Corporate Presentation November 11, 2015 zargon.ca Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Corporate Presentation November 11, 2015 zargon.ca Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Corporate Presentation November 11, 2015 zargon.ca Forward Looking-Advisory Forward-Looking Statements - This presentation offers our assessment of Zargon's future plans and operations as at November 10, 2015, and contains forward- looking


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zargon.ca

Corporate Presentation

November 11, 2015

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SLIDE 2

Forward Looking-Advisory

Forward-Looking Statements - This presentation offers our assessment of Zargon's future plans and operations as at November 10, 2015, and contains forward- looking statements. Such statements are generally identified by the use of words such as "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "may", "will", "project", "should", "plan", "intend", "believe" and similar expressions (including the negatives thereof). In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking information as to Zargon’s corporate strategy and business plans, Zargon’s oil exploration project inventory and development plans, Zargon’s dividend policy and the amount of future dividends, future commodity prices, Zargon’s expectation for uses of funds from financing, Zargon’s capital expenditure program and the allocation and the sources of funding thereof, Zargon’s cash flow and dividend model and the assumptions contained therein and the results there from, anticipated payout rates, 2015 and beyond production and other guidance and the assumptions contained therein, estimated tax pools, Zargon’s reserve estimates, Zargon’s hedging policies, Zargon’s drilling, development and exploitation plans and projects and the results there from and Zargon’s ASP project plans 2015 and beyond, strategic alternatives review process, the source of funding for our 2015 and beyond capital program including ASP, capital expenditures, costs and the results

  • therefrom. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, including such as

those relating to results of operations and financial condition, general economic conditions, industry conditions, changes in regulatory and taxation regimes, volatility of commodity prices, escalation of operating and capital costs, currency fluctuations, the availability of services, imprecision of reserve estimates, geological, technical, drilling and processing problems, environmental risks, weather, the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management, stock market volatility, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources and competition from other industry participants for, among other things, capital, services, acquisitions of reserves, undeveloped lands and skilled personnel. Risks are described in more detail in our Annual Information Form, which is available

  • n our website. Forward-looking statements are provided to allow investors to have a greater understanding of our business.

You are cautioned that the assumptions, including, among other things, future oil and natural gas prices; future capital expenditure levels; future production levels; future exchange rates; the cost of developing and expanding our assets; our ability to obtain equipment in a timely manner to carry out development activities; our ability to market our oil and natural gas successfully to current and new customers; the impact of increasing competition; our ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms; and our ability to add production and reserves through our development and acquisition activities used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, as such, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking

  • statements. Our actual results, performance, or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. We

can give no assurance that any of the events anticipated will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what benefits we will derive from them. The forward-looking information contained in this presentation is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Our policy for updating forward-looking statements is that Zargon disclaims, except as required by law, any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Barrels of Oil Equivalent - Natural gas is converted to a barrel of oil equivalent (“Boe”) using six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. In certain circumstances, natural gas liquid volumes have been converted to a thousand cubic feet equivalent (“Mcfe”) on the basis of one barrel of natural gas liquids to six thousand cubic feet of gas. Boes and Mcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of one barrel to six thousand cubic feet of natural gas is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion ratio on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value. The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Estimated reserve values disclosed in this presentation do not represent fair market value. Discovered Petroleum Initially-In-Place (“DPIIP”) is that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of discovered petroleum initially in place includes production, reserves, and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserves additions for that year.

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SLIDE 3

Investment Highlights

  • The 2014 year end reserve report has 17 proved plus an additional 13

probable undeveloped locations.

  • Very low-decline conventional waterflood properties augmented by more

than 45 prospective development locations not included in the reserve report.

  • High operatorship (~89%) characteristics.
  • High light/medium oil and liquids weighting (~81%).
  • Low production decline (~13% for oil and liquids).

Zargon Assets ASP Assets (Little Bow) Convention- al Light and Medium Oil

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  • Tertiary Alkaline Surfactant Polymer Flood (“ASP”): Little Bow ASP tertiary

recovery project provides years of oil production growth.

  • Following the construction and initial AS chemical injection phases, these

assets will provide years of steady production and free cash flows with only minor capital investments.

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SLIDE 4

Core Areas

Williston Basin Alberta Plains South

(incl. ASP project)

Alberta Plains North

  • Q3 2015 production of 1,720 bbl/d and 0.46 mmcf/d.
  • Proved and probable reserves of 7,930 mbbl and 1.23 bcf at Dec 31, 2014.
  • Proved and probable producing reserves of 7,022 mbbl and 1.20 bcf at Dec 31, 2014.
  • Exploitation upside: 15 recognized and 35+ additional waterflood and water drive oil

exploitation wells.

