COVID-19 Milestones to Move to Phase One City of New Orleans May 11th, 2020
Current Situation NOLA Number of Cases 7000 6000 5000 4000 cases 3000 2000 1000 468 deaths 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 1 Days since initial case
New Orleans & Regional Statistics ▪ 30,046 ,046 tests performed: 7.7% 7% of res esid iden ents ▪ 3% tes ests (average) are positive (reflects widespread testing & underlying incidence) 2
Federal “Gating” Criteria Required to move from one phase to another SYMPTOMS CASES HOSPITALS PLANS • Downward • Downward • Ability to • Sector, trajectory of trajectory of treat workplace, flu/COVID- positive patients employee like illness cases over without crisis guidance in over 14+ 14+ days care place days • Adequate • Ability to testing (4- surge ICU 5% capacity, population adequate per month) PPE • Contact tracing 3
Milestone One 14+ day decline in new cases New Cases Over Time 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 average cases per day 150 100 50 0 21+ days of sustained decline 4 4
Milestone Two Testing capacity Average Number of Daily Tests in Region 1 3,500 3,000 2,500 average # tests 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 tests 500 0 4/4 4/5 4/6 4/7 4/8 4/94/104/114/124/134/144/154/164/174/184/194/204/214/224/234/244/254/264/274/284/294/305/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 5/5 5/6 5/7 5
Milestone Three Contact tracing Louisiana Department of Health Current By May 15 By June 70 270 700+ NOHD will augment as needed & as appropriate 6
Milestone Four Hospital capacity 7
Sector-Specific Guidelines ▪ Based on CDC, Johns Hopkins best practices; Resilient Louisiana Commission (State) guidelines ▪ GOAL: protect against repeat COVID case spike by slowly reopening safest sectors/industries - Allowing some individuals who cannot work remotely to get back to work while protecting them & the public from harm - Keeping elderly & high risk individuals at home and out of harm’s way (will ↓deaths & hospitalizations) - Avoiding reopening of known locations with high superspreader potential: venues with high public traffic difficult to control or clean, festivals, large group settings 8
Variability in Progress ▪ New Orleans/GNO region currently meets all gating criteria; other regions statewide lag behind. ▪ Ho However er – COVI VID D conti ntinues nues to spread, read, ever ery y day, , througho oughout ut the e regi egion on – particu ticularly larly as more ore indiv dividu iduals ls are re out t in publi blic. c. ▪ Highest risk (“super - spreader”) events: - large gatherings/events (weddings, funerals, birthdays) - Churches without spacing/size limits - Business meetings/open work spaces - Casinos, theaters with congregation, fitness centers, bars – extende ded, d, close range, , face to face interactio raction 9
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