant s in place for dist ribut ional, behavioural and syst ems analyses
End-Oct ober 2019
launched early August Dist ribut ional, behavioural and syst ems analyses st ruct ure / models in place
End-Jan 2020
Modelling complet ed
May 2020
Draft I mpact Assessment complet ed
June 2020
27
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Exist ing users I f moving t o a shallow boundary, how should we t reat exist ing users? Ofgem assessment , exist ing user product 2, 3 Nov 2019 (for 2nd WP) User segment at ion Should any proposed change apply across all users? Ofgem assessment , connect ion boundary product 2, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching I s t here a case for moving t o a shallow boundary? Connect ion boundary and value product s 1 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching How feasible/ desirable are t he opt ions for moving t he dist ribut ion connect ion charging boundary? Connect ion boundary and value assessment product s,
DUoS sub group 1, 3 Nov 2019 (for 2nd WP) Value Do t he longlist ed opt ions have value t o 1. net work/ syst em operat ors 2. users? Value assessment product 1 Nov 2019 (for 2nd WP) User commit ment I f moving t o a shallow boundary, should we int roduce some form of user commit ment ? User commit ment product 1, 2, 3 Nov 2019 (for 2nd WP) Overarching How feasible/ desirable is making ot her changes t o t he connect ion charging arrangement s (eg, delayed payment )? Connect ion boundary product 1, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching Would any of t hese opt ions have wider/ unint ended consequences (eg, at t ransmission, on compet it ion in connect ions et c)? Connect ion boundary product 1 Nov 2019 (for 2nd WP)
28
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Small users Which of t hese access choices should be available for small users and which should t hey be prot ect ed from? Small users subgroup 2 Oct 19 (for 2nd working paper) Overarching To what ext ent do opt ions support efficient use and development of net work capacit y (including compared t o procurement of flexibilit y). Access subgroup 1 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching To what ext ent do opt ions reflect t he needs of consumers (including behavioural response). Ofgem engagement wit h consumers. 2 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching How could t hese access choices be reflect ed in charging? TNEI / CEPA 3 Oct 19 TNUoS How should dist ribut ion-connect ed users' access t o t he t ransmission be defined? Access subgroup/ TNUoS work 1, 3 Oct 19 (for 2nd working paper) Overarching How st andardised should access choices be? Access subgroup 1, 3 Oct 19 Overarching Should opt ions be available at t ransmission and dist ribut ion? Access subgroup 1, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching How feasible are each of t he access choices? Access subgroup (in progress) 3 August 19 Overarching Would any alt ernat ive access choices rest rict t he abilit y
Access subgroup (in progress) 1, 2 August 19 Overarching Are changes required t o t he monit oring and enforcing access right s t o implement alt ernat ive access right s? Access subgroup (in progress) 1, 2, 3 August 19 Sharing What is t he respect ive roles of sharing and t rading access? Access subgroup and Non-SCR working group 1 Nov 19
29
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Ext ent of cost s t o be charged for
Which costs should be included in the network charge? (e.g. replacem ent, reinforcement, m aintenance, other opex, business rates, call centres, pensions etc.)
Evidence of relat ive magnit ude
t reat ment under different models. 1, 3 Oct 2019 (modelling & GEMA s/ l) Spare capacit y t reat ment
Should LRMC DUoS charges be 'm oderate' LRMC (profiled according to spare capacity availability and load growth), or 'ultra' LRMC (not profiled by spare capacity).
Gat her and assess evidence for value of spare capacit y in different approaches and which should be furt her considered. 1, 3 Oct 2019 (modelling & GEMA s/ l) Locat ionally granular HV/ LV signals
How should users be segm ented/ grouped below the prim ary substation level and to what level of granularity to im prove accuracy of charges?
I dent ify opt ions for granular segment at ion based on available dat a t o inform archet ypical models dev. 1, (2), 3 Sept 2019 (draft view, 2nd working paper) SRMC vs LRMC
Should DUoS charges be based on the LRMC (Long Run Marginal Cost) or the SRMC (Short Run Marginal Cost) of the network?
Provide high level feasibility assessment of SRMC for dist ribut ion charges. 3 August 2019 (modelling & GEMA s/ l) Credit s and charges vs charges-
Should DUoS charges continue to be credits and charges (upstream only, relative signal, credits funded by residual), or is there a case to m ove to charges only (upstream and downstream , absolute signal, residual is truly residual).
Assessment of pot ent ial conflict s bet ween charging
cost reflect ivit y, and ident ify impact on ot her flexibilit y t ools 1, 3 Sept 2019 (modelling & GEMA s/ l) Layering of EHV charges Should the locational (nodal) signal for im pact on
the EHV network be passed on to HV/ LV users?
Evidence of t he impact t his is likely t o have on charges. 1, (2), 3 Sept 2019 (modelling & GEMA s/ l)
30
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Cross- cut t ing
Which access options are not feasible based on ability to adapt the charging m ethodology to accurately discount network charges based on certain access choices?
