Costbenefit analysis on cellular vehicle to everything (C-V2X) 5 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Presentation on behalf of the 5GAA Cost–benefit analysis on cellular vehicle to everything (C-V2X) 5 December 2017 • Janette Stewart (Analysys Mason) & Alain Dunoyer (SBD Automotive) 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Contents 2 Context for the study Scope of the study Research findings Cost–benefit analysis Results and recommendations About Analysys Mason and SBD Automotive 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Context for the study 3 The purpose of the study was to assess the net benefits of C-V2X use in Europe ▪ Vehicle to everything (V2X) will enable communication between vehicles (V2V), and between vehicles and infrastructure (V2I): – potential to provide enhanced information, complementing on-board sensors, enabling operation over a longer range ▪ C-V2X is designed to deliver V2X, with two modes of communication: – a direct vehicle-to-vehicle mode (‘ PC5 ’), for V2V/V2I – a network communications interface, for vehicle-to-network (V2N) communication via mobile networks (‘ Uu ’) ▪ An existing short-range technology, IEEE 802.11p, is also designed to offer V2V/V2I services ▪ We were asked to examine qualitative evidence, and perform quantitative analysis to compare the net benefits of C-V2X with those of IEEE 802.11p 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Contents 4 Context for the study Scope of the study Research findings Cost–benefit analysis Results and recommendations About Analysys Mason and SBD Automotive 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Scope of the study 5 There were three main elements to the study 1 Conduct We interviewed 5GAA member companies, to gather primary research evidence on planned C-V2X deployment, business on C-V2X models and cost assumptions deployment 2 We gathered published evidence about Consider C-V2X deployment (and its evolution to 5G) in Europe, qualitative including trials, deployment plans, potential business evidence cases and socio-economic benefits 3 Develop We developed scenarios and a cost–benefit model comparing C-V2X with IEEE 802.11p for V2V/I/N/P cost–benefit analysis deployment in Europe 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Contents 6 Context for the study Scope of the study Research findings Cost–benefit analysis Results and recommendations About Analysys Mason and SBD Automotive 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Research findings 7 A key benefit of C-V2X is that it incorporates multiple modes of transmission PC5 Mode 3: PC5 Mode 4: Network-assisted Distributed radio resource radio resource management management GNSS time GNSS time synchronisation synchronisation eNodeB cellular base station Uu PC5 Uu PC5 PC5 PC5 Communication for management of radio resource Communication related to use cases 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Research findings 8 C-V2X benefits include its evolution path to 5G, and potential for rapid economies of scale [1] C-V2X will evolve to facilitate new capability Future-proof , in the 5G era. In the meantime, the dual providing a modes of LTE C-V2X meet all the progression to 5G requirements of the automotive industry V2P may be needed for fully automated Supports cars in urban areas. Although there are V2P doubts that V2P can be achieved with IEEE 802.11p, V2P can be enabled using communication LTE smartphones (either via Uu, or PC5) Business models leveraging the multiple modes of C-V2X could include infotainment, A wide range traffic information, real-time mapping, of business telematics and data analytics. Network- models are based data analytics opportunities also possible exist (using data gathered via both Uu and PC5 interfaces) 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Research findings 9 C-V2X benefits include its evolution path to 5G, and potential for rapid economies of scale [2] Many automotive OEMs believe C-V2X Economies of will be less expensive to implement than scale will develop IEEE 802.11p (and cheaper than a combination of IEEE 802.11p for V2V, more rapidly plus cellular for V2N) V2V and V2N This same integration between V2V and modules can be cellular is not expected for DSRC/ ITS-G5, which will need dual/multiple combined in a chipsets in vehicles compared to single C-V2X potential for a single C-V2X chipset chipset 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Research findings 10 We