DBE RESPONSE TO NQF IMPACT STUDY DG: Department of Basic Education - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
DBE RESPONSE TO NQF IMPACT STUDY DG: Department of Basic Education Mr HM Mweli 5 January 2016 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS SDG 4 Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all
DG: Department of Basic Education Mr HM Mweli 5 January 2016
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Size of the Schooling System: Learners: 12 655 436 Educators: 425 090 Schools: 25 741 Official languages English, isiZulu, isiXhosa, isiNdebele, Afrikaans, siSwati, Sepedi Sesotho, Setswana, Tshivenda, Xitsonga
Sector Learners Educator s Schools Public 12 117 015 390 608 24 060 Indepen- dent 538 421 34 482 1 681 Total 12 655 436 425 090 25 741 5
NUMBER OF LEARNERS, EDUCATORS AND SCHOOLS IN THE ORDINARY SCHOOL SECTOR, BY PROVINCE, IN 2014
Source: DBE, EMIS, School Realities, 2014
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5 YEARS OLD ATTENDING EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTION BY PROVINCE, 2005-2014
Province 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 68.3 71.1 69.3 81.1 85.9 92.2 90.9 93.1 93.9 91.5 Free State 55.7 59.8 60.5 60.6 86.2 79.9 82.0 86.4 87.6 89.8 Gauteng 60.4 61.6 64.6 61.9 74.7 82.8 87.6 86.0 83.3 90.5 KwaZulu-Natal 49.6 54.2 51.7 58.2 70.4 84.8 78.0 77.1 81.9 87.2 Limpopo 72.7 76.2 71.5 75.0 92.4 96.2 95.1 93.8 96.3 93.0 Mpumalanga 56.1 57.6 63.9 64.8 82.6 73.1 86.4 84.5 82.7 88.6 North West 47.6 50.6 46.5 52.9 67.1 73.6 85.9 89.0 84.0 82.1 Northern Cape 55.0 46.7 59.5 49.6 79.1 78.4 77.3 71.1 85.4 82.4 Western Cape 63.5 64.3 51.6 55.0 78.1 69.8 75.5 73.9 75.4 71.6 National 59.2 61.7 60.4 63.9 78.6 83.6 84.9 84.6 85.3 87.2 Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations 11
7 -13 YEAR OLD CHILDREN ATTENDING EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS BY PROVINCE, 2005 – 2014
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 97.9 97.7 97.8 98.3 98.6 99.0 99.0 99.0 99.1 99.4 Free State 98.7 99.1 99.1 98.4 99.1 99.3 99.2 99.5 98.7 98.4 Gauteng 99.0 98.7 98.0 98.7 99.0 99.2 99.1 99.0 99.7 99.3 KwaZulu-Natal 97.9 97.2 98.2 97.9 98.8 98.7 99.0 99.1 99.0 99.2 Limpopo 99.0 99.2 98.8 98.3 99.3 99.2 99.4 99.5 99.5 99.5 Mpumalanga 97.7 97.6 97.9 98.1 98.7 99.4 99.4 99.4 99.4 99.2 North West 95.4 96.2 98.0 97.4 98.3 98.0 98.7 98.9 99.2 98.8 Northern Cape 98.5 98.7 99.1 98.4 99.1 99.0 99.0 99.4 99.3 99.9 Western Cape 98.7 99.4 99.5 98.0 99.2 99.7 98.7 99.4 99.0 99.6 Eastern Cape 98.2 98.1 98.3 98.2 98.9 99.1 99.0 99.2 99.3 99.3 13
7 TO 15 YEAR OLD CHILDREN ATTENDING EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS BY PROVINCE, 2005-2014