  • Q3 2015 production of 759 bbl/d and 2.32 mmcf/d.
  • Proved and probable reserves of 2,837 mbbl and 8.68 bcf at Dec 31, 2014.
  • Proved and probable producing reserves of 2,284 mbbl and 6.67 bcf at Dec 31, 2014.
  • Exploitation upside: 12 recognized and 5+ additional waterflood and water drive oil

exploitation wells.

  • Q3 2015 production of 1,154 bbl/d and 2.50 mmcf/d.
  • Proved and probable reserves of 8,906 mbbl and 5.78 bcf at Dec 31, 2014.
  • Proved and probable producing reserves of 4,072 mbbl and 3.64 bcf at Dec 31, 2014.
  • Includes Little Bow ASP project that brings very large long term oil upside.
  • Other exploitation upside: 3 recognized and 5+ additional waterflood and water drive
  • il exploitation wells.

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Zargon Overview (November 10, 2015)

Capitalization – Toronto Stock Exchange: Symbols: ZAR; ZAR.DB – Common Shares Outstanding: 30.30 million (basic) – Market Capitalization: $37 million ($1.22 per share) (1) – Net Debt at September 30, 2015: $117 million, comprised of

  • Convertible Debentures (6%)

$57.5 million (face value – June 2017 maturity)

  • Bank Debt

$52 million

  • Net Working Capital Deficit

$7.5 million

  • Authorized Bank Debt

$88 million

– Insider Ownership: 3.35 million shares (11 percent) Q3 2015 Production – Equivalent: 4,513 boe/d – Oil: 3,633 bbl/d (81% of production) – Gas: 5.28 mmcf/d Q3 2015 Financial Results – Q1-Q3 Funds Flow from Operations $0.68 per basic share ($20.5 million) – Q3 Funds Flow from Operations $0.11 per basic share ($3.3 million) Strategic Alternatives Process (Scotiabank) – Commence Formal Offering Process Early 2016 (including year end 2015 reserves) – Progress Report to Shareholders by end of March 2016

(1) Using the November 10, 2015 closing share price of $1.22.

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Key Developments

  • August 13, 2015 Q2 Release and Announcement of Strategic Alternatives Review:
  • Board forms a Special Committee to identify and consider strategic and

financial alternatives available to the Company with the ultimate goal of maximizing shareholder value. 2014 Year End Reserves

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Strategic Alternatives Review Announced

  • February 19, 2015 Annual Reserves Review Press Release:
  • Proved and Probable Oil Reserves – 19.67 million barrels (13.0 year RLI),
  • Proved Developed Producing Oil Reserves – 10.05 million barrels (6.6 year RLI),
  • Proved and Probable NAV of $10.11 per share; Proved Developed Producing

NAV of $3.84 per share (no ASP).

  • November 11, 2015 Q3 Release and Banking/Dividend Update:
  • Reflecting lower commodity prices, Zargon’s authorized bank line is reduced

from $110 million to $88 million, of which 40 percent remains undrawn.

  • Monthly dividend of $0.01 per common share is suspended.
  • $25 million 2015 capital budget is reaffirmed. Cost savings permit the addition
  • f thee additional ASP infill wells without an increase in budget funds.

Revised Bank Line and Dividend

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Zargon’s Response to Extended Low Oil Prices

Current Situation

  • Zargon has low decline, long-life oil exploitation assets that are well suited for providing stable

dividends at higher oil prices.

  • Although delayed, the Little Bow ASP project provides significant upside.
  • At higher prices, the Williston Basin conventional exploitation well inventory and the Little Bow ASP

project provide ready and defined investments with attractive go-forward half-cycle reinvestment

  • returns. In particular, the Williston Basin battery facilities are in place for future infill wells and the ASP

central facilities and prior chemical costs are sunk, so future costs can provide attractive half cycle returns.

  • In the current pricing environment, Zargon’s debt levels are high; a situation that needs to be

addressed by June 2017 when $57.5 million of 6% convertible debentures mature. The Response

  • Zargon has focused on cost containment and has made good progress with operating, g&a and capital

cost reductions.

  • Technical problems with the Little Bow ASP project have been resolved and we have been encouraged

by the recent production response.

  • Despite restricted capital programs, corporate oil production volumes and debt levels have been

stabilized and are forecast to remain (at a minimum) at current levels through 2016. Strategic Alternatives Process

  • Zargon’s key objective is to maximize returns for shareholders.
  • To this end, the Board has formed a “strategic alternatives” committee that will examine all strategic

and financial options, including property sales, and a corporate sale or merger. Scotiabank is advising the committee.

  • Upon consideration of market trends and the recent/forecast Little Bow ASP results, Zargon is planning

to commence a formal Company/asset marketing process in early 2016 and will provide shareholders an update regarding this process prior to the end of the 2016 first quarter. 7

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Waterflood/drive Well Inventory

Property Project Net Hz Wells Comments Bellshill Lake Increase fluid withdrawal 5+ Facility optimization; infills and step-outs Killam Glauconite Other Plains North Develop Glauconite pool Killam, Morinville, Carrot Creek 8+ 4+ Infill and step-out locations Infill and step-out locations Taber South and Taber SE Develop Sunburst pools 8+ Expand and enhance waterfloods Williston Basin Elswick, Huntoon, Weyburn, Frys, Ralph, Steelman, Carnduff, Truro, Haas, Mackobee 50+ Horizontal drainage wells in relatively tight reservoirs; additional pressure support required in some cases

Drilling Inventory of 75+ net horizontal wells. Over the last couple of years, conventional oil exploitation drilling activities have been curtailed as the Company has been allocating available capital to the Little Bow ASP project. As these wells are mostly additions to existing depletion schemes, the average targeted production is 25-40 bbl/d with average reserves of about 50-80 thousand barrels. In the current low-cost environment, all-in well costs generally vary from $0.8 to $1.2 million.

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Williston Basin Locations

Drilling Inventory

  • Since summer 2014, Zargon has drilled only three (fall 2014) Williston Basin wells, as essentially all

discretionary capital has been redirected to the Little Bow ASP project. Zargon has more than 50 Mississippian locations available that are generally characterized as pressure supported (water drive or waterflood) long-life low-decline opportunities.

  • All of these locations are associated with upgraded central battery and water disposal/injection facilities.

Since 2010, Zargon has invested approximately $13 million in facility upgrades and turnarounds to meet updated and more stringent regulatory compliance initiatives.

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Horizontal Drilling Locations Steelman 2 Midale/Frobisher Weyburn 6 Midale/Frobisher Elswick 5+ Midale Ralph 5+ Midale Carnduff 3 Midale Huntoon 6+ Midale multifrac Frys 5+ Tilston Haas 6+ Glenburn (Alida) Truro 2 Bluell (Frobisher) Mackobee 10 Bluell (Frobisher) Total 50+ Locations

North Dakota Saskatchewan Manitoba

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Steelman – Free Cash Flow Stable Production

Exploration, Optimization, Waterflood

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Steelman Operated Properties -Production

100% 640 acres undeveloped Midale potential Net Operated Frobisher & Midale Production ~450b/d Oil Net Non-Op Production ~140 b/d Oil

  • Midale & Frobisher Production – Conventional
  • Large OOIP & low recovery factors
  • Frobisher – High Permeability, large oil compartments,

multi zone targets (Exploitation & Exploration)

  • Midale – Long life, sustainable production/cash flow &

low declines

  • Stratigraphic traps (Attic Oil) & strong structural traps

(Oil saturated, underlying natural water drive mechanism)

  • 3D Seismic Coverage
  • Strong Netbacks & solid free cash flow generation
  • Infrastructure control & disposal capabilities
  • Successful Waterflood in place - Steelman Voluntary Unit #8
  • Section 4 Midale waterflood initiated in fall 2015
  • Potential Waterflood Frobisher - State A producers
  • Strong Non-Op Assets ~WI 45%
  • Optimization opportunities - High Volume Lift
  • Extension Midale trend - potential development opportunities
  • Gross/Net Acreage - 9.83/7.25 Sections
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Midale Huntoon - Twp 6, Rge 10 W2

Exploitation Project – OOIP Increase RF

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Phi*H (m)

  • Waterflood potential
  • Large OOIP > 15-20+ MMbbl
  • Current RF 4-8%
  • Gross/Net Acreage 2.63/2.56 Sections
  • Bypass Pay opportunities
  • Potentially horizontal drill locations
  • Enhance recovery - Potential to multi-stage fracture

stimulate the Midale/Vuggy interval

  • Significant cumulative oil produced from offset

secondary recovery analogues

  • Offset established waterflood analogue
This image cannot currently be displayed.
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SLIDE 12

Frys Tilston - Twp 7, Rge 30-31 W1

Exploitation Project – OOIP Increase RF

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  • Gross/Net Acreage 4.3/4.3 Sections
  • API Gravity 36.6o
  • Potentially 10+ horizontal drill locations
  • Significant cumulative oil produced – Zargon Lands 1.6 MMbbls
  • Attic Oil at Tilston Subcrop

Potential Locations

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SLIDE 13

Ralph Midale - Twp 7, Rge 13 W2

Waterflood Optimization Opportunities

13 Ralph Waterflood Production Performance – Midale Beds

Primary Development Secondary Development

Water Injection Wells PUD Locations Infill Locations Future Winj Conv.

  • Established waterflood
  • Strong stratigraphic trap
  • Attic Oil
  • Mapped OIP ~15MMbbl
  • Current RF ~12%
  • Long life sustainable asset
  • Waterflood optimization potential
  • Gross/Net Acreage 6.54/5.65 Sections
  • Conventional horizontal infill drilling opportunities
  • 1-3-8-13 Clean Oil pipeline connected to sales
  • Battery Consolidation 15-29-7-13 to 1-3-8-13 Potential
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SLIDE 14

North Dakota - Overview

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  • Large OOIP
  • Upside, bypass pay potential
  • Stable production; 15.1 MMbbls oil produced to date
  • Undeveloped land, Exploration opportunities
  • Infrastructure & disposal in place
  • WI 97.6% to 100% ownership
  • Gross/Net Acreage 18.78/18.43 Sections
  • Exploration & Exploitation plays
  • Production optimization opportunities
  • Established Waterflood & Unitized production
  • Extensive 3D Seismic Coverage
  • Long life conventional oil properties
  • Conventional & Unconventional drilling plays
  • 4 PPUD + undrained seismically defined horizontal targets

Haas Truro Mackobee Coulee

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SLIDE 15

North Dakota - Optimization

Exploration & Horizontal Drill Targets

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Exploration Potential Hz Infill Drilling Potential Hz Infill Drilling Potential

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Long-Life, Low-Decline Oil Volumes

Using historical Zargon operated production plots, we calculate base oil production declines of 13%. Independent research by Peters also calculates a 13% base corporate decline. Industry low corporate declines support Zargon through this low price period.

Comparative Declines Source: Peters & Co. Limited, Intermediates & Juniors (Sept. 1, 2015) Oil sands and SAGD producers are not included.

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Zargon Corporate Decline Analysis - Total Oil Production Rate

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14

Gross W.I. Oil Production Rate ( bbl/day )

2014 Additions 2013 Additions 2012 Additions 2011 Additions 2010 Additions 2009 Additions Base Production

Data to Dec 31, 2014 Dec 2014 Contribution Decline Rate Base 64% 7.6% 2011 11% 8.7% 2012 7% 17.0% 2013 5% 21.4% 2014 12% 35.0%

Weighted average oil decline rate of 13%

10 20 30 40 50

Average Annual Decline Rate (%) Average 28%

Zargon

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SLIDE 17

Little Bow ASP

EOR in a mature Southern Alberta Waterflood

Recent Developments

  • Nov. 2015: ASP Cumulative injection: 5.9 million barrels
  • 26% of Phase 1 injection (ASP and polymer only).
  • Q3 2015: Zargon initiates successful exploitation program

that enables a return to full and balanced injection in addition to adding three producers. Early production results are encouraging.

  • December 2015: three additional producers will be drilled.

Phases 1 & 2 Incremental ASP Reserves:

  • McDaniel evaluation (year end 2014):

4.5 million barrels (proved and probable) 1.5 million barrels (proved) 17

Little Bow ASP: Phase 1&2 Development

15-18W4

Zargon Land Zargon Wells Zargon Land Zargon Wells Phase 1 Area Phase 2 Area Phase 1 Area Phase 2 Area Little Bow Mannville “P” Pool Little Bow Mannville “I” Pool

Capital

  • Total to YE 2014: $62 million (incl. chemical)
  • 2015 Optimization: $7.4 million (total)
  • 2015 ASP Chemical: $11.6 million

Future Capital

  • 7 additional phase 1 infills: $5.3 million (2017 or earlier)
  • Phase 1 Chemical Capital: $12 million in (2016),

then $4 million per year (2017-2020).

  • Phase 2 Capital: $12 million (2017 if sanctioned)
  • Phase 2 Infills: $4 million (2017)
  • 2017-2023 ASP Phase 2 Chemicals: approx. $45 million
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SLIDE 18

ASP Enhanced Oil Recovery Process

Dilute concentrations of chemicals (Alkali, Surfactant and Polymer) in water are injected into an existing oil pool to “scrub” out oil that waterflooding alone will not recover.

  • Surfactants: Detergent; mobilizes trapped oil.
  • Alkali: Increases surfactant effectiveness.
  • Polymer (Thickener): Thickened water helps sweep
  • il from the reservoir.

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1) ASP Injection

A blend of Alkali, Surfactant & Polymer mobilizes trapped oil

2) Polymer “Push”

Polymer displaces mobilized oil to producing wells

3) Terminal Waterflood

Return to waterflood to complete oil displacement

OIL BANK ASP POLYMER WATER

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SLIDE 19

Phase 1 Fall 2015 Infill Drilling Results

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02/11-32-014-18W4 04/13-32-014-18W4 04/16-31-014-18W4

1160 1165 1170 1175 1180 1185 1190 1195 1200 1 10 100 1000

Resistivity

1160 1165 1170 1175 1180 1185 1190 1195 1200 50 100 150

Gamma

1090 1095 1100 1105 1110 1115 1120 1125 1130 1 10 100 1000

Resistivity

1090 1095 1100 1105 1110 1115 1120 1125 1130 50 100 150

Gamma

1145 1150 1155 1160 1165 1170 1175 1180 1185 1 10 100 1000

Resistivity

1145 1150 1155 1160 1165 1170 1175 1180 1185 50 100 150

Gamma

O O O O O O O

Oil Bank Oil Bank Forming

O O O O O O O O O O O O

Oil Bank Oil Bank Forming Flushed Zones Flushed Zones Flushed Zones Oil Bank Forming

Oil Rate 57 bbl/d Oil Cut: 7% After 60 days

  • Combined rate of 95 bbl/d, confirming that oil banks are being formed at the top of the reservoir.

Producing oil rates and oil cuts are expected to improve with time (target oil cut is 10%) as oil banks continue to form and move through the reservoir.

  • Additional infills will be required to capture the oil banks located at the top of reservoir. The next

three infills will be drilled in December 2015. The timing of further infill drilling programs will depend

  • n oil prices and capital budgets.

Oil Rate 7 bbl/d Oil Cut: 2% After 60 days Oil Rate 31 bbl/d Oil Cut: 2% After 60 days

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SLIDE 20

Summer/Fall Optimizations

  • Successful optimization program designed to improve reservoir

areal conformance and reserves capture.

  • Included the drilling of three producers, producer workovers,

injector stimulations and two injector conversions.

  • The cause of the injection pipeline failures was determined and

remedied.

  • Reliable operations since late September have resulted in a 40

percent increase in ASP injections over summer levels, which will drive both improved oil cuts and total fluid production.

2015 Fall Optimizations & Winter Drilling

Winter 2015 (and Subsequent) Drilling Programs

  • Three well December 2015 program targeting

structural highs in high oil cut areas of the reservoir. (Drilling from existing surface leases: minimal pipeline costs.)

  • An additional seven locations could be drilled in 2016-

17 depending on oil prices and capital budgets.

  • Significant cost savings have been delivered for the

2015 optimization and drilling programs.

  • Total 2015 ASP exploitation capital is now estimated

at $7.4 million, as compared to the Sept. $6.0 million forecast which did not include $2.2 million for December drills.

Oil Producer Waterflood Injector ASP Injector Summer Drilling Location Winter Drilling Location Conversion to ASP Injector

Phase 1 Scheme Boundary

Little Bow ASP Phase 1 – Winter Drilling

2015 Program

3 well Winter Drilling Program Adds 110 bbl/d Increasing Oil Cut (Total Fluid: 11,000 bbl/d)

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SLIDE 21

Phase 1 Response and Updated Forecast

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Base Waterflood (McDaniel 2014 mid year & YE P+PDP) Daily Production

(to November 7, 2015)

Reserves (McDaniel) 2014 YE Report (TP+P) Ultimate: 2.45 million barrels June – September production impacted by injection line

  • utages (repairs fully completed by late September).

September gain partially due to 3 infill producers; 3 additional infill producers to be drilled in December 2015. McDaniel YE 2015 review is anticipated to affirm reserves but with additional drilling capital, modified chemical costs and a revised production ramp. Zargon Updated Forecast: 2016 Avg. – 700 bbl/d (500 bbl/d ASP increment)

3 well Winter Drilling Program Adds 110 bbl/d

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SLIDE 22

Husky Taber Mannville “B” ASP Husky Gull Lake ASP

Analog ASP Performance (The Prize)

  • The Table Mannville B and Gull Lake ASP projects are good analogs to our Little Bow ASP

project.

  • Successful ASP projects provide stable production volumes for many years after the first three

years of cost intensive AS injections are completed.

  • Although our Little Bow production response was slower than anticipated, we continue to

foresee many years of production growth followed by many years of free cash generating stable production for our Little Bow property.

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SLIDE 23

Cost Reductions - Progress Made

Capital Costs G&A Costs

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Operating Costs

  • Conventional Oil Exploitation Capital (defer all non-discretionary costs):

$38.1 million (2014), $6.0 million (2015), $4.0 million (2016).

  • ASP Capital (defer Little Bow Phase 2; conclude 2015 optimization costs):

$10.2 million (2014), $7.4 million (2015), $nil million (2016).

  • ASP Chemical Costs (assuming continued AS injections through 2016):

$11.6 million (2014), $11.6 million (2015), $12.0 million (2016), but then $4.0 million per year

  • Reduce operating costs through lower margin property sales (now completed),

comprehensive cost reviews, field supplier and consultant reductions and field office consolidation.

  • Resulting cost performance:

$42.9 million (2014), $35.8 million (2015 projected), $31.4 million (2016 forecast).

  • Reduce G&A costs through office staff reductions (38 percent), comprehensive cost

reviews, salary and consultant rate reductions and office space adjustments.

  • Resulting cost performance (including one-time costs):

$13.4 million (2014), $8.6 million (2015 projected), $6.5 million (2016 forecast).

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SLIDE 24

Williston Basin – 2016 Cash Flow Parameters

(No Drilling Case)

  • Conv. Oil

1,530 bbl/d in 2016; 13% annual decline from Q3 2015 rate of 1,720 bbl/d.

  • Gas

0.40 mmcf/d; 13% annual decline from Q3 2015 rate of 0.46 mmcf/d.

  • Equiv.

1,600 boe/d in 2016; reflects base decline from Q3 2015 rate of 1,796 boe/d.

  • Oil Prices

WTI to Zargon average Williston Basin field differential; $13.50 Cdn./bbl

  • Gas Prices

$2.0/mcf field price (Williston Basin price before processing)

  • Royalties

Averaging 18 percent

Production Costs Pricing Parameters

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  • Operating

$11.5 million – $19.7/boe, (down from $12.5 million in 2015) Improvements due to completed facility upgrades and lower contractor costs.

  • US Taxes

Varies with oil price up to $0.2 million.

  • Abd. & Reclam.

$0.8 million.

  • Capital

$1.6 million maintenance capital (minor exploitation and facility costs).

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SLIDE 25

Williston Basin – 2016 Cash Flow Estimates

(No Drilling Case – 1,600 boe/d)

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WTI Pricing FX (US/Cdn.) Field Pricing Field Cash Flow Free Cash Flow After All Capital, US Tax, Abandonments and Reclamations $40 US/bbl $0.72 $42 Cdn./bbl $ 8.0 million $ 5.6 million $50 US/bbl $0.75 $53 Cdn./bbl $13.1 million $10.6 million $60 US/bbl $0.78 $63 Cdn./bbl $17.8 million $15.3 million $70 US/bbl $0.81 $73 Cdn./bbl $22.1 million $19.6 million

5 10 15 20 25 40 50 60 70 Cash Flow ($million) WTI Oil Price ($US/bbl)

2016 Williston Basin Cash Flow

Field Free

  • The existing Williston Basin properties

provide significant free cash flow at levels down to less than $40 US/bbl (WTI).

  • For Zargon, these strong cash flows can

be used to retire debt.

  • Alternatively, the cash flows can be used

to grow production by drilling high- graded locations, selected from a 50+ Williston Basin well inventory.

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SLIDE 26

Alberta Plains – 2016 Cash Flow Parameters

Includes ASP, Alberta Plains North & South (No Drilling Case)

  • Conv. Oil

1,620 bbl/d in 2016; 13% annual decline from Q3 2015 rate of 1,913 bbl/d.

  • Incr. ASP Oil

500 bbl/d; (except for $40 US/bbl deferred A&S injection case, where ASP incremental volumes are reduced to 400 bbl/d).

  • Gas

4.2 mmcf/d; 13% annual decline from Q4 2015 rate of 4.6 mmcf/d.

  • Equiv.

2,820 boe/d in 2016; compares to Q3 2015 rate of 2,717 boe/d.

  • Oil Prices

WTI to Zargon average Alberta Plains field differential; $18.70 Cdn./bbl

  • Gas Prices

$2.36/mcf field price (reflects forward strip prices)

  • Royalties

Varies from 7 to 13 percent (for $40, $50, $60, $70 US/bbl cases)

Production Costs Pricing Parameters

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  • Operating

$19.9 million – $19.4/boe, (down from $23.3 million in 2015) Lower electricity costs, contractor costs, improved base ASP operations.

  • Abd. & Reclam.

$1.2 million.

  • ASP Capital

$12.0 million chemical costs for all cases except for $40 US/bbl case, where chemical costs are reduced to $4.0 million by deferring A&S injections.

  • Conv. Capital

$2.4 million maintenance capital (minor exploitation and facility costs).

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SLIDE 27

Alberta Plains – 2016 Cash Flow Estimates

Includes ASP (No Drilling Case – 2,820 boe/d) No Drilling Case)

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WTI Pricing FX (US/Cdn.) Field Pricing Field Cash Flow Free Cash Flow After All Capital, Abandonments and Reclamations $40 US/bbl $0.72 $37 Cdn./bbl $ 9.4 million $ 1.8 million $50 US/bbl $0.75 $48 Cdn./bbl $17.0 million $ 1.4 million $60 US/bbl $0.78 $58 Cdn./bbl $23.4 million $ 7.8 million $70 US/bbl $0.81 $68 Cdn./bbl $29.0 million $13.4 million

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 50 60 70 Cash Flow ($million) WTI Oil Price ($US/bbl)

2016 Alberta Plains Cash Flow

Field Free

  • The Alberta Plains properties include the

Little Bow ASP phase 1 project, which still requires one final year (2016) of AS injections ($50, $60 and $70 US/bbl cases).

  • In the $40 US/bbl case, we have deferred

AS injections. The deferral impact on production is only 100 bbl/d in 2016 (400

  • vs. 500 bbl/d incremental), but 500 bbl/d in

2017 (400 vs. 900 bbl/d incremental.

  • In the higher price scenarios, incremental

cash flow can be used either to pay down debt, drill Williston Basin / Alberta Plains oil exploitation wells or commence Little Bow phase 2 expenditures.

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SLIDE 28

Corporate – 2016 Cash Flow Parameters

(No Drilling Case – 4,420 boe/d except $40 US/bbl case)

  • Conv. Oil

3,150 bbl/d in 2016; 13% annual decline from Q3 2015 rate of 3,533 bbl/d.

  • Incr. ASP Oil

500 bbl/d (except for $40 US/bbl deferred AS injection case, where incremental ASP volumes are reduced to 400 bbl/d).

  • Gas

4.6 mmcf/d; 13% annual decline from est. Q4 2015 rate of 5.0 mmcf/d.

  • Equiv.

4,420 boe/d in 2016; compares to Q3 2015 rate of 4,513 boe/d.

  • Oil Prices

WTI to Zargon average field differential; $16.50 Cdn./bbl

  • Gas Prices

$2.35/mcf field price (Nov. 2015 strip) compares to $2.50/mcf avg. in 2015

  • Avg. Royalties

Price dependent: 12, 13, 14, 15 percent (for $40, $50, $60, $70 US/bbl cases)

Production Costs Pricing Parameters

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  • Operating

$31.4 million – $19.5/boe, (down from $35.8 million in 2015)

  • Abd. & Reclam.

$2.0 million.

  • US Taxes

varies with oil price up to $0.2 million.

  • ASP Capital

$12.0 million chemical costs for all cases except for $40 US/bbl case, where chemical costs are reduced to $4.0 million by deferring A&S injections.

  • Conv. Capital

$4.0 million maintenance capital (minor exploitation and facility costs).

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SLIDE 29

Corporate – 2016 Cash Flow Estimates

(No Drilling Case – 4,420 boe/d except $40 US/bbl case) No Drilling Case)

29

WTI Pricing Average Oil Production Field Cash Flow (w/o hedges) G&A, US Taxes, Hedges & Interest Costs Corporate Cash Flow Corporate Cash Flow After All Capital, Abandonments and Reclamations $40 US/bbl 3,550 bbl/d $17.4 million ($11.0 million) $ 6.4 million ($ 3.6 million) $50 US/bbl 3,650 bbl/d $30.2 million ($12.1 million) $18.1 million $ 0.1 million $60 US/bbl 3,650 bbl/d $41.2 million ($12.6 million) $28.7 million $10.7 million $70 US/bbl 3,650 bbl/d $51.1 million ($13.3 million) $37.8 million $19.8 million

  • 10

10 20 30 40 50 60 40 50 60 70 Cash Flow ($million) WTI Oil Price ($US/bbl)

2016 Corporate Cash Flow

Field Corp. Free

  • Although not ideal (suspension of AS

injections), Zargon is able to maintain relatively stable production and debt levels in the $40 US/bbl case.

  • In the $50 US/bbl case, Zargon is able to

continue AS injections and maintain stable

  • il production volumes without increasing

debt.

  • At higher prices, Zargon’s assets provide

free cash flow (after capital and corporate costs) that can be used to retire debt or drill high-graded horizontal oil exploitation wells from our 75 oil well inventory.

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SLIDE 30

Estimated Tax Pools (Sept. 30, 2015)

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At September 30, 2015, Zargon has approximately $290 million of very high quality Canadian tax pools that will shield cash flows for many years. Category Amount Annual Deductibility Canadian Exploration Expense $ 59 million 100% Non Capital Losses $118 million 100% Canadian Development Expense $ 37 million 30%, declining balance Canadian Oil & Gas Property Expense $ nil 10%, declining balance Canadian Undepreciated Capital Cost $ 71 million Primarily 25%, declining balance Other $ 5 million Various Total Tax Pools $290 million

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SLIDE 31

Commodity Hedges

  • Zargon uses hedges to help fund dividends and capital programs during periods
  • f lower commodity prices.

Hedging Strategy Forward Oil Sales

31

  • Oct. – Dec 2015: 1,500 bbl/d at $79.78 Cdn./bbl (WTI)
  • H1 2016:

500 bbl/d at $79.30 Cdn.bbl (WTI)

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SLIDE 32

2016 Cash Flow Projections

  • Reduce debt in preparation for June 2017 maturity of $57.5 million of convertible

debentures.

  • Maintain oil production at essentially stable levels.
  • Seek and evaluate shareholder value creation opportunities, which capture the inherent

value of Zargon’s long-life oil reserves.

Objectives Results Action Plan

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  • $40 and $50 US/bbl WTI Cases: Cash flow offsets restricted capital program, stable

production is maintained without increasing bank debt. (In the $40 US/bbl case, AS injections are deferred at Little Bow, which has a minor impact on 2016 (100 bbl/d) but a significant impact on 2017 (500 bbl/d).

  • $60 and $70 US/bbl WTI Cases: Projected field cash flows of $41 and $51 million, provide

for either debt reduction (Zargon’s current outlook) or for funding oil exploitation drilling programs high-graded from a 75 well inventory (prospective purchaser outlook).

  • Aggressively reduce capital, operating and G&A costs.
  • Defer non-discretionary conventional oil exploitation capital; defer Little Bow phase 2

capital; in the $40 US/bbl case, temporarily defer Little Bow alkaline and surfactant injections (AS) while maintaining polymer flood.

  • Suspend remaining $0.01 per common share monthly dividend (announced November

11, 2015).

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SLIDE 33

Key Takeaways

  • Zargon’s unique low-decline asset provides stable volumes in this challenging low price
  • period. Due to these asset attributes, Zargon can navigate 2016 with $40 or $50 US/bbl

WTI oil prices while delivering stable oil production volumes and steady debt levels.

  • Bank debt of $52.0 million at September 30, 2015 represents less than 60% of $88 million

authorized bank line. The additional $57.5 million convertible debenture does not mature until June 2017.

  • Zargon’s Board and management believe that Zargon’s share price has not been reflective
  • f the fundamental value inherent in the Company.
  • In an improved oil price environment, Zargon’s conventional oil Williston Basin locations

and follow-up Little Bow ASP phases hold significant potential that could be accelerated by a better capitalized entity.

Balance Sheet (OK through June 2017) Strategic Process Initiated Deep Discount to NAV

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  • Investors buy Zargon at a large discount to the proved and probable (or proved

developed producing) net asset value when evaluated at prices above current strip. (To be demonstrated with the January release of the McDaniel 2015 year end reserve report.)

  • Despite recent encouraging production and oil cut trends, little or no value is attributed to

the Little Bow ASP project.

  • Zargon’s long-dated oil reserves provide investor’s exceptional torque (both operational

and financial leverage) to future increases in oil prices.

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SLIDE 34

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