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May 2020
TSX: X: BN BNE
CORPORATE PRESENTATION TSX: X: BN BNE May 2020 1 Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CORPORATE PRESENTATION TSX: X: BN BNE May 2020 1 Forward Looking Information Certain statements contained in this Presentation include statements which contain words such as anticipate, could, should, expect,
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May 2020
TSX: X: BN BNE
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Certain statements contained in this Presentation include statements which contain words such as “anticipate”, “could”, “should”, “expect”, “seek”, “may”, “intend”, “likely”, “will”, “believe” and similar expressions, statements relating to matters that are not historical facts, and such statements of our beliefs, intentions and expectations about development, results and events which will or may occur in the future, constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation and are based on certain assumptions and analysis made by us derived from our experience and
expenditures, including the amount and nature thereof; oil and natural gas prices and demand; expansion and other development trends of the oil and gas industry; business strategy and outlook; expansion and growth of our combined business and operations; and maintenance of existing supplier and partner relationships; supply channels; accounting policies; credit risks; and other such matters. Forward-looking information in this Presentation also includes, but is not limited to, the timing and amount of future dividend payments by Bonterra. All such forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors we believe are appropriate in the circumstances. The risks, uncertainties, and assumptions are difficult to predict and may affect operations, and may include, without limitation: foreign exchange fluctuations; equipment and labour shortages and inflationary costs; general economic conditions; industry conditions; changes in applicable environmental, taxation and other laws and regulations as well as how such laws and regulations are interpreted and enforced; the ability of oil and natural gas companies to raise capital; the effect of weather conditions on operations and facilities; the existence of operating risks; volatility of oil and natural gas prices; oil and gas product supply and demand; risks inherent in the ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and future obligations; increased competition; stock market volatility;
Actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, this forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits will be derived there from. Except as required by law, Bonterra disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The term barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All BOE conversions in the report are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet
The forward-looking information contained herein is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
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DRILLING LOCATIONS: This presentation discloses drilling locations in three categories: (i) proved locations; (ii) probable locations; and (iii) unbooked locations. Proved locations and probable locations, which are sometimes collectively referred to as “booked locations”, are derived from the Company’s most recent independent reserves evaluation as prepared by Sproule as of December 31, 2018 and account for drilling locations that have associated proved or probable reserves, as applicable. Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on the Company’s prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources. Of the 700+ Net drilling locations identified herein, 294 are net proved locations, 4 are net probable locations and 400+ are net unbooked locations. Unbooked locations have specifically been identified by management as an estimation of our multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, and engineering, production and reserves data on prospective acreage and geologic formations. There is no certainty that we will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The locations that Bonterra drills will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results and other factors. While certain of the unbooked drilling locations have been derisked by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production.
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Financial TSX: BNE Common Shares Outstanding 33.3 million Insider Ownership 15% Current Monthly Dividend <Currently Suspended> Tax Pools at March 31, 2020 $411 million Tax Horizon ~2022 Q1 2020 Exit Net Debt ~$301 million Bank Line $325 million ($261 million drawn at Q1 2020 exit) Operational Oil and Liquids Production Weighting 67% (59% oil / 8% liquids) Natural Gas Production Weighting 33% Average Corporate Production Decline Rate ~21% Reserve Life Index (PDP) 8 years Reserve Life Index (1P) 17 years Reserve Life Index (2P) 21 years
Million of Funds Flow Generated in 2019
Million of Free Funds Flow Generated in 2019
Reduction in Net Debt in 2019 vs 2018
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DISCRETIONARY CAPITAL ALLOCATION DEBT REPAYMENT FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION
As debt is reduced, focus on generating long-term, sustainable value Excess free cash flow will be directed to reduce
increases to the capital budget Low corporate decline rate ensures minimal capital required to sustain production, which supports maximizing free cash flow
Bonterra’s focus will remain on generating strong, sustainable free cash flow which can be directed to debt reduction and capital spending when supported by commodity prices
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Disciplined Oil Exposure Low Cost Operations
Focus on Balance Sheet
Concentrated Asset Base: Significant Low Risk Drilling Inventory: Established and Controlled Infrastructure: ~21% Corporate Decline: Free Cash Flow Generation:
Bonterra’s proven track record has been built on a model of generating long-term, sustainable value through disciplined capital allocation aligned with prevailing commodity prices
Light oil focused with Pembina & Willesden Green Areas representing ~97% of production 700+ net locations identified and 298 net locations booked (43%)(1) Minimal facility capital required to scale up production; 92% of production is operated Strategy underway to reduce debt to funds flow ratio through capital allocation, cost control, dividend suspension Leads to low maintenance capital which supports free cash flow generation
(1) Please see disclaimers for drilling locations in forward looking statements.
