Defin init itio ions and Cautio ionary Note Reserves: Our use of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Defin init itio ions and Cautio ionary Note Reserves: Our use of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Alaska World Affair irs Council il Northrim im Oil il and Gas Speaker Serie ies Natural Gas a as Th The 21 21 st st Century Economic ic Game Changer: Could P Petrochemic icals He Help Alaska t to U Up Its Game Dan Carlson March 22,


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Shell Chemical LP

Alaska World Affair irs Council il Northrim

im Oil il and Gas Speaker Serie ies

Natural Gas a as Th The 21 21st

st Century Economic

ic Game Changer: Could P Petrochemic icals He Help Alaska t to U Up Its Game

Dan Carlson GM New Business Development, Americas Shell Chemical March 22, 2013

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Shell Chemical LP

Defin init itio ions and Cautio ionary Note

Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions. Organic: Our use of the term Organic in this presentation includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact. The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Companies over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to “joint ventures” and companies over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. In this presentation, joint ventures and associates may also be referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and

  • assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’,

‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and

  • phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those

expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking

  • statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2012 (available at

www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this presentation and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 22 March 2013. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this presentation that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.

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Shell Chemical LP

Shale Gas Changes t the G Game

Source: Department of Energy

LNG Gas t to t transport Gas t to l liq iquid ids Gas t to p power Gas t to C Chemic icals

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

US N Natural Gas P Productio ion, , 19 1990 90 to 20 2040 40

Actual Projected Shale Gas All Other Gas Sources

tcf per year

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Shell Chemical LP

What is is S Shale Gas and Where is is t the N NA Supply?

Source: National Energy Board

Innovations in technology make shale gas more readily available An abundance

  • f shale gas

basins exist in North America

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Shell Chemical LP

Chemic icals: : Buil ildin ing B Blocks for Modern Socie iety

Raw Materials OIL GAS

Base Chemic icals Intermedia iates

Specia ialtie ies

Consumers

Innovatio ion and Technology  Addin ing Value to Hy Hydrocarbons Packaging Carpet Detergents Pipe Fiber

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Shell Chemical LP

Petrochemic icals is is a a Global Busin iness

5 5 Sin inopec 10 10 Ineos Ho Holdin ings 9 9 Mit itsubis ishi i Chemic ical 8 8 LyondellBassell 7 7 DuPont 1 1 BASF 2 2 ExxonMobil il 3 3 Sabic ic 4 4 Dow Chemic ical 6 6 Royal Dutch Shell

Key Players

Chin ina

Ethylene Productio ion by Regio ion (mil illio ion metric ic t tons)

Source: IHS

20 40 60 80 Asia North America Middle East Europe Other

2022 2012 2007

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Shell Chemical LP

Three Keys t to Success for Chemic ical I Investments

Chin ina

Source: IHS

Access to low cost raw materials Competitive and stable investment climate Access to growing markets

Productio ion Costs per ton

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Shell Chemical LP

Lessons From Fast Growin ing Chemic ical P Productio ion Centers

Chin ina

Case Studie ies US Gulf Coast

– 95% of US capacity located in the Gulf Coast – Ethane feedstock accounted for 65% of ethylene production in 2012, a 15% increase in 10 years

Middle East

– Middle East increased production from 2.5 to nearly 20 million metric tons from 1990 to 2010 – Production accounted for 18% of global production in 2012

China

– Production increased by 5X in 10 years – Capacity expansions continue to be announced in the area

Source: IHS

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Shell Chemical LP

20 40 60 80 100

Gas Decouples from Crude as S Shale Productio ion Grows

Chin ina

Source: IHS

USD / / Barrel Gas Crude

Products made from gas sold at crude related pric ice

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Shell Chemical LP

North Americ ica B Becomes More C Competit itiv ive Globally

Chin ina

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200

ME EU NA AP

2007 Production Costs

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200

ME EU NA AP

2013 Projected Production Costs

Source: IHS

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Shell Chemical LP

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% Ethylene GDP Gas Oil

Chemic icals Demand Grows Faster than G GDP, , Gas and Oil il

Global demand change

since 1980

Ethane Ethylene Polyethylene Building blocks for modern society

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Shell Chemical LP

Developin ing Economie ies Driv ive Chemic icals G Growth

Significant scope for more plastic consumption with increased wealth

Africa India China Brazil World Average EU Japan US

20 40 60 80 100 120

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Plastics Consumption per capita (kg) GDP per Capita ($)

Thousands

Population 1bn Population 5.5bn

Source: Various publicly available data

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Shell Chemical LP

Competit itiv ive and Stable Investment Clim imate

  • Think long term
  • Competitive fiscal policies
  • Strong community support
  • Predictable regulatory framework
  • Proactive economic development

strategy

  • Project execution capability
  • Infrastructure
  • Land
  • Skilled labor
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Shell Chemical LP

Economic ic Impact o

  • f Chemic

icals I Investment

Source: Pennsylvania Economy League of Greater Pittsburgh: Regional Economic Impact Analysis of Proposed Petrochemical Facility

INVE VESTM TMENT T PHA HASE OPERATI TION P PHA HASE

MULTI-BILLION DOLLAR INVE VESTMENT

(building the facility) (ongoing operations)

Across 10 county region $2.8 billion economic

  • utput during peak

construction year 10 10,000 ,000 Direct jobs 18 18,000 ,000 Total jobs 400 400 Direct jobs 2,00 2,000 0 up to 8,00 8,000 Total jobs $4.8 billion annual economic output

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Shell Chemical LP

Scope and Scale o

  • f a Petrochemic

ical Complex

Constructio ion Steam a and Util ilit itie ies Furnace Shell’s Facility in Singapore

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Shell Chemical LP

Chemic ical Investment Opportunit itie ies in in A Appalachia ia

Chin ina

Pipe Bottles Film Ethylene Co-monomer Polyethylene resin

Polyethylene (PE)

  • Advantaged feed
  • Close proximity to end-use industries
  • Strong local/regional support
  • Benefits local economy
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Shell Chemical LP

Summary: : Big ig O Opportunit itie ies for Chemic icals in in N North Americ ica

  • Abundant supplies of natural gas boosts prospects for NA

Chemicals

  • Chemicals Industry is responding to take advantage of low cost

raw materials with new investments

  • Many new units announced for the Gulf Coast but other locations

are becoming attractive as gas production expands

  • Growing Chemicals exports will flow to Asia and South America
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August 2012

Shell Chemical LP

Informatio ion Resources Local Alaska Business Contacts Curtis Smith +1-907-646-7182 Peter Scott +1-907-771-7240

http://www.shell.us/products-services/solutions-for-businesses/chemicals.html http://www.shell.us/aboutshell/projects-locations/alaska.html

Shell Media Line – 713-241-4544 2012 Annual Report and 2012 Sustainability Report available through www.shell.com

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