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 97.4 97.3 97.7 97.4 98.0 98.5 98.5 98.4 98.1 98.9 Free State 97.2 98.7 98.7 98.4 98.7 99.0 98.8 99.2 98.4 98.3 Gauteng 98.8 97.8 97.9 98.7 98.9 98.9 99.3 99.0 99.5 99.2 KwaZulu-Natal 97.5 97.2 97.7 97.9 98.3 98.3 98.7 98.8 98.6 99.1 Limpopo 98.8 99.2 98.6 98.2 99.2 99.2 99.2 99.2 99.2 99.3 Mpumalanga 97.9 97.7 97.9 98.2 98.5 99.1 99.0 99.0 99.2 99.2 North West 95.6 95.4 97.1 97.2 97.6 97.7 98.6 98.8 98.3 98.1 Northern Cape 97.6 97.2 97.4 97.6 98.6 98.1 98.6 98.6 98.9 99.3 Western Cape 98.2 97.8 98.4 97.2 98.4 99.1 98.1 98.2 98.1 98.9 National 97.8 97.6 97.9 97.9 98.5 98.7 98.8 98.8 98.8 99.0 14
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 87.6 88.9 90.2 87.6 87.1 87.7 88.4 89.5 88.6 88.3 Free State 90.1 92.2 93.3 89.6 90.0 89.2 91.0 91.3 90.8 93.8 Gauteng 90.2 86.8 89.1 91.2 92.5 89.9 89.5 90.5 90.1 92.0 KwaZulu-Natal 87.4 89.0 88.9 90.4 87.8 87.2 90.4 90.7 91.5 91.4 Limpopo 92.1 92.9 95.0 92.9 94.6 94.9 95.3 95.8 95.8 95.2 Mpumalanga 91.5 90.7 94.0 91.0 89.6 90.5 91.3 90.3 89.7 91.7 North West 88.4 85.8 84.9 86.0 86.7 85.7 90.2 88.2 88.4 85.9 Northern Cape 85.9 83.0 85.2 82.9 82.4 85.5 85.3 86.2 88.7 84.2 Western Cape 79.8 77.2 81.9 81.2 82.6 83.4 84.9 86.3 85.0 87.1 National 88.3 88.0 89.7 89.2 89.0 88.7 90.1 90.5 90.3 90.7 15
5 YEAR OLD CHILDREN WITH DISABILITIES ATTENDING EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS, 2009-2014
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 76.9 90.5 88.4 92.0 95.5 87.8 Free State 81.8 80.9 72.8 81.8 76.6 85.8 Gauteng 76.9 82.9 75.6 82.8 95.8 84.8 KwaZulu-Natal 80.5 78.4 73.0 78.8 75.7 84.7 Limpopo 92.9 94.9 92.3 94.0 93.6 88.7 Mpumalanga 78.1 87.1 82.4 85.2 80.8 70.5 North West 58.5 77.9 83.3 88.4 85.7 83.0 Northern Cape 72.1 80.3 82.3 65.4 81.8 80.1 Western Cape 80.9 63.4 78.7 78.0 67.9 74.1 National 80.4 84.5 82.3 85.2 85.2 83.9 16
7 TO 15 YEAR OLD CHILDREN WITH DISABILITIES ATTENDING EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS BY PROVINCE, 2005-2014
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 79.6 73.8 80.6 65.4 90.5 91.1 86.3 88.9 90.1 94.5 Free State 93.1 84.7 87.7 80.9 92.3 96.8 95.7 94.8 91.1 89.0 Gauteng 89.5 84.3 72.4 95.1 86.4 92.7 92.9 87.2 96.8 92.3 KwaZulu- Natal 70.5 82.9 73.4 68.0 91.2 89.1 93.7 96.1 91.6 94.8 Limpopo 69.5 85.1 74.6 63.2 88.2 93.1 95.5 87.7 86.7 92.4 Mpumalanga 62.3 67.7 57.1 88.6 93.6 95.7 96.9 95.5 92.1 92.2 North West 73.0 65.9 74.6 72.0 83.4 95.2 89.0 96.5 97.7 93.9 Northern Cape 75.0 75.0 71.1 74.1 73.6 92.9 95.8 98.0 90.7 98.5 Western Cape 82.2 78.6 94.6 85.4 97.7 98.6 73.1 87.5 95.6 95.2 National 77.8 78.6 74.6 77.0 89.7 93.2 92.1 92.4 92.5 93.4 17
16 TO 18 YEAR OLD CHILDREN WITH DISABILITIES ATTENDING EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS BY PROVINCE, 2005-2014
