Cost of Equity Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Cost of Equity Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

QCA WACC Forum QCA WACC Forum Cost of Equity Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 December 2013 Aurizon Networks Investment Commitments Aurizon Network has made significant RAB Value and Capital Expenditure investment in


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SLIDE 1

QCA WACC Forum QCA WACC Forum

Cost of Equity

Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 December 2013

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SLIDE 2

Aurizon Network’s Investment Commitments

  • Aurizon Network has made significant

investment in the network with $2.3 billion invested since 2009

RAB Value and Capital Expenditure

(UT3 Actual/UT4 Proposed )

  • Aurizon Network has indicated it is

prepared to invest a further $1.9

800,000 900,000 1,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000

billion over the next four years.

  • Aurizon Network must obtain capital

500 000 600,000 700,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 (000s) ($000s)

from competitive markets where return expectations are benchmarked to comparable infrastructure assets

300,000 400,000 500,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 Value Value (

infrastructure assets.

  • The QCA’s WACC determination has

real consequences in terms of

  • 100,000

200,000

  • 1,000,000

real consequences in terms of Aurizon’s ability to access capital to fund ongoing investment in the Network.

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Opening RAB Annualised Capital Expenditure

2

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SLIDE 3

Recent Regulatory Decisions

2013 14%

Recent Regulatory Decisions

Weighted Average Cost of Capital

2013 2011 2010 2010 2013 2012 2011 2012 2012 10% 12% 2012 2013 2012 2012 2013 2011 2012 6% 8% 2% 4% 0%

Relevant Industry Comparators Other Industry Comparators

Note: The year in which the WACC was determined is shown All figures shown reflect regulatory determinations in the post-GFC financial environment 3 Note: The year in which the WACC was determined is shown. All figures shown reflect regulatory determinations in the post GFC financial environment.

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SLIDE 4

Recent Regulatory Decisions

12%

Equity Margin and Capital Structure

10% US Class 1 (STB) 8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet HVCN UT4 Proposal

argin

4% 6% WestNet DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3

Equity Ma

2% 4% QRC Position 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

4

Benchmark Gearing Level

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SLIDE 5

Recent Regulatory Decisions

12%

Equity Margin and Capital Structure

10% US Class 1 (STB) W tN t

Rail Industry Peers

8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet (relevered) HVCN UT4 Proposal

argin

4% 6% DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3 WestNet

Equity Ma

2% 4% QRC Position 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

5

Benchmark Gearing Level

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SLIDE 6

Recent Regulatory Decisions

12%

Equity Margin and Capital Structure

10% US Class 1 (STB) 8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet HVCN UT4 Proposal

argin

4% 6% WestNet DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3

UT3 below Energy Utilities

Equity Ma

2% 4% QRC Position

QRC Position has no precedent

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

6

Benchmark Gearing Level

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SLIDE 7

Recent Regulatory Decisions

12%

Equity Margin and Capital Structure

10% US Class 1 (STB)

East Coast Coal Peers

8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet HVCN UT4 Proposal

argin

East Coast Coal Peers

4% 6% WestNet DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3

Equity Ma

2% 4% QRC Position 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

7

Benchmark Gearing Level