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Jan 31 China announces over 10,000 COVID-19 cases Feb 12 Bonterra announces 2020E capital budget, focused on all-in payout <100% of funds flow Feb 18 COVID-19 cases increasing outside of China, creating global demand uncertainty Feb 27 Bonterra commences initial shut-ins Mar 9 WTI falls 20% after OPEC and Russia remove production restrictions Mar 10 Bonterra announces capex reduction to $25 MM, dividend suspension, and additional shut-ins Mar 13 North American wide lockdowns initiated Apr 13 OPEX+ and allies announce production cut of ~9.7 Mmboe/d in May and June Apr 21 Bonterra announces refreshed Board with nominations for Ms. Ricci and Mr. Campbell Apr 30 Bonterra announces facility review extension and application to federal loan/support programs May 1 Bonterra initiates G&A savings measures including reduced work week and compensation, and began the submission process with applications to oilfield service providers under the Site Rehabilitation Program for 150+ wells
$30.00 $45.00 $60.00 $75.00 1-Jan-20 31-Jan-20 1-Mar-20 31-Mar-20 1-May-20 WTI WTI (US$/bbl)
Bonterra: ongoing evaluation of all cost cutting measures, shut-in volumes evaluated weekly
Source: FactSet.
WTI Price Performance Since January 1, 2020 Key Events
B A C E D F E G F G H H I US$61.06/bbl US$19.78/bbl I Bonterra events COVID-19 events OPEC+ events B A C D JK K J
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COVID-19, oil price collapse, and uncertain future required Bonterra to pivot quickly, positioning to weather the storm while maintaining our commitment to our stakeholders
/ week) until August 31, 2020.
program
Business Development Bank of Canada
loan to the company; equates to monthly savings of $26,000
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Note: Peers include BTE, CJ, CPG, GXE, SGY, TOG, TVE, WCP, and YGR.
(1)Estimates as per Peters & Co. research, as at January 13, 2020. (2)Total payout is calculated based on estimated capital spending required to keep average production flat year over year, plus dividends, as a percentage of cash flow.
Bonterra’s low decline asset base is well positioned for an oil price recovery
2020E Decline Rate (%) (1)
Company A 11% Bonterra 22% Company B 23% Company C 23% Company D 24% Company E 27% Company F 30% Company G 34% Company H 35% Company I 36%
2020E Total Payout Ratio (%) (1)(2)
Bonterra 76% Company F 83% Company A 85% Company G 87% Company H 88% Company I 89% Company C 91% Company E 92% Company B 94% Company D 103%
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Concentrated assets in the Pembina Cardium oil pool support efficient operations and offer exposure to significant upside through a large inventory of low-risk, highly economic undrilled locations
Sections of land (312 net)
Operated Production
P+P Reserves
Reserve Life Index (P+P)
Internally identified multi- zone locations
Booked locations Keystone West Pembina Cynthia Blue Rapids Rose Creek Carnwood Willesden Green Ferrier
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5,000 to 10,000 Mbbl 10,000 to 20,000 Mbbl 20,000 to 25,000 Mbbl 0 to 5,000 Mbbl 25,000+ Mbbl 5% 10% 15% 0% 20% 25%
to date, offering long-term stable production, high-quality oil and attractive netbacks
production
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Conglomerate Sandstone Sandstone Bioturbated Mudstone Shale Shale