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 53.4 46.9 45.7 42.0 41.4 71.0 83.0 40.2 34.5 18.9 Free State 72.0 51.5 60.6 54.8 70.2 65.2 79.4 89.5 88.8 83.5 Gauteng 100.0 95.1 91.6 70.3 75.0 71.3 90.1 74.4 92.1 92.8 KwaZulu- Natal 69.7 34.5 53.4 49.5 39.3 58.6 58.0 69.3 74.2 62.9 Limpopo 32.6 43.8 42.0 40.6 65.9 61.0 83.4 87.5 43.9 19.8 Mpumalanga 62.2 57.1 85.1 51.1 100.0 80.7 96.1 85.7 58.5 30.1 North West 80.5 100.0 82.2 48.9 18.0 77.2 46.2 50.4 78.0 75.1 Northern Cape 79.4 75.2 61.8 44.4 0.0 57.8 100.0 73.8 49.2 100.0 Western Cape 16.8 66.5 59.7 49.1 74.3 79.1 100.0 82.4 87.6 65.5 National 61.4 57.3 64.6 52.8 54.3 68.3 80.7 66.7 70.3 54.1 18
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations
Province 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % Eastern Cape 8 917 1.0 12 438 1.3 16 446 1.6 14 896 1.5 20 698 3.8 15 870 3.1 Free State 2 477 0.7 2 775 0.8 1 082 0.3 2 425 0.7 4 309 2.2 6 741 3.8 Gauteng 9 656 0.9 18 823 1.6 8 100 0.7 9 052 0.8 9 428 1.3 12 786 2.0 KwaZulu- Natal 16 124 1.1 16 997 1.2 14 428 1.0 18 680 1.3 26 468 3.0 18 533 2.3 Limpopo 14 854 1.7 25 321 2.7 21 016 2.5 11 134 1.3 13 941 2.5 15 818 3.2 Mpumalanga 6 660 1.1 8 088 1.4 5 377 0.9 14 155 2.5 11 854 3.4 11 298 3.8 North West 4 673 1.1 5 664 1.3 2 822 0.6 6 603 1.5 7 359 2.8 4 512 1.9 Northern Cape 778 0.5 1 574 1.1 403 0.3 1 543 1.1 1 173 1.5 1 388 1.9 Western Cape 6 710 1.2 2 951 0.5 1 505 0.3 3 189 0.5 3 811 1.1 7 033 2.1 National 70 848 1.1 94 630 1.4 71 179 1.1 81 678 1.2 99 041 2.5 93 978 2.7
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PERCENTAGE OF GRADES 1 - 9 LEARNERS BY STATUS OF ACCESS TO LANGUAGE AND MATHEMATICS WORKBOOKS, 2014
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations
Province Language Mathematics Yes No Do not know Total Yes No Do not know Total Eastern Cape 96.8 2.9 0.3 100.0 97.0 2.7 0.3 100.0 Free State 98.8 1.1 0.0 100.0 98.9 1.1 0.0 100.0 Gauteng 95.3 4.5 0.2 100.0 96.2 3.8 0.0 100.0 KwaZulu- Natal 95.4 3.9 0.7 100.0 96.4 2.9 0.7 100.0 Limpopo 98.2 1.7 0.1 100.0 98.6 1.4 0.0 100.0 Mpumalanga 95.7 4.3 0.0 100.0 95.6 4.4 0.0 100.0 North West 95.2 4.6 0.2 100.0 94.9 4.9 0.2 100.0 Northern Cape 95.9 4.0 0.1 100.0 97.9 2.0 0.1 100.0 Western Cape 97.3 2.2 0.5 100.0 98.0 1.6 0.4 100.0 Total 96.3 3.4 0.3 100.0 96.8 2.9 0.3 100.0
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PERCENTAGE OF LEARNERS ABSENT FROM SCHOOL
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 8.6 26.8 6.2 9.9 6.3 5.5 Free State 10.3 24.4 5.3 8.7 5.4 5.4 Gauteng 8.5 22.0 4.6 7.0 4.5 6.7 KwaZulu-Natal 7.6 42.0 8.2 10.4 7.8 8.7 Limpopo 7.3 36.5 4.8 4.3 6.5 6.6 Mpumalanga 4.4 25.8 5.7 7.2 5.8 6.0 North West 6.9 27.7 8.1 10.0 9.7 8.0 Northern Cape 4.3 21.8 7.5 10.1 7.5 7.6 Western Cape 12.3 18.6 9.5 9.7 7.3 9.8 National 8.0 29.8 6.5 8.5 6.6 7.2 24
PERCENTAGE OF 5 TO 6-YEAR-OLD CHILDREN WALKING TO SCHOOL FOR MORE THAN 30 MINUTES