identified that C-V2X commercialisation is imminent, with several trials underway [1] Real-time Demonstrated on DT’s LTE network with Deutsche Telekom (DT) , V2N2V MEC technology (Nov-15); and Nokia Continental, Fraunhofer, Nokia Networks (<20ms latency) Networks in China (Nov-16) Audi , DT, Huawei, Toyota, other C-V2X Technical LTE-based field trial (Jul-16) automotive OEMs Formed Connected Vehicle to Everything Audi , Ericsson, Qualcomm, of Tomorrow (ConVeX) consortium C-V2X SWARCO Traffic Systems, (Jan-17) to demonstrate C-V2X (3GPP University of Kaiserslautern Release 14) Ericsson , BMW, Deutsche Bahn, Formed 5G-Connected Mobility DT, Telefónica Deutschland, Vodafone, TU Dresden 5G Lab consortium (Nov-16) to develop real- C-V2X Germany, Federal Highway world application environment for 5G- Research Institute (BASt), Federal based C-V2X Regulatory Agency (BNetzA) LTE-based trial (Feb-17); aims to C-V2X demonstrate very low latency, and Vodafone , Bosch, Huawei (direct V2V) differences from IEEE802.11 solutions 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Research findings 11 We identified that C-V2X commercialisation is imminent, with several trials underway [2] First phase (Feb-2017) tested use cases. Will ‘Towards 5G’ partnership C-V2X demonstrate use of a network slice to isolate (Ericsson, Orange, PSA Group, Qualcomm) C-V2X from MBB and use cases for C-V2X/5G UK Connected Intelligent C-V2X and Launched to provide a real-world testing Transport Environment IEEE 802.11p environment for V2X (Feb-17) (Vodafone, Jaguar LandRover) National Intelligent Connected Formed in 2016 to test connected cars, Vehicle Testing Demonstration facilitate R&D, test and certify connected C-V2X Base , Shanghai (China Mobile vehicle technology. Shanghai is planning a Communications, SAIC Motor, 100km 2 intelligent vehicle network Huawei) Part of Connected Vehicle Safety Pilot. Has Michigan, USA (Ford Motor C-V2X tested automated cars using LTE direct mode Company, Qualcomm) C-V2X and Will trial connectivity solutions on Qualcomm’s 5G showcase trials , South Korea (LG Electronics, Qualcomm) IEEE 802.11p connected car platform in 1H 2018 San Diego , Regional Proving Will demonstrate the cost efficiencies of Ground (AT&T, Ford, Nokia, C-V2X C-V2X, and synergies between deployment of Qualcomm, supported by the San 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence cellular base stations and RSUs Diego Association of Governments)

Research findings 12 Our interviews suggest possible commercial launch of C-V2X from 2020/2021 Overview of C-V2X timeline LTE-based C-V2X Field testing / trials by OEMs specifications (Q4 2017–2020 onwards) completed as part of 3GPP Release 14 (Dec 2016) Interoperability tests/ Commercial launch of C-V2X certification (2017–20) by OEMs (2020–22 onwards) H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021 H1 2022 H2 2022 3GPP Release 15 3GPP Release 3GPP First completion, including 16 completion, Release 14 commercial evolution of LTE- including 5G- completion C-V2X based C-V2X based C-V2X (Jun 2017) chipsets specifications specifications (H1 2018) (Sep 2018) (~2019) 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Contents 13 Context for the study Scope of the study Research findings Cost–benefit analysis Results and recommendations About Analysys Mason and SBD Automotive 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence

Cost–benefit analysis 14 We modelled four scenarios, capturing different V2V/I technology choices  Automotive OEMs implement V2X in different timeframes, with Scenario 1: some adopting IEEE 802.11p for V2V/I and others C-V2X  Base case With limited incentive to replace roadside infrastructure, V2I is delayed (but C-V2X uses V2N) Scenario 2:  We assume that an EC mandate for C-ITS services to be 2020 EC supported in all new vehicle types from 2020 drives initial adoption of IEEE 802.11p mandate on  V2I requires extensive roadside infrastructure upgrades V2V/V2I  An EC mandate for support of C-ITS services in new vehicle types Scenario 3: in 2023 rather than 2020 allows PC5 to develop, and automotive 2023 EC OEMs adopt this for V2V/V2I mandate on  V2I requires roadside infrastructure upgrades, but synergies within V2V/V2I C-V2X (Uu) are exploited Scenario 4:  Similar to Scenario 1 we assume automotive OEMs make different Equitable technology choices for V2V/I, but with higher PC5 adoption due to greater certainty on spectrum access 5.9GHz use 2011027-472 | Commercial in confidence