Cost of Equity Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Cost of Equity Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
QCA WACC Forum QCA WACC Forum Cost of Equity Alex Kummant, Executive Vice President Network 13 December 2013 Aurizon Networks Investment Commitments Aurizon Network has made significant RAB Value and Capital Expenditure investment in
Aurizon Network’s Investment Commitments
- Aurizon Network has made significant
investment in the network with $2.3 billion invested since 2009
RAB Value and Capital Expenditure
(UT3 Actual/UT4 Proposed )
- Aurizon Network has indicated it is
prepared to invest a further $1.9
800,000 900,000 1,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000
billion over the next four years.
- Aurizon Network must obtain capital
500 000 600,000 700,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 (000s) ($000s)
from competitive markets where return expectations are benchmarked to comparable infrastructure assets
300,000 400,000 500,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 Value Value (
infrastructure assets.
- The QCA’s WACC determination has
real consequences in terms of
- 100,000
200,000
- 1,000,000
real consequences in terms of Aurizon’s ability to access capital to fund ongoing investment in the Network.
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Opening RAB Annualised Capital Expenditure
2
Recent Regulatory Decisions
2013 14%
Recent Regulatory Decisions
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
2013 2011 2010 2010 2013 2012 2011 2012 2012 10% 12% 2012 2013 2012 2012 2013 2011 2012 6% 8% 2% 4% 0%
Relevant Industry Comparators Other Industry Comparators
Note: The year in which the WACC was determined is shown All figures shown reflect regulatory determinations in the post-GFC financial environment 3 Note: The year in which the WACC was determined is shown. All figures shown reflect regulatory determinations in the post GFC financial environment.
Recent Regulatory Decisions
12%
Equity Margin and Capital Structure
10% US Class 1 (STB) 8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet HVCN UT4 Proposal
argin
4% 6% WestNet DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3
Equity Ma
2% 4% QRC Position 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
4
Benchmark Gearing Level
Recent Regulatory Decisions
12%
Equity Margin and Capital Structure
10% US Class 1 (STB) W tN t
Rail Industry Peers
8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet (relevered) HVCN UT4 Proposal
argin
4% 6% DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3 WestNet
Equity Ma
2% 4% QRC Position 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
5
Benchmark Gearing Level
Recent Regulatory Decisions
12%
Equity Margin and Capital Structure
10% US Class 1 (STB) 8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet HVCN UT4 Proposal
argin
4% 6% WestNet DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3
UT3 below Energy Utilities
Equity Ma
2% 4% QRC Position
QRC Position has no precedent
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
6
Benchmark Gearing Level
Recent Regulatory Decisions
12%
Equity Margin and Capital Structure
10% US Class 1 (STB)
East Coast Coal Peers
8% TPI (Pilbara) WestNet HVCN UT4 Proposal
argin
East Coast Coal Peers
4% 6% WestNet DBCT SDP Electricity Gas UT3
Equity Ma
2% 4% QRC Position 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
7
Benchmark Gearing Level