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 13.1 11.9 9.2 6.4 10.2 11.2 Free State 10.8 6.8 4.6 4.6 3.0 4.6 Gauteng 6.5 2.9 1.2 2.0 8.0 3.4 KwaZulu-Natal 20.6 18.7 20.1 20.0 19.7 19.6 Limpopo 5.0 10.7 6.8 9.6 4.8 6.1 Mpumalanga 9.2 4.9 7.0 5.2 6.3 3.1 North West 7.0 7.6 9.3 9.7 9.6 6.7 Northern Cape 5.3 0.9 2.7 6.3 11.0 2.5 Western Cape 4.3 2.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.1 National 10.9 10.3 9.1 9.0 10.0 8.9 25
PERCENTAGE OF 16 TO 18-YEAR-OLD CHILDREN WALKING TO SCHOOL FOR MORE THAN 30 MINUTES
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 20.8 21.5 16.5 22.2 26.8 19.5 Free State 13.3 15.0 14.1 13.4 12.1 14.8 Gauteng 11.8 7.0 7.3 11.2 9.2 10.4 KwaZulu-Natal 33.8 34.7 29.7 30.4 33.1 33.8 Limpopo 21.4 21.5 21.2 19.5 21.1 20.1 Mpumalanga 21.6 13.8 11.4 18.4 14.7 14.6 North West 18.5 19.9 24.6 22.3 21.9 12.2 Northern Cape 7.6 7.3 8.5 8.2 6.3 10.7 Western Cape 8.4 4.8 1.5 2.1 6.4 0.8 National 21.3 20.1 17.9 19.6 21.0 19.1 27
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PERCENTAGE OF LEARNERS BENEFITING FROM THE SCHOOL FEEDING SCHEME
Source: Statistics South Africa, General Household Survey (GHS), DBE own calculations Province 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Cape 75.3 82.9 85.3 86.7 88.3 Free State 65.8 75.3 77.0 78.7 78.0 Gauteng 53.8 55.3 55.3 59.8 63.4 KwaZulu-Natal 67.5 76.0 79.2 80.5 79.4 Limpopo 84.7 94.4 94.7 93.5 94.3 Mpumalanga 75.5 84.2 85.9 85.7 88.8 North West 69.6 80.7 83.4 82.8 85.3 Northern Cape 89.3 89.7 88.0 84.7 84.0 Western Cape 66.7 64.0 63.4 66.0 65.0 National 69.9 76.2 77.4 78.7 79.7 30
NO FEE LEARNERS AND NO FEE SCHOOLS IN 2015
PROV
Learners % No Fee Learners
Schools % No Fee Schools EC 1,725,313 91.3% 5,320 95.8% FS 543,288 82.8% 1,147 87.8% GP 1,231,673 63.3% 1,376 66.5% KZN 1,965,951 69.4% 5,005 84.6% LP 1,603,765 96.3% 3,838 97.7% MP 884,993 85.6% 1,631 92.6% NC 200,287 70.3% 415 75.3% NW 701,971 89.5% 1,349 89.0% WC 599,874 58.4% 884 60.6% SA 9,457,115 78.6% 20,965 87.14% 31
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PERCENTAGE OF REPEATERS BY GRADE, 2009-2014
Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Total 2009 6.9 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.5 5.0 8.2 10.7 17.1 16.3 8.3 8.8 2010 5.8 8.4 8.9 6.2 7.0 6.6 5.3 6.6 11.3 19.0 18.2 10.6 9.4 2011 6.9 8.3 7.7 8.2 6.0 7.3 6.1 7.6 13.4 21.0 18.1 10.9 10.2 2012 9.0 9.7 9.5 10.7 8.2 7.2 6.5 10.3 15.0 22.1 19.9 8.9 11.5 2013 10.7 9.1 9.7 9.2 9.4 7.6 7.9 8.6 16.2 24.5 21.1 8.9 12.2 2014 9.2 9.0 9.6 7.6 7.8 8.4 6.8 9.8 17.3 21.0 17.7 6.4 11.3 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
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DROP-OUT RATES DECLINING BUT QUALITY PROBLEMS MANIFEST IN SECONDARY SCHOOLING
Source: National Income Dynamic Study (NIDS), 2007/08-2011/12
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NUMBER OF PROGRESSED CANDI DATES