Will be based on granularit y and abilit y accurat ely ‘discount ’ bespoke charges 3 Oct 2019 Cross- cut t ing
I s a charging approach that pays both charges and credits (m andatory, LRMC, relative cost) com patible with flexibility procurem ent (opt-in, could be SRMC, absolute cost), and what does this m ean for the role of charges vs flexibility?
Assessment of logic behind a relat ive charges based regime 1, 3 Oct 2019 Allocat ive vs assumed vs forecast model
Should accurate charging signals be reliant on accurate forecasts/ assum ptions about dem and growth and future network developments ('forward-looking' e.g. FCP/ LRIC) or should they not account for dem and growth and future network developments at all ('allocative' e.g. Transport m odel).
Evidence on hist orical performance of t he models (which use different approaches). View on t he st rengt hs and weaknesses
1, 3. Oct 2019 Ext end t ransport model down (EHV)
I f an 'ultra’ approach is chose - which m ethodology should be used? For EHV? For HV/ LV? (e.g. Transport/ asset-based/ other).
Evidence for t he det ailed
considered for short list ing. 1, 3 Dec 2019 I mprove and ext end EDCM
I f a 'm oderate' approach is chosen - which m ethodology should be used? For EHV only - hypothesis is m oderate will not be feasible for HV/ LV due to lack of inform ation availability.
Evidence for t he det ailed
considered for short list ing. 1, 3 Dec 2019
31
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Overarching Are t here reasons t o int roduce separat e charging arrangement s for small users and what might t hey look like? Small user subgroup assessment of short list
2 Oct 19 (for 2nd working paper) Overarching Should TNUoS demand charges and DUoS charges be t he same design? Out comes of DUoS and TNUoS modelling Ofgem assessment 1, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Real t ime pricing I s it feasible t o implement granularit y of modelling required t o int roduce real t ime pricing? Cost Models subgroup 1, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) CPP What volt age can CPP be implement ed for, based on t he granularit y of modelling t hat is possible? Cost models subgroup Delivery Group Ofgem assessment 1, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching [ Subj ect t o t he degree of locat ional granularit y] should more granular TOD be int roduced? Delivery Group 1, 2 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching Should seasonalit y be applied t o DUoS charges? Should it be applied below DNO region level? Delivery Group Small users subgroup 1, 2 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Agreed capacit y I s it possible t o have defined access right s wit hout agreed capacit y charging? Access right s subgroup CEPA / TNEI 1 Oct ober 19 Overarching When considering issues such as seasonalit y, is elect rical connect ivit y t o primaries a reasonable proxy for impact at lower volt age levels? Cost models subgroup Delivery Group 1 Oct ober 19
32
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Agreed capacit y Does DNO net work planning support t he use of agreed capacit y charges, as being represent at ive
Access right s subgroup Delivery Group 1 Sept ember 19 Overarching On what basis should primary subst at ion cost s be bat ched up t o creat e charges t hat best reflect seasonal and TOD differences and differences in underlying cost s? Local Granularit y subgroup Delivery Group 1, 2, 3 November 19 Agreed capacit y / Volumet ric Would applying a mix of capacit y and volumet ric charges improve likelihood of behaviour change or result in t wo weaker signals? CEPA / TNEI Academic input 1 November 19 Overarching What t ype of behavioural response do we expect t o see under each charging opt ion? Ofgem assessment 1, 2 Oct ober 19 Act ual capacit y Are t here benefit s t o an act ual capacit y charging arrangement t hat do not also apply t o volumet ric TOU? Academic input I nt ernat ional case st udies 1 November 2019
33
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Reference node Could t here be merit in moving t he reference node, which means we need t o do furt her analysis? I nit ial ESO modelling 1 Oct 19 (for 2nd working paper) Reference node What is t he impact of moving t he reference node? Furt her ESO analysis 1 November 19 Overarching Do we need t o make changes t o TNUoS t o address differences bet ween t ypes of generat ion / flex? I f so, what changes? Out comes of TNUoS charging design work 1 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching Are t here any changes we need t o make t o t he t ransmission arrangement s beyond t he SCR? Ofgem assessment 1 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) TNUoS generat ion I s t here sufficient evidence t hat dist ribut ed generat ion drives cost s on t ransmission net works? Delivery Group 1, 3 Oct 19 (for 2nd working paper) Triad What is t he impact of separat e and combined Triad reform opt ions? ESO modelling 1, 2 November 19 Overarching Should TNUoS demand charges and DUoS charges be t he same design? Out comes of DUoS and TNUoS modelling Ofgem assessment 1, 3 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching Do we need t o int roduce any prot ect ion for small users (given t he ESO bills suppliers at t he GSP group level)? Small Users subgroup 2 Oct 19 (for 2nd working paper)
34
Option Policy question Source of Evidence Guiding Principle Alignment Date Overarching Clarify our int erpret at ion and applicat ion of our second guiding principle. Ofgem assessment 2 Sep 19 (for 2nd working paper) Overarching What is t he scope of consumer risks and impact s for which we should seek t o apply prot ect ions? How far should any prot ect ions come t hrough t he access and charging framework, vs wider policy? Ofgem assessment 2 Sep 19 (for 2nd working paper) Overarching Which access and charging opt ions should apply for small users, including any adapt at ions or prot ect ions? To include assessment on:
any need t o blunt signals t o supplier
market prot ect ions or enablers have a role
any not suit able
for small users
for small users. Out comes from Access Right s, Cost Models and Charge Design workst reams 2 Feb 2020 (for GEMA short list ) Overarching Confirm clear scope of how small users are defined, and what relevant subcat egories exist wit hin t his. Confirm where t he small user workst ream needs t o focus and are any users not included? Ofgem assessment Small users subgroup 2 Sep 19 (for 2nd working paper)
35
36
37
38
39
41
42
43
44
45
46
Flexibility is m ainly valued through flexibility procurement. This is effectively the current approach for transm ission generators (via the Balancing Mechanism ). Exceedance charge m ethodology could also be used to value flex. Flexibility is valued through tim e of use charging, though additional flexibility procurement m ay be needed to the extent that charges to do not reflect value in a particular location at different tim es As left and above, flexibility m ay also be valued through access right choice. However, users m ay have lim ited incentive to choose m ore flexible access rights if charges are solely tim e of use based. Users are able to indicate they are w illing to
in exchange for a low er capacity charge. Additional flexibility procurement m ay be needed. Agreed capacity based charges Tim e-dependent charges No access right choice Significant access right choice
47
48
DNOs to instruct users to turn down when there are local constraints.
flexibility where it is needed, and define their tenders or requests to reflect the value of flexibility at that location
calculate a network charge that can accurately signal the constraint.
flexibility, and incentivises flexibility where there are no constraints. Access Charging Merits Procurem ent
in the efficiency of the flexibility signal, as the constraints are signalled just a day (or m ore) ahead, and so can m ore accurately reflect the tim e of network constraints. Barriers
49
introduce a m arket m echanism for valuing
pay others to avoid being curtailed will be revealed through a com petitive m arket.
concerns – this could also lead to higher prices and inefficient outcom es.
constraints end up being paid to fix them , with the cost of this being socialised across a wider consum er base.
through an adm inistrative price setting process and based on pre-agreed com m on m ethodologies. Access Charging Merits Procurem ent
adequate com petition, and so could be m ore suited to areas where there are m arket power concerns, or where flexibility m arkets are in their infancy. Barriers
m echanism s to reveal the efficient price of access.
should reveal the efficient price for delivery of flexibility services.
50
extent to which they offer flexibility
against volatile charges
being m ore proactive in their engagem ent.
this could increase the risk exposure
m ight flow into the prices they charge their custom ers Access Charging Merits Procurem ent
This m eans that network charges are able potentially to drive a shift in the baseline Barriers
understand and engage with access rights
flexible at the tim e of agreeing to an access right.
51
signal or continue using the network and pay the associated price.
response for planning purposes. Access Charging Merits Procurem ent Barriers
(such as exceedance charges) which would result in a lower level of certainty of response.
response to the system or network com pany.
through non-firm access rights currently em ployed through flexible connections, which involve the installation of control equipm ent giving the DNOs’ certainty that they will get a response.
response if im plem ented via active network m anagement (ANM).
52
used through the im plem entation of flexible connections.
m ature
technological solutions that need to be im plem ented to deliver the full benefits.
require significant investm ent in system s and technology.
dynam ic charging increase as you go down the voltage levels Access Charging Merits Procurem ent
som e elem ents of tim e-of-use and seasonal pricing already. Barriers
choices would entail technology and system s costs.
network planning standards.
procurem ent can be rolled out on a targeted, strategic basis
53
54
55
56
57
– There is a trade-off between efficiency and complexity limitations. Standardised options may be easily understood, but inefficient and potentially ill-suited to individual users. Bespoke access may achieve efficient network utilisation, but may be difficult to administer. Hybrid options may offer the benefits of both. – Additionally, access rights need to be cost-reflectively charged. With a shallow connection boundary it may be challenging to reflect the value of bespoke access rights in UoS charges.
– Currently access rights differ at transmission and distribution. Alternative access options are unlikely to be popular at transmission if the charges are equivalent to those for firm access. – We will consider the applicability of these reforms to the transmission charging arrangements.
– Consequences of exceeding access rights should be visible, understandable and proportionate to the impact of
rights. – The approach to enforcing access rights may be another area where we can introduce greater choice of access rights (eg introducing physical limitations on ability to exceed access rights, if this resulted in a cheaper connection).
– Some users' access will impact their ability to sell services in different markets. This can influence their access
– We intend to work with government, NG ESO, the ENA and any new markets to remove undue barriers for users with alternative access choices in these markets.
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
Description Circuit Additional I ncrem ent Node 1 Node 2 Node 3
Demand charge
credit
Demand charge charge
credit credit
65
66
Source: Electricity North West Ltd network data and Ofgem cost data
67
68
69
70
71
72
73