permeability bioturbated mudstone
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WTI $USD/bbl $ 33.55 $ 40.65 $ 47.75 $ 54.85 $ 61.95 BNE Realized Price (1,2) $CAD/bbl $ 35.00 $ 45.00 $ 55.00 $ 65.00 $ 75.00 DCET(3) M$C $ 1,760 $ 1,760 $ 1,980 $ 2,200 $ 2,200 BT Payout Years 4.4 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.0 Rate of Return % 11% 37% 51% 64% 102% BT NPV10 M$C $ 42 $ 680 $ 1,104 $ 1,532 $ 2,180 Capital Efficiency S/boepd $15,856 $15,856 $17,838 $19,820 $19,820 Recycle Ratio 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.6
(1) Realized Oil Price calculated as follows: (WTI Oil Price – Differential) x FX rate – (Quality Adjustment) (2) Assumptions: Edmonton light differential: U$6.00; FX: 0.71 CAD/US; Quality adjustment C$3.80/bbl; BNE Realized Gas $2.50/mcf; BNE Realized Liquids: 50% of realized oil (3) Drill, Complete, Equip, Tie-In & Facilities
BNE Type Curve: Full Cycle Capital and Price Sensitivities
Reserves per well (MBOE) 165 IP (12 months) (boe/d) 111
Cardium wells are repeatable, predictable and generate strong returns even in a weak commodity price environment
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11,558 8,874 10,948 10,615 10,268 9,970 9,798 9,560 9,344 1,327 3,144 550 472 470 604 510 508 507
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 boe/d Optimized Production Shut-in Production
2020E Optimized Production (1)
~$2.5 million improvement in 2020 Net Operating Income projected with a pragmatic approach to shut-in analysis
Shut-in Cost Savings (1)
250 Mboe of reserves expected to be preserved Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Non-Optimized Production Revenue ($'000) $5,454 $4,352 $7,702 $7,598 $7,630 $7,507 $7,461 $7,254 $7,373 Expenses ($'000) ($5,746) ($5,568) ($5,591) ($5,579) ($5,517) ($5,439) ($5,455) ($5,337) ($5,368) NOI ($'000) ($292) ($1,216) $2,111 $2,019 $2,113 $2,068 $2,007 $1,917 $2,005 Optimized Production Revenue ($'000) $4,881 $3,248 $7,327 $7,253 $7,273 $7,077 $7,084 $6,879 $6,984 Expenses ($'000) ($4,642) ($3,719) ($5,089) ($5,072) ($5,013) ($4,893) ($4,903) ($4,798) ($4,821) NOI ($'000) $238 ($471) $2,238 $2,181 $2,260 $2,185 $2,180 $2,081 $2,163 NOI Improvement ($'000) $530 $745 $127 $162 $148 $117 $174 $164 $158 (1) Analysis at strip pricing as at May 5, 2020, excluding hedging gains.
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2020 2021 2020 2021 2020 2021 ANNUAL AVERAGE WTI OIL PRICE (1) USD/bbl 34.83 36.24 37.00 50.00 40.00 60.00 ANNUAL AVERAGE BNE REALIZED PRICE (1) $/bbl 35.36 36.46 38.38 55.59 42.55 69.49 OIL PRODUCTION bbl/d 5,950 4,552 6,155 6,666 6,281 7,070 GAS PRODUCTION mcf/d 22,098 18,254 22,259 20,283 22,325 20,790 LIQ PRODUCTION bbl/d 1,011 850 1,019 939 1,022 962 TOTAL PRODUCTION boe/d 10,644 8,445 10,884 10,986 11,023 11,497 NET NEW WELLS ON PRODUCTION # 9.0 1.0 12.0 30.0 17.0 30.0 FUNDS FLOW AT MM$C 23.6 5.0 30.9 69.8 41.1 109.9 CAPEX (2) MM$C (22.5) (0.8) (27.9) (62.2) (37.3) (66.8) ABANDONMENTS (3) MM$C (1.5) (3.0) (1.5) (3.0) (1.5) (3.0) DIVIDEND MM$C (1.0) (0.0) (1.0) (0.0) (1.0) (0.0) DISCRETIONARY CASH MM$C (1.4) 1.2 0.5 4.6 1.3 40.0 YE BANK DEBT ESTIMATE MM$C 272.8 271.6 271.0 266.4 270.1 230.1 FURTHER RECOVERY MAY 19 2020 STRIP RECOVERY PRICING PRICING
In response to COVID-19, Bonterra has taken steps to protect its balance sheet. Upon price improvement, Bonterra would initiate reactivation of shut-in production and resume drilling.