Province Entered Wrote Incomplete Achieved EASTERN CAPE 12 304 11 705 599 2 625 FREE STATE 8 187 5 105 3 082 2 600 GAUTENG 5 198 4 568 630 2 149 KWAZULU-NATAL 10 633 10 070 563 4 765 LIMPOPO 13 227 13 022 205 3 492 MPUMALANGA 5 228 5 091 137 2 290 NORTH WEST 3 767 3 543 224 2 122 NORTHERN CAPE 2 280 1 963 317 613 WESTERN CAPE 4 847 3 589 1 258 1 404 NATIONAL 65 671 58 656 7 015 22 060
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% ACHIEVED - NON-PROGRESSED VS TOTAL
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0
EASTER N CAPE FREE STATE GAUTEN G KWAZUL U-NATAL LIMPOP O MPUMA LANGA NORTH WEST NORTHE RN CAPE WESTER N CAPE NATION AL % Achieved Non-Progressed 62.2 87.7 85.9 61.6 71.7 82.1 84.0 77.2 88.0 74.1 % Achieved Total 56.8 81.9 84.3 60.7 65.9 78.6 81.5 69.4 84.7 70.7
% Achieved Non-Progressed % Achieved Total
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NSC REPEATER CANDI DATES’ PERFORMANCE - 2015
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Province Total Wrote Total Achieved % Achieved EASTERN CAPE 6 049 4 038 66.8 FREE STATE 1 1 100.0 GAUTENG 3 3 100.0 KWAZULU-NATAL 372 216 58.1 LIMPOPO 8 434 6 307 74.8 MPUMALANGA 2 513 2 109 83.9 NORTH WEST 41 29 70.7 NORTHERN CAPE WESTERN CAPE 2 1 50.0 NATIONAL 17 415 12 704 72.9
SPECI AL NEEDS EDUCATI ON (SNE) CANDI DATES (I NCL. CONCESSI ON CANDI DATES) – FULL-TI ME 2015
Province Total Wrote Achieved Bachelors Achieved Diploma Achieved H/ Cert Achieved NSC Achieved Endorsed NSC Did Not Achieved
Eastern Cape 185 19 61 31 19 74 Free State 54 11 25 13 1 83 2 Gauteng 564 207 285 38 111 34 KwaZulu-Natal 646 153 229 115 1 149 Limpopo 21 3 2 1 35 9 Mpumalanga 6 3 3 North West 30 7 15 2 6 Northern Cape 19 4 11 1 1 5 Western Cape 166 36 102 12 5 16
National 1 691 443 733 213 2 259 290
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THE NUMBER OF CANDI DATES PASSI NG MATRI C SI NCE 1970
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NUMBER OF CANDI DATES PASSI NG MATRI C, 1994 - 2015
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50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 350 000 400 000 450 000 500 000 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Number
PERCENTAGE ENDORSEMENT/ BACHELORS, 1994 - 2015
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0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Percentage
SCHOOL PERFORMANCE BY QUINTILE - 2015
73 Quintiles 0 - 19.9% 20 - 39.9% 40 - 59.9% 60 - 79.9% 80 - 100% Exactly 0% Exactly 100% Quintile 1 126 284 418 489 463 6 32 Quintile 2 61 229 405 522 423 4 22 Quintile 3 36 209 334 453 391 4 15 Quintile 4 1 24 63 169 330 45 Quintile 5 3 31 94 574 142 Total 224 749 1 251 1 727 2 181 14 256
DI STRI CT PERFORMANCE BY ACHI EVEMENT I NTERVAL AND PROVI NCE: 2015
Province Total number
Districts 2015 Below 50% 50% to 59.9% 60% to 69.9% 70% to 79.9% 80% and above EC 23
7 8 7 1
FS 5
2 3
GP 15
1 14
KZN 12
1 4 6 1
LP 5
2 2 1
MP 4
2 2
NW 4
2 2
NC 5
2 3
WC 8
8
Total 81 8 14 17 13 29
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