Creating value in a deleveraging environment - Twelve drivers for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Creating value in a deleveraging environment - Twelve drivers for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Creating value in a deleveraging environment - Twelve drivers for successful banking Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference 28 March 2012 CEO Rune Bjerke Driver 1: Sustainable achievements DNB has delivered as promised Development


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Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference 28 March 2012 CEO Rune Bjerke

Creating value in a deleveraging environment

  • Twelve drivers for successful banking
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Driver 1:

Sustainable achievements – DNB has delivered as promised

Development in pre-tax operating profit before write-downs (NOK billion)

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Driver 2:

A business model shaped for the future

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Private individuals SME + Corporate 50% 50%

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Driver 3:

A robust and consistent industry strategy

Selective inter- national position Regional/ global position

Shipping &

  • ffshore

Telecom Healthcare products Forest industries Media Comm. real estate Retail industry Tech- nology Public sector Service Finance

Seafood

From Norwegian to Nordic position

4

International expansion based on industries with traditional Norwegian competence Energy

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Driver 4:

Competence and experience in cyclical industries

NOK million

0 % 0 % 7 % 9 % 5 %

0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 % 25 %

  • 1.000

2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

International shipping Total Shipping in % of DNB Group

Write-downs DNB Group and shipping

Offshore; 27,1 % Crude oil tankers; 11,5 % RoRo/PCC; 2,9 % Container; 12,0 % Cruise; 3,5 % Dry; 13,9 % Chemical & product tankers; 7,2 % Other shipping; 3,4 % Other non- shipping; 3,2 % Gas; 9,4 % Aviation; 0,3 % Logistics; 5,7 %

Exposure at default according to sector 29.02.2012

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6 Source: Fourth quarter report 2011 from the financial institutions

Driver 5:

Sufficient solidity

  • DNB is among the most solid banks

2.6 % 3.1 % 3.2 % 3.9 % 4.2 % 4.9 % Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 DNB

Equity Tier 1/total assets (“leverage ratio”)

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Well capitalised by any measure

Reported capital adequacy Pro forma full IRB IRB with "Nordic" risk weight

Adjusted for Nordic risk weight for credit cards Adjusted for Nordic risk weight for corporates Adjusted for Swedish risk weight for mortgage loans Adjusted for full IRB DNB risk weights

9.4 10.8 14.2

EquityTier 1 capital as at 31 December 2011 (CET 1)

Per cent

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Driver 6:

Favourable funding position

2012 2011 2010

NOK Spread Billion Maturity 3-month Euribor Covered bonds 34.0 7.6 72 Senior bonds 39.2 6.7 175 Total 73.2 7.1 127 bp Subordinated loan 5.7 10nc5 340 ECB’s Liquidity Facility LTRO2) 9 3,0 i.a NOK Spread Billion Maturity 3-month Euribor Covered bonds 98.3 6.5 53 Senior bonds 27.8 8.8 108 Total 126.1 7.0 65 bp ECB’s Liquidity Facility (LTRO1) 15.7 3.0 i.a NOK Spread Billion Maturity 3-month Euribor Covered bonds 84,4 7.5 49 Senior bonds 32.3 7.3 84 Total 116.6 7.5 59 bp 8

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Driver 7:

High deposit-to-loan ratio

55% 45% 37% 56% 47% 58% 46% 46% 56% 54% DNB Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 4Q10 4Q11

Deposit-to-loan ratio – Nordic banks

Source: Fourth quarter report 2011 from the financial institutions 9

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Driver 8:

Competitive on cost efficiency

Cost/income ratio* – Nordic banks 2011

Source: Company reports *All figures are before adjustments for goodwill i.a.

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Driver 9:

A strong home market

Source: OECD Economic Outlook No. 90, November 2011 Note: Budget surplus/deficit calculated as a percentage share of country GDP; forecasts for 2012

Annual budget deficit/surplus for 2012 (forecast)

General government net financial assets (As a percentage of nominal GDP 2011)

Budget deficit Budget surplus

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Driver 10:

Positioned for growth in non-capital intensive areas

Development in income – DNB Markets

2553 3092,5 3183,2 3590,7 3872,5 3216,9 5685 7243,2 5471,3 6159,2

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

NOK million

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Driver 11:

Strong growth in housing demand

Net change of new houses in Norway

(Completed new dwellings - Rise in number of households)

2004 1H2011

+ 6,240

  • 5,327

2007

  • 8,720
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Driver 12:

Positive trend in margins

1.61 1.58 1.60 1.57 1.67 1.61 1.55 1.55 1.64 0.23 0.29 0.32 0.41 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.28 1.13 1.12 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.13 1.10 1.11 1.14 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

Per cent 2) Lending spread Deposit spread Combined spread

  • weighted average
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DNB is not in a deleveraging mode

  • Financial targets 2012 still apply

NOK 22-25 billion in pre-tax operating profit before write-downs NOK 2 billion in cost reductions Cost/income ratio below 46 per cent

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