(1) Price Assumptions in Appendix p24 (2) Bonterra expects to participate in the Site Rehabilitation Program in 2020 (https://www.alberta.ca/site-rehabilitation-program.aspx)
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Reserve Category
Oil (Mbbl) BOE (Mboe) NPV BT 10% (1) (millions) Proved Developed Producing 22,227 38,136 586,445 Proved Developed Non-Producing 591 849 10,627 Proved Undeveloped 23,891 42,552 364,808 Total Proved 46,709 81,537 961,880 Proved + Probable Developed Producing 26,778 46,135 656,582 Proved + Probable Developed Non- Producing 853 1,286 13,446 Proved + Probable Undeveloped 30,243 53,656 558,207 Total Proved + Probable 57,874 101,077 1,228,235
(1) Sproule Pricing at Dec 31, 2019 (https://sproule.com/forecasts/archives/December-31-2019/)
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Strong reserves with long-term production runway potential
BOE per share from the prior year
total P+P reserves were maintained at 101.1 million BOE
reserves base
replacement of 120 percent
providing meaningful long-term running room
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Low risk asset base (80% total proved) supports P+P growth under a disciplined capital plan due to the predictable and reliable nature of the Cardium
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Bonterra’s demonstrated track record of growing reserves per share, including with lower capital, is critical in supporting long-term sustainability
1.96 2.17 2.23 2.36 2.42 2.44 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 $180 1.80 2.00 2.20 2.40 2.60 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capital expenditures ($MM) Proved reserves per common share
Proved Reserves per Common Share Capital expenditures
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Low risk asset base (80% total proved) supports P+P growth under a disciplined capital plan due to the predictable and reliable nature of the Cardium
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Bonterra’s demonstrated track record of reserves growth is critical in supporting long-term sustainability
Increase in Proved Reserves from 2016 to 2019
Decrease in Net Debt 2019 vs 2018
2019 Reserve Life Index (“RLI”)
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HEALTH, SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENT (HS&E)
investigations - over 90% of spills are identified in less than 12 hours and with no claims through insurance
with scheduled annual testing of 100% of high risk/high consequence pipelines
SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY
involved parties to resolve any concerns or questions that may arise
local oil field services
employees across Western Canada
PRIORITIZING CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
independent chairs
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Established producer offering exposure to price upside through operational excellence and conservative financial management Insiders own ~15% Industry low ~21% decline Net debt reduced by 11% from 2018 to 2019 Low-risk asset base with 80% 1P reserves
Experienced & Aligned Management Low Corporate Decline Rate Reducing Debt Low-Risk Drilling Inventory
Shareholder Value Creation
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DIRECTORS
George F. Fink Randy M. Jarock Rodger A. Tourigny Jay J. Campbell Jacqueline R. Ricci Bonterra Energy Corp. Suite 901, 1015 – 4th St SW Calgary, AB T2R 1J4 Phone: 403.262.5307
HEAD OFFICE OFFICERS
George F. Fink
CEO & Chairman of the Board
Robb D. Thompson
CFO & Corporate Secretary
Adrian Neumann
Chief Operating Officer
Brad A. Curtis
Senior VP, Business Development
STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING
TSX: BNE
LEGAL COUNSEL
Borden Ladner Gervais LLP
BANKS
CIBC National Bank of Canada The Toronto Dominion Bank Alberta Treasury Branches Business Development Bank of Canada
REGISTRAR & TRANSFER AGENT
Odyssey Trust Company of Canada
AUDITORS
Deloitte LLP
INDEPENDENT RESERVE ENGINEER
Sproule Associates